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    Lessons learned from the hostage deal - with Haviv Rettig Gur

    enNovember 27, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Impact of Hamas hostage deal on Israeli societyThe Hamas hostage deal marked a turning point in the Israel-Gaza conflict, leading to a pause in fighting and the return of hostages. However, the implications for Israeli society, particularly its minority groups, are significant and ongoing.

      Hamas, an enemy unlike any other, is both a terror group and a state with control over a strip of land and its government and economy for 15 years. The recent release of hostages marked a turning point for Israel, leading to a pause in fighting and the return of hostages. However, the implications of this war since October 7th extend beyond the military conflict. The Israeli Arab citizens and permanent residents, making up over 20% of Israel's population, have been impacted significantly. This conversation with Haviv Ritikour from The Times of Israel will delve deeper into the lessons learned so far from the hostage deal and its impact on Israeli society, specifically its minority groups. Stay tuned for more insights.

    • Relief and closure after Israeli hostages' releaseLocal connections amplified global event's emotional impact; crisis moments highlight community and solidarity

      The recent return of Israeli hostages from Gaza after 49 days of captivity brought a sense of relief and closure to the nation, especially for those with personal connections to the families involved. The speaker and his wife had been deeply involved in helping the Haran family gain international media attention and support. This local connection added to the emotional significance of the global event for the speaker as an Israeli citizen. The tension and uncertainty leading up to their release were palpable, and the suddenness of their safe return was a welcome relief. Despite the ongoing conflict, this moment served as a reminder of the importance of community and solidarity in times of crisis.

    • Military pressure on Hamas led to hostage releasesIsraeli military's successful dismantling of Hamas' tunnel network and determination to prevent hostage crises forced Hamas to release hostages in exchange for brief ceasefires, marking a departure from past deals involving mass murderers and architects of major attacks.

      Military pressure on Hamas was the key factor in securing the release of hostages during the recent conflict between Israel and Hamas. Hamas, desperate to rescue its members from the besieged Gaza City, made the decision to release some hostages in exchange for a brief ceasefire. This strategy was made possible by the Israeli military's successful dismantling of Hamas' tunnel network and its determination to prevent another major hostage crisis. The Israeli government, under Defense Minister Gallant, rejected earlier offers for hostage releases, believing that greater military pressure would lead to more releases. The hostages freed were not major terrorists, but rather attempted attackers and non-combatants. This marked a significant departure from past deals, such as the Shalit deal in 2011, which saw the release of mass murderers and architects of major attacks. Hamas' desperation to save its members from the military pressure in Gaza City highlights the Israeli military's growing ability to thwart Hamas' tactics and the need for Hamas to reconsider its strategies.

    • Hamas using hostages as leverage during Israeli-Palestinian conflictUnderstanding the complexity of war and recognizing an adversary's tactics can lead to successful outcomes, but massive military pressure and competence are necessary to prevent future hostage situations.

      During the 2000 Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Hamas used the issue of hostages to manipulate and pressure Israel. Gallant, the Israeli military leader, recognized Hamas' tactics and understood that only massive military pressure could lead to the safe release of hostages. However, he assured the families that the war was not a sacrifice for hostages, but a necessary measure to prevent future kidnappings and protect potential hostages. War, unlike a mathematical problem, is complex and unpredictable, with many variables and opportunities for surprise. The past example of the civil war's Pickett's charge illustrates the dangers of underestimating the complexity of war. Israel's success in avoiding Hamas' traps was due to competence, training, and possibly luck.

    • Complexities of the Israel-Hamas ConflictDespite efforts to minimize civilian casualties, the Israel-Hamas conflict's complexities result in unavoidable civilian deaths. Israel targets military assets, but Hamas hides among civilians, blurring lines. Hostages and tunnel entrances are unknown, adding uncertainty. Populations unwilling to return to insecure areas further complicate the situation.

