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    Planet Hope: Predicting the Earth’s climate with Tom Matthews

    enMay 27, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Understanding extreme weather events caused by climate changeRecord-breaking heatwaves and devastating floods are becoming more frequent and severe due to climate change. The consequences include damage to infrastructure and food supply disruptions, highlighting the urgent need to take action to mitigate the effects.

      Extreme weather events, such as the record-breaking heatwaves and devastating floods, are becoming more frequent and severe due to human-caused climate change. Climate scientist Tom Matthews, who has spent his career studying extreme climates around the world, emphasizes the importance of understanding these changes and their societal impacts. The UK's hottest ever day, which reached 40 degrees Celsius in 2022, was not surprising to Tom, as temperatures have been warming and such extremes have been on the horizon for some time. However, the consequences of these extreme weather events, such as damage to infrastructure and food supply disruptions, should serve as a reminder of the challenges that lie ahead and the urgent need to take action to mitigate the effects of climate change. Tom's research maps the limits of Earth's climate and charts its course as it shifts, providing valuable insights into the future of our planet.

    • Extreme weather events and their societal impactsExtreme weather events, driven by greenhouse gas buildup, can lead to significant societal impacts, particularly in regions near the climate envelope.

      Extreme weather events, such as heatwaves reaching 40 degrees in the UK, are not surprising from a scientific perspective, as they are physically possible given the current climate state. However, the emotional response to these events can be one of shock due to their significant societal impacts, particularly in regions already experiencing hot temperatures. The primary driver of these extreme events is the buildup of greenhouse gases, leading to increased warming of the oceans and atmosphere, resulting in more frequent and intense heatwaves and heavy precipitation events. Regions near the climate envelope, such as South Asia and parts of East Asia, are already experiencing significant impacts from these extreme events, including numerous deaths each year, and future impacts are a major concern.

    • Climate change impacts extreme weather events by altering atmospheric moisture capacityClimate change increases the likelihood of extreme weather events by enhancing atmospheric moisture capacity, although not every extreme event can be directly linked to it.

      Climate change contributes to more extreme weather events by altering the atmosphere's ability to hold moisture. Warmer atmospheres can hold more moisture, leading to heavier rainfall when the atmosphere releases all its moisture. This is consistent with the earth system storing more energy. Regarding attribution science, extreme weather events cannot be directly linked to climate change as they are random occurrences. However, scientists study how climate change may increase the likelihood of certain extreme events by comparing climate model simulations with and without climate change. For instance, glacier lake outburst floods can be more easily attributed to climate change as they result from glacier retreat caused by warmer temperatures. My interest in weather and science dates back to my childhood, where I was fascinated by thunderstorms and the emotional reaction they evoked. This emotional connection to big events fueled my long-term interest in meteorology.

    • Childhood fascination with weather sparks curiosity about environmentThe speaker's passion for understanding climate and environmental systems stems from a childhood fascination with the weather and personal experiences in geography studies, highlighting the importance of glaciers as indicators of climate variability over long periods.

      The speaker's interest in the natural world began with a childhood fascination with the weather, which later evolved into a deeper curiosity about how various environments function. This curiosity led him to pursue a degree in geography, where he first witnessed the impacts of climate change in glaciated environments. The speaker was particularly struck by the visible evidence of climate change in the landscape, such as moraines marking the advance of glaciers during the little ice age. He emphasizes the importance of glaciers as indicators of climate variability over human time scales and expresses concern about the potential loss of glaciers due to climate change. Overall, the speaker's personal experiences and academic studies have shaped his strong connection to the natural world and his focus on understanding the complexities of climate and environmental systems.

    • Impact of melting glaciers on communities and environmentMelting glaciers affect communities by reducing water resources and have significant environmental consequences. Gathering accurate weather data can inform potential solutions, such as relocation.

      The melting of glaciers around the world, such as France's biggest glacier and the glaciers in Ladakh, India, is a pressing issue that not only affects the environment but also impacts communities that depend on the glacier runoff for water. The human connection to these glaciers is strong, and seeing them disappear is troubling. During his PhD research, the speaker became fascinated with the need for accurate weather data to understand the energy available at local scales on glacier surfaces to melt the ice. His personal experiences, including running a half marathon in Ladakh and receiving a grant from National Geographic, led him to work on understanding the state and future of Everest, which sits at the heart of the Himalayan water tower. The melting glaciers have significant implications for the communities that depend on them, and it's essential to gather data to inform potential solutions, such as relocation.

    • Collecting weather data from extreme environments like Mount Everest is crucial for understanding the future of water stores like glaciers.Understanding the impact of climate change on glaciers through data collected from extreme environments is vital for ensuring a sustainable water supply for billions of people worldwide.

