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    One year on: Are the Tories still Liz Truss' party?

    enOctober 02, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Emphasis on growth and tax cuts at Conservative Party conferenceLiz Truss's speech focused on reducing taxes, bills, and government spending to build infrastructure and promote growth, drawing large crowds despite logistical challenges.

      Learning from the Conservative Party conference is the emphasis on growth and tax cuts, as evidenced by Liz Truss's packed speech. Despite logistical challenges, such as long queues and limited space, the event drew large crowds, including journalists and everyday people. Truss's message focused on reducing taxes, bills, and government spending, and building infrastructure instead. She acknowledged the challenges but expressed the need to tackle them head-on for the growth of the country. The Chinese railway system was mentioned as a point of comparison, highlighting the potential for significant progress. The overall sentiment was one of determination and optimism for the future.

    • Divide between grassroots and establishment at Conservative Party conferenceGrassroots push for low tax, growth policies clash with establishment's call for traditional conservatism, as party prepares for opposition era

      Key takeaway from the Conservative Party conference is the persisting divide between the grassroots and the establishment within the party. While some, like Liz Truss, continue to champion low tax and growth policies, others, like a senior Tory peer, are dismayed by the continued support for figures like Truss and are pushing for a more traditional, conservative leader. The conference also reflects a sense of preparation for opposition, with many looking towards the post-Sunak era. The energy and buzz are not in the main auditorium but on the fringes, where figures like Truss, Rees-Mogg, and Patel are attracting crowds. The conference seems to be more about setting up for the future than addressing the present, reminiscent of the Labour Party's 1980 conference in opposition.

    • Conservative Party in Introspection and DivisionThe Conservative Party is questioning its past failures and debating a more conservative approach, with ideological hardliners positioning against Rishi Sunak's tax-rising agenda, causing potential legislative challenges and uncertainty ahead of the general election.

      Learning from the Conservative Party conference is that the party is in a state of introspection and division, a year before the general election. The rejection of various economic policies like reflation of public sector spending, substantial tax increases, a wealth tax, and import controls, has led the party to question its past failures and the need for a more conservative approach. The ideological hardline stance is reminiscent of the Labour Party's post-mortem after losing power in 1980. The battle lines for the leadership are already being drawn, with Rishi Sunak's popularity exceeding the party brand, but many MPs are hesitant to fully support him. The Conservative Growth Wing, led by about 60 MPs, is positioning itself against Sunak's tax-rising agenda, which could cause significant legislative challenges. Sunak's isolation within the cabinet, with few clear supporters, is another concern. The energy at the conference is coming from those on the right, with Liz Truss exuding particular enthusiasm. The party is struggling to regain its footing, with many MPs either reluctant or absent from the conference, leading to a sense of unreality about the impending election.

    • Brexit overshadows Conservative Party's growth agendaDespite Conservative Party's focus on economic growth, the challenges of Brexit for small businesses and exporters are being overlooked, creating a disconnect between rhetoric and reality.

      That while the Conservative Party, specifically Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak, are focusing on growing the economy, there's an elephant in the room that's not being addressed: Brexit. Small businesses and exporters are struggling with exports and imports due to Brexit-related issues, which is absent from the party's "growth" agenda. Additionally, there's a sense of unreality surrounding the discussions, with decisions being made primarily within Downing Street and the prime minister's inner circle, leaving other government departments and key players like the Treasury feeling shut out. The focus on growth sounds positive in the room, but the lack of acknowledgement and addressing of the challenges facing businesses due to Brexit adds to the air of unreality.

    • Criticism of Rishi Sunak's Housing Policy at Conservative Party ConferenceLiz Truss criticized Rishi Sunak for not building enough houses and called for tax incentives for councils, but her suggestion to bypass environmental regulations sparked controversy and criticism for her absolutist approach.

      The Conservative Party conference saw a significant moment when Liz Truss, a former prime minister, criticized current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak for not building enough houses and called for tax incentives to council to cut regulation. However, her message was met with controversy as she seemed to suggest bypassing environmental legislation, which could lead to negative environmental impacts. Truss's stance was criticized for her unwillingness to make compromises and her absolutist approach, reminiscent of the ideological purity of the left. This moment could potentially harm Sunak's image and position him as weak, especially since Truss had already held the prime ministership, albeit briefly. Additionally, Truss's team orchestrated a pledge among conservative MPs to never raise taxes again, which could lead to financial instability similar to what the Republican party experienced in the late 1990s and early 2000s. Overall, this moment highlights the internal tensions and radicalization within the Conservative Party.

    • Conservative Party conference marked by ideological rigidity and divisive speechesThe Conservative Party's 2022 annual conference was criticized for divisive speeches that focused on creating political lines with the Labor Party, rather than addressing practical issues and engaging the public.

