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    49. Queen Elizabeth II, Ukrainian counter-attacks, and Sweden

    enSeptember 14, 2022

    Podcast Summary

    • World leaders pay tribute to Queen Elizabeth IIThe passing of Queen Elizabeth II sparked an outpouring of international mourning and tribute, with personal reactions and statements from former prime ministers providing the most meaningful content.

      The passing of Queen Elizabeth II led to an extraordinary display of international mourning and tribute, with numerous world leaders expressing their condolences and paying homage to her legacy. The coverage was extensive, with newspapers and media outlets from various countries dedicating significant space to the event. Despite the numerous tributes and coverage, Rory Stewart and Alastair Campbell agreed that the most meaningful content came from the reactions and interviews of those who had a personal connection to the Queen, as well as the statements and actions of former prime ministers. The BBC's coverage was particularly noted for its sensitivity and depth. Overall, the Queen's passing served as a reminder of her enduring impact on the world and the importance of acknowledging and celebrating significant historical moments.

    • Media outlets face challenge in reporting on Queen's passingMedia outlets had to maintain a respectful tone while reporting on Queen Elizabeth II's death, potentially overlooking diverse perspectives and events.

      The passing of Queen Elizabeth II presented a significant challenge for media outlets like the BBC, requiring extensive preparation and adherence to a mononarrative of respect and support. However, this mononarrative may have inadvertently led to overlooked events, such as a protest by the royal family's supporters, highlighting the importance of diverse perspectives. The Queen's discretion and professionalism during her reign set a high standard for public encounters, making anecdotes and personal insights limited for most. Tina Brown's observation that "we're going to miss not knowing what she thinks" encapsulates the enigmatic nature of the Queen's public persona.

    • Recognizing the Queen's strategic leadership and enduring legacyThe Queen's 70-year reign showcases her remarkable adaptability and resilience, leading and navigating change while maintaining stability in the monarchy.

      Despite the many myths and speculations surrounding the Queen's personal preferences towards various political leaders, her true leadership abilities and strategic approach to change while staying constant have been overlooked. The Queen, who has been in power for over 70 years, has shown remarkable adaptability and resilience, much like the protagonist in "The Leopard" by Tomasi di Lampedusa, who believed that everything must change so that everything can stay the same. Her ability to lead and navigate change while maintaining the stability of the institution is a testament to her genius, even for those who have long criticized the monarchy. Another interesting anecdote shared during the discussion was Prince Charles' displeasure during his swearing-in ceremony when an inkwell obstructed his view, showcasing his temperamental side. Overall, the conversation highlighted the importance of recognizing the Queen's strategic leadership and enduring legacy.

    • Tense Moment at Buckingham Palace and Sweden's Far-Right SurgeBoris Johnson's apparent snub of Queen Elizabeth II during the state opening of Parliament and Sweden Democrats' rise to almost 20% of votes, indicating potential shifts in political dynamics in the UK and Sweden respectively.

      The recent event at the Buckingham Palace during the state opening of Parliament, where Boris Johnson was seen appearing to snub Queen Elizabeth II, was a tense and unusual moment that left many wondering about the monarchy and its future. Meanwhile, in Sweden, the elections have shown a significant rise in support for the far-right Sweden Democrats party, which has campaigned heavily on immigration issues. This party, which emerged from Neo-Nazi roots, has managed to garner almost 20% of the votes, a remarkable feat in a country that has historically been known for its welcoming attitude towards immigrants. The implications of these events, both in the UK and Sweden, are far-reaching and could lead to significant shifts in political dynamics.

    • The Populist Wave Shapes Global PoliticsPopulist movements, fueled by concerns about immigration, inequality, and globalization, continue to shape global politics with charismatic young leaders and are expected to worsen due to the energy crisis and Ukraine war, with clear divisions between parties on how to address these issues.

      The age of populism continues to shape global politics, with charismatic young leaders like Jimmy Akesson of the Swedish Democrats poised to potentially form governments in Europe and beyond. Populist movements, fueled by concerns about immigration, inequality, and globalization, have been durably impacted by the financial crisis and social media. The energy crisis and the Ukraine war are expected to worsen the trend, with governments like the UK's attempting to shift the burden of carbon taxes onto the poorest citizens. The divide between parties on how to address these issues is clear, with Keir Starmer advocating for a windfall tax and Boris Johnson for borrowing. The populist wave, which began around 2014 with figures like Modi, Bolsonaro, and Trump, shows no signs of abating, and will continue to shape the political landscape in the coming years.