      The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza is a complex and uncertain situation. The location of hostages and tunnel entrances is unknown, making it a guessing game for both sides. Hamas may use hostages to buy time, but Israel refuses to allow their survival through such means. The Israeli population living near the border is unwilling to return unless they feel secure from future attacks. Hamas poses a unique threat as a terror group that hides among civilians, making civilian casualties an unavoidable reality. Israel's military targets are mostly not among civilians, but Hamas's tactics blur the lines between military and civilian targets. The civilian death toll in Gaza is a reality that is not ignored by Israel, but understanding its context requires recognizing the unique challenges of this conflict.

    • Hamas' Unique Control in GazaHamas' control of Gaza's government and economy allows it to build extensive tunnel network, making military removal a significant challenge for Israel, causing massive destruction to civilian infrastructure.

      Hamas in Gaza operates differently than other terrorist groups due to its unique combination of state-like control and guerrilla tactics. Hamas has controlled the government and economy of Gaza for over 17 years, absorbing billions in international aid and using it to build a vast network of tunnels beneath residential areas. This makes it nearly impossible for Israel to remove Hamas without causing massive destruction to civilian infrastructure. Unlike other terrorist groups, Hamas does not need to operate above ground, making it a significant military challenge for Israel. The city of Gaza is now largely uninhabitable, and rebuilding it will require significant resources. While this does not excuse every Israeli military action, it highlights the unique military challenge Israel faces in removing Hamas from Gaza.

    • Hamas' use of civilians and infrastructure as shieldsHamas' strategic use of civilians and infrastructure makes it difficult for Israel to fight without causing civilian casualties, requiring Israel to destroy Hamas' infrastructure and militants even if it means significant civilian harm.

      The conflict in Gaza between Hamas and Israel is unique due to Hamas' strategic use of civilian populations and infrastructure to protect themselves, making it extremely difficult for Israel to fight without causing massive civilian casualties. This strategy, which Hamas has refined over the past 15 years with billions in aid and an infinite supply of cement, forces Israel to destroy Hamas' infrastructure and militants, even if it means significant civilian casualties. The situation is reminiscent of the US operation against ISIS in Mosul, where the terror group used hospitals and other civilian infrastructure as human shields, making precise military action extremely challenging. Despite the challenges, Israel must ensure its safety and destroy Hamas' ability to hide behind civilians militarily, even if it means getting Hamas out of Gaza at great cost.

    • The use of hospitals as military installations by ISISInternational human rights groups argue against targeting hospitals if they're not active military installations, but their focus on individual cases and labeling those responsible as monsters doesn't offer practical solutions for military problems.

      The use of hospitals as military installations by ISIS has made them legitimate targets in war, stripping them of the protection afforded by the Geneva Conventions. However, international human rights groups argue against targeting hospitals if they are not active military installations, where soldiers are being cared for but are instead used as platforms for military activities. Despite their well-meaning intentions, these organizations do not seem to grasp the complexities of war and the need to find ways to reduce its costs while still allowing for victory. They focus on individual cases of civilian casualties and label those responsible as callous monsters, rather than offering practical solutions to military problems. This approach to international law is no longer helpful for those on the ground trying to navigate the complexities of war. Instead, a more collaborative and solution-focused approach is needed.

    • Ineffectiveness of international law for small, vulnerable nationsInternational law may provide moral justification for powerful nations, but it doesn't always protect the interests of small, vulnerable ones. Hamas uses Israel's sensitivity to child safety as leverage for negotiations.

      International law, as enforced by organizations like the UN, can be ineffective in protecting the interests of small, vulnerable nations. The speaker's personal experience in the Golan Heights led him to believe that international law serves as a moral justification for the powerful, rather than a practical solution for those in need. Hamas, in this context, is capitalizing on Israel's vulnerability and sensitivity to the safety of its citizens, particularly children, to further its own agenda. The speaker suggests that Hamas may be beginning to understand the power of this pressure point and could potentially use it to negotiate further concessions from Israel. However, if the hostages stop coming out, the speaker fears that Israel's desperation to protect its people could lead to an escalation of violence in the conflict.

