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    • Collaboration and the right tools for great achievementsUnderstanding stocks and making informed decisions can lead to significant progress, while collaboration and proper hydration enhance team performance.

      Collaboration and the right tools can help individuals and teams achieve great things. Atlassian software, used by millions of teams worldwide, including Fortune 500 companies, enables teams to work together effectively. Meanwhile, proper hydration with Smartwater alkaline is essential for optimal performance. In this episode of 1st Prop Markets, we discussed the basics of stocks, and Scott shared his personal story of buying his first shares at 13 years old. This anecdote emphasizes the importance of understanding the stock market and making informed investment decisions. Whether it's collaboration, hydration, or investing, taking the right steps and utilizing the right resources can lead to significant progress.

    • The Modern Corporation: Collective Ownership and Efficient ManagementThe modern corporation, an innovation of the industrial revolution, enables collective ownership, efficient management, and legal recognition for large-scale businesses, shaping economic security and opportunities.

      Stocks represent ownership in a corporation, allowing many people to collectively own and finance large-scale businesses. This innovation, which emerged during the industrial revolution, addressed challenges of joint ownership by creating the modern corporation as a legal construct. This entity, which can own property, enter contracts, and pay taxes, among other things, enables efficient management and resolution of complex issues related to profits, losses, and leadership. The speaker's personal story of mentorship and early investment in stocks highlights the significance of this financial system in shaping economic security and opportunities.

    • Limited liability and risk-taking in businessLimited liability allows individuals to invest in businesses with less personal risk, encouraging more economic growth and complex enterprise management through stock ownership.

      Corporations and limited liability provide a way for individuals to engage in business ventures with limited personal risk. This protection of personal assets encourages more risk-taking and investment in business. Corporations also allow for large groups of people to share in the economic risk and management of complex enterprises through the use of stock. Stockholders are the ultimate owners of the corporation and its assets, including profits, and have the potential to receive dividends or claim remaining assets if the company goes out of business or is sold. Overall, the corporate form is a crucial tool for managing economic risk and facilitating the growth of complex businesses.

    • Real ownership and voting rightsOwning stock gives you tangible assets and voting power, with control varying based on company size and number of shareholders, and the board of directors acting as intermediary for major decisions, requiring shareholder approval.

      Contrary to popular belief, owning stock provides more than just a theoretical connection to a company. It grants real ownership over tangible assets and the right to have a say in decision-making through the voting process. The degree of control varies depending on the size of the company and the number of shareholders. While individual shareholders in large public companies may have limited influence, collectively they hold the ultimate authority. The board of directors is the primary intermediary between shareholders and management, and they are responsible for major corporate decisions. Shareholders vote based on their share ownership, and the most significant decisions, such as the sale of a company, require their approval. Even if you buy stock through a broker, you retain the right to vote.

    • The Influence of Shareholders and Activist Investors on Corporate GovernanceShareholders and activist investors can influence corporate decisions, but their impact depends on the company's governance structure and market conditions. Staying informed and engaged is key for maximizing influence.

      While shareholders, even large mutual funds, have the right to vote on corporate decisions, their influence can be limited. Activist investors can push for change, but their success depends on the specific circumstances, including the company's governance structure. The price of a stock is influenced by various factors, including corporate decisions, market conditions, and investor sentiment. Despite the potential limitations, corporate governance remains important as it can impact a company's direction and ultimately, its financial performance. Shareholders should stay informed and engaged to maximize their impact.

    • Market sentiment vs long-term valueInvesting in stocks is about owning a piece of a company's future success, with long-term value determined by financial performance and growth potential, while short-term prices can be influenced by market sentiment and speculation.

      The value of a stock is determined by its relationship to the underlying assets and future profits of a company, as well as the economic rights and control that come with ownership. In the short term, market sentiment and speculation can influence the stock price, but in the long term, the stock price reflects the company's financial performance and growth potential. The quote "the market is a voting machine in the short run and a weighing machine in the long run" by Benjamin Graham highlights this idea. The hard way to determine a stock's value involves projecting future cash flows and adding them up to find the total value. Ultimately, owning stock is an investment in a company's future success, and the economic rights and control that come with ownership can impact that success and, in turn, the stock price.

