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    • Bloomberg Green Festival Discusses Climate Solutions Amidst Legal DramaFormer President Trump faces potential penalties in New York civil fraud trial, Fani Willis under scrutiny in Georgia election interference trial, Nikki Haley capitalizes on Trump's legal woes, Federal Reserve keeps interest rates, new charges in Hunter Biden investigation

      The Bloomberg Green Festival, taking place from July 10th to 13th in Seattle, is a significant event bringing together thought leaders, innovators, and doers in various sectors to discuss climate solutions. Meanwhile, legal issues continue to surround former President Donald Trump. A verdict is expected soon in his New York civil fraud trial, where he could face millions in penalties if found guilty. Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis is facing scrutiny in the Trump election interference trial in Georgia, with arguments revolving around the timing of their relationship. Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor, is using Trump's legal troubles to her political advantage, while Republicans grapple with his continued presence in the political landscape. In the economy, Federal Reserve officials maintain there's no need to cut interest rates yet. Additionally, a new development in the investigation into Hunter Biden's business dealings involves a longtime FBI informant being charged with lying about bribes paid to the Biden family.

    • Atlanta Fed President expects first interest rate cut in Q3, Chinese consumer spending surgesAtlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic anticipates the first interest rate cut in Q3, while Chinese consumer spending increases with record rail trips and hotel sales on ecommerce platforms.

      Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic anticipates the first interest rate cut could occur in Q3 of this year, as the labor market and economy remain strong. Meanwhile, Chinese consumer spending is on the rise, with more than 61 million rail trips made during the Lunar New Year holiday and hotel sales surging on ecommerce platforms. In corporate news, Nike is planning to cut its global workforce by about 2% to save costs, while Apple is reportedly finalizing work on a new AI tool to help app developers create code more efficiently. President Biden urged Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to protect civilians in any military operation in Rafa, and the White House downplayed concerns over Russia's development of an anti-satellite weapon.

    • Ongoing national security concerns and tragic incidentsThe White House addresses national security concerns with Russia and allies, while tragic incidents such as a shooting at a Super Bowl rally and investigations into fire department chiefs unfold. Caitlin Clark sets a new NCAA scoring record, and the NBA All-Star game showcases top talent.

      There are ongoing national security concerns, specifically regarding a new weapon and potential Russian involvement. The White House is engaging with Russia and allies to address the situation, and there is no imminent threat at this time. Elsewhere, there have been tragic incidents including a shooting at a Super Bowl rally in Kansas City where three adults and several children were injured, and two New York Fire Department chiefs are under investigation for allegedly accepting improper payments. In sports news, Caitlin Clark broke the NCAA women's basketball scoring record, and the NBA All-Star game took place with several notable performances. MLB commissioner Rob Manfred discussed his future plans during spring training.

    • Donald Trump's Legal and Political Worlds CollideMultiple legal cases against Trump, including a civil fraud trial and a hush money case, could impact his support in the presidential primary race. A conviction on a crime could sway swing state voters.

      Former President Donald Trump's legal and political worlds are colliding in a significant way, with multiple cases set to reach verdicts in the coming days. This could potentially impact his support in the ongoing presidential primary race. According to polls, Trump's numbers remain strong, but there's evidence that conviction on a crime could sway swing state voters. The New York civil fraud trial verdict is expected soon, and the former president also faces a trial in the Stormy Daniels hush money case. While some analysts believe the hush money case could be the weakest against Trump, it could still prove to be a significant albatross. The Fulton County District Attorney in the Georgia election interference case, Fani Willis, faced questioning about her relationship with the special prosecutor in the case during fiery testimony yesterday. The outcome of these legal proceedings could have significant implications for Trump's political future.

    • Georgia election investigation and Trump's legal troubles may not significantly impact his primary standingDespite ongoing investigations and allegations, Trump's base remains solidly behind him in the Republican primary race.

      The ongoing scandal involving the Georgia election investigation and the former president's alleged attempts to influence the outcome may not significantly impact his standing in the Republican primary race. The credibility of the investigator may be compromised, but the alleged offenses are less directly tied to Trump's efforts in Georgia. The upcoming Supreme Court case regarding federal election interference and the documents case at Mar-a-Lago are also significant issues for Trump. The rhetoric surrounding Trump's legal troubles has been used by Nikki Haley and other opponents, but Trump's base remains solidly behind him. In the other special counsel case, the revelation that an FBI informant has been charged with lying could potentially complicate impeachment proceedings against President Biden related to his son Hunter, but the extent of the impact remains to be seen.

    • Hunter Biden investigation could weaken potential impeachment case against President BidenThe actions of an informant in the Hunter Biden investigation could complicate efforts to build a strong impeachment case against President Biden, potentially benefiting his administration

      The alleged actions of the informant in the Hunter Biden investigation could potentially weaken any impeachment case against President Joe Biden. During a discussion on Bloomberg Daybreak Today, the hosts expressed their belief that the informant's conduct in the situation would make it difficult to build a solid impeachment case against the President. This development could be considered a positive for Biden and his administration. Additionally, the Qatar Economic Forum powered by Bloomberg is approaching, where over 1,000 global leaders will convene from May 14th to 16th in Doha. This event offers attendees the opportunity to make new connections, gain valuable insights, and discover potential business opportunities in one of the world's fastest-growing regions. Listeners can tune in to Bloomberg Daybreak every morning starting at 5 AM Wall Street time on various radio stations and podcast platforms, including Apple, Spotify, and Bloomberg Business app. For more information or to request an invite to the Qatar Economic Forum, visit klareconomicforum.com.

