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    Orlando Bravo - The Art of Software Buyouts - [Invest Like the Best, EP. 257]

    enDecember 28, 2021

    Podcast Summary

    • Private equity market faces capital mismatch in tech sectorThe tech sector's rapid growth and scaling create opportunities for great private equity returns, but traditional firms struggle to keep up due to slow capital deployment. Agility and efficiency are crucial for success.

      The private equity market is experiencing a significant opportunity capital mismatch due to the rapid growth and scaling of tech companies. Traditional private equity firms, like Thoma Bravo, are finding it increasingly challenging to raise and deploy capital quickly enough to keep up with the pace of growth in the tech sector. As a result, there may be more opportunities for great returns in private equity than there is capital available in traditional fund structures. Orlando Bravo, co-founder and managing partner of Thoma Bravo, emphasized that the market is becoming more tech-oriented, with many tech companies achieving scale and going public faster than private equity firms can raise and deploy capital. This trend is expected to continue, making it crucial for private equity firms to be agile and efficient in their investment strategies. For investors looking to learn more about primary research and gain access to expert calls, Tegus offers a solution with its extensive primary information platform and affordable pricing.

    • Growth equity investing: Focusing on market-leading companies for operational improvements and growthInvesting in market-leading companies and collaborating with management teams to creatively solve operational problems and reinvest profits in growth is a successful approach for businesses in the software industry.

      Successful businesses, particularly in software, need to adapt to changing market conditions and focus on growth, not just operational improvements, to earn returns. This approach, known as growth equity investing, involves buying a controlling stake in market-leading companies and working closely with existing management teams to fundamentally improve operations. The focus is on solving operational problems creatively and collaboratively, with regular meetings and a data-driven approach to best-in-class metrics. This intensive approach allows companies to reinvest profits in growth and stay competitive in rapidly evolving markets. The speaker's firm, which has been practicing this philosophy since the early 2000s, has seen significant success with this approach, particularly in the software industry.

    • Acquiring underperforming software companiesSupporting underperforming software companies with existing management and operational expertise can lead to success stories, aligning with a mission to work closely with dedicated teams. The Profit 21 deal showcased the importance of backing management and combining industry knowledge with operational improvements.

      The software industry's profitability can be deceiving. Despite the industry's reputation for high gross margins, many software companies, especially those in the SaaS sector, can still operate at a loss. However, as seen in the Profit 21 deal, there's potential in acquiring and supporting underperforming software companies with existing management and operational expertise. This approach not only leads to success stories but also aligns with a mission to work closely with dedicated management teams. The unique dynamics of the Profit 21 deal involved originating the investment idea during a post-bubble market, financing a previously unprofitable company, and acquiring it with minimal competition. The success of this deal highlighted the importance of backing existing management and combining their industry knowledge with operational improvements.

    • Profitability and growth are interconnectedEffective operational management, pricing strategies, and wise investment decisions can lead to both high profitability and growth in the SaaS industry

      Profitability and growth are not mutually exclusive in the business world, particularly in the SaaS industry. Contrary to popular belief, investing in growth does not always mean losing money or having a negative margin. In fact, high profitability can lead to higher growth. This is achieved through effective operational management, pricing strategies, and wise investment decisions in both tactical and strategic growth areas. Companies with highly profitable business models are able to allocate more resources towards growth initiatives and make better investment decisions based on their financial stability. The misconception arises due to investors' excessive focus on top-line growth, often incentivized by the capitalist system, which can lead to neglect of the bottom line. It's essential to recognize and balance both gross and margin growth for long-term success.

    • Data-driven decision making in high-margin businessesMarket leaders in high-margin businesses, especially in software, can improve profitability by using data to identify misinvestments and focus on strategic areas. Cybersecurity subsector is a fertile ground for investment due to its importance and convergence towards top players.