    • Determining a Company's Stock ValueStock prices are influenced by future profits, market sentiment, and control rights. Analysts use methods like DCF and multiples to estimate worth, but short-term prices are based on buyers and sellers' willingness to pay.

      The value of a company's stock is primarily determined by the expected future profits of the company, but the short-term price is influenced by market sentiment and supply and demand. Analysts use methods like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and multiples to estimate a company's worth based on its future profits and financial metrics. However, control rights also play a role, as someone with more control over a company can add more value and is willing to pay a higher price. In the short term, the market price is based on what buyers and sellers are willing to pay, which can vary.

    • Price vs. Value in Stock InvestingInvestors should evaluate traditional valuation metrics to ensure stock price aligns with underlying value, but market can get it wrong, requiring liquidity and informed decision making

      While the price of a stock reflects the collective decisions and motivations of various investors, it may not align with the underlying value of the company's future profits. The value of a stock is the claim to a company's future profits, but the price is simply what someone else is willing to pay. It's crucial for investors to evaluate the traditional valuation metrics, such as price-to-earnings, enterprise value-to-revenue, and enterprise value-to-EBITDA, to determine if the price is in line with the underlying value. However, the market can get it wrong, and the price may not reflect the true value. Over the long term, valuation will eventually rule the day, but it's essential to stay liquid and not get caught up in the hype or fear, which can lead to irrational price movements. In essence, investors should make informed decisions based on a thorough understanding of both the price and the underlying value of the stock.

    • The Power of MentorshipSuccessful people should invest time and energy into mentoring young individuals, as small acts of kindness can lead to significant outcomes for both parties.

      The importance of mentorship and the positive impact it can have on someone's life. The story of the speaker and Cy Cordner, the stockbroker, is a heartwarming reminder of the power of taking an interest in someone's well-being, especially in young people. Cy didn't have any economic gain in mind when he befriended the speaker, but their connection left a lasting impact on the speaker's life. This experience taught the speaker that successful men have an obligation to invest their time and energy into the lives of others, especially children who may not have the same opportunities. The speaker's story also came full circle when he reconnected with Cy years later, and they discovered that Cy had built a successful business selling fur coats in Sacramento. The episode serves as a reminder that the smallest acts of kindness and mentorship can lead to significant outcomes for both the mentor and the mentee.

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    Create Your Investing Profile & Share It on Savvy Trader w/ Hamid Shojaee

    BRT S03 EP58 (157) 11-20-2022

     

    What We Learned This Week

    • Savvy Trader allows you to share your portfolio
    • Investing Track Record - see how people actually invest & their results
    • Why Software is Such a Good Business Model, Build 1x, sell multiple X
    • VCs want to see Traction in Startups
    • Cost of Customer Acquisition (CAC) & Long term Value of a Custer (LTV) are critical in scaling a startup long term, how much does it cost to get a customer, and how long do you keep them 

     

     

     

    Guests: Hamid Shojaee AZ Tech Beat

    https://aztechbeat.com/

    https://azdisruptors.com/

    https://www.azcowork.com/         

    Hamid talks all thing AZ tech, Startups and what the world of an Angel Investor really looks like. His 2 decades + of experience is laid out, from starting and running software companies, plus exited the industry to now an Angel Investor mentoring the next generation of Startups.

    Hamid (Founder of Axosoft and Pure Chat) has always had a passion in helping Arizona's up-and-coming tech talent. Since 2010, Hamid has been involved with various AZ tech initiatives, including bringing tech founder and CEOs together, investing in startups and helping push the #YesPHX community forward.

    Axosoft – software tools for software development

    PureChat – live chat software for websites

    Hamid is a 20 year + software veteran who’s built four different multi-million dollar SaaS products in the last twenty years. He recently sold two software companies, Axosoft and Pure Chat, and has been advising and investing in Arizona-based startups for nearly a decade. He recently announced he’ll be investing $10 million in promising Arizona tech startups. Hamid is also host of the AZ Tech Podcast, where he interviews Arizona’s most successful founders, investors and doers.