    • Manipulating Hostage Situations by HamasIsraeli consensus on releasing hostages, unified by a shared threat to families and communities, has thwarted Hamas' strategy during the Gaza hostage crisis.

      The ongoing hostage situation in Gaza, led by Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, has the ability to manipulate the pace of hostage releases to keep tensions high and maintain control. However, Israeli psychology and consensus across the political spectrum, from right to left, have been galvanized by the crisis, with a shared understanding that the threat to families and communities must be addressed. Hamas' strategy of keeping families tethered to the crisis to limit the Israeli war effort and validate it in Israeli discourse has been largely unsuccessful. The Israeli condition of not releasing children without their mothers or mothers without their children has been a non-negotiable factor in the situation. This consensus, reaching from the most extreme right to progressive anti-occupation activists, is a rare moment in Israeli history and demonstrates the unifying power of a shared threat to families and communities.

    • Israeli-Palestinian conflict: Prioritizing the topping of HamasDespite complexities, many Israelis, including Jews, Haredim, and Israeli Arabs, share a desire for peace and security, with a large majority prioritizing the topping of Hamas as a war goal.

      The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is seen by some as rooted in the Israeli occupation and the Israeli government's enthrallment to its extreme right. Solving the Palestinian problem is believed to be the key to ending the conflict, but the presence of Hamas in Gaza complicates matters. A recent poll by the Israel Democracy Institute showed that a large majority of Jews and even some Israeli Arabs prioritize the toppling of Hamas as a war goal. However, not all Israeli Arabs see this as a priority due to the high death toll in Gaza, which they are seeing in their media. Despite this, there is a growing sense of unity and solidarity among Israelis, including Israeli Jews, Haredim, and Israeli Arabs, in the face of the conflict. This unity is evident in the high numbers of Israelis expressing solidarity with the state and each other, even amidst the violence. The conflict is complex, with various perspectives and priorities, but the desire for peace and security is shared by many on all sides.

    • Druze community in Israel pushes for change in nation state lawThe Druze community's campaign to alter Israel's nation state law has gained support from Jewish Israelis, highlighting the importance of unity and acceptance among diverse communities, despite their loyalty and equality towards the Druze.

      The Druze community in Israel is leading a campaign to change the nation state law, and even Jewish Israelis are now supporting their cause. This law, which declares Israel as the nation state of the Jewish people, was controversial for non-Jewish Israelis, and the debate around it has resurfaced due to the Druze's sense of marginalization. Despite the Jewish majority's loyalty and equality towards the Druze, who serve in the IDF and hold high security clearances, the Druze feel a lack of belonging and equity. This issue has sparked a conversation on prejudice and marginalization within Israel, highlighting the importance of unity and acceptance among diverse communities. The Druze's increased identification with Israel and their record-high connection to the state presents an opportunity for progress and advancement, but it requires a deep commitment from Jewish Israelis to listen and respond effectively.

    • Surprising solidarity within Israel's minority communitiesRecent polls reveal strong unity among Israel's minority groups towards the Israeli people and state, exceeding expectations

      Importance and surprising developments of solidarity within Israel's minority communities. Aviv Eddigur shared insights on recent polls that reveal a strong sense of unity among these groups towards the Israeli people and state. This topic was not anticipated in October 6th discussions, but it has opened eyes in powerful ways. Authors Saul and Dan have written about these trends in their new book, but this level of solidarity exceeded their expectations. The polling data on this topic will be included in the show notes for further exploration. We hope for more positive news like the safe return of Israelis and wish for everyone's continued safety. Stay tuned for more insights from Aviv Eddigur and check out his work at The Times of Israel. The production of Call Me Back is by Elan Benatar. Tune in next time for more enlightening conversations.

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