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    Conspiracy Expert: How to Spot a True Conspiracy Theory - Michael Shermer

    enMay 31, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Considering the Possibility of Conspiracy TheoriesWhile maintaining skepticism is important, it's also crucial not to dismiss all conspiracy theories outright. An open-minded approach is necessary to evaluate potential truths.

      While some conspiracy theories are indeed false, others hold truths that should not be dismissed outright. Michael Shermer, a skeptic and author, emphasizes the importance of considering the possibility of conspiracy, especially when there's evidence to support it. He shares his experiences with conspiracy theories, including those surrounding the death of Jeffrey Epstein, and encourages an open-minded approach. With the abundance of information available today, conspiracy theories spread more rapidly than ever before. While it's essential to maintain a healthy dose of skepticism, it's also crucial not to dismiss all conspiracy theories as mere fabrications. Instead, we should approach them with a critical, yet open-minded perspective. After all, as Michael Shermer reminds us, "just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not after you. Sometimes they are after you."

    • Uncertainty and power imbalances fuel conspiracy theoriesDuring times of uncertainty, suspicion towards those in power can lead to the spread of conspiracy theories. Power imbalances can exacerbate this phenomenon, as seen during the pandemic with public health measures and their long-term consequences.

      Uncertainty and power imbalances can lead to the spread of conspiracy theories. Throughout history, during times of upheaval and uncertainty, people have been suspicious of those in power. This suspicion can manifest as constructive or unconstructive conspiracies. During the pandemic, public officials wielded significant power and acted on the precautionary principle, leading to lockdowns and other measures. While these actions may have been necessary in the early stages of the pandemic, some argue that they became excessive as more information about the virus became available. The long-term consequences of these measures are still being felt, and the uncertainty surrounding the pandemic fueled the spread of conspiracy theories. It's important to approach these theories with a critical and informed perspective, recognizing that both uncertainty and power imbalances can influence people's beliefs.

    • The dangers of short-term thinking and censorshipLong-term planning and open dialogue are crucial for addressing complex issues, while censorship can fuel conspiracy theories and create a backlash effect.

      Short-term thinking and censorship in politics and tech can fuel conspiracy theories and create a backlash effect. Long-term planning and open dialogue are essential for addressing complex issues. The speaker also emphasizes the importance of free speech, acknowledging that while some content may be harmful, censorship can lead to unwanted attention and the spread of misinformation. The speaker's stance on controversial figures like Alex Jones is conflicted, acknowledging the potential harm of conspiracy theories but questioning who is ultimately responsible for the actions of followers.

    • Words and actions: The complex relationship between influence and free speechWords can shape actions, but determining when someone else's influence crosses the line into accountability is a complex issue. The responsibility for regulating influential figures' speech lies primarily with the platforms themselves.

      The relationship between words and actions, particularly in the context of free speech and influence, is a complex issue. While it's difficult to directly connect someone's words to another person's actions and hold them accountable, there are instances where undue influence can lead to harmful outcomes. The case of Charles Manson and his followers is a well-known example. However, the line between influence and free will is blurred, and it's a challenge to determine when someone else's words cross the line. The example of the prank caller in the Netflix series "Don't Pick Up the Phone" illustrates this point. In the digital age, the reach and impact of influential figures, such as Alex Jones, can be significant. While these individuals have a platform and a following, the responsibility for regulating their speech lies primarily with the platforms themselves. The question of who should be held accountable for the undue influence of these figures is a complex one, and there is no easy answer. Ultimately, it's a reminder that words have power and can shape actions, but the line between influence and free will is a fine one.

    • The Role and Responsibility of Social Media Platforms in Regulating User-Generated ContentSocial media platforms like YouTube and Twitter face complex issues in regulating user-generated content, with some viewing them as neutral spaces and others demanding accountability. Balancing free speech and content moderation is a challenge, especially given the massive scale of user posts.

      The role and responsibility of social media platforms like YouTube and Twitter in regulating user-generated content remains a complex and contentious issue. Some argue they are just neutral platforms where users can express themselves freely, similar to a public square or a phone company. Others believe they should be held accountable for the content they publish, similar to traditional media outlets like newspapers. The scale of user-generated content on these platforms, which can reach millions of posts per day, adds to the complexity of the issue. Regulation and accountability measures are needed, but finding a solution that balances free speech and content moderation is a challenging task. The recent Twitter Files information drops have highlighted the political biases and questionable practices of these platforms, adding fuel to the ongoing debate.

    • Twitter's Secret Manipulation of Conservative ViewpointsTwitter's denials of political bias were proven to be lies, raising concerns about manipulation and censorship on social media platforms

      The public perception of Twitter as a politically neutral platform was a deception. For years, Twitter claimed to be unbiased, but evidence from the Twitter files reveals that they were secretly shadow banning certain users, particularly those with conservative viewpoints. This is significant because it undermines the trust and fairness of the platform as a public square for open discourse. The consequences of this deception were far-reaching, with world leaders expressing concern when former President Trump was banned from the platform. The significance of this revelation lies in the fact that Twitter's denials of political bias were proven to be lies, making it a conspiracy theory that turned out to be true. This raises concerns about the potential for manipulation and censorship on social media platforms, and the importance of transparency and accountability in maintaining a fair and open digital public square.

