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    Could COP28 catapult the carbon credit market?

    enDecember 06, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Dubai's Blue Carbon Company Aims to Expand Forest Carbon MarketBlue Carbon, a Dubai-based firm, plans to enter carbon credit market, managing African forest lands to earn credits, potentially benefiting nature protection & reducing carbon emissions, but concerns over accountability, human rights remain.

      Blue Carbon, a young company based in Dubai, is making headlines for its ambitious deals to manage and preserve large swathes of forest land across Africa. The company's goal is to enter the carbon credit market, where countries and projects can earn credits for preserving carbon-absorbing forests, providing a potential financial boost for developing countries. The UN Climate Conference COP 28, currently underway in Dubai, is discussing the possibility of countries selling carbon credits, potentially leading to a significant expansion of the market. This market could benefit both developed and developing countries by providing funds for nature protection and contributing to global efforts to reduce carbon emissions. However, concerns around accountability and human rights issues persist, as the market is largely unregulated and the methods of forest preservation can sometimes involve displacement of local communities or even military intervention.

    • Concerns over the reliability and regulation of carbon credit marketThe carbon credit market, currently unregulated and valued at $2B, faces criticism for potential misuse and uncertainty in intended use. Accuracy of carbon accounting and length of time guarantees for carbon removal are concerns.

      While the sale of carbon credits can provide significant climate finance to developing countries and help high-emitting countries meet their emissions reduction targets, there are concerns about the reliability and regulation of the carbon credit market. The fear is that carbon credits may be used as a "get out of jail card" for continuing business-as-usual practices, rather than genuine emission reductions. Critics question the accuracy of carbon accounting and the length of time guarantees for carbon removal. As the carbon credit market is currently unregulated and valued at around $2 billion, decisions made at COP 28 could significantly impact its size and potential for free trading. Companies and countries could potentially buy and sell credits, but the intended use of these credits remains uncertain. For instance, a Dubai-based company, Blue Carbon, could sell its future hypothetical credits to offset the UAE's carbon footprint, but it's unclear whether Blue Carbon intends to sell these credits to other countries, companies, or its own government. Overall, the use of carbon credits can be beneficial, but their reliability and regulation must be addressed to ensure they genuinely contribute to emissions reductions.

    • UAE's Role in Carbon MarketsThe UAE, a major fossil fuel exporter, is making positive statements about carbon markets and offsets, attracting global attention and investment. However, the lack of legal frameworks in some countries could pose challenges to transparency and fairness in carbon credit transactions.

      The UAE, despite being a major fossil fuel exporter, is making positive statements about carbon markets and offsets as part of the global response to climate change. The UAE's companies and financial institutions are actively pushing for growth in this area. The potential impact of the UAE on carbon markets is significant due to its vast financial resources. A Dubai-based private company, Blue Carbon, headed by a Dubai prince, is one example of UAE investment in carbon credits. While the relationship between the UAE and Blue Carbon is unclear, the UAE's positive stance on carbon markets could lead to significant deals with countries like Liberia. However, local communities in Liberia express concerns about the lack of a legal framework for carbon credit issuance, sale, and taxation. Unlike Switzerland and Singapore, which have been active in carbon markets for longer and have established legal frameworks, Blue Carbon's approach involves buying up land rights for decades to sell carbon credits. This lack of established frameworks in some countries could lead to potential issues with transparency and fairness in carbon credit transactions.

    • Profit distribution in Liberia's Blue Carbon project raises concerns for local communitiesLocal communities in Liberia receive only a fraction of profits from Blue Carbon's carbon credit sales, raising concerns about lack of consultation and respect for their rights and needs.

      The distribution of profits from Blue Carbon's carbon credit sales in Liberia raises concerns for local indigenous communities. While Blue Carbon stands to make a significant profit, local communities receive only a fraction. Andrew Zelleman, a campaigner who grew up in a Liberian forest and has spent the last decade protecting indigenous communities from extractive industries, believes that the people indigenous to this land should be taking home the bulk of the profit. However, many local communities are not aware of carbon credits or Blue Carbon, and the process of obtaining their consent for the project has not been completed yet. This lack of knowledge and consultation is a red flag for big corporate players in extractive industries. To safeguard themselves, vulnerable countries like Liberia can establish their sovereignty over carbon credits by ensuring that local communities are consulted and benefit significantly from these sales. This can help build trust and ensure that carbon credits are developed in a way that respects the rights and needs of local communities.

    • Risks of Expanding Voluntary Carbon MarketExpansion of voluntary carbon market without proper regulation could lead to increased emissions, undermining climate efforts. Monitoring regulations and ensuring climate finance reaches intended recipients is crucial.

      As more countries look to carbon credits as a source of income, there is a risk that it could lead to increased emissions rather than decreased ones if not regulated properly. Some countries have implemented taxation models that benefit local communities and governments more than foreign buyers or developers, but there is concern that this could encourage a "business as usual" approach to emissions. International carbon negotiators are worried about expanding the problematic, voluntary carbon market and the potential for countries to continue pumping oil and gas while using carbon offsets to justify their emissions. It's important to monitor how countries regulate carbon credits and ensure that climate finance is channeled to developing countries as intended, rather than becoming an excuse to continue emitting at high rates. In the future, watch for countries like Zimbabwe and Kenya to toughen up their regulatory systems and for negotiators at COP 28 and the UN to iron out details around the carbon credit marketplace. If done well, this could help solve climate finance and nature conservation challenges, but it's crucial to avoid creating an excuse for high emission rates.

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