    AZ Disruptors is founded by Hamid Shojaee (@hamids) and Lawdan Shojaee (@lawdan) as a vehicle to invest in for-profit companies that want to make the world a better place, with a geographical focus on Arizona’s tech ecosystem. Working with startups and investing (20 companies). The criteria listed on the website for a Startup to be considered for investment.

    AZ CoWork was founded by Hamid and Lawdan Shojaee as a way to support and foster the next generation of fast-growing tech companies in Arizona. They designed the 12,000 square-foot space, which conveniently sits directly below Axosoft and PureChat, to cater specifically towards tech startups through hosting various local startup groups and events, providing mentorship opportunities, and cultivating a community of like-minded founders. 

    AZ Tech Beat is Arizona’s online news source for everything related to technology and science. We aim to highlight the efforts of the talented Arizonans trying to make a positive impact in the world. We also produce AZ Tech Podcast (https://aztechbeat.com/category/podcast/), a weekly show featuring conversations with some of Arizona’s most interesting founders, investors, scientists and other doers. Covers the AZ Startup community, the struggles and people involved. Find the podcast library here, watch the interviews on YouTube or listen on your favorite podcast app.

    AZ Tech Beat is founded by Hamid Shojaee and financially supported by the Shojaee Foundation. Stories are written and reported by Adrienne St. Clair (@agestclair) and Abby Sharpe (@byabbysharpe).

     

     

    https://savvytrader.com/

    What is Savvy Trader?

    Create

    Create a virtual portfolio of your stocks and crypto. Buy or sell your investments at any time to keep your portfolio up to date.

    Share

    Share your portfolio for free, or set a price, for your followers to get access to your portfolio and notified about your trades.

    Notify

    Notify your subscribers when you make a trade. Savvy Trader will send a text or email to everyone subscribed to your portfolio.

     

    Savvy Trader is on a mission to make investment information more accessible.

    Learning about stocks and crypto can be intimidating and overwhelming with incredibly high levels of noise and very little signal.

    Savvy Trader helps solve this problem in two ways:

    1. Create and trade stocks and crypto in a safe virtual portfolio environment. The Savvy Trader virtual portfolios work a lot like a real brokerage account, except the trades are not real, allowing users to experiment and learn.
    2. Portfolio Creators can also share their virtual portfolios. A great way to learn about stocks and crypto is to see the virtual portfolios of others, see the actual performance of those portfolios as if they were real, and learn about the reasons behind the creators decisions for buying or selling each holding.

    So go ahead, create a virtual portfolio and share it with the world.

    Speaking of, I have a Savvy Trader virtual portfolio myself. Truth be told, I wanted to create Savvy Trader for myself as an easy way for me to consolidate my holdings in multiple accounts into a single virtual portfolio that represents my actual investments, and I wanted an easy way to share my portfolio details with friends and family. You can subscribe to my portfolio below - it's free!

     

    Notes:

     

    Seg 1

    Hamid has a long history in tech, 20+ years and software. Sold his company in 2020.

    Software is a great and unique business model. You can build the software utility one time and then sell it many times. Build 1x, sell it many x

    The cost is with the software development team, and heavy costs upfront. There is very little traditional capEx long term, as you do not need to build multiple physical products.

    It does not matter if you have one customer, 10,000 customers, or 1,000,000+ customers, all costs the same.

    It is a high margin business with lower expenses, and now you can manage it and host it in the cloud.

    The classic Marc Andreessen quote software will eat in the world

    There is a high bar on user experience which is why you need the best software engineers and they cost a lot of money. With those engineers you can build a great product and scale to millions of users. You will always have the cost of the team on going with maintenance & upgrades needed to the software.

    Software is a never done story, you’re always in development. With some small start ups the founder may be the developer and now you’re just talking the cost of their time and the opportunity cost.

    Venture capitalist want to see traction in a start up, they want the graph to go up into the right. VC are looking for the ability to scale and have a product that can play in a big market.

    VC is looking for the type of market to 10x their invested money, get an ROI to make it worth their time. VC makes many bets because most of them fail, and they need their few successes to be large.

    VC looking for that start up that can become a unicorn, as guy Kawasaki said it is unique and valuable.

    Question does the market or the product come first?

