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    Putin's Hold on Power

    en-usJune 30, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Russian President Vladimir Putin faces challenges from Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion in UkrainePutin's image and hold on power are threatened by Prigozhin's populist appeal and anti-establishment narrative. Eliminating him carries risks, but Putin's inability to act decisively could be seen as a sign of weakness.

      The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the rebellion of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin have presented Russian President Vladimir Putin with significant challenges both domestically and internationally. Prigozhin, who has shown populist appeal and a strong narrative against Russian leaders, poses a threat to Putin's image and hold on power. Putin's inability to decisively deal with Prigozhin could be seen as a sign of weakness, but attempting to eliminate him also carries risks. The crisis has highlighted Putin's perception of Russia as an extension of himself, making any threat to his leadership a threat to the country as a whole. This unexpected challenge could have long-lasting consequences for Putin's rule.

    • Russia's internal conflicts and challenges to Putin's rule exposedThe detainment of a top Russian general with ties to a Wagner chief highlights the deep-rooted corruption and dissent within Moscow elites, potentially threatening Putin's long-term standing.

      The recent events in Russia, including an aborted uprising and the detainment of a top Russian general with ties to a Wagner chief, have exposed the internal conflicts and challenges to Vladimir Putin's rule. Putin, who has been in power for 23 years, is facing the greatest challenge since he came to power. The general, Sergei Surovykin, and the Wagner chief, Yevgeny Prigozhin, have a shared view that the Moscow elites are corrupt and not truly fighting for their motherland. This potential proximity of their perspectives creates uncertainty about Putin's long-term standing. The situation is reminiscent of a "glitch in the matrix," where hidden conflicts and tensions among the Russian elites have suddenly come to light. Golnaz Sharafudinova, director of the Russian Institute at King's College London, noted that Putin's rule has been wounded, and this could be a significant turning point in Russian politics.

    • Russian public's reaction to military plane incidentConspiracy theories and ridicule dominated Russian public's reaction to military plane incident, revealing fragility of Putin's power and authority, underscoring importance of effective communication and crisis management.

      The Russian public's reaction to the military plane incident reveals the fragility of Putin's power and authority. While some dismissed it as a conspiracy or a staged event, others mocked the situation, indicating a loss of confidence in Putin's ability to manage conflicts. Conspiracy theories and ridicule were the two dominant reactions, highlighting the challenges the Russian government faces in maintaining its image and control. The incident underscores the importance of effective communication and crisis management in maintaining public trust and support. The Russian people's responses demonstrate the complex and nuanced nature of public opinion and the potential for even the most powerful leaders to face challenges to their authority.

    • Russia's Economic Downturn and Government ResponseSince 2013, Russia's economy has declined, leading to gov't focus on social support. Putin's response includes rallying populace, blaming West, and no signs of reconsidering Ukraine war.

      While Russia experienced economic growth up until around 2013, the situation has taken a downturn since then, particularly after the imposition of sanctions. The government's response has been to focus on social support and benefits to combat poverty, but this does not equate to new cars or housing. The future moves of President Putin are uncertain, with potential repressions and revengeful acts expected. There is no indication that the mutiny will cause him to reconsider his war in Ukraine. Instead, Putin has used the situation to rally the population behind him and blame the West for trying to fragment Russia.

    • Is Putin's biggest challenge internal or external?Former US diplomat Elizabeth Shackelford and expert Golnar Sharafudinova discuss the potential implications of Putin's domestic standing amidst the conflict in Ukraine

      Putin's biggest battle is currently unfolding on the front lines in Ukraine, and the outcome of this conflict will significantly impact his relationship with both the Russian people and elites. However, a former US diplomat, Elizabeth Shackelford, raises the question of whether Putin's greatest challenge might be internal, with his own people. Golnar Sharafudinova, an expert on Russian politics and the director of the Russia Institute at King's College London, shares this perspective on NPR's "Consider This." While the conflict in Ukraine is a pressing concern, it's essential to consider the potential implications for Putin's domestic standing. Listen to the full conversation on NPR or check out Washington Wise, an original podcast from Charles Schwab, for more insights on how political developments can impact your finances. And don't forget to tune in to The Daily Show Ears Edition podcast for the latest headlines and exclusive interviews.

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