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    Ukraine Marks One Year of War and Yellen Looks For a Soft Landing

    enFebruary 24, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • AI Adoption's Uncertain Future and Ukraine's ResilienceBig tech companies and startups compete in AI adoption's next phase, but risks and unintended consequences need addressing. Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, remains resilient after a year of invasion, and China's peace plan has slim chances of success.

      The next phase of artificial intelligence adoption is uncertain, with big tech companies and startups vying for dominance. Meanwhile, there are significant risks and unintended consequences that need to be addressed. Elsewhere, the one-year anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine marks a resilient capital city, Kyiv, still standing despite immense cost. China has proposed a peace plan, but its chances of success are slim due to Ukraine's commitment to fight until Russia withdraws. In other news, the US plans to announce sweeping sanctions against Russia, and the Fed's favorite inflation reading is awaited on Wall Street. The NTSB has released a preliminary report on the Ohio train derailment, and the rangers lost their third straight game while the devils won in overtime. Stay tuned for more updates on these stories and more.

    • New US Sanctions on Russia, China, and Economic Assistance for UkraineThe US is imposing new sanctions on Russia's economy and Chinese firms, providing economic and security aid to Ukraine, and dealing with potential economic downturns and aviation issues.

      The US is implementing new sanctions against Russia's economy, specifically its banking, defense, and tech industries, as well as Chinese companies accused of evading these sanctions. The White House also plans to announce a new economic and security assistance package for Ukraine. Meanwhile, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers expressed concerns about a potential US recession, while current Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen remains optimistic about a soft landing. The Federal Reserve is expected to release a report showing an acceleration in prices, but analysts advise against reading too much into it. Boeing has paused deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner due to a documentation issue, and the Justice Department is reportedly preparing a lawsuit to block Adobe's takeover of Figma on antitrust grounds. Additionally, the number of 401k accounts with $1,000,000 balances decreased by 32% in 2022 due to weakness in bonds and mega cap stocks.

    • Significant losses in 401k accounts, train derailment investigation, Harvey Weinstein sentencing, winter storms, and sports lossesAverage 401k account at Fidelity lost 20% last year, causing significant financial hardship for many individuals. Train derailment in Ohio under investigation. Harvey Weinstein sentenced to 16 more years in prison. Two major winter storms caused widespread problems. New York Rangers lost three straight games, scoring only 4 goals.

      The average 401k account at Fidelity saw a significant loss last year, with the average account standing at just under $104,000 and losing 20%. This loss affected a large number of individuals, with most accounts being much smaller than $1 million. Elsewhere, federal safety investigators released a preliminary report on the cause of a freight train derailment in Ohio, and embattled New York Republican congressman George Santos proposed a bill to name the AR-15 rifle the national gun of the United States. In other news, disgraced Hollywood mogul Harvey Weinstein was sentenced to 16 more years in prison for rape and other sex crimes, and two major winter storms caused numerous problems across the country. In sports, the New York Rangers suffered their third straight loss, scoring just 4 goals in the three games combined.

    • NHL, NBA games continue amid challenges and AI industry discussionThe NHL and NBA face challenges like injuries and roster management but continue with games. In tech, AI adoption is a hot topic at Bloomberg Tech SF on May 9th.

      Despite the challenges faced by teams in the NHL and NBA, including injuries and roster management, the games continue. Last night, the Devils secured a win against the Kings in overtime, while the Rangers and Islanders prepared for their respective matches. Meanwhile, in the tech industry, the future of artificial intelligence adoption is a topic of great interest and speculation. Industry leaders will gather at Bloomberg Tech in San Francisco on May 9th to discuss the burning questions surrounding AI, including which companies will dominate and what risks and unintended consequences lie ahead. On a global scale, the world marks one year since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, a war that has turned into a grinding battle of attrition with no clear end in sight. Despite the ongoing conflict, life in Kyiv continues with a sense of resolve and normality, and there is no backing down from the fight.

    • Ukraine-Russia Conflict: Military and Economic ImplicationsThe Ukraine-Russia conflict is causing military and economic damage, leading to power outages, energy price hikes, and supply shortages in Europe. Ukraine is showing resilience, but continued international support is crucial for its survival. Russia is gearing towards self-sufficiency, further isolating itself from the world.

