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    Motley Fool Money: 05.02.2014

    enMay 02, 2014

    Podcast Summary

    • Strong Jobs Report Signals Economic ImprovementThe April jobs report showed unexpected strength with 288,000 jobs added and the unemployment rate dropping to 6.3%, indicating a strengthening economy despite a weak GDP number of 0.1%.

      The April jobs report showed surprising strength with 288,000 jobs added and the unemployment rate dropping to 6.3%. This positive news, along with strong consumer spending numbers, indicates the economy is on firmer footing. Despite a weak GDP number of only 0.1%, it's believed to be weather-related and a pickup is already being seen. The optimistic outlook is further supported by experts like Ram, who sees the trend as a sign of economic improvement. Matt agrees, pointing out that while some may question the quality of the jobs or the decrease in the workforce, the overall trend is promising. Jason, comparing the jobs report to a Seinfeld episode, emphasizes the unexpected yet positive turn of events. Overall, the strong jobs report and positive economic indicators suggest a strengthening economy.

    • Economy Adds Jobs, but Challenges RemainThe economy added jobs in April, but still faces challenges like a falling participation rate, stagnant wages, and winter's impact. Ford's COO Mark Fields takes over as Ford's CEO, while Taco Bell's Greg Creed becomes Yum! Brands' CEO.

      Despite the addition of 288,000 jobs in April and the revision of numbers for February and March, the economy still faces challenges such as a falling participation rate, stagnant wages, and the impact of a harsh winter. However, these numbers may provide some stability for companies that were affected by the weather. The economy is in a different state now compared to pre-recession times, with the rise of the sharing economy and remote work. The unemployment rate has dropped from about 5% pre-recession to 6.3%, indicating progress towards full employment. In corporate news, Mark Fields, Ford's COO, will take over as Ford's CEO on July 1st, and Greg Creed, the head of Taco Bell, will become the CEO of Yum! Brands on January 1st. Fields was instrumental in Ford's turnaround under Alan Mulally, and Creed is credited for the success of the breakfast taco and Doritos Locos taco at Yum! Brands. While Mulally may be retiring, there is speculation he may join a tech firm's board instead. Overall, the economy is making progress, but still faces challenges, and companies are making leadership changes to navigate these conditions.

    • EBay's Tax Payment and Creed's China OpportunitiesEBay pays large tax bill for financial flexibility, while Creed capitalizes on China opportunities with established supply chain.

      Creed is poised to capitalize on opportunities in China with Creed's supply chain already established, while eBay is repatriating cash from overseas and paying a large tax bill. This move by eBay, despite having a strong balance sheet, is seen as a bid for financial flexibility. Twitter's Q1 results showed a slowing growth rate for monthly active users but impressive sales and ad revenue growth. The stock price drop might be due to unrealistic expectations set during the tech boom last year. Twitter remains a significant player in real-time events and partnerships, ensuring its continued relevance and profitability. Regarding the stock prices, Creed's isn't yet in the value territory, but eBay's significant tax payment has left it with more cash on hand for potential acquisitions or buybacks.

    • Momentum vs Long-Term Investing in Retail SectorLong-term investors see declining sales in North America for Coach Inc. as an opportunity to buy, while momentum investors sell at the first sign of growth slowdown. 3D Systems' solid organic revenue growth is questioned due to shrinking gross profit margins and competitive market.

      Key takeaway from this discussion on Motley Fool Money is the ongoing struggle between momentum investors and long-term investors, particularly in the retail sector. The example given was Coach Inc., whose North American sales have been declining and led to a significant stock drop. However, international markets, specifically China, show promise. The long-term investors see this as an opportunity to buy, while momentum investors quickly sell at the first sign of growth slowdown. Another topic touched upon was 3D Systems, a company whose organic revenue growth is solid but gross profit margins are shrinking. This raises questions about the sustainability of their business model as the market for 3D printers becomes more competitive and prices drop. Investors must weigh the potential profitability against the current stock price and future earnings.

    • Investor sentiment shifts towards larger, faster-growing tech companiesSome investors are moving away from smaller tech companies like LinkedIn due to uncertainty caused by slowing growth rates and increased competition.

      The tech industry is seeing a shift in investor sentiment towards larger, faster-growing tech companies, with some investors moving away from stocks like LinkedIn despite its continued growth. At the Consumer Electronics Show, the 3D printing industry was noted to be getting crowded, with companies like 3D Systems reaching all-time highs. However, despite LinkedIn's impressive 46% sales growth in the first quarter, the slowing growth rate and increasing competition in the tech sector may be causing some uncertainty for investors. The stock is currently selling at a high valuation, but long-term investors may see value in the company's premium subscription segment and its efforts to increase user engagement. Meanwhile, airlines like Frontier are implementing new fee structures for services like advanced seat assignments, carry-on bags, and water, which may be unpopular with customers but are becoming standard practices in the industry. United Airlines faced backlash recently for a 7-hour flight delay, adding to the frustration of travelers dealing with increased fees and other challenges in the airline industry.

