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    The Science of Climate and Weather, with Kathy Sullivan

    en-usJune 16, 2017

    Podcast Summary

    • NASA's Diverse Astronaut Classes and the Creation of NOAANASA's inclusive astronaut classes in the late 70s led to the creation of NOAA, contributing to Earth's climate and weather understanding, essential for life safety.

      The diversity of NASA's astronaut classes, including the first class with women, African Americans, and Asian Americans, was a pioneering achievement that happened during the late 1970s when the focus shifted from space exploration to considering Earth as a linked system. This shift led to the creation of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which combines the study of oceans and the atmosphere. Kathy Sullivan, a trailblazing astronaut and the first American woman to spacewalk, was part of this diverse group. Her experiences and NASA's efforts to make the astronaut corps more inclusive paved the way for a better understanding of Earth's climate and weather, which is crucial for predicting the safety and future of life on our planet.

    • Understanding Earth's Climate: From Jet Streams to Weather SystemsNOAA plays a crucial role in collecting and translating data into useful information for society, including weather forecasting, nautical charting, ocean and coastal management, and research on the earth's complex systems.

      The earth's climate system is interconnected on various scales, from large-scale atmospheric patterns like the jet stream to the formation of weather systems. The jet stream, driven by temperature contrasts between equatorial and polar regions, influences the formation of smaller-scale weather systems. Waves can form for various reasons, including instabilities in the jet stream. NOAA plays a crucial role in understanding the earth and its systems by collecting and translating data into useful information for society, including weather forecasting, nautical charting, ocean and coastal management, and research on the earth's systems as a whole. The concept of a system of systems, where various components interact and influence each other, is important in understanding the complexities of the earth's climate. Feedback loops, such as those in hurricanes, can amplify initial processes, leading to more significant impacts. NOAA's satellites and other data collection methods are essential for predicting and understanding weather patterns, making it a vital resource for individuals and industries alike.

    • Understanding and managing risks through extreme weather eventsImproved technology allows us to better understand and model the weather, transforming raw data into actionable information, helping us make informed decisions and plan for the future while satisfying our curiosity and appreciation for the natural world.

      Humans have a fascination with extreme weather events, which can be both deadly and awe-inspiring. This fascination stems from our desire to understand and manage risks, as well as our visceral connection to the power and scale of these events. The term "weather weenie" refers to individuals who are particularly interested in weather, and it is often used in a playful and endearing way within the community. The study of extreme weather events can help us predict and prepare for future disruptions, but it also taps into our human curiosity and fascination with the natural world. As Kathy Sullivan, former NASA astronaut and head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), explains, advances in technology have allowed us to better understand and model the weather, transforming raw data into actionable information. This improved forecasting ability can help us make informed decisions and plan for the future, while also satisfying our innate curiosity and appreciation for the natural world.

    • Predicting Weather Patterns: Data Analysis, Modeling, and ExpertiseAdvancements in technology and meteorology enable us to analyze data, apply models, and use expert knowledge to predict weather patterns, saving lives and impacting economies.

      Advancements in computing and meteorological understanding have significantly improved our ability to predict weather patterns, but there are still limitations due to the chaotic nature of weather systems. Weather forecasting is a blend of data analysis, model predictions, and the expertise of individual meteorologists. The importance of accurate weather forecasts lies in saving lives during natural disasters and having economic implications. For instance, knowing when to evacuate during a hurricane or planting crops at the right time. The process involves analyzing various data sources, applying meteorological knowledge, and predicting potential weather events based on patterns and trends. For example, predicting a blizzard involves looking for high pressure ridges, jet stream patterns, and pockets of upper-level energy. Ultimately, the goal is to provide accurate and timely weather forecasts to minimize risks and maximize opportunities.

    • Moon's Tidal Forces Affecting Earth's RotationThe moon's tidal forces are slowing down Earth's rotation, but it will take billions of years for Earth to fully tidally lock with the moon. Extreme climate conditions exist on other planets, such as Jupiter's stable storms and Venus's intense greenhouse effect.

      The Earth's rotation is being slowed down by the moon's tidal forces, but it will take much longer than the sun's lifespan for the Earth to fully tidally lock with the moon. This has implications for tide patterns and weather systems, including the Coriolis effect. Jupiter's famous red spot is a long-lived and stable storm system, likely due to the planet's fast rotation and strong Coriolis forces. The most extreme climate in our solar system is found on Venus, which is characterized by a surface temperature of almost 900 degrees Fahrenheit due to a massive greenhouse effect.

    • The long-term risk of a Venus-like greenhouse effect on Earth is a concern, but the immediate threat is low.The Earth's long-term risk of a Venus-like greenhouse effect is a concern due to increasing greenhouse gases, but the immediate threat is low as it would become uninhabitable long before reaching that point. Lightning activity before tornadoes might indicate changes in vertical winds, potentially aiding in tornado prediction.

