Patrick Boyle On Finance

Rising mortgage payments are squeezing the finances of millions of borrowers in Britain, threatening to undermine household spending and the broader economy.

The dream of a soft landing that would have the Bank of England squeeze out inflation without condemning the country to a recession looks increasingly remote. Inflation has been more stubborn than expected and is forcing the central bank to go with a bigger-than-expected rate hike that took the key rate to 5%.

What does this mean for British housing affordability?

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

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Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
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Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Aside from losing over 1.13 million people, the United States is thought to have lost billions of dollars in pandemic relief fund fraud, according to the most recent Associated Press analysis, published this week.

The analysis discovered that fraudsters took more than US$280 billion in relief cash, while another $123 billion was lost or misspent.

“Combined, the loss represents 10 percent of the $4.2 trillion the U.S. government has so far disbursed in aid,” according to the report.

According to the analysis, this was the worst heist in U.S. history, with criminals stealing billions of dollars in government money intended to stabilize an economy in free fall.

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance
Buy Me a Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

This week, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), filed lawsuits against Binance and Coinbase, two of the world’s biggest crypto exchanges, on which investors buy and trade a large offering of cryptocurrencies. The SEC’s main allegation against Coinbase is that it’s running an unregistered securities exchange — like if the Nasdaq independently operated without any regulatory oversight. Binance faces the same charge, as well as additional accusations that it appropriated billions of dollars in customers’ funds for its CEO’s trading firm, misled its customers, lied to regulators, and more. Binance is accused of moving money from the US business to pay for a Yacht for the exchange founder Changpeng Zhao. 

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

We’ve all heard the story of how a lottery win, which at first may appear to be a great blessing slowly reveals itself to be a curse.  In today's video we look at what happens to people after they win the lottery.

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Turkish voters return to the polls this weekend to choose a president.  Before the first round of the election, polls suggested that voters were evenly divided between the two biggest parties. However, Erdogan’s unexpectedly strong first round has put pressure on the Turkish lira and knocked other Turkish assets ahead of this weekend’s runoff vote.  

The official annual inflation rate in Turkey was 43.7% as of April. This is actually down from the 80% inflation rate that Turkey saw the prior year.  In today's podcast we ask how will Turkey's election shape the economy? 

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

The next big potential risk to the U.S. economy may be lurking in office buildings across the country's downtown districts.  With so many people still working from home, companies are cutting back on office space which threatens to unleash even more headwinds for the U.S. economy. What is going wrong in the commercial real estate market, and how might we be affected?

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

The three-decade era of globalization risks going into reverse according to company executives and investors.  In this video we look at the economic evidence in a paper called Is the Global Economy Deglobalizing? by Pinelopi Goldberg of Yale University and Tristan Reed of The World Bank.

Here is a link to the full paper:  https://www.nber.org/papers/w31115

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Legendary corporate raider and activist Carl Icahn found himself on the wrong side of a familiar battle this week when the short selling investment firm Hindenburg Research took aim at Icahn’s publicly traded holding company, alleging in a new report that Icahn Enterprises L.P. (IEP) is overstating the value of its private asset portfolio, and that its publicly traded stock units–85% of which Icahn owns–are “significantly overvalued.”

Icahn’s fortune fell over 35%, from $18.3 billion on Monday afternoon to $12 billion as of Tuesday’s market close. Icahn Enterprises units tumbled 20% on Tuesday, shaving $3 billion in market value off Icahn’s fortune. Forbes then trimmed Icahn’s estimated net worth by another $3.6 billion, after it was revealed that Icahn had pledged over half of his IEP shares as collateral against unknown personal debts.

Hindenburg is a short selling activist hedge fund run by Nate Anderson who is most famous for having released a video of Nikola’s electric truck prototype being towed up a hill in order to be pushed down to make a promotional video showing that the technology was fully operational.  He claims that Icahn Enterprises has a Ponzi-like economic structure. 

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

The FDIC took possession of First Republic Bank on Monday, resulting in the third failure of an American bank since March.

JPMorgan Chase, already the largest U.S. bank by several measures, emerged as the buyer in a weekend auction for First Republic. It will get all of the ailing bank’s deposits and a “substantial majority of assets.”

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

The BRICS nations have been discussing the idea of creating a new currency to facilitate overseas trade. The idea was put forth by Russia as it faces economic sanctions from the West over its invasion of Ukraine.