      High-margin businesses, particularly in the software industry, can benefit significantly from a data-driven approach to decision making. These companies, which are often market leaders in their respective industries, have relied on gut feel to get them to the top. However, an analytical approach can help identify areas of misinvestment and improve overall profitability. Market leaders are defined as having the best product in their software submarket, as product cycles can be lengthy and CIOs prefer proven solutions. The cyber and security subsector has been particularly fertile ground for investment due to its strategic importance and the convergence of offerings towards the top players. Despite the significant size and returns of the portfolio, many of these companies remain less familiar to the public due to their enterprise focus and lack of consumer recognition.

    • Challenges for investors in enterprise software and opportunities for private equityPrivate equity funds like SoftBank offer opportunities for large-scale investment in enterprise software, with a shift towards operational improvement and multiple expansion as sources of return.

      The complex nature of enterprise software and the volatility of public markets create challenges for investors and limit the number of specialized investors in this sector. However, the growing size and importance of private equity funds, like SoftBank, provide a significant opportunity for differentiated, large-scale investment in these companies. The sources of return for this type of investing have evolved, with a shift away from leverage and towards operational improvement and multiple expansion. While the past relied heavily on operational improvements, the future may see a greater emphasis on multiple expansion as a source of return. This trend is just getting started, and it will be a challenge for the investment community to adapt to this new reality.

    • Focus on SaaS businesses for higher growth and valuationsInvestors prioritize SaaS companies with front-end facing roles, driving significant growth, and higher valuations due to larger TAM and value propositions. Focus on operational improvement, growth, and multiple expansion.

      The software industry has evolved significantly since the early 2000s, and today, the focus is on higher growth Software as a Service (SaaS) companies that are becoming the business of their customers. These companies come with higher valuations, but they also offer larger Total Addressable Markets (TAM) and value propositions. Instead of pursuing lower valuation, back-office oriented software companies, investors are now looking for SaaS businesses that are front-end facing and driving significant growth. The leverage component is no longer the majority of the capital structure due to high multiples. When considering investments, it's essential to think about operational improvement, operational fundamental growth, and multiple expansion. Historically, multiples have not stayed the same, but the public market opportunity in enterprise software remains compelling, with profitable software companies growing earnings at 20% and trading at high PE ratios. Investors should focus on revenue multiples and creating a fundamentally sound investment based on revenue growth and future profitability.

    • Investing in recurring revenue companies for higher growth and longer customer relationshipsRecurring revenue companies offer better growth and longer customer relationships, leading to significant returns even at higher PE ratios. Strategic buyers and good processes can lead to successful exits.

      Investing in recurring revenue companies, which often have much better growth rates and longer customer relationships than the S&P 500, can lead to significant returns even if they are sold at a higher PE ratio. Additionally, selling to a strategic buyer when they approach you can be a good indicator of a successful exit, as these buyers may not be in the market forever. Working with existing management and implementing good processes can lead to quick changes in these companies and a longer road for their future success. However, it's important to consider the potential disruption of changing leadership and the time it takes for new leadership to learn the business before taking action. Overall, the key is to lean on selling when the opportunity arises and trust that the company will continue to thrive in the right hands.

    • Navigating trust, patience, and inspiration in deal makingDeal making involves complex trust-building, patience, and creative problem-solving, making it a challenging yet rewarding experience

      Deal making, while seemingly simple from a high-level perspective, involves a great deal of trust, patience, and inspiration to get people on board with new ideas. The process requires navigating numerous small decisions and details, which can be challenging even for experienced professionals. However, the most difficult aspect may be earning the trust and partnership of potential management and counterparties each time, regardless of past accomplishments. Despite these challenges, the competitive dynamics and creative problem-solving aspects of deal making make it an exciting and rewarding experience.

    • C-level leaders: Maintain a positive work environment and align personal mission with businessC-level leaders should delegate, focus on financial impact, be strategic and operational, and align personal mission with business to create a positive work environment and opportunities for growth.

