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    Are banking tremors the start of a new financial crisis?

    enMarch 28, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Leverage LinkedIn for Hiring and Use Online Platforms for Significant PurchasesUtilize LinkedIn for hiring professionals and consider using online platforms like Blue Nile for designing unique engagement rings with ease and convenience. The interconnectedness of the global financial system was highlighted by the recent events in the banking sector, raising questions about the future of bailouts for large financial institutions.

      LinkedIn is a valuable resource for small businesses looking to hire professionals. It's where you can find candidates who might not be actively searching for a new job but could be open to the right opportunity. In fact, over 70% of LinkedIn users don't visit other leading job sites. So, if you're in the market for new hires, make sure to utilize LinkedIn. Another key takeaway is the importance of planning and preparation, especially when it comes to making significant purchases. For instance, when buying an engagement ring, consider using an online platform like Blue Nile to design a unique piece with ease and convenience. And don't forget to use the promo code "listen" to get $50 off your purchase of $500 or more. Lastly, the recent events in the banking sector serve as a reminder of the interconnectedness of the global financial system. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in the United States triggered fear and turmoil across the global banking sector, with shares in major banks like Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank experiencing significant declines. The memory of the 2008 financial crisis still lingers, and it raises questions about whether governments will continue to bail out large financial institutions when they make risky decisions.

    • First recorded digital bank run in historyHistoric event marks the need for robust risk management strategies and digital resilience in banking sector

      The digital age has significantly changed the dynamics of banking. The recent failure of Silicon Valley Bank marks the first recorded digital bank run in history, where depositors used digital platforms to withdraw billions of dollars within just 48 hours. This rapid response was triggered by the bank's disclosure of risk management issues due to the collapse of bond prices caused by rising interest rates. The speed and scale of this event demonstrate how modern banking has entered a new era, where instability can spread rapidly and affect even smaller, regional banks. Historians and regulators will likely view this as a watershed moment, emphasizing the need for robust risk management strategies and digital resilience in the banking sector.

    • Silicon Valley Bank's collapse and its ripple effectsThe collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, serving tech and startup sector, had far-reaching implications, leading to US government intervention, HSBC acquisition, and concerns about other financial institutions' risky decisions

      The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, despite serving a specific customer base in the US tech and startup sector, had significant implications beyond its industry due to the importance of these companies and technologies. The US government intervened to prevent depositor losses and potential ripple effects, while the UK's HSBC stepped in to buy Silicon Valley Bank's UK assets. However, the bank's failure sparked concerns about other financial institutions making risky decisions and being impacted by higher interest rates. Two other banks, Silvergate and Signature, also went bust, marking the second, third, and fourth largest bank failures in US history. Though these institutions may not have been systemically important, their failures highlighted the consequences of poor risk management.

    • Ripple effect of Silicon Valley Bank's failure on Credit Suisse and its aftermathThe failure of Silicon Valley Bank led to the takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS, sparking legal disputes and questions about the effectiveness of post-financial crisis rules prioritizing shareholders in a bank's collapse, with potential influence from Gulf and Saudi shareholders.

      The failure of Silicon Valley Bank in the US had a ripple effect on Europe, leading to the takeover of Credit Suisse by its rival UBS. The Swiss government intervened to protect depositors, but bondholders were forced to absorb the losses. This decision has sparked legal disputes and questions about the effectiveness of post-financial crisis rules, which prioritize shareholders in a bank's collapse. The influence of Gulf and Saudi shareholders in Credit Suisse may have played a role in the Swiss authorities' decision. Overall, this incident highlights the interconnectedness of the global financial system and the potential consequences of bank failures.

    • Concerns over moral hazard and financial instabilityDespite efforts to address moral hazard post-2008 crisis, recent banking instability raises concerns about central banks' approach to managing financial stability and inflation, highlighting the need for continued regulatory vigilance.

      Despite the lessons learned from the 2008 financial crisis, there are concerns that moral hazard still exists in the financial sector, with institutions taking excessive risks knowing that they will be bailed out with public funds. The recent instability in the banking sector, including the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse, has raised questions about the role of central banks and their approach to managing financial stability and inflation. While banks should theoretically benefit from rising interest rates, the recent instability in the sector suggests that there are still unresolved issues around the impact of monetary policy on different parts of the financial system. The ongoing debate highlights the need for continued vigilance and a rethink of the regulatory framework to prevent another financial crisis.

