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    Could western tanks be decisive in Ukraine?

    en-gbFebruary 10, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Ukraine's plea for modern tanks in war against RussiaUkraine's request for modern tanks to counter Russia's advanced forces and push back their offensive gains.

      Tanks are set to play a crucial role in the ongoing war in Ukraine. President Zelensky of Ukraine recently visited Britain to rally Western support, urging for the provision of fighter jets, but a commitment to supply modern Western tanks has been the most significant breakthrough so far. Tanks are the ultimate defended fighting weapons, equipped with thick armor, large guns, and track wheels that can go anywhere. They are essential for driving the Russians out from fortified positions and keeping the offensive going, as resistance is inevitable. The debate that tanks are obsolete was proven wrong when Russia invaded Ukraine, and Ukraine's problem has been its reliance on outdated equipment compared to Russia's modernized forces. With the war entering a new phase and the Russians advancing in the east, the urgency for Western weaponry, particularly tanks, has increased.

    • Ukraine's struggle for modern tanks against RussiaUkraine faces a significant tank disparity against Russia, limiting their offensive capabilities. Efforts to acquire modern tanks like the Leopard 2 have been hindered by political and historical factors.

      Ukraine is in an uphill battle against Russia in their ongoing war, with a significant imbalance in the number of modern tanks available to each side. At the start of the conflict, Russia had around three times as many main battle tanks as Ukraine, but with Russia's large stockpile of older tanks, the disparity could be even greater. Ukraine has been eagerly seeking modern tanks, particularly the Leopard 2 from Germany, to even the odds. However, the politics of arms deals and historical sensitivities have made it difficult for Ukraine to acquire these tanks in large numbers. Despite Germany's reluctance, the Leopard 2 is considered a superior tank due to its advanced features and night vision capabilities. The absence of these tanks has made it harder for Ukraine to prosecute offensives and gain ground against Russian forces.

    • Western allies pledge to provide tanks to Ukraine for the first timeGermany and the US, along with other NATO countries, are sending tanks to Ukraine to strengthen its defense against Russian aggression. The Ukrainians are also refurbishing abandoned Russian tanks in the meantime.

      The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has seen Germany and the US, along with other NATO countries, pledge to provide tanks to Ukraine to bolster its defenses against Russian aggression. This is a significant development, as it marks the first time Western allies have committed to supplying such heavy military equipment. The tanks, including Leopards from Germany and Abrams from the US, are expected to arrive in the coming months, but the Ukrainians are currently in the process of refurbishing and repurposing abandoned Russian tanks in the meantime. The exact number of tanks reclaimed in this way is unclear, but it highlights the resourcefulness and determination of the Ukrainian forces. The delivery and implementation of these tanks are crucial, as Russia is reportedly increasing its ground attacks in the eastern Donbas region, aiming to take advantage of the current situation before Ukraine can effectively utilize the new military hardware.

    • Captured Russian Tanks Repurposed by Ukrainian ForcesUkrainian forces are transforming abandoned Russian tanks into valuable assets for the battlefield through diligent refurbishing efforts.

      The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has resulted in a significant number of Russian tanks being captured and refurbished by the Ukrainian forces. Orinx, a Dutch open source website, has identified around 500 captured tanks, but this number is likely just a fraction of the actual total. The Russians brought a massive number of tanks into the battlefield, leaving behind a substantial amount due to the Kharkiv counter offensive. The abandoned tanks are now being repurposed in Ukraine, with some even being turned into extraction vehicles for other damaged tanks. I had the opportunity to visit one of these refurbishing facilities, run by the Sergei Pretula Foundation. From the outside, it looked like a worn-down warehouse. However, upon entering, I was struck by the chaos of the scene - tanks and armored vehicles were scattered around the room, while engineers worked tirelessly to modify and upgrade them. The tanks ranged in age, from relatively modern models to those dating back to the 1970s. Some of the older tanks were deemed unfit for war and were being repurposed instead. The engineers worked diligently, focusing on the intricacies of the tanks, their eyes the only visible feature amidst the oil and grime. The scene was a testament to the resourcefulness and determination of the Ukrainian forces, transforming discarded tanks into valuable assets for the battlefield.

    • Repurposing Russian Tanks for the Ukrainian MilitaryA diverse team of engineers, including some who fled occupied territories, work tirelessly to restore donated Russian tanks for the Ukrainian military, viewing their work as a gift and a means to help their country, despite the psychological challenges and constant danger from Russian attacks.

      At a Ukrainian tank repair facility, a diverse team of engineers, including some who previously worked in the facility before it was repurposed and others who have fled occupied territories, work tirelessly to get donated Russian tanks back into fighting shape for the Ukrainian military. Despite the psychological challenges and risks involved, these engineers view their work as a gift and a means to help their country. The process of restoring these tanks includes removing Russian markings, repairing damages, and making modifications to improve their safety and effectiveness. The team works seven days a week and faces constant danger from Russian attacks. Despite the harsh realities, the engineers remain dedicated to their mission.

    • Ukrainian Facility Refurbishing Russian TanksDespite challenges, Ukrainian facility refurbishes 15 Russian tanks for their army, as Russia faces difficulties in rebuilding military due to losses and sanctions.

      The Ukrainian facility for refurbishing abandoned Russian tanks is operating around the clock in challenging conditions, producing 15 tanks for the Ukrainian army so far. These older Soviet models, while not top-of-the-line, are still useful and familiar to Ukrainian forces. However, the ongoing conflict results in significant losses for Russia, who are facing challenges in rebuilding their military due to sanctions and the depletion of their resources. The Russians have adjusted their strategies based on their past losses, abandoning more equipment for the Ukrainians to reclaim.

    • Complex interplay of military capabilities and geopolitical dynamics in Russia-Ukraine conflictRussia builds up forces without Western aid, Ukraine's military equipment crucial but not enough, NATO-Russia direct confrontation unlikely, Russia fuels internal propaganda with perceived Western threat

      The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine involves a complex interplay of military capabilities and geopolitical dynamics. The bravery of journalists reporting from secret locations showcases Russia's efforts to build up its forces without Western aid, while Ukraine's acquisition of tanks and other military equipment is crucial but not enough to win the war without a doctrine of combined arms warfare and combat air power. The West's provision of weapons to Ukraine is a proxy war, but direct confrontation between NATO and Russia is unlikely due to the potential for World War 3. However, Russia uses this perceived threat to fuel its internal propaganda, portraying itself as fighting the entire Western military alliance.

    • Russia-Ukraine Conflict: A Deadly Phase AheadThe ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict is entering a more serious phase, with significant resources mobilized on both sides and a loss of life expected before a resolution is reached. Russia's message is to keep NATO troops out of the conflict.

      While Russia's nuclear threats should not be taken too seriously as a direct threat to the West, the ongoing conflict in Ukraine is about to enter a more serious and potentially deadly phase. Both sides have mobilized significant resources, and the outcome is uncertain. Russia's underlying message is to keep NATO troops out of the conflict, and the war is likely to result in a significant loss of life before a resolution is reached. The war's unpredictability is emphasized, with potential turning points on both sides. The Guardian's defense and security editor Dan Sabbagh and chief reporter Daniel Boffy discussed the current state of the conflict and the potential implications of the recent mobilization of troops and weapons. The war's future is uncertain, and the coming months are expected to be depressing and dispiriting.

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