    • Investors respond to poor customer service and financial lossesSome investors, like Steve, take drastic measures such as canceling credit cards, selling shares, and shorting companies in response to poor customer service and financial losses. Others, like Ron and Matt, seek out undervalued companies, such as Lydall, and emerging opportunities, like Zillow, to mitigate risks and capitalize on growth.

      Even in the face of poor customer service and financial losses, some investors remain committed to their investments and are willing to take action. Steve, for instance, had a frustrating experience with United Airlines, but instead of accepting their offer, he canceled his credit card, sold his shares, and even began shorting the company. On a more positive note, Ron and Matt discussed potential investments in Lydall, a filter and insulation manufacturer, and Zillow, an online real estate company. While Lydall is currently undervalued, Zillow continues to hit new all-time highs despite the downturn in the tech and internet stocks. Zillow is not necessarily disrupting real estate agents, but rather providing a valuable resource for them to reach potential clients. Another company to watch is MWI Veterinary Supply, which has seen impressive growth in sales and net income over the past five years.

    • Pixar's journey to create the first computer-animated filmEd Catmull's dream to marry art and technology led to Pixar's success, with influential figures like George Lucas and Steve Jobs supporting the cause and Disney's partnership playing a crucial role.

      Ed Catmull's journey with Pixar, which began in the 1950s with a dream to marry art and technology, took almost 20 years to come to fruition with the release of Toy Story in 1995. Along the way, Catmull met influential figures like George Lucas and Steve Jobs, who helped bring high technology into the film industry and supported Pixar's goal of creating the first computer-animated film. Despite the long road to success, Pixar's collaboration with Disney in 1991 and the release of Toy Story marked a turning point in the animation industry and solidified Pixar's position as a leader in film production. Catmull's new book, Creativity Incorporated, shares the story of this remarkable journey and the unseen forces that stood in the way of true inspiration.

    • Steve Jobs' Role in Pixar's SuccessSteve Jobs' transformation from a forceful leader to an empathetic one allowed him to build strong relationships and preserve privacy, while Pixar's commitment to creativity and collaboration led to groundbreaking animated films.

      Steve Jobs, despite being known primarily for his work at Apple and his disruptive innovations like the iPod and iPhone, also played a crucial role in the formation and success of Pixar. His experience with Pixar involved both attempts to acquire the company and conflicts with Apple. Jobs went through a transformative period in his life, shifting from a forceful and egotistical leader to a more empathetic and supportive one. This change allowed him to build strong relationships with his team and keep them from speaking to the press, preserving his privacy during this period. The culture at Pixar, which is explored in Ed Catmull's book "Creativity Incorporated," enabled the team to work through challenges and produce phenomenal films despite facing numerous obstacles. Early on, they learned to create a "mock-up" of the movie's beginning to identify potential issues and address them. Despite the trials and tribulations, Pixar's commitment to creativity and collaboration ultimately led to groundbreaking animated films.

    • Embrace the terrible early versionsFocus on team spirit and intent during early stages, understand success factors, and adapt to changes through collaboration.

      The early stages of creating successful projects, whether in animation or other fields, often involve producing terrible versions before finding what works. Ed Catmull, co-founder of Pixar Animation Studios, emphasized the importance of focusing on the team's spirit and intent during this period rather than judging them based on their initial results. Additionally, Catmull noted that understanding the mysterious factors that contribute to success and being aware of human nature can help organizations adapt to changes and avoid potential pitfalls. In the context of Disney, Catmull highlighted the importance of collaboration between different divisions, as the creative output of Disney and Pixar significantly impacts merchandising and theme parks.

    • Island with Bridges: Disney's Balance of Creativity and CommunicationDisney fosters creativity by giving teams freedom and maintaining open communication, resulting in successful films that fund further risks and innovation, similar to Costco's unique business model.

      Disney's success comes from giving creative teams the freedom to make great movies while maintaining open communication with other departments. Disney acts as an "island with bridges," allowing for ownership of local culture but avoiding isolation. This approach spans a range of film risks, from commercially viable projects to artistically challenging ones. By being financially healthy through successful films, Disney can continue to take risks and push boundaries. A notable comparison is to Costco, which checks competition but focuses on its unique business model for success.

    • Importance of a healthy ecosystem in the animation industrySuccessful businesses in the animation industry thrive on a healthy ecosystem, encouraging competition to produce good movies while striving for dominance in their own works, and embracing creativity to foster innovation and inspire audiences.

      Successful businesses, such as Pixar and Disney Animation, recognize the importance of a healthy ecosystem in their industry. They want competitors to produce good movies that provide great experiences for audiences, as it increases the likelihood of repeat customers. However, when it comes to their own films, they aim for dominance. Ed Catmull, the president of both studios, emphasizes the importance of creativity and problem-solving in every aspect of life. He believes that everyone is creative and that it's our intentions and freedom to make a difference that allows us to create something meaningful in the world. Catmull, an Academy Award winner and now a best-selling author, shares his insights on creativity in his book "Creativity Incorporated." By understanding the importance of a healthy ecosystem and embracing creativity, businesses can foster innovation and produce inspiring works.

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