      The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia is impacting the world on two fronts: militarily and economically. The military conflict has resulted in Russia targeting Ukraine's energy infrastructure, leading to power outages and damage. Ukraine has shown remarkable resilience in repairing the damage and defending against attacks. Meanwhile, the economic war is causing energy prices to skyrocket and supply shortages in Europe, which could impact Europe's support for Ukraine. The US and other countries have provided significant aid to Ukraine, but domestic support in the US and Europe may wane if economic pressures continue. Zelensky has been a strong advocate for Ukraine, but he needs continued international support to ensure the country's survival. The conflict also has wider implications, with Russia gearing its economy towards self-sufficiency and further isolating itself from the rest of the world. Despite the challenges, both sides remain committed to the conflict, but the outcome remains uncertain.

    • Ukraine-Russia Conflict: Sanctions and Financial AidThe Ukraine-Russia conflict has resulted in energy price increases and financial aid for Ukraine, with over $2 billion pledged. Listen to Bloomberg Daybreak for the latest updates and attend Future Investor event to learn about data-driven investment decisions.

      The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia has led to increased prices for energy and fossil fuels due to sanctions. The U.S. is implementing more sanctions to ensure their effectiveness, and the situation has resulted in significant financial aid for Ukraine, with over $2 billion pledged. Listeners can tune in to Bloomberg Daybreak each morning for the latest news on this developing story, as well as other topics from Wall Street to Washington. Additionally, Bloomberg is hosting an event, Future Investor, on May 7th, where industry experts will discuss how data is transforming investment decisions and constructing innovative enterprises. Sponsored by Invesco QQQ, this event can be attended in person or virtually.

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    Related Episodes

    Russia 'preparing to blockade Ukraine' & Ukrainian forces continue to advance

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    Day 517. Today we bring you updates from the warzone as Ukraine takes ground in the south and the east, analyse yesterday’s leaked German intelligence report on the Ukrainian offensive, and David Knowles speaks to economics reporter Melissa Lawford on the warning signs appearing around the Russian economy.


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    David Knowles (Host). @djknowles22 on Twitter.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on Twitter.

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    Pt 6 - Analysis of Tucker Carlson Interview with Vladimir Putin

    Pt 6 - Analysis of Tucker Carlson Interview with Vladimir Putin

    Christopher shares more on the Tucker Carlson interview with Vladimir Putin.  I want you to listen very carefully because there's a lot of things that Putin goes forth and puts into his dialogue that he's having with Tucker Carlson. As I have been saying all along, Putin has been trying to instruct and educate so that war can be avoided. The segment that we're going to start out with tonight, it finishes the piece of understanding who is really in control of what goes on in Ukraine. Listen to what he says.

    See video - https://rumble.com/embed/v4e52ac/?pub=17tgqx

    E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more

    E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
    0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy

    2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in

    15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping

    34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization

    49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets

    1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks

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    Referenced in the show:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html

    https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/russia-ukraine-invasion-francis-fukuyama-b2035413.html

    https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637

    https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/

    https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981

    https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232

    https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1

    https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/first-drought-now-war-global-wheat-supplies-peril-rcna19298

    https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make

    https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png

    https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/skyrocketing-fertilizer-prices-gouge-farmer-profits-groups-blame-consolidation

    https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22

    https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926

    https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html

    https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957

    https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2021-06-16/the-latest-kremlin-official-says-summit-will-not-be-easy

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/biden-says-ukraine-has-work-to-do-on-corruption-to-get-into-nato

    https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/

    https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html

    https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/09/01/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-ukraine-strategic-partnership/

    https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/

    https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/

    https://www.salon.com/2021/01/19/who-is-victoria-nuland-a-really-bad-idea-as-a-key-player-in-bidens-foreign-policy-team/

    Ep. 1445 - The West Is Running Out Of Tools Against Russia

    Ep. 1445 - The West Is Running Out Of Tools Against Russia

    As Vladimir Putin reportedly takes a major Ukrainian city, the West runs out of tools to fight him; and the Biden administration continues working with Russia to help out Iran.

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