      The Conservative Party's 2022 annual conference was marked by ideological rigidity and a lack of pragmatism, with several high-profile ministers making divisive speeches that focused on creating political lines with the Labor Party. For instance, Mark Harper, the transport secretary, spent much of his speech talking about buses instead of trains or infrastructure projects, while Claire Coutinho, the energy secretary, accused her opponents of being zealous and baselessly claimed that Keir Starmer wanted to prevent people from eating meat. These speeches were criticized for their fevered tone and conspiracy theory-like content. The conference's thin attendance and the lack of engagement from the audience further highlighted the party's struggles to connect with the public and shift the polls, which are currently showing a significant lead for the Labor Party. The Conservative Party's strategy of creating dividing lines on issues like energy and net zero is a significant bet, but it also represents a potential weakness in their overall approach.

    • Politics of Creating Dividing Lines with FalsehoodsPolitics involves creating dividing lines, but basing them on falsehoods or absurd issues can make the opposing party appear ridiculous, limiting the conversation around more significant infrastructure projects and growth.

      During political campaigns, parties often try to create issues to rally against, even if those issues are based on falsehoods or have limited public understanding. The discussion around "15 minute cities" and "every lamppost having a camera" are examples of this. While creating dividing lines is a necessary part of politics, if the opposition is portrayed as absurd or based on falsehoods, it can make the party appear ridiculous. The current political climate in the UK includes debates on various topics, such as net zero, local council control, and infrastructure. However, some issues, like potholes, are being framed as if they are the only focus, rather than being part of a larger vision for the future. This narrow focus can limit the conversation around more significant infrastructure projects and growth in the country.

    • Government inconsistency and lack of confidence on HS 2The ongoing debate at the conference reveals government uncertainty on major infrastructure projects like HS 2, despite their economic benefits, due to political discussions and disregard for facts.

      The ongoing debate at the conference surrounding HS 2 and political speed limits highlights an inconsistency and lack of confidence within the government. Mark Harper's warning about the potential absurdity of political discussions resonates, as the absence of mentioning HS 2 in the conference, despite its significance as the biggest infrastructure project in a century, is jarring. The treasury source's perspective that major infrastructure projects create growth, jobs, and improve the economy challenges the notion that the treasury has given up on HS 2. However, the overall lack of vision and the prevalence of discussing non-existent or exaggerated policies create a sense of uncertainty and a new world where facts are often disregarded. The example of debanking, which Jeremy Hunt mentioned in his speech, but for which there is no evidence, further underscores this issue. The conference's atmosphere, filled with debates on topics like HS 2, Brexit, trans rights, ECHR, taxation, and debanking, can sometimes feel indistinguishable from extreme political parties.

    • Conservative Party focuses on next election, low tax messageThe Tories prioritize the next election, pitching themselves as low tax party, while addressing current economic challenges and contrasting past mistakes with present progress.

      Key takeaway from the Tory conference is that the Conservative Party is focusing on the next general election and positioning itself as the low tax party, despite calls for tax cuts from some members. The party leadership, including Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt, is emphasizing the importance of delivering on the priorities of the British people in these challenging economic times. The contrast between the turbulent past and the present is being highlighted, with a focus on moving forward and not dwelling on past mistakes. However, it remains to be seen if this focus on the short term will translate into long-term planning and policies for the future. The abandonment of major projects like HS2 raises questions about the party's commitment to long-term infrastructure investments.

    • UK Government's Net Zero Focus and Easing Financial BurdenThe UK government is working towards net zero emissions by 2050 while addressing financial concerns and local opposition to climate measures.

      The UK government, under the leadership of Prime Minister Boris Johnson, has made significant progress towards achieving net zero emissions by 2050, and is now focusing on easing the financial burden on hardworking families by not implementing excessive measures. However, the urgency to address climate change remains a pressing issue, as the world faces environmental challenges such as rising temperatures, dying oceans, and brush fires. The government is also addressing concerns at home, as some local councils, including those run by the Conservative Party, have proposed plans to penalize motorists. The party, which is known for its support of the motor car industry, is working to reverse these plans. The UK government's strategy for the upcoming election goes beyond Uxbridge, focusing on delivering for constituents on various political issues, including the economy and international crises such as the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The government is concerned about the recent decision by the US Congress to strip out funding for Ukraine, and is urging for its restoration. Regarding the possibility of a second term for former US President Donald Trump, the interviewee expressed concern and stated that, as a voter, they would not support him.

    • Undercover conversation with a people smuggler reveals complexities of the issueAddressing root causes and international cooperation may be more effective than stopping boats to combat people smuggling

      The issue of people smuggling, a key concern for both the UK government and the opposition, is more complex than it seems. During an undercover investigation for their podcast, the News Agents team managed to speak with a people smuggler. Despite the prime minister's repeated emphasis on cracking down on people smugglers, the team found that this issue may not be as simple as stopping the boats, as the government suggests. Instead, they discovered that addressing the root causes of migration and working with international partners to improve border security may be more effective solutions. The team also noted the irony of the government's stance on this issue, as the conference hall was emblazoned with the prime minister's top priority of "stop the votes," while the government seems unable to stop the people smuggling. Overall, the team concluded that a more nuanced approach is needed to address this complex issue.

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