    • Natural Monopolies and Conspiracy TheoriesNatural monopolies can dominate industries like social media, making it hard for new competitors to emerge. Conspiracy theories should be approached with skepticism, as incompetence or chance often provide more plausible explanations than malice.

      The world we live in often results in natural monopolies in various industries, including social media platforms like Twitter. People prefer to use the most popular platforms where everyone else is, leading to a concentration of users and revenue. Economically, it's challenging for new competitors to emerge and challenge the market dominance of established players. The same phenomenon can be observed in other sectors such as search engines, diaper companies, and smartphone manufacturers. As for the rise of conspiracy theories, it's essential to be cautious and consider alternative explanations before jumping to conclusions. The death of Jeffrey Epstein, for instance, initially raised suspicions due to inconsistencies in the official narrative. However, upon further investigation, it was more likely that Epstein took his own life in a desperate and hopeless situation. The black book and Ghislaine Maxwell's refusal to use it to her advantage are further evidence that conspiracy theories should be approached with skepticism and that incompetence or chance often provide more plausible explanations than malice.

    • Powerful individuals protected despite heinous crimesSome individuals use conspiracy theories as a proxy for negative opinions, but the real issue is the pattern of protecting powerful perpetrators of heinous acts

      The Epstein case, along with others like Jimmy Savile's, highlights the existence of powerful individuals who have been accused of heinous crimes, yet have been protected and enabled by their wealth and connections. This phenomenon, as discussed, can lead some people to believe in conspiracy theories involving a cabal of pedophiles in power. However, it's essential to distinguish between these theories and the reality that some individuals use these beliefs as a proxy for their negative opinions towards certain groups or individuals. In the case of Epstein, it's clear that many people were aware of his alleged crimes but chose to turn a blind eye or even enable his behavior. This pattern of protecting the powerful perpetrators of heinous acts is a significant issue that warrants attention and action.

    • The role of enablers and facilitators in sexual abuse casesTransparency and accountability are essential for all involved in sexual abuse cases to prevent conspiracy theories and oversimplification of complex issues.

      The role of enablers and facilitators in enabling sexual abuse and other crimes cannot be ignored. In the case of Jeffrey Epstein, many women, some of whom worked for Harvey Weinstein, were involved in bringing young women to Epstein's hotel rooms under the guise of meetings. Yet, they have not been charged with aiding and abetting a crime. This ambiguity fuels conspiracy theories, such as Pizzagate, which combine elements of truth with falsehoods, leading people to believe in unfounded claims. The importance of transparency and accountability for all involved in such situations cannot be overstated. Additionally, it's crucial to recognize the nuances of different types of crimes and avoid using loaded language that oversimplifies complex issues.

    • The importance of evaluating conspiracy theories about pedophilia and sexual assaultWhile it's essential to take allegations of pedophilia and sexual assault seriously, it's crucial to evaluate each theory based on solid evidence and be cautious of false memories, which can lead to false accusations and convictions.

      While conspiracy theories about pedophilia or sexual assault should be taken seriously due to the reality of these crimes, it's essential to evaluate each theory based on solid evidence. The discussion brought up the issue of false memories, which arose during the recovered memory movement in the 1990s. This movement led to numerous false accusations and convictions based on recovered memories, often obtained through hypnosis or guided imagery in therapy sessions. The problem was that pedophilia is a real issue, and it was challenging to distinguish between real and false accusations. The current climate, fueled by the pandemic and theories of power consolidation, has led some people to believe in conspiracy theories, such as those surrounding Klaus Schwab and the World Economic Forum. However, it's crucial to critically assess these theories and separate fact from fiction.

    • Understanding the difference between openly expressed beliefs and conspiracy theoriesWhile some advocate for significant changes to economic and political systems, conspiracy theories involve secretive groups aiming for world domination, and it's crucial to distinguish between the two.

      While there are individuals and groups who advocate for significant changes to the global economic and political systems, such as ending capitalism or implementing a centralized government, these are not conspiracy theories per se since they are openly expressed beliefs. Conspiracy theories, on the other hand, involve secretive groups aiming for world domination or control, which is not the case with the World Economic Forum or similar organizations. These groups have specific targets and aims, such as influencing policies or gaining advantages for their own interests. While it's important to be skeptical of extreme claims, it's also essential to distinguish between openly expressed beliefs and unproven conspiracy theories.

    • Belief in Conspiracy Theories is WidespreadConspiracy theories are not limited to fringe individuals, many people from all backgrounds hold beliefs in them, even those with normal lives and careers. Some historical figures also believed in them, and some have been proven true.

