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    The ‘Ponzi scheme’ behind Lebanon’s economic collapse

    enDecember 13, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Central Bank Governor Riyadh Saleh's controversial cash seizure during Lebanon's economic crisisCentral Bank Governor Riyadh Saleh's cash seizure at a French airport during Lebanon's economic crisis highlighted the stark contrast between his lifestyle and the average citizen's struggles, and raised concerns about his role in the country's economic downfall due to ongoing investigations and allegations of corruption.

      During the Lebanese economic crisis in 2021, Central Bank Governor Riyadh Saleh was stopped at a French airport with over €84,000 and $7,710 in cash, despite claiming to only have €15,000. This incident, occurring at a time when most Lebanese citizens were struggling to survive on minimal income, highlighted the stark contrast between Saleh's lifestyle and that of the average citizen. The timing of this discovery, coupled with the ongoing economic crisis and allegations of fiscal fraud and embezzlement against Saleh, raised significant concerns about his role in Lebanon's economic downfall. Saleh, who had served as the governor of Lebanon's central bank for 30 years, had previously managed the portfolio of a wealthy Lebanese tycoon named Rafit Hadidi, who later became the prime minister of Lebanon. This relationship with Hadidi proved crucial, as Hadidi appointed Saleh to a key position within the central bank. Despite the ongoing investigations against him, Saleh's case is just one example of the rampant corruption within the Lebanese government that has contributed to the country's economic instability.

    • Lebanon's Central Bank Governor's Decision to Peg Lebanese Pound to US DollarPegging currency to a stronger one can bring initial prosperity but may lead to unsustainable debt if reliance on continuous foreign investment is not managed properly.

      Riyadh Saleh, as the governor of Lebanon's Central Bank in the late 1990s, made a critical decision to peg the Lebanese pound to the US dollar at a fixed rate, aiming to provide stability and attract foreign investment. This strategy worked for a while, leading to economic prosperity and reconstruction in Lebanon. However, the reliance on a continuous inflow of dollars led the country to live beyond its means, resulting in massive debt. When the Syrian war broke out in 2011 and Gulf Arab states stopped investing in Lebanon, the country faced financial ruin due to its unsustainable financial situation. This example highlights the risks of relying too heavily on foreign investment and maintaining an unsustainable economic model.

    • Lebanon's Central Bank Governor's Financial Engineering StrategyThe Central Bank of Lebanon's use of deposits to pay off government debt instead of strengthening the economy led to a Ponzi scheme-like situation, resulting in a tripartite crisis involving a currency collapse, banking sector instability, and economic stagnation.

      Riad Salameh, the central bank governor of Lebanon, implemented a financial engineering strategy in 2016 to attract deposits by offering high interest rates. However, instead of using these deposits to strengthen the economy, the Central Bank of Lebanon (BDL) used them to pay off government debt, leading to an unsustainable Ponzi scheme-like situation. When the crisis came to light in late 2019, it resulted in a tripartite crisis involving a currency collapse, banking sector instability, and economic stagnation. Lebanon's currency lost over 90% of its value, leading to skyrocketing food prices, inflation, and widespread economic hardship. Despite the crisis, Saleh continued to prioritize his own actions over the needs of the Lebanese people, leaving millions in financial ruin. This case underscores the importance of transparency and accountability in managing a country's economy and the potential consequences of mismanagement and deception.

    • Investigation into Lebanon's former Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh for embezzling $330 million through shell company Fori AssociatesFormer Lebanon Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh under investigation for embezzling $330 million, using it for luxury real estate acquisitions, and fraudulent financial engineering schemes.

      Former Central Bank Governor of Lebanon, Riad Salameh, is under investigation for allegedly embezzling over $330, million in public funds through a shell company called Fori Associates. The company, which was supposed to be an intermediary between the central bank and commercial banks, was found to have no employees, no fixed telephone line, and no evidence of providing any real services. The majority of the money was reportedly used for luxury real estate acquisitions across European capitals and in the US. The investigation into Fori Associates is just one part of the probe into Salameh's handling of Lebanon's economy and banking sector. Many experts believe that his decision to fix the Lebanese pound and make Lebanon heavily reliant on incoming dollars was the catalyst for the country's economic meltdown. The financial engineering piece, where the central bank used depositor money to pay off government debt, is also under scrutiny and is alleged to be a fraudulent scheme. The investigations into Salameh's wealth and financial dealings are ongoing in multiple countries.

    • Former Lebanon Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh denies corruption allegationsDespite accusations of mismanaging Lebanon's economy and siphoning off funds, Riad Salameh maintains innocence and claims he was just doing his job. Lebanon, one of the most corrupt countries, continues to face economic challenges due to corruption and conflict with Israel and Hamas.

      Riad Salameh, the former central bank governor of Lebanon, has been accused of mismanaging the country's economy and siphoning off millions of dollars, but he maintains his innocence. Saleh's defense is that the central bank has a role in managing the economy, and he was just doing his job. He has denied all allegations of wrongdoing and claims that his personal fortune is legitimately earned. Saleh stepped down from his role earlier this year amidst a storm of corruption allegations and walked out to a cheering crowd, which rubbed many people the wrong way. However, it's important to note that Saleh is not the only person accused of corruption in Lebanon, which is one of the most corrupt countries in the world. The political establishment has been rife with corruption for decades. Additionally, Lebanon's economy is facing further challenges due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas next door, which has caused fear and uncertainty. It remains to be seen if Lebanon's economy can bounce back from these challenges.

    • Lebanon's economic crisis worsened by ongoing warThe war in Lebanon has set back economic progress, and the political establishment's refusal to enact reforms leaves the country vulnerable to further devastation, regardless of the war's outcome. Deep-rooted economic challenges persist.

      Lebanon's economic crisis, which had shown signs of recovery, was significantly set back due to the ongoing war. The political establishment's refusal to enact long-demanded reforms has hindered the country's progress, leaving it vulnerable to further economic devastation if the war escalates. Rai, a former central banker, warns of two possible outcomes: a contained war allowing for a gradual economic recovery, or a larger regional conflict that could decimate Lebanon, leaving little money for reconstruction. The seeds of Lebanon's economic crisis were sown long before the war, and the former central banker, Riyadh Saleh, now in hiding, has seen his reputation shift from "world's best" to "world's worst" central banker over the years. Regardless of the war's outcome, the economic challenges Lebanon faces are deeply rooted.

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