    Hamid built Savvy Trader to solve a problem. He had looked for a solution and could not find it.

     

    Seg 2

    Savvy Trader - what is your performance? Track your portfolio online

    Internet of investing w s Wild West, No idea what peoples track record is

    Get ideas or virtual portfolio to learn, can use portfolio to teach people with case study

    Skin in the game - where people put $

    Follow investors online, know if full of crap or not, not cherry picking winners, and post with survivor bias. Hamid portfolio is down in 2022 and you can see it

    Long time investor in the Buffett mode

    Investment style - buy cos you know and understand

    Good valuation, market cap not ridiculous

    What is the revenue? Any profit? Strong financials vs market cap

    Investing is 10% identifying cos to buy and 90% wait, as can’t impact outcome

    Could be years before know if investing choice was right

    Pandemic valuations during 2020 were way too high.

    Case study of looking at investment potential.

    Apple is a $2 trillion company so there is diminished potential to have a 10x return as it would then need to become a $20 trillion company. When a company is so large it is hard to move the needle.

    The entire stock market valuation is $46 trillion. Netflix is $128 billion company so 10 X is Plausible through user growth, ad revenue, and raising rates.

    Micro cap stocks are smaller companies with higher risk but the potential to 10x. You want to look for stocks with the potential of growth, that not have not achieve success yet.

     

    Seg 3

    Hamid owns Tesla, Netflix, FB, Uber

    How to think about diversification, Hamid makes 2 to 3 bigger bats in the past when is risk tolerance was higher, now it is lower so he makes 4 to 5 bets. If you have too much diversification, your returns will be subdued.

    Facebook stock as a case study, over the short term the market over reacts and is very emotional. the.com boom and bust of 2000 or the 2008 housing market crash, or current 2022 and people are sour on tech stocks.

    Netflix stock was $600 in late 2021 and drop two as low as 170 in the summer of 2022. Financially Netflix lost 1 million users or a half a percent of their 200 million user base. Contrast that the stock lost 70% of its value. It has rebounded back up to 310.

    Market over reacts on the highs and lows stocks are over bought of times and then oversold.

    Facebook was at 380 in late 2021, and now is at 100 in the fall of 2022. Seems like Facebook is at a discount? Did the market overreact or did Mark Zuckerberg become an idiot overnight? Same people bought Facebook at $300 plus and then sold it at 150.

    Stock analyst give buy ratings to stocks when they’re at their high and sell ratings when they’re at that low. Analyst seem to follow momentum.

    Some selling in the market creates more selling. This has to do with momentum and fund managers who have to dump losers, boat with high speed traders selling.

     

    Seg 4

    Tesla stock has seen a bomb in the last few years. Turns out the retail investor was right for a stock analyst who would recommend Tesla to be sold.

    Tesla has 70% of the EV market. SpaceX is building reusable rockets, a feet that even NASA could not do. Obviously Musk knows something.

    Facebook has 2 billion users daily and is still making billions and add revenue. When you’re investing in the start up world anymore diversification versus public markets has 80% of startups fail. You need the one or two that succeed to vastly make up for the money invested in all start ups.

    Hamid advises founders on a limited basis. Common piece of advice is that they’re going to need a long runway, and it will be difficult to raise money in the current environment. He believes there will be less start ups being created with huge money behind them in 2023.

    More start ups will fail in 2023. Cost of money / debt is higher. On the positive side there may be less competition for start ups. hamid personally saw some unreal valuations over the last year.

    One example is he was offered to invest in a company that claim their own valuation was at $1 billion when they only had $17 million in sales. Early stage start ups are not expected to have a valuation, sales or profitability. Later on though your valuation goes hand-in-hand with revenue. Expected valuations are 3x to 7x of revenues.

    FTX downfall was through exuberance. At one point they were rumored to be buying more Robin Hood as well as other crypto companies. Their exchange always seemed a little shady, like a black box with no info on financials, no one knew what was behind the veil.

    It’s a common red flag if a company is churning through cash too quickly.

    Uber was the company at one point that had serious churn in the beginning, but now seems to be a better investment. They are profitable and seem to be sustainable. Uber customers will stay just like Netflix they’re likely not to cancel. The cost of the customer acquisition plus the lifetime value of the customer is very solid.

