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    Inside the epic fight over new banking regulations

    en-usApril 18, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Basel 3 Debate: Resilient Banks or Higher Mortgage Costs?Supporters of Basel 3 argue for a stronger banking system, while opponents fear increased mortgage costs for families. The outcome of this regulatory battle is uncertain.

      The implementation of Basel 3, a set of international banking regulations, is currently underway in the US and has sparked intense debate. Supporters argue that these regulations will make the banking system more resilient and prevent future crises, while opponents claim that they will lead to higher mortgage costs for working families. The Bank Policy Institute, a trade association representing large US banks, has even launched an advertisement campaign urging Congress to stop the implementation of Basel 3. Jerome Powell, the Chair of the Federal Reserve, has also weighed in, expressing his support for the regulations despite widespread opposition. The outcome of this regulatory battle remains uncertain, but one thing is clear: the stakes are high, and the debate is far from over.

    • Maintaining banking system stability during financial instabilityBasel 3 Endgame regulations require banks to maintain higher capital and liquidity, reducing their reliance on short-term funding and risky lending practices, ensuring banking system stability and protecting depositors' funds.

      During times of financial instability, when a large number of loans issued by banks begin to default, the stability of the banking system as a whole can be put at risk. This is particularly problematic when a significant portion of a bank's funding comes from deposits and borrowed money, as depositors may panic and withdraw their funds if they perceive the bank to be at risk of failure. To avoid this, banks may make riskier lending decisions in a desperate attempt to stay afloat, further exacerbating the financial instability. The Basel 3 Endgame regulations aim to address this issue by requiring banks to maintain higher levels of capital and liquidity, reducing their reliance on short-term funding and making them less likely to engage in risky lending practices. This, in turn, helps to ensure the stability of the banking system as a whole and protect depositors' funds.

    • Post-GFC, regulators pushed for higher bank capital requirementsRegulators increased capital requirements after the 2008 crisis to encourage banks to be more cautious with lending and protect depositors, with potential stricter requirements proposed in 2023.

      After the global financial crisis, regulators and economists agreed that banks needed more financial cushion. Stephen Roach, a prominent economist, advocated for higher capital requirements, arguing that banks were making risky bets with other people's money. This concept, known as raising minimum capital requirements, would incentivize shareholders to scrutinize banks' lending practices and absorb losses during a crisis. Following this, regulators in the US and elsewhere implemented higher capital requirements for banks, doubling them for large banks. However, in 2023, the US Federal Reserve proposed even more stringent capital requirements based on each bank's risks, which stunned the banking industry due to the potential decrease in shareholder returns.

    • Basel 3 Endgame Debate: Impact on Borrowers and EconomyThe implementation of Basel 3 Endgame may lead to slight interest rate increases, but its overall impact on lending and the economy is uncertain. Some argue it could save the economy from a severe crisis, while others fear negative consequences for borrowers.

      The implementation of Basel 3 Endgame, which aims to increase capital requirements for banks, is a subject of intense debate. While some argue that the impact on borrowers will be minimal, others warn of higher loan prices or even fewer loans. The Bank Policy Institute's Greg Beyer asserts that the change would negatively affect everyday Americans and the economy as a whole. The Bank for International Settlements' review of evidence suggests a slight increase in interest rates, but the impact on overall lending is less clear. The argument for higher capital requirements is that they act as a cushion during financial crises, potentially saving the economy from a severe crisis's cost. The dilemma lies in weighing the slight increase in interest rates against the potential cost of a financial crisis. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell has hinted at potential overhauls to the proposals, leaving the future of Basel 3 Endgame uncertain.

    • Stay tuned for mid-credit sequencesListening to podcasts in their entirety, including credits, may unveil hidden gems and valuable information

      It's worth your time to watch the entirety of an episode, including the credits, as there may be additional scenes or sequences. For example, this episode of The Indicator featured Benedict Cumberbatch as Jerome Powell in a mid-credit sequence. The episode was produced by Julia Ritchie, engineered by Neil Rauch, fact-checked by Sarah Juarez, and edited by Kate Concannon. NPR sponsors Mint Mobile and State Farm were also mentioned. Mint Mobile offers premium wireless plans starting at $15 a month, while State Farm helps small business owners choose personalized insurance policies. However, the most intriguing part was the mid-credit sequence, emphasizing the importance of staying tuned until the very end.

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