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    Pub quiz showdown: Alphaville vs Unhedged

    enNovember 07, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Pub Quiz on The Unhedged Podcast Illustrates Importance of Staying InformedUnderstanding market trends and staying informed is crucial in managing risk and making informed investment decisions.

      While it's important to consider risk-adjusted returns in investing, it's equally crucial not to focus solely on expected returns. The discussion on The Outthinking Investor podcast emphasizes the importance of managing risk in uncertain times. To illustrate this concept, a pub quiz was held on the Unhedged podcast, where two teams, Feet Alphaville and the unhedged squad, competed to answer 10 questions. The rules were simple: the team that answered a question correctly would receive 1,000,000,000 points, and the losing team would have to write something nice about the other team on their platform. The first question went to team AlphaVille, asking about the percentage increase in the price of orange juice futures this year. Despite Robin Wigglesworth's initial skepticism, the team agreed that the price had increased by around 95%. This quiz not only showcased the teams' knowledge but also highlighted the importance of being aware of market trends and staying informed.

    • Orange juice futures surge unexpectedly, Instacart plummetsOrange juice futures experienced a 95% increase this year while Instacart saw a 40% price drop.

      During the discussion, it was revealed that orange juice futures have seen a significant increase of 95% this year. This substantial rise was described as "sexy and fun" and came as a surprise to some participants. In contrast, during the same Q&A session, it was mentioned that Instacart has experienced a much larger price drop compared to other stocks, with a fall of approximately 40%. Despite a team's prediction that Birkenstock would be the answer to a question, the correct answer was actually Instacart. Additionally, a fun fact was shared that Robin Wigglesworth, a participant in the discussion, is Norwegian, and a question arose about the age comparison between the Crown Prince of Norway, Hakon, and Rob Armstrong. The correct answer, revealed with the help of pronunciation, was that the Crown Prince is older than Rob.

    • Determining ages of notable figuresThrough shared memories and research, the team accurately determined the ages of Rob Armstrong, Elon Musk, and Crown Prince Haakon of Norway, despite initial confusion.

      During a discussion about the ages of Rob Armstrong and Elon Musk, it was discovered that Rob Armstrong is indeed older than Crown Prince Haakon of Norway, but only by a couple of years. The team also determined that Elon Musk is older than Rob Armstrong, but only by one month. Despite some confusion and misinformation, the team was able to come to an accurate conclusion through a combination of shared memories and research. Another topic discussed was the number of children each team had accumulated, with Team Alphaville leading the way with a significant margin. The team also encountered some technical difficulties with the timer during the discussion. Overall, the team demonstrated a collaborative and determined approach to resolving the age-related queries.

    • Financial predictions can be uncertain, even for expertsExperts can make mistakes in complex financial questions, but staying informed and open-minded can lead to new knowledge and opportunities.

      Despite our best efforts, even the most confident predictions can be off the mark when it comes to complex financial questions. During a recent trivia game, the teams debated the correct answer to two questions, with one team taking the lead with their answer for the Norwegian expression and the number of times Venezuela has defaulted on its government debt. However, they were both wrong, with the correct answers being "Nearly shoots no man off the horse" and "11" respectively. This goes to show that even experts can make mistakes, and that emerging markets can present both uncertainty and opportunity. The game served as a reminder that it's important to stay informed, but also to be open-minded and willing to learn from mistakes. In the end, Alphaville maintained their lead, but the real winners were those who gained new knowledge and had fun in the process.

    • PGIM confirms Bank of Japan's yen intervention during Plaza AccordPGIM revealed historical facts about the Bank of Japan's intervention to weaken the yen during the Plaza Accord in the late 1980s, worth 2,000,000,000 points in a trivia game.

      PGIM, a leading global asset manager, offers market insights with deep global and local expertise to help investors navigate current challenges. Regarding the question about the Bank of Japan intervening to weaken the yen, it was confirmed to have occurred during the Plaza Accord in the late 1980s due to a real-world event, a massive earthquake and tsunami. In a trivia game context, the team "Alphaville" earned 2,000,000,000 points for correctly answering this question. Another question asked about a singer who refused 200,000 Bitcoin as payment for a gig in 2009. Despite popular belief, it was not Taylor Swift, and the team was unable to come up with a definitive answer before running out of time.

    • Lily Allen's Small Bitcoin Investment Could Have Been Worth BillionsA small Bitcoin investment made a decade ago could have grown exponentially, emphasizing the importance of staying informed and paying attention to details.

      Lily Allen, a British singer and actress, once owned approximately $200 worth of Bitcoin back in 2010 when its value was just 0.00099 cents. This small investment would have grown exponentially by November 2021, reaching a value of 13.6 billion dollars. The discussion also revealed that Lily Allen is married to actor and director Sam McIntyre, and she once gave a suggestion for a lactation consultancy business name on Twitter. Another interesting point from the conversation was the final question about Mario Draghi's tie color when he made his famous "whatever it takes" statement. The team, Feet Alphaville, correctly guessed it was blue, earning them a massive 3,000,000,000 points. Unhedged team missed out on the chance to win the game but still had a shot at gaining 3 billion points by answering the final question correctly. The discussion also touched upon the topic of Bitcoin's value increase over the years and the significance of small investments. It also showcased the importance of being informed and paying attention to details, as the correct answer to the final question was crucial for gaining a substantial number of points.

    • A lighthearted discussion about guessing Christine Lagarde's brooch typeTeams engaged in a fun and competitive guessing game, showcasing their determination and playful banter despite the seemingly impossible question.

      During a lively discussion on a podcast, the topic of guessing the type of brooch worn by Christine Lagarde during her press release devolved into a humorous back-and-forth between two teams. Despite the European context of the question, the teams, being Americans, struggled to answer. They made several guesses, including a lion, a dragonfly, and an owl, before finally settling on the correct answer: an owl brooch. The teams took turns making guesses and joking about the unfairness of the question, with one team, Alphaville, ultimately emerging as the winner. The discussion ended with a question about the current price of Dogecoin, which added to the lighthearted and irrelevant nature of the quiz. The conversation showcased the teams' playful banter and their determination to win, even in the face of a seemingly impossible question.

    • Learning from a fun and educational financial quizThough not reaching an exact answer, teams valued the importance of making informed guesses and staying adaptable in financial markets.

      Even though the teams in this discussion came up with different guesses for a specific number related to Dogecoin, they ultimately agreed that the exercise was a fun and educational experience. Despite not reaching an exact answer, they acknowledged the importance of making informed guesses and being open to the possibility of being wrong. The conversation also highlighted the complexity and sometimes unpredictable nature of financial markets, emphasizing the importance of staying informed and adaptable. Ultimately, the teams showed a great sportsman spirit and looked forward to participating in similar quizzes in the future. The discussion also showcased the production quality of the podcast "Unhedged," which is produced by Jake Harper, edited by Brian Erstapp, and features the participation of various other team members and executives.

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