      Leaders with "C-level" titles have a unique responsibility to maintain a positive and collaborative work environment, rather than adding to the drama and internal competition. They should delegate authority and responsibility, make decisions with a focus on the financial impact, and be both strategic and operationally oriented. Additionally, understanding one's personal mission and passions can help align various aspects of life, including business and philanthropy, and create meaningful opportunities for growth and impact. Ultimately, effective leaders provide opportunities for talented individuals to succeed and adapt to their unique cultures.

    • Building diverse and innovative teams through talent development and inclusivityDecentralization and a focus on culture add are crucial for building diverse and innovative teams, enabling better decision-making and overall success. Web 3 exemplifies this trend in business and technology, breaking down barriers and opening opportunities for talent globally.

      Focusing on talent development and inclusivity, particularly in non-traditional sources, is crucial for business growth in today's world where capital is no longer a limiting factor. The concept of "culture add" rather than "culture fit" is essential for building diverse and innovative teams. Additionally, decentralization is a key trend for the coming decade, with leaders empowering their teams to make decisions and operate in a more autonomous way, leading to better decision-making and overall success. In business and technology, this decentralization is exemplified by the exchange of ideas globally through web 3, breaking down barriers and opening up opportunities for talent regardless of location or background.

    • Web 3: A Decentralized Social Movement for Empowerment and InnovationWeb 3 is a decentralized social movement enabling interconnected communities, open platforms, and innovative use cases. Traditional capital sources must adapt to this new reality, viewing software as the business driver and merging investment categories.

      Web 3 represents a social movement towards interconnected communities of like-minded individuals collaborating on open platforms, with decentralized systems and tokens acting as collateral for measuring value. This open exchange of ideas has the potential to empower those previously excluded from the financial world and create innovative use cases, especially in areas like security and enterprise software. However, challenges remain, including the need for innovation in the private equity model and the convergence of various financial structures. It's crucial for traditional sources of capital, such as pension funds and endowments, to adapt to this new reality by viewing software as the business driver of all industries and merging different investment categories. The future lies in a more fluid approach to capital allocation, allowing it to flow freely to the most promising opportunities.

    • Embrace opportunities and learn from mentorsConfidently pursue passions, learn from mistakes, and be open to new experiences while seeking guidance from mentors.

      There are endless opportunities for young, talented individuals in various fields, and the best way to build a great career is to have confidence, follow your passions, and learn from mentors. The speaker, a successful investor, emphasizes the importance of hard work, making mistakes, and staying open to new experiences. He encourages young people to pursue their interests now and not just as a means to an end. The speaker also shares personal stories of how mentors and kind acts from others have shaped his career. Overall, his advice is to stay confident, pursue your passions, and be open to learning from those around you.

