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    Passenger Planes Nearly Collide Far More Than You Know

    enSeptember 05, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Growing concerns over frequent close calls between passenger planesDespite a strong safety record, the aviation industry faces increasing close calls between planes due to staffing shortages, outdated technology, and increased air traffic. There's a lack of transparency and comprehensive reporting on these incidents, causing public concern about air travel safety.

      Despite the aviation industry's reputation for safety, there is a growing concern over an increasing number of close calls between passenger planes, some of which go unreported. These incidents, which include planes coming dangerously close to colliding on runways or in the air, have been occurring more frequently than the public realizes. The root causes of these close calls are multifaceted, including staffing shortages, outdated technology, and increased air traffic. Furthermore, there is currently no comprehensive source that tracks and reports all commercial plane near collisions, making it difficult to fully understand the scope of the issue. The investigative team from The New York Times uncovered numerous instances of close calls through interviews with industry insiders and by combing through public databases. These incidents have raised concerns about the safety of air travel and the need for increased transparency and action to prevent such incidents in the future.

    • Daily average of over one close call between commercial planes in the USClose calls between commercial planes in the US occur frequently, averaging over one a day, and can have serious consequences if not avoided

      The number of close calls between commercial passenger planes in the US is much higher than the public realizes, with an average of more than once a day based on data from safety reports and public databases. These close calls can occur both on the ground and in the air, and even though the distances involved may seem large, the speed of planes can make these gaps close quickly. For instance, in July alone, there were at least 46 close calls, and in the most recent 12-month period, there were around 300 documented reports of close calls. A close call is defined as an incident where planes get too close, such as two planes almost colliding on a runway or in the air. An example from July involved a Delta Airlines plane preparing to take off and a Southwest plane attempting to land on the same runway in New Orleans, which required the Southwest pilot to abort the landing at the last second to avoid a collision. These incidents highlight the importance of strict adherence to safety protocols and the need for ongoing vigilance in the aviation industry.

    • Growing concerns over close calls in the sky and on the groundDespite no fatal accidents, close calls highlight the strain on the aviation safety system and the need for increased attention and resources.

      Despite the impressive safety record of the American passenger airline system, there is growing concern due to an increase in close calls or near collisions on the ground and in the sky. These incidents, some of which have come perilously close to resulting in actual collisions, have industry insiders and federal officials warning of potential catastrophe. The root cause of these incidents is a safety system that is under immense strain, exacerbated by the return of air travel to pre-pandemic levels. The absence of a fatal accident or collision does not equate to the presence of safety, and these close calls serve as a wake-up call for all. The FAA describes some of these encounters as "skin to skin," emphasizing the dangerous proximity of the planes involved. Pilots and industry professionals express their fears and concerns, urging attention to these issues before a more catastrophic event occurs.

    • Strain on aviation safety system due to air traffic controller shortageThe FAA faces a significant shortage of air traffic controllers due to mandatory retirement age and pandemic-related factors, leading to understaffing and increased mistakes among controllers and pilots

      The aviation safety system, which relies on layers of air traffic control, pilots, and technology, is currently under strain due to a significant shortage of air traffic controllers. This issue has its roots in the early 1980s when controllers illegally struck and were fired, leading to an unnatural cycle of hiring and retirement. The mandatory retirement age of 56 and 20 years of service further complicate matters, as the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) struggles to keep up with the mass retirements. The pandemic has worsened the situation by causing early retirements and slowing down training. Currently, there are about 10% fewer fully certified air traffic controllers than a decade ago, and only 3 out of 313 facilities are fully staffed. These staffing shortages have resulted in mistakes among controllers and pilots, leading to numerous close calls.

    • Overworked Controllers and Inexperienced Pilots Increase Risk of Air Traffic MishapsThe aviation industry is facing a growing risk of close calls and potential accidents due to a shortage of air traffic controllers and a decrease in the average experience level of pilots, leading to increased errors and potential safety hazards.

      The current state of air traffic control and pilot experience in the aviation industry is leading to an increased risk of close calls and potential accidents. The FAA has been aware of the shortage of air traffic controllers for years, but the demanding and highly stressful nature of the job, which involves long hours and irregular schedules, makes it difficult to recruit and retain enough qualified personnel. This has resulted in many controllers working mandatory six-day workweeks and being overworked, leading to decreased focus and increased errors. Meanwhile, during the pandemic, airlines furloughed pilots and encouraged retirements, leading to a decrease in the average experience level of pilots in the cockpit. According to the Swiss cheese safety model, these holes in each layer of safety should not be a problem if each layer catches the error made by the previous layer. However, with less seasoned pilots and overworked controllers, these holes are getting bigger, and errors are more likely to slip through both layers, increasing the risk of accidents. A recent incident in Phoenix illustrates this issue, where a controller gave incorrect instructions to a pilot, who did not hear the instructions correctly and took off in the wrong direction, putting another plane in its path. This incident highlights the importance of addressing the current challenges facing the aviation industry to ensure the safety of passengers and prevent potential accidents.

    • Human error and inadequate technology cause close calls between planesDespite urgent warnings between controllers and pilots, only a fraction of U.S. airports have technology to prevent near-collisions due to high costs and aging infrastructure, leading to a need for more investment in aviation safety.

      The close calls between planes in the sky are a result of both human error and inadequate technology. Controllers and pilots exchange urgent warnings during near-collisions, but the technology designed to prevent such incidents, like surface detection and collision avoidance systems, is only available at a fraction of U.S. airports due to high costs and aging infrastructure. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) acknowledges these issues but faces budget constraints, making it challenging to implement solutions. Despite their efforts, stakeholders believe more needs to be done to ensure the safety of commercial aviation.

    • Urgent Call for Action: Aviation Safety CrisisThe FAA is facing a severe shortage of air traffic controllers, leading to close calls between planes. New technology is needed, but it could take years to be installed, and there's concern the FAA may not take enough action before a fatal crash occurs.

      The air traffic control system in the United States is facing a severe shortage of controllers, and the current situation is leading to close calls between planes. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is trying to hire new controllers, but the number they want to hire won't solve the problem. The technology on runways is old, and new technology is needed, but it could take years to be installed. There is frustration among pilots and controllers, and they want the public and the FAA to pay attention to the issue before a fatal crash occurs. The investigation by Sydney and Emily Seale is significant because it's being done before a potential tragedy, which provides an opportunity to prevent something awful from happening. However, there is concern that the FAA may not do enough to address the issue. The FAA is known in some circles as the "Tombstone Agency," which means they won't take action until after a catastrophic event occurs. The situation is particularly pressing given the current state of the air traffic control system and the potential for a fatal crash.

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