      Earth could eventually experience a runaway greenhouse effect similar to Venus, but the immediate threat is low. While Venus and Earth share similarities in size and surface gravity, the long-term risk of a Venus-like state on Earth is almost inevitable due to the ongoing increase in greenhouse gases. However, the Earth is not at imminent risk of this catastrophic event, as it would become uninhabitable long before reaching that point. Another intriguing connection between weather phenomena and potential hazards was discussed in relation to tornadoes and lightning. Research suggests that an increase in lightning activity 15 to 20 minutes before tornado formation might be indicative of changes in vertical winds, which can lead to more wind shear and potentially a tornado. Lightning itself is an awe-inspiring natural phenomenon, with temperatures reaching up to 50,000 degrees Fahrenheit, making it significantly hotter than the surface of the sun. This intense heat generates a shockwave and deposits a large amount of energy, which could potentially aid in tornado prediction. In summary, the long-term risk of a runaway greenhouse effect on Earth is a concern, but the immediate threat is low. Meanwhile, the connection between lightning and tornadoes might provide valuable insights into predicting these destructive weather events.

    • CO2's role in Earth's temperature and climate changeCO2 absorbs heat and maintains Earth's temperature but excess leads to climate change, causing uncomfortable temperatures and potential catastrophe.

      Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a greenhouse gas that plays a crucial role in maintaining Earth's temperature. CO2 absorbs heat and re-emits it, creating a blanket effect that keeps the planet warm. However, an increase in CO2 levels can lead to more heat being trapped, causing the Earth's temperature to rise. We have been increasing CO2 levels through human activities like burning fossil fuels since the 1850s. This increase in CO2 is leading to climate change. CO2 is not the only greenhouse gas, but it is the most abundant one in our atmosphere. The experts discussed on the show, including data collectors and paleoclimatologists, agree on the role of CO2 in our atmosphere and the changes it is causing. Without CO2, Earth would be much colder, possibly even frozen over. However, an excess of CO2 can lead to uncomfortable temperatures and potentially catastrophic climate change.

    • Microbial activity during the Pliocene era impacted Earth's climateMicrobial activity caused global temperatures to be 2-3 degrees Celsius warmer, leading to smaller ice sheets and higher sea levels. Current CO2 levels are rising rapidly, causing alarming climate changes. Immediate action is needed to cap emissions and adapt to inevitable changes.

      Microbial activity during the Pliocene era, around 2 million years ago, significantly impacted Earth's climate by altering the atmosphere's greenhouse gas composition. This led to global temperatures being 2-3 degrees Celsius warmer than today, resulting in smaller ice sheets and higher sea levels. Sea level rise occurs when land ice melts and adds water to the ocean. Currently, we're experiencing a similar increase in CO2 levels, which is leading to alarming climate changes. Although we can mitigate emissions and prepare for these changes, the damage is already locked in due to the long lifespan of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The challenge is not just the current CO2 level, but the rapid rate at which it's increasing and the ability of civilization to adapt. From 1850 to the present, CO2 levels have risen by approximately 115% in just over 160 years, which is far beyond the natural rate of change. It's crucial that we take immediate action to cap emissions and find ways to adapt to the inevitable climate changes.

    • Understanding Climate vs WeatherWeather is short-term, climate is long-term, human activities impact climate, data sharing and international cooperation are essential for accurate weather forecasts and addressing climate change.

      Climate and weather are related but distinct concepts. Weather refers to short-term atmospheric conditions, such as temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric pressure, which are difficult to predict beyond a few days. Climate, on the other hand, refers to long-term statistical trends, such as temperature averages and sea level rise, which can be predicted with greater confidence. Despite the challenges in predicting specific weather events, the evidence from the last 20 years supports the prediction of long-term climate change due to human activities like greenhouse gas emissions. It's important to note that the world relies on data sharing between countries to make accurate weather forecasts, demonstrating the importance of international cooperation. The Paris Agreement is an international effort to address climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions and limiting global temperature rise. The sharing of data and cooperation between countries is crucial to the success of such agreements.

    • A Race Against the Clock: The Paris AgreementThe Paris Agreement is a global commitment to limit global warming and implement renewable energy to mitigate climate change's devastating consequences before it's too late.

      The Paris Agreement of 2015 marked a critical moment in international cooperation to address climate change. Countries formally pledged to limit global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The US, historically the largest per capita emitter of fossil fuels, is among the top contributors to greenhouse gases. However, as other populous countries like China and India may surpass the US in emissions, global participation is essential. Scientific evidence shows the world is getting warmer at an unprecedented rate, with potentially devastating consequences. The Paris Agreement is a race against the clock to implement renewable energy and other technologies before climate shifts have irreversible societal impacts. Climate change is the most serious problem humans face, and it's essential to change the way we live to mitigate its effects. The discovery of Earth's atmosphere during the space race serves as a reminder that Earth is not just a solid ball but an interconnected system we must protect.

    • Preserving our planet for future generationsRecognize our role in preserving the planet for future generations, inspired by a cosmic perspective from space exploration.

      The planet doesn't care about our existence, but it's up to us to be good stewards of it. The Environmental Protection Agency and Earth Day were established in the 1970s as a response to growing environmental concerns. While the planet will continue to exist long after humans are extinct, it's important that we recognize our role in preserving it for future generations. Space exploration provides a cosmic perspective that can help us understand our place in the universe and the importance of protecting our home planet. Neil deGrasse Tyson, host of StarTalk, encourages us to keep looking up and to use this perspective to inspire us to take care of our planet and ensure its longevity.

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