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    Prof G Markets: Will Tesla Reward Elon and Move to Texas? + Bank Earnings and Basel Endgame

    enApril 22, 2024

    Podcast Summary

    • Schwab's Thematic Investing and Ed's TED Talks ExperienceSchwab's thematic investing simplifies investing by allowing individuals to invest in ideas they believe in, while Public.com offers a high yield cash account with an impressive 5.1% APY.

      Schwab offers thematic investing, making it easy for individuals to invest in ideas they believe in, such as online music and videos, artificial intelligence, electric vehicles, and more. Schwab's research process uncovers emerging trends and their technology curates relevant stocks into themes, allowing investors to choose from over 40 themes and invest accordingly. Public.com, a sponsor of this podcast, offers a high yield cash account with an impressive 5.1% annual percentage yield. Ed shared his experience at TED Talks, where he met some of his role models and admired their work. Despite the nerves, he had a wonderful time and was glad to meet Monica Lewinsky and other impressive young people. In Vancouver for the event, Ed was in a good place and appreciated the friendly atmosphere. The talk went well, and everyone was nice to him. Overall, the podcast discussed Schwab's thematic investing and Ed's experience at TED Talks, as well as a high yield cash account offer from Public.com.

    • US Economy Defies Expectations with 2.7% Growth, Consumer Spending BoostsThe US economy is growing at a faster rate than other G7 nations, with consumers benefiting from higher interest rates on deposits, and Microsoft's investment in g42 strengthening US-UAE tech ties, while United Airlines reports strong earnings despite Boeing losses, and TikTok introduces a new app to compete with Instagram.

      The US economy is defying expectations with its resilience, despite higher interest rates. The IMF forecasted a 2.7% growth rate for the US, higher than any other G7 nation. This growth may be due to consumers having more money from increased interest on their deposits, offsetting the cost of higher interest rates. Microsoft's investment in the Abu Dhabi-based AI company, g42, is another notable development. The addition of Microsoft President Brad Smith to g42's board and Microsoft's provision of cloud services to the company could strengthen the relationship between the US and the UAE in the tech sector. However, concerns about interlocking board seats between Microsoft and other AI companies persist. United Airlines also reported stronger-than-expected earnings, despite losses from grounded Boeing 737 Max planes. TikTok introduced a new app, TikTok Notes, in Australia and Canada, as it continues to compete with Instagram. The stock market saw ups and downs, with Truth Social experiencing significant volatility following announcements about new initiatives and additional share sales. Overall, the economy and tech sectors continue to evolve, with significant investments and developments shaping their trajectories.

    • Microsoft and Amazon's AI Investment DominanceMicrosoft and Amazon invested over 60% of global AI investment in 2021, raising concerns for market ossification and reduced competition.

      Microsoft and Amazon have become dominant players in the AI investment market, accounting for nearly two-thirds of global AI investment last year. Microsoft alone invested more in AI than all other VC firms combined. This raises concerns about potential market ossification and reduced competition. The speaker also discussed the potential impact of meme stocks, such as Truth Social, which may experience a return to reality as investors may eventually recognize the true value of these companies. The speaker also touched upon the potential divestment of TikTok and its challenge to Meta. While the speaker acknowledges the potential benefits of these investments for Microsoft and Amazon, they emphasized the importance of good corporate governance to ensure fair competition and prevent disadvantaging the market.

    • Investing in TikTok's secondary market and B2B marketing insightsConsider investing in TikTok's secondary market for potential profits from a ByteDance divestment. Focus on return on ad spend (ROAS) in B2B marketing, and use LinkedIn for targeted B2B advertising. Effective communication and writing are crucial, and tools like Grammarly can help.

      The speaker believes it could be a profitable time to invest in TikTok's secondary market, anticipating a potential divestment from ByteDance and potential growth similar to Meta, despite geopolitical uncertainties. Additionally, the importance of return on ad spend (ROAS) in business-to-business (B2B) marketing was highlighted, and LinkedIn was suggested as a platform to reach specific audiences for B2B advertising. Furthermore, the importance of clear communication and effective writing, aided by tools like Grammarly, was emphasized. Lastly, Mint Mobile was introduced as a successful disruptor in the wireless industry, offering affordable plans through an online-only model.

    • Tesla's Controversial Compensation Plan and Shareholder VoteThe focus of Tesla's shareholder vote on Elon Musk's compensation is complicated by recent layoffs, executive departures, and poor stock performance. The previous plan was deemed unfair due to non-independent directors, lack of negotiation, and inadequate disclosure.

      The recent proposal for Tesla shareholders to vote on the reinstatement of Elon Musk's compensation package and potential reincorporation in Texas comes at an awkward time for the company, which is dealing with layoffs, executive departures, and poor stock performance. The court previously found Musk's original compensation plan invalid due to non-independent directors, lack of negotiation, and inadequate disclosure to shareholders. The court deemed the plan unfair and ordered its rescission. The controversy surrounds the term "equitable," and some argue that the focus should be on the actual value of the options package at the time of award, which was much lower than the headline figure. Ultimately, the key issue is ensuring that compensation decisions align with the company's purpose and serve the best interests of all shareholders.

    • Excessive executive compensation and its impact on shareholders and industryExcessive executive compensation, when tied to unrealistic targets or threats to leave, can harm shareholders and set damaging precedents for the industry. Older corporate governance principles prioritize shareholders' interests and discourage excessive compensation.