    • Kenyan Presidential Election: A Surprising Challenge to the Old Political EstablishmentWilliam Ruto defied odds and ethnic divisions to challenge the old political establishment in the 2022 Kenyan presidential election, ultimately upholding the results peacefully and marking a shift in Kenyan politics. Climate change also emerged as a pressing issue, with devastating impacts on communities and livelihoods.

      In the 2022 Kenyan presidential election, the old political establishment, represented by Raila Odinga (Adinga) and Uhuru Kenyatta, faced a surprising challenge from the insurgent candidate, William Ruto. Despite favorable odds and the backing of influential figures, the election results were defied by Ruto's ability to mobilize his base and secure crucial votes. This outcome marked a significant shift in Kenyan politics, breaking the stranglehold of the old establishment and challenging the ethnic divisions that have long defined the political landscape. The election was ultimately upheld peacefully, signaling a positive moment for Kenyan democracy. Additionally, the discussion highlighted the pressing issue of climate change in Kenya, with devastating impacts on communities and livelihoods. The media's role in effectively conveying these stories to the public is crucial in raising awareness and driving action against this global crisis.

    • Climate change debate waning despite natural disastersJournalists prioritize other news stories over climate change, but it's crucial to acknowledge its interconnectedness with other global issues and continue the dialogue and action.

      Despite the increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters, such as flash floods in Pakistan, the debate about climate change seems to be waning instead of gaining momentum. This was discussed during an episode of "The Rest is Politics US," where the hosts, Rory Stewart and Alastair Campbell, noted that journalists might prioritize covering other news stories over climate change, such as the ongoing crisis in Ukraine. Meanwhile, Anthony Scaramucci shared a personal story about donating to Barack Obama's campaign in 2008 and the unexpected benefits he received from it. Overall, the episode highlighted the importance of acknowledging the interconnectedness of various global issues and the need for continuous dialogue and action on climate change.

    • Russian Forces Face Challenges in UkraineRussian forces suffer losses and morale issues, Putin faces pressure from nationalists, confusion and uncertainty among military ranks, goals of invasion unclear, potential brutal mobilization or use of tactical nuclear weapons

      The situation in Ukraine continues to be volatile, with Russian forces suffering significant losses and morale issues. Vladimir Putin is facing increasing pressure from nationalist Russians who feel he's not doing enough, leading to calls for a national mobilization. The Russian population largely supports the actions, but confusion and uncertainty about the goals of the invasion are causing concerns among the military ranks. The Russian soldiers were initially told they were fighting Nazis, then expected to take Kyiv, but now find themselves in a confusing situation with abandoned equipment and unclear objectives. The Russian leadership's response to these challenges remains uncertain, with some analysts warning of a potential brutal mobilization or even the use of tactical nuclear weapons. The situation is dangerous and unpredictable, with Putin's reaction to these challenges being a major concern.

    • Russia's past in Afghanistan may influence Putin's approach to Ukraine conflictPutin's fear of prolonged conflicts and potential backlash from US could impact Russia's actions in Ukraine, while China may distance itself due to potential US repercussions and view Russia's actions as a failure.

      The ongoing conflict in Ukraine may evoke memories of the Soviet Union's disastrous experience in Afghanistan for Russian President Putin. Putin, as a former KGB officer, might fear the humiliation and deep psychic tension that prolonged conflicts could cause among Russians. Meanwhile, China, a key player in the Shanghai Cooperation Association, might be alarmed by the situation in Ukraine and could distance itself from Russia due to the potential backlash from the US over their support for Putin. Furthermore, the Chinese may view Russia's actions as a failure and a humiliation, as they have been careful to maintain a neutral stance in the conflict. Additionally, political instability in Kenya over a new Chinese-built train line highlights the potential challenges that infrastructure projects can bring, even if they offer significant benefits.

    • US Takes Central Role in Global Crises, Causing Concern for ChinaThe US, under Biden, is actively involved in global crises, providing significant financial and military aid, causing concern for China's Sino-Russian alliance. The US is also shouldering a large financial burden in humanitarian responses, with other countries not contributing as much as hoped.

      The United States, under President Joe Biden, has been playing a central role in global crises, particularly in Ukraine and the Horn of Africa, where it has provided significant financial and military assistance. This commitment has reportedly caused concern for China, as it could potentially weaken the Sino-Russian alliance if China does not offer support to Putin. Additionally, the US is shouldering a large financial burden in humanitarian responses to crises around the world, with other countries, including the UK and EU, not contributing as much as hoped. Biden's actions are also seen as a response to China's growing influence and potential threat to US interests. On a personal note, Rory Stewart, who was interviewed in the podcast, shared that he is feeling much better after a bout with illness.

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