      Conspiracy theories are not solely the domain of fringe individuals living in basements. Contrary to popular belief, people from all walks of life, including those with careers, families, and normal social interactions, believe in conspiracy theories. This is not a new phenomenon, as historical figures like Churchill and Roosevelt also held conspiracy beliefs. Many conspiracy theories, such as the CIA's MK Ultra program or Operation Paperclip, have been proven true. It's essential to recognize that conspiracy theories are not inherently irrational or crazy, and the pejorative connotation of the term is a relatively recent phenomenon. The government's involvement in various conspiracies, like the FBI's COINTELPRO or the CIA's assassinations of foreign leaders, highlights the importance of maintaining a healthy skepticism towards those in power.

    • Why People Believe in Conspiracy TheoriesDespite factors like race and education, anyone can believe in conspiracy theories. Emotional rewards, feelings of powerlessness, and access to information can influence belief. Education offers protection, but even the highly educated can be swayed. Conspiracy theories serve as explanations for losses and persist in modern politics.

      While there are patterns in who embraces certain conspiracy theories based on factors like race and education, there is no single group that is more prone to conspiracism than others. People's beliefs in conspiracy theories can be influenced by their sense of being oppressed or powerless, and there may be an emotional reward in holding onto these beliefs. Education can help protect against conspiracism, but even highly educated individuals can believe in conspiracy theories. Power and access to information can lead to the perpetration of conspiracies, making it rational for people to be suspicious of those in power. Scholars view conspiracy theories as a way for losers to explain their losses, but the persistence of conspiracy theories in modern politics, particularly under figures like Trump, suggests a more complex dynamic at play.

    • The belief in conspiracy theories is a normal part of human natureConspiracy theories are common among those who feel powerless and are not exclusive to any political party or social group. Some research suggests a potential correlation between drug use and belief in conspiracy theories.

      Conspiracy theories and the belief in them are a normal part of human nature, particularly for those who have lost or feel powerless. This phenomenon is not exclusive to any political party or social group. The discussion also touched upon the potential correlation between drug use and belief in conspiracy theories, with drugs that increase openness to new experiences possibly increasing credulity for such beliefs. However, there's a more pressing issue that was not directly addressed in the conversation, which is the ongoing debate about free speech and censorship. This complex issue, which was brought up by the mention of Sam Harrison and the Hunter Biden laptop controversy, requires careful consideration and understanding from all perspectives.

    • The complexities of free speech and openness to all viewpointsWhile fostering diverse perspectives through open platforms can be beneficial, there are also risks such as hate speech and attacks on individuals. It's important to consider the potential consequences and benefits of various viewpoints.

      The debate surrounding free speech and openness to all viewpoints is a complex issue with valid arguments on both sides. During a recent discussion on the topic with Michael Shermer, it was acknowledged that while opening up platforms to all voices can be beneficial for fostering diverse perspectives, there are also risks involved, such as hate speech and attacks on individuals. Shermer, who advocates for skepticism and critical thinking, discussed his experiences with online harassment and his stance on the issue. His book, "Conspiracy," explores various conspiracy theories and the importance of critical thinking. To learn more or purchase a signed copy, visit skeptic.com. The debate on the extent to which we should allow unfettered free speech is an ongoing one, and it's important for individuals to consider the potential consequences and benefits of various viewpoints.

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    APPLY to Ralston College’s Summer Latin Program at http://ralston.ac/latin-program Worldwide applications close on 31 May. Watch the Munk Debate - Douglas Murray vs Mehdi Hassan: Is Anti-Zionism Antisemitism? Live June 17th. Join today to live stream. Click here: https://bit.ly/munk_debate Ayaan Hirsi Ali is a Somali-born human rights activist, writer and former politician. To escape an arranged marriage, she sought political asylum in the Netherlands at the age of 23. In her early 30s, she renounced the Islamic faith of her childhood and began identifying as an atheist, becoming an outspoken critic of Islam in the wake of the September 11th terrorist attacks. In late 2023, Ayaan shocked many by announcing her conversion to Christianity. She has recently launched a new platform, Restoration, which aims to unite and equip those who want to restore the confidence and institutions of the West. Find out more on the Restoration Substack: https://www.restorationbulletin.com/ SPONSOR: Express VPN. Go to https://www.expressvpn.com/trigger/ and get an extra 3 months free on a one-year package! Join our Premium Membership for early access, extended and ad-free content: https://triggernometry.supercast.com OR Support TRIGGERnometry Here: Bitcoin: bc1qm6vvhduc6s3rvy8u76sllmrfpynfv94qw8p8d5 Music by: Music by: Xentric | info@xentricapc.com | https://www.xentricapc.com/ YouTube: @xentricapc  Buy Merch Here: https://www.triggerpod.co.uk/shop/ Advertise on TRIGGERnometry: marketing@triggerpod.co.uk Join the Mailing List: https://www.triggerpod.co.uk/#mailinglist Find TRIGGERnometry on Social Media:  https://twitter.com/triggerpod https:/ /www.facebook.com/triggerpod/ https://www.instagram.com/triggerpod/ About TRIGGERnometry:  Stand-up comedians Konstantin Kisin (@konstantinkisin) and Francis Foster (@francisjfoster) make sense of politics, economics, free speech, AI, drug policy and WW3 with the help of presidential advisors, renowned economists, award-winning journalists, controversial writers, leading scientists and notorious comedians. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    | Dr. Daniel Jolley |

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