    Recent Episodes from Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

    Instant Reaction: 2024 CNN Presidential Debate

    Instant Reaction: 2024 CNN Presidential Debate

    Bloomberg's Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz recap the first 2024 presidential debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. They receive additional analysis from Bloomberg Correspondent David Gura, Republican Strategist and Stone Court Capital Partner Rick Davis and Democratic Strategist and ROKK Solutions Partner Kristen Hawn.  

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    Bloomberg Exclusive: Supreme Court Abortion Ruling

    Bloomberg Exclusive: Supreme Court Abortion Ruling

    The US Supreme Court is poised to allow abortions in medical emergencies in Idaho, according to a copy of the opinion that was briefly posted on the court’s website. Bloomberg Law obtained a copy of the opinion, which would reinstate a lower court order that had ensured hospitals in the state could perform emergency abortions to protect the health of the mother. Bloomberg Law Host June Grasso and Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel explain the decision to Bloomberg's Kailey Leinz and Joe Mathieu. 

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Daybreak Weekend: US Eco Preview, Iran Election, US-China Relations

    Daybreak Weekend: US Eco Preview, Iran Election, US-China Relations

    Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

    • In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP, PCE data.
    • In the UK – a look ahead to Iran’s Presidential election.
    • In Asia – a discussion on the first 2024 U.S Presidential debate and how the U.S-China relationship will gain attention.



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    Related Episodes

    Israel Vows Response, China Growth Fades & Criminalising Deepfakes

    Israel Vows Response, China Growth Fades & Criminalising Deepfakes

    Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes.

    On today's podcast:

    (1) Top Israeli military officials reasserted that their country has no choice but to respond to Iran's weekend drone and missile attack, even as European and US officials boosted their calls for Israel to avoid a tit-for-tat escalation that could provoke a wider war.

    (2) China announced faster-than-expected economic growth in the first quarter – along with some numbers that suggest things are set to get tougher in the rest of the year.

    (3) Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams has told Blomberg the central bank will likely start lowering interest rates this year if inflation continues to gradually come down. 

    (4) Goldman Sachs's back-to-basics approach is paying off as it posted profits that vaulted past expectations.

    (5) The UK will criminalise the creation of sexually explicit deepfake images as part of plans to tackle violence against women.  

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    EP148 - When the central planners get things wrong

    EP148 - When the central planners get things wrong

    Life is complicated. Surely, you cant be expected to manage your own life, right? You deserve the benefits of just showing up where every child wins a prize. And why not? Your central planners have got your back and know what is good for you. These are cynical statements, if you didnt know that already. But in this episode lets just illuminate why putting your faith & trust in counterparties to have your back doesnt work out well particularly when they are the US Federal Reserve.

    Eric Leeper on *A Fiscal Accounting of COVID Inflation*

    Eric Leeper on *A Fiscal Accounting of COVID Inflation*

    Eric Leeper is a professor of economics at the University of Virginia, a former advisor to central banks around the world, and a distinguished visiting scholar at the Mercatus Center. Eric is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his work on the fiscal accounting of the COVID inflation surge. Specifically, David and Eric discuss fiscal dominance during the pandemic period, how the fiscal theory of the price level explains inflationary trends, the backward and forward-looking fiscal accounting exercises, and more.

     

    Transcript for this week’s episode.

     

    Eric’s Twitter: @EricMLeeper

    Eric’s UVA profile

    Eric’s Mercatus profile

     

    David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

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    Related Links:

     

    *A Fiscal Accounting of COVID Inflation* by Eric Leeper and Joe Anderson

     

    *Fiscal Dominance—What It Is and How It Threatens Inflation Control* by Eric Leeper

     

    *Three World Wars: Fiscal-Monetary Consequences* by George Hall and Thomas Sargent

     

    *The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level With a Bubble* by Markus Brunnermeier, Sebastian Merkel, and Yuliy Sannikov

     

    *George Hall on the History of the U.S. National Debt and Government Financing* by Macro Musings

    So … whaddya wanna know about student loan repayments?

    So … whaddya wanna know about student loan repayments?

    Federal student loan payments have been paused for over three years. Since then, borrowers have got used to the extra room in their budgets for dining, vacations, Beyoncé tickets and more. One listener called in to ask: What happens to the economy when payments start again this fall? We’ll get into it and answer more of your questions on President Joe Biden’s new student debt forgiveness plan and why it’s so hard to have student loans wiped out through bankruptcy.

    Here’s everything we talked about today:

    Join us tomorrow for Economics on Tap. The YouTube livestream starts at 3:30 p.m. Pacific time, 6:30 p.m. Eastern. We’ll have news, drinks, a game and more.