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    TPP268: Is it time to worry about interest rates?

    enMay 03, 2018

    Podcast Summary

    • Lenders favoring limited company buy-to-let investmentsOne lender aligns company rates with individual rates, potentially leading more lenders to follow, making limited company investments more attractive.

      The mortgage market is showing signs of favoring limited company buy-to-let investments, with at least one lender aligning their company rates with individual rates. This could potentially lead to a trend where more lenders follow suit, making investing through a limited company a more attractive option. Additionally, the podcast hosts reflect on the unpredictability of interest rates, as they discussed the potential for a rise five years ago, which did not occur, and now rates are once again on the rise. The hosts remind listeners that there are over 40 meetups happening tonight for investors to connect and learn, and encourage everyone to attend.

    • Bank of England's inconsistent forward guidance on interest ratesIndividuals should prepare for potential rate increases, but acknowledge the uncertainty of the Bank's decisions

      The Bank of England's forward guidance on interest rate hikes has been inconsistent, leading to uncertainty for individuals and businesses. While the Bank has hinted at raising rates when unemployment falls below a certain threshold, they have not followed through on this promise in the past. Currently, it appears that a rate hike may be on the horizon, but the timeline is uncertain. With the MPC intending to maintain low interest rates until economic slack is substantially reduced, individuals should consider their personal financial situations and prepare for potential rate increases, while acknowledging the unpredictability of the Bank's decisions.

    • Interest Rates to Gradually Rise, No Significant Market ShockHomeowners can prepare with mortgage refinancing, economic factors impact house prices, lock in mortgages for longer terms, and lenders stress test for affordability.

      Interest rates are expected to rise in the near future, but the increase is likely to be gradual and won't cause a significant shock to the market. Homeowners have had time to prepare for this through mortgage refinancing, and the economic impact on house prices is more likely to be caused by worldwide economic factors rather than interest rate rises. For investors, it's recommended to lock in mortgages for longer periods to secure low rates, and for new purchases, lenders are now stress testing for affordability. Overall, there's no need to panic, but being proactive can help mitigate potential financial impact.

    • Review Your Mortgage in Light of New PRA RulesHomeowners should assess their mortgage products, check for discounted rates, and consider risk from future interest rate rises. Seek advice from a mortgage broker if uncertain.

      Homeowners should conduct a thorough review of their mortgages in light of the new PRA rules and potential future interest rate increases. While lenders may be willing to offer loans at current rates, it's essential to ensure that you're in the most competitive product and not paying more than necessary. This review includes checking if your mortgage products are still at a discounted rate, if you're in the most competitive product, and assessing your risk from interest rate rises. If you're uncertain or not confident, using a mortgage broker can provide valuable advice and potentially save you significant money. Historical interest rates, such as the 15% peak in the 1980s, should not be the basis for stress testing. The economic context of the time was vastly different, with interest rates being controlled by politicians rather than economists. Instead, the Bank of England's interest rate decisions, informed by economists, should be the focus. The effect of interest rate changes on the economy takes time to materialize, so frequent changes are not beneficial. In summary, homeowners should conduct a mortgage portfolio review, focusing on their current products and potential future risk from interest rate rises. Seek professional advice if needed, and remember that historical interest rates may not be the best benchmark for stress testing.

    • Historical mortgage rates and future predictionsPrepare for potential interest rate increases by conducting a portfolio review, as economists predict rates may not return to historically high levels soon but will eventually rise.

      While the historical average mortgage rate is around 5%, recent decades have seen lower rates, with the 20th century average at 4.5% and the 1997-2007 period averaging 6.5%. However, economists currently predict that interest rates will not return to historically high levels anytime soon, with some suggesting that 2.5% may be the new normal. Therefore, stress testing at a rate of 5% or 5.5% is likely sufficient for most individuals, and banks are currently using this rate for buy-to-let mortgages. It's recommended to prepare for potential interest rate increases by conducting a portfolio review, rather than worrying excessively. Rates may not go up in the immediate future, but they will eventually, and being prepared can help mitigate any potential negative impact on investments.

    • Understanding Economic Cycles and Property InvestmentCurrent low interest rates are a result of economic cycles and beneficial for property investment, The Property Podcast provides valuable insights for beginners and experienced investors alike, Upcoming episodes will focus on economics and Ask Rob and Rob offers property advice on Tuesdays.

      The current low interest rates should not come as a surprise to those with a basic understanding of economic cycles. This is a trend that has been occurring over time. The hosts of The Property Podcast expressed their gratitude for the positive reviews they have received, including testimonials from listeners who have gained knowledge and confidence in starting their property portfolios with their guidance. The podcast offers valuable information for those at various stages of property investment, whether it's just starting out or already in the process. In the upcoming episodes, the podcast will delve deeper into economics, and listeners can look forward to Ask Rob and Rob on Tuesday for their next property fix. Overall, The Property Podcast serves as an invaluable source of information for those interested in property investment.

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