      Collecting weather data from extreme environments, such as the roof of the world (Mount Everest), is crucial for understanding the future of water stores like glaciers. Glaciers act as a reliable source of freshwater for communities downstream, and the future of these ice stores matters to billions of people worldwide. Extreme environments like Mount Everest are difficult and expensive to access, but the data collected can provide valuable insights into how climate change affects glaciers and the people who depend on them. For instance, a small increase in temperature can have significant impacts on snowfall and the transition between snow and rain, which can affect the health of glaciers. Understanding these impacts is essential for adaptation and mitigation strategies to ensure a sustainable water supply for those living in areas with glaciers.

    • Understanding climate change's impact through weather data from high-altitude stationsHigh-altitude weather stations provide crucial data for modeling future climate scenarios, with the Amazon rainforest's response to deforestation and climate change being a significant focus

      Weather data from high-altitude stations, such as those installed in the Himalayas and the Peruvian Andes, plays a crucial role in understanding the impacts of climate change on local and global scales. These stations measure various meteorological parameters, including temperature, precipitation, humidity, radiation, and snow depth, which help scientists model future climate scenarios. The Amazon rainforest, a significant contributor to global moisture fluxes, is particularly noteworthy due to its potential response to deforestation and climate change. The removal of trees can lead to a positive feedback loop, where drier conditions lead to more tree death, further exacerbating the drying trend. The National Geographic and Rolex Perpetual Planet Amazon expedition, which includes installing weather stations in these regions, aims to improve our understanding of these complex systems and their responses to human activities and climate change.

    • Impact of glacier retreat on global water securityGlaciers in the Andes and Himalayas are rapidly retreating due to climate change, affecting freshwater availability for millions. Researchers need access to remote locations to study these changes and inform policymakers to take action. To secure a sustainable water future, reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential.

      The health and stability of glaciers in regions like the Andes and Himalayas are crucial for global water security, and they are rapidly retreating as the climate warms. Glaciers have already lost significant area and are lagging behind current climate conditions. The loss of glaciers will continue to impact freshwater availability for people in affected areas. Researchers play a vital role in understanding these changes and informing policymakers to take action. Accessing remote locations to conduct research can be challenging and costly, but partnerships with organizations like National Geographic and Molex help advance the science and raise awareness. Ultimately, reducing greenhouse gas emissions is necessary to mitigate the worst impacts on glaciers and secure a sustainable water future for communities around the world.

    • Effective communication crucial for climate changePlatforms like Rolex's Perpetual Planet Initiative bring diverse communities together to understand climate change, bridge gap between scientists and public, and educate next generation.

      Effective communication is crucial in addressing climate change. Dr. Tom Crowther, a climate scientist, emphasizes the importance of platforms like Rolex's Perpetual Planet Initiative, which brings together diverse communities to better understand critical climate elements and encourages risky field science. He believes that improving communication about the urgency and impacts of climate change is essential to bridge the gap between scientists and the public, as well as policy makers. Dr. Crowther also stresses the importance of educating the next generation about climate change and equipping them with the necessary knowledge and skills to navigate the challenging future. Overall, he sees a significant responsibility for geographers to understand both the physical underpinnings of climate change and the adaptations needed to deal with its consequences.

    • Adapting to Extreme Weather EventsWhile we work towards limiting global warming, it's crucial to adapt to current and future extreme weather events to ensure long-term well-being for humanity. Humanity's ability to acknowledge negative impacts and seek alternatives is a significant achievement, and we're already seeing progress towards more sustainable solutions.

      While it's crucial to work towards limiting global warming, it's equally important to adapt to the current and future extreme weather events as we're not well-equipped to handle them. Adaptation is necessary because we weren't adapted to the past conditions and will face even more challenges as the climate changes. It's essential to recognize that humanity's ability to acknowledge the negative impact of our actions and seek alternatives is a significant achievement. We have the capacity to put the interests of future generations first and make choices that ensure long-term well-being for humanity. While it's easy to lose hope, there are reasons for optimism. We're already seeing progress in bending the curve towards more sustainable solutions, demonstrating the positive side of human nature.

    • Recognizing the importance of decisions being made now for future generationsWe have the power to create a sustainable future by making the right decisions now regarding renewable energy, shaping the world for the next thousand years and ensuring a bright future for humanity.

      We have the power to make a significant impact on the future of our planet, particularly when it comes to the transition to renewable energy. Our awareness and understanding of climate change have grown immensely, and it's crucial that we recognize the importance of the decisions being made now. These decisions will shape the world for the next thousand years, and it's not the future generation that will bear the consequences, but rather those in positions of power today. If we get this next step right, the future for humanity could be very bright indeed. We've crossed a critical threshold, and it's up to us to seize this opportunity and create a sustainable future. Listen to the full podcast on the Times Radio app or wherever you get your podcasts.

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