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    How Sri Lanka’s Economy Collapsed

    enJuly 14, 2022

    Podcast Summary

    • Protests in Sri Lanka lead to unexpected occupation of presidential palaceEconomic crises can lead to unexpected political instability, even in prosperous countries, highlighting the importance of addressing economic issues before they escalate.

      Even economically prosperous countries can experience sudden and dramatic political upheaval due to economic instability. In the case of Sri Lanka, months of protests culminated in the occupation of the presidential palace by hundreds of thousands of people, despite the country's past successes. The scene was surreal, with protesters making themselves at home in the president's residence, using his pool and even cooking in his kitchen. This unexpected turn of events serves as a cautionary tale for the developing world, highlighting the importance of addressing economic crises before they reach a critical point. Sri Lanka's story is surprising given its past economic achievements, but it serves as a reminder that political instability can strike even the most prosperous of nations.

    • Rajapaksa family's rise to power leads to economic growth, but unevenly distributedEconomic boom during Rajapaksa's rule tripled Sri Lanka's economy, but failed to improve lives of many rural communities

      The Rajapaksa family's rise to power in Sri Lanka in 2005, marked by their successful campaign against the Tamil Tigers, set the stage for significant economic growth in the country. However, this growth was not evenly distributed, with the majority of benefits going to urban areas and tourists, rather than rural communities. Mahinda Rajapaksa's vision of turning Sri Lanka into a modern economy with the help of international loans led to the development of infrastructure and an increase in tourism. This resulted in a tripling of Sri Lanka's economy between 2005 and 2015. However, the economic boom did not significantly improve the lives of many ordinary Sri Lankans, particularly those in rural areas. The story of Sandamalipurnima, who grew up in a modest background in Colombo, highlights this disparity, as she and her family did not experience the same level of prosperity as those in urban areas and the tourist industry.

    • Sri Lanka's Economic Growth Threatened by Unsustainable Debt and CorruptionDespite economic growth, Sri Lanka's mounting debt and suspicions of corruption in mega-projects could lead to an impending collapse.

      While the Rajapaksa family's efforts to boost economic growth in Sri Lanka through tourism and infrastructure development seemed successful at first, the unsustainable accumulation of expensive loans and questionable use of funds led to growing concerns of corruption and an unsustainable debt crisis. Despite the continued economic growth and rising disposable incomes for many Sri Lankans, the mounting debt threatened to collapse the system. The construction of mega-projects in the president's home district, such as a cricket stadium and airport, which failed to attract significant returns, fueled suspicions of mismanagement and self-enrichment. Although the situation appeared rosy from the outside, economists warned of the unsustainable debt and the potential for an impending collapse.

    • Sri Lanka's Economic Crisis Worsened by COVID-19 and Geopolitical TensionsSri Lanka's economic crisis deepened due to COVID-19 lockdowns, border closures, rising oil prices, and the country's debt-driven policies, leading to food, medicine, and fuel shortages, and a default on debt.

      Sri Lanka's economic instability, exacerbated by the Rajapaksas' debt-driven policies and the COVID-19 pandemic, has led to a severe crisis. The country, heavily reliant on tourism, was hit hard by lockdowns and border closures, causing a sudden halt in essential revenue. As the economy struggled, rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions further worsened the situation. The local currency plummeted, inflation soared, and Sri Lanka defaulted on its debt. Essential goods like food, medicine, and fuel became increasingly scarce, leaving families struggling to get by. The situation was already dire, but the invasion of Ukraine added fuel to the fire, making it impossible for many Sri Lankans to afford even the most basic necessities. The government responded by implementing fuel conservation measures, closing schools, and leaving families to scramble for resources. The future remains uncertain as the country grapples with the weight of its debt and the ongoing economic turmoil.

    • Sri Lanka's economic crisis: Mismanagement, debt, and larger economic circumstancesSri Lanka's economic crisis is caused by the Rajapaksa family's mismanagement, unsustainable debt, and larger economic circumstances like COVID-19 and the Ukraine war's impact on food and fuel prices. The situation is uncertain with no clear leader or political coalition, and protesters are calling for revolution and constitutional change.

      The economic crisis in Sri Lanka, which has led to widespread protests and political instability, is a result of both the Rajapaksa family's mismanagement and unsustainable debt, as well as larger economic circumstances such as the impact of COVID-19 and the Ukraine war on food and fuel prices. The Rajapaksas' hubris and questionable spending decisions, including on vanity projects, worsened the country's financial situation. However, economists note that this is a problem facing many developing countries with large debts and economies heavily reliant on tourism. The situation in Sri Lanka is uncertain, with no clear leader or political coalition emerging, and the military attempting to assert control. The protesters are calling for a revolution and constitutional change. The outcome remains to be seen, but it's clear that Sri Lanka's economic woes are a warning sign for other countries facing similar challenges.

    • Developing Countries Struggle with Debts and Inflation, Fuel Shortages, and Political InstabilityDeveloping countries face debt crises and inflation, leading to fuel shortages, political instability, and rising food and rent prices in the US. Progress was made in Istanbul towards ensuring the safe export of Ukrainian food products to help alleviate hunger in developing countries.

      The ongoing pandemic and inflation have pushed several developing countries, including Sri Lanka, into a precarious position where they struggle to pay off their debts and face shortages in reserves. This situation has led to fuel shortages and the fear of political instability. Meanwhile, inflation continues to rise in the United States, with food prices seeing the biggest annual increase since 1981, and rent the fastest monthly pace since 1986. President Biden's approval ratings have taken a hit due to the rising cost of living. In a positive development, Russian and Ukrainian negotiators made progress in Istanbul towards ensuring the safe and secure export of Ukrainian food products, which could help ease human suffering and alleviate hunger in many developing countries. The UN Secretary-General reported that no formal agreement had been reached yet. The Daily's episode was produced by Claire Tenasketter, Carlos Prieto, Ricky Novetsky, Rochelle Bonja, and Jessica Chung, with help from Asa Chaturvedi. It was edited by MJ Davis Lynn, with help from John Ketchum, contains original music by Marion Lozano, and was engineered by Chris Wood. Our theme music is by Jim Brunberg and Ben Landsverk of wunderly. That's it for The Daily. I'm Sabrina Tavernisi. See you tomorrow.

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