    • Central banks' aggressive interest rate hikes causing instability in financial systemCentral banks are adopting a more nuanced approach to interest rate hikes, acknowledging potential consequences for financial stability, after rapid rise caught many banks off guard.

      While some parts of the financial system are thriving due to high interest rates, other areas are struggling with volatility and risk management. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, have been aggressively raising interest rates to regain credibility and control inflation, but this aggressive approach is causing instability in the financial system. Central bankers are now adopting a more nuanced approach, raising interest rates at a slower pace and acknowledging the potential consequences for financial stability. The rapid rise in interest rates has caught many banks off guard, particularly those that were not prepared for such a dramatic shift from virtually zero interest rates. The pendulum has swung, and central banks will likely pause on interest rate hikes or implement more measured increases with a focus on maintaining financial stability.

    • Historical memory of low interest rates and deregulation contributed to SVB's poor risk managementSilicon Valley Bank's rapid growth, reliance on seemingly safe assets, and lack of experience with high interest rates left it unprepared for the current economic climate

      The lack of experience with high interest rates and historical memory of their economic impact may have contributed to Silicon Valley Bank's poor risk management. The financial crisis era of easy money and subzero interest rates created a culture where investments in seemingly safe assets could yield significant returns without consequence. However, with the return of high interest rates, these assets have become almost worthless, and the psychological impact on those who have relied on this environment is still unfolding. Additionally, deregulation efforts in recent years, which were partly advocated for by Silicon Valley Bank executives, may have left smaller banks like SVB less prepared for the current economic climate. The bank's rapid growth during the pandemic, fueled by tech sector companies with excess cash, further compounded the risks it faced.

    • Banking Crisis: Reevaluating the Safety of Small Banks and the 'Too Big to Fail' NotionThe banking industry is undergoing a major reevaluation following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, raising questions about the safety of small banks and the validity of the 'too big to fail' notion. Banks' reliance on deposits, which can be withdrawn rapidly, highlights their inherent instability.

      The banking industry is facing a significant reevaluation following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the 16th largest lender in the US and the second largest banking failure in the country's history. The rapid growth of the bank led to an excessive amount of deposits, which were invested in risky assets without proper hedging. This incident has brought into question the safety of small banks and the validity of the "too big to fail" notion. The UK, which was in the process of Edinburgh reforms to encourage investment and deregulation, may now reconsider its approach due to the crisis. Banks are inherently unstable due to their reliance on deposits, which can be withdrawn quickly, potentially leading to a bank's collapse within hours. The question remains as to how much investors and shareholders in banks should be protected when a bank fails due to risky decisions. Despite reassurances of the UK and European banking systems' stability, the industry as a whole is facing a new phase of regulation and reevaluation.

    • The Uncertainty of the Current Financial SystemThe low-interest rate environment can hide financial instability, and the Lehman Brothers collapse showed that the global financial crisis can impact all economies, emphasizing the importance of staying informed and prepared.

      The current financial system, despite its perceived stability and regulation, may not be as solid as we think. This was a lesson learned the hard way during the Lehman Brothers collapse, which was initially believed to be a unique issue confined to the US. However, the global financial crisis proved that assumption wrong. A significant variable that makes things uncertain in the current environment is the low-interest rate, which can hide financial instability until it's too late. As Meherin Khan pointed out, there might be more financial institutions that will be exposed as being in trouble when the market conditions change. It's important to remember that appearances can be deceiving, and it's only when the "water is drained out of the pool" that we'll truly know who's in financial trouble. This podcast episode, brought to you by The Times and The Sunday Times, serves as a reminder of the importance of staying informed and prepared.

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    A huge thank you to ⁠Pearler⁠ for sponsoring this week’s episode. ⁠Pearler⁠ is the intuitive and easy to use Aussie investing platform that makes it easy for anyone to invest in the stock market, and you can start building a sensible, diversified portfolio tailored to your needs with as little as $5. Not only is it built for long term investing, it brings together community and education, so you can learn from people just like you. Don't wait to start building your financial future - check out ⁠Pearler.com⁠ today with code GIRLSTHATINVEST and start investing in your goals with $20 free Pearler credit.

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