      Excessive executive compensation, especially when tied to unrealistic performance targets or threats to leave the company, can be detrimental to shareholders and the industry as a whole. The case of Elon Musk at Tesla, where he demanded a large equity grant or threatened to leave, set a damaging precedent for Silicon Valley and led to other CEOs making similar demands. The board's failure to stand firm against Musk's demands not only affected Tesla shareholders but also influenced compensation practices in the industry. Older corporate governance principles emphasize the importance of putting shareholders' interests first and avoiding excessive executive compensation.

    • CEOs seeking more equity despite holding significant sharesCEOs expect more equity, complicating power dynamics and potentially conflicting with shareholders' interests

      The power dynamic between CEOs and boards has shifted, with CEOs increasingly expecting more equity despite already holding significant shares. This trend, which goes against the traditional notion that an enterprise should be bigger than any individual, has led to controversial decisions and potential conflicts of interest. Elon Musk's request for additional equity in Tesla, which was denied, serves as a recent example of this trend. The market's perception of Musk as synonymous with Tesla and his exceptional status further complicates the issue. While some argue that Texas's different governance approach could lead to approval of such compensation packages, others believe it's an ego-driven decision that goes against shareholders' self-interest. Ultimately, the issue highlights the need for careful consideration and balance between CEO compensation and the interests of all shareholders.

    • The Myth of CEO Poaching and Exorbitant PayCEOs have unique skills and often make mistakes. Effective boards should challenge and guide them, not pay them exorbitantly based on fear of poaching.

      The belief that superstar CEOs need to be paid exorbitantly due to the risk of them leaving for a similar company is a misconception. Based on a study of 1500 companies over 15 years, only 17 lateral moves were found, and most of those were unsuccessful. CEOs have company-specific skills and often make mistakes, which a good board should help prevent. However, in cases where CEOs dominate their boards through personality or dual class stock, they may not be effectively challenged, leading to potential issues for the company. Elon Musk, for instance, could have avoided the scrutiny of shareholders by taking Tesla private. Ultimately, CEOs have a fiduciary duty to their shareholders and should not be given carte blanche based on the fear of being replaced. Instead, effective boards should challenge and guide CEOs to make decisions that benefit the company as a whole.

    • Communication and collaboration tools keep teams aligned, Investment banking sees growth, Consumer banks face challengesEffective tools help teams work together, Investment banking profits from consolidation, capital inflows, and focus, Consumer banks lose net interest income, Fed's new regulation may increase capital requirements

      Effective communication and collaboration tools, like those offered by Atlassian, are essential for keeping teams, regardless of size or location, aligned and working towards shared goals. Meanwhile, in the financial sector, investment banking is experiencing significant growth, with increased revenue from underwriting and debt sales. This growth can be attributed to several factors, including consolidation, capital inflows, and a renewed focus on investment banking services. However, consumer banks have seen a decrease in net interest income due to consumers moving their deposits into higher yield savings accounts, forcing banks to pay out more interest on their assets. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's proposed new bank regulation, known as Basel Endgame, could increase capital requirements for large banks, potentially impacting their profitability. Overall, the financial sector is experiencing both challenges and opportunities, and it will be important for banks to adapt and innovate in order to stay competitive.

    • Fed's proposed bank capital increase: Balancing risk and growthThe Fed's plan to boost bank capital by 16% sparks debate between resilience and economic growth. Banks argue they're already capitalized, while some argue excessive requirements could hinder growth.

      The Federal Reserve's proposal to increase capital requirements for banks by an average of 16% is a reaction to the Silicon Valley Bank collapse from last year. The Fed believes that larger assets equate to more resilience against financial crises. However, banks argue that they are already sufficiently capitalized and that these higher requirements will restrict their ability to take on risk and lend, ultimately leading to increased costs for consumers. Some argue that the banking system is resilient, as shown by the FDIC's ability to recover from the SVB collapse. Others believe that while some capital requirements are necessary, excessive requirements could hinder economic growth by limiting the amount of money available for lending. Ultimately, the debate revolves around balancing risk and growth in the banking sector.

    • The Power of Wealth: Generosity, Forgiveness, and the Path to ProsperityWealth isn't just about income, save, diversify, avoid costly mistakes, be generous, forgive, and anticipate market drops.

      Financial security is not just about earning a good income, but also about saving, diversifying, and approaching capital deployment wisely. The speaker, inspired by studies showing the impact of peer groups on economic outcomes, wrote a book to share these principles and dispel the myth that wealthy people are inherently bad. He emphasizes the importance of generosity, forgiveness, and avoiding costly mistakes like divorce. The book is geared towards those who anticipate making a decent living and are willing to put in effort towards financial security. The speaker predicts a significant stock market drop in the near future.

    • Find top talent on LinkedIn jobsLinkedIn jobs connects you with potential candidates who might not be actively searching, increasing your chances of finding top talent quickly and efficiently.

      While receiving a large number of resumes through traditional methods can provide a wide range of candidates, using LinkedIn jobs for hiring offers several advantages. LinkedIn isn't just a job board; it's a platform that connects you with professionals who might not be actively searching for a new job but are still a great fit for your position. Our team had success sourcing quality candidates quickly by posting on LinkedIn jobs, and according to LinkedIn's data, 86% of small businesses find a qualified candidate within 24 hours. By posting your job for free on LinkedIn (linkedin.com/prof), you can streamline your hiring process and potentially find top talent that you might not have reached otherwise. Keep in mind that terms and conditions apply.

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