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    My guest today is Dev Ittycheria. Dev is the CEO of MongoDB, the developer data platform with tens of thousands of customers in 100 different countries. He joined the company as CEO in 2014, taking it public in 2017, and is now approaching a decade of leading MongoDB to become a go-to choice for the most sophisticated organizations around the world. We discuss Dev’s philosophy for constructing an exceptional enterprise sales organization, why he feels a leader must be incredibly judgemental to drive excellence, and how he plans to guide MongoDB through another technological transition. Please enjoy this conversation with Dev Ittycheria. Listen to Founders Podcast For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Tegus, the only investment research platform built for the investor. With traditional research vendors, the diligence process is slow, fragmented, and expensive. That leaves investors competing on how well they can aggregate data — not on their unique ability to analyze insights and make great investment decisions. Tegus offers an end-to-end platform with all the data you need to get up to speed on a company or market: up-to-the-minute financials, customizable models, management and culture checks, and, of course, our vast and growing library of expert call transcripts. Tegus is changing the world of expert research. Learn more and get your free trial at tegus.com/patrick. ----- Invest Like the Best is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Invest Like the Best, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.  Past guests include Tobi Lutke, Kevin Systrom, Mike Krieger, John Collison, Kat Cole, Marc Andreessen, Matthew Ball, Bill Gurley, Anu Hariharan, Ben Thompson, and many more. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @patrick_oshag | @JoinColossus Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best (00:03:39) A CEO's Perspective Of The AI Revolution (00:05:50) The Evolution of Apps From Trivial to Transformative (00:08:12) MongoDB's Journey From Startup to AI Era (00:10:03) Building a Modern Database Company: MongoDB's Story (00:13:19) The Long-Term Vision for MongoDB  (00:15:51) Dev’s Formative Experiences as a Tech CEO (00:19:18) The Art of Enterprise Sales (00:25:28) The Development of Dev as a Leader (00:29:01) Getting the Most Out of Your Talent (00:33:17) Managing a Multi-Product, Multi-Channel Enterprise (00:37:29) Dev’s Recruiting Philosophy (00:43:12) The Role of Leadership and Mentorship in Career Growth (00:46:08) Dev’s Deepest Worry With MongoDB (00:49:35) Personal Investment Philosophy and Identifying Potential (00:53:52) The Art of Leadership: Accountability and Development (00:57:50) Learning from Legends: Andy Grove's Management Insights (01:02:54) The Power in MongoDB’s Business (01:06:13) Up Next for Dev and MongoDB (01:08:34) The Kindest Thing Anyone Has Ever Done For Dev

    Nico Wittenborn - Finding the Adjacent Possible - [Invest Like the Best, EP.372]

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    My guest today is Nico Wittenborn. Nico is the founder of Adjacent, a venture firm that looks for what he describes as the “adjacent possible” for their next investment. Nico has zoned in on the consumer subscription market as his ideal candidate, making early investments in Calm App, Photoroom, and Oura Ring. Nico does virtually all steps of the investing process on his own as he believes this allows him to be as close to finding the truth as possible. We discuss sharpening your intuition, evaluating the subscription business model, and exploring the adjacent possible. Please enjoy this conversation with Nico Wittenborn.  Listen to Founders Podcast For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Tegus, the only investment research platform built for the investor. With traditional research vendors, the diligence process is slow, fragmented, and expensive. That leaves investors competing on how well they can aggregate data — not on their unique ability to analyze insights and make great investment decisions. Tegus offers an end-to-end platform with all the data you need to get up to speed on a company or market: up-to-the-minute financials, customizable models, management and culture checks, and, of course, our vast and growing library of expert call transcripts. Tegus is changing the world of expert research. Learn more and get your free trial at tegus.com/patrick. ----- Invest Like the Best is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Invest Like the Best, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.  Past guests include Tobi Lutke, Kevin Systrom, Mike Krieger, John Collison, Kat Cole, Marc Andreessen, Matthew Ball, Bill Gurley, Anu Hariharan, Ben Thompson, and many more. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @patrick_oshag | @JoinColossus Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best (00:03:30) Intuition in Investment Decisions (00:05:08) The Philosophy of Adjacency in Venture Capital (00:12:51) Exploring Consumer Subscription Models (00:18:16) Common Mistakes In Subscription Pricing (00:22:41) Errors in Product Roll-Out Strategy (00:28:50) The Sucess of BirdBuddy (00:33:45) What It Means To Be a Great Product (00:38:21) Solo Investing vs. Being Part of a Big Firm (00:43:12) Building On Your Own Experience As a Founder (00:44:49) The Rise of Individual Investors and Their Impact (00:50:52) The Strategic Advantage of Staying Small in Venture Capital (00:52:02) Deep Dive into Founder Questions and Consumer Subscription Insights (00:54:09) Leveraging AI and Technological Advances for Growth (00:59:13) Exploring Future Investments and Market Opportunities (01:05:13) Areas to Explore On The Value Curve For Consumer Subscription  (01:12:32) Advice For Those Interest In Nico’s Path  (01:20:10) The Kindest Thing Anyone Has Ever Done for Nico

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