    Uber valuation is 62 billion with limited profitability right now. Oddly enough it’s a lower market cap than it was five years ago when I wasn’t profitable at all.

    value investors get frustrated with tech valuations being so wide-eyed.

    Uber will continue to grow, as now it has three revenue sources. It makes money from the rides, the eats, and the freight division. The eats plus freight division is a little over half their income and actually more income for us the rides.

    Per Elon Mosk Robo taxis will be available in the next five years which will make rideshare is bigger. This may not happen in five years but likely in the future.

    Uber CEO Dara K ran Expedia prior to Uber so obviously you know something about running a big company. Uber followed the same story as Google did 20 years ago when they needed to hire an adult in the room, professional manager. This mirrors when Google hired Eric Schmidt.

     

     

     

     

    Tech Topic: https://brt-show.libsyn.com/category/Tech-Startup-VC-Cybersecurity-Energy-Science

     

    ‘Best Of’ Topic: https://brt-show.libsyn.com/category/Best+of+BRT

     

    Thanks for Listening.

    Please Subscribe to the BRT Podcast. 

     

    Business Roundtable with Matt Battaglia

    The show where EntrepreneursHigh Level Executives, Business Owners, and Investors come to share insight and ideas about the future of businessBRT 2.0 looks at the new trends in business, and how classic industries are evolving

    Common Topics Discussed: Business, Entrepreneurship, Investing, Stocks, Cannabis, Tech, Blockchain / Crypto, Real Estate, Legal, Sales, Charity, and more… 

    BRT Podcast Home Page: https://brt-show.libsyn.com/

    ‘Best Of’ BRT Podcast: Click Here

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    BRT Podcast on Spotify: Click Here                   

    More Info: https://www.economicknight.com/podcast-brt-home/

    KFNX Info: https://1100kfnx.com/weekend-featured-shows/

     

    Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this program are those of the Hosts, Guests and Speakers, and do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of any entities they represent (or affiliates, members, managers, employees or partners), or any Station, Podcast Platform, Website or Social Media that this show may air on. All information provided is for educational and entertainment purposes. Nothing said on this program should be considered advice or recommendations in: business, legal, real estate, crypto, tax accounting, investment, etc. Always seek the advice of a professional in all business ventures, including but not limited to: investments, tax, loans, legal, accounting, real estate, crypto, contracts, sales, marketing, other business arrangements, etc.

     

     

    #53 Toby Main - Venture Capital, Private Equity, and Mentoring

    #53 Toby Main - Venture Capital, Private Equity, and Mentoring

    Toby is the Co-Founder and Managing Director of Efficient Frontier Investing, a Swiss financial product engineering firm. He also founded Isla Capital Management, a company that providers bespoke financial Solutions in Asset Management and Advisory Services. Before he was active as as Interim CIO at Status Capital and active in several Roles at Bedrock Group, one of Europe’s biggest Family Offices. 

    Toby tells us his approach on getting returns above the efficient frontier by understanding, quantifying and managing risk. Toby takes us through their Investment Process and gives us some great insights into the Private Equity Market in Switzerland. We also talk about the importance of Mentoring, a having good reputation and building trust. Toby didn’t mention it in the episode, but sent me the link to a great TED talk on coaching and mentoring he wanted you listeners to know about. The talk is named “Want to get great at something? Get a coach” by Atul Gawande. The link is of course also in the show notes. 

    Tech Resilience, Snowflake Slowdown, Nvidia And AI With Julian Lin

    Tech Resilience, Snowflake Slowdown, Nvidia And AI With Julian Lin
    Julian Lin discusses the tech sector, macro headwinds and recent earnings.

    (0:30) - Tech's powerful recovery
    (2:34) - Nvidia and how AI may impact tech as a whole
    (5:30) - AI stocks' rich valuations, but don't short
    (9:00) - Snowflake's slowdown not hard to understand
    (14:30) - Macro environment means companies having to rationalize costs.

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    Show Notes:
    Julian Lin on Seeking Alpha

    Best Of Breed Growth Stocks

    Snowflake: 40% Revenue Growth With 25% Free Cash Flow Margins