Meanwhile, some of the BRICS countries have already ditched dollar and are now trading in their local currencies.

Brazil and China signed an agreement last month to abandon the dollar as an intermediary and settle bi-lateral trade in their own currencies and as many as 18 countries have agreed to trade with India in Indian rupees.

So, does a Brics currency for international trade makes sense, how likely it is that the world would move away from using the US dollar, and would the dollar losing its global dominance actually be bad for America and Americans?

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Apple recently announced its latest financial product in partnership with Goldman Sachs — a savings account designed for Apple Card users. The high-yield savings account comes with a 4.15% interest rate and comes with no fees and no minimum deposit or minimum balance requirements. Plus, it has some extra benefits for users like automatic deposits of Daily Cash earned with the Apple Card and the ability to make an instant transfer to your Apple Wallet.

This is considerably higher than the average US savings account rate of 0.37 per cent. It also beats competitors such as American Express which is offering 3.75 per cent and Goldman’s savings account that operates under the Marcus brand, which offers 3.9 per cent.

The launch comes as more established banks, in particular regional and smaller lenders, are under growing pressure to offer better savings rates for depositors to stop them transferring cash to higher-yielding products such as money market funds, which have offered better returns in line with rising interest rates.

In today's podcast we ask, Is Apple a threat to banks?

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

The term “Finfluencer” refers to a person who by virtue of their popular or cultural status has an outsize impact on investor decisions through social media influence. According to Sue Guan of Santa Clara University, a variety of finfluencers exist in today’s markets, ranging from simple celebrities that draw people's attention like Kim Kardashian to corporate personalities like Elon Musk or Ryan Cohen to ordinary investors who develop followings on YouTube, TikTok, and other social media platforms.  In today's video we examine how the advice of well-known personal finance influencers like Dave Ramsey and Robert Kiyosaki compares to the advice of academics.

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Disgraced Frank founder Charlie Javice has joined the likes of Elizabeth Holmes and Sam Bankman-Fried on a growing list of founders to be lavished with honors by the financial news outlet Forbes – only to later face criminal fraud charges.

“The Forbes 30 Under 30 have collectively raised $5.3B in funding,” tech investor Chris Bakke tweeted on Tuesday. “The Forbes 30 Under 30 have also been arrested for frauds and scams worth over $18.5B. Incredible track record.”

Victor Niederhoffer Book - Practical Speculation: https://amzn.to/3A0JtU4

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, warned that the banking crisis 'not yet over' in an annual letter to shareholders just weeks after the collapse of three US banks.
He said he didn't expect the turmoil to lead to a global crisis like in 2008, noting that it involved "involved fewer players and fewer issues". But he warned the impact would linger.

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

China has significantly expanded its bailout lending as its Belt and Road Initiative blows up following a series of debt write-offs, scandal-ridden projects and allegations of corruption according to a new paper "China as an International Lender of Last Resort" by Sebastian Horn of the World Bank; Brad Parks, a research professor at William & Mary University; Harvard’s Carmen Reinhart; and Christoph Trebesch, a director at the Kiel Institute. The researchers found 128 bailout loans worth $240 billion dollars to 20 countries between 2000 and 2021. The vast majority were extended over the last five years, and almost half happened in 2019-2021. Moreover, the researchers found that People’s Bank of China swap lines are far more meaningful than direct loans.

Here is a link to the paper:  https://tinyurl.com/36pp5569

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

After a weekend of intense negotiations, Swiss authorities brokered an emergency deal to sell Credit Suisse the troubled 167-year-old investment bank to its Swiss rival, UBS. A $54bil lifeline from the Swiss National Bank last week failed to stem the crisis facing Credit Suisse following Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse: its share price collapsed and the flight of deposits accelerated. The deal has prevented a globally important bank from failing. 

Under the terms of the deal, Credit Suisse’s additional tier 1 (AT1) bonds were written down to zero while shareholders received $3.25bn. In today's video we discuss whether that is fair and who owned those bonds.

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Let's discuss the ongoing controversy at Credit Suisse, if they are like Silicon Valley Bank and what this means for depositors and investors!

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

A number of things went wrong at Silicon Valley Bank over the last days, weeks and years, there were huge failures of risk management. The risk manager would have some tough questions to answer, except that it appears that they didn’t have a risk manager on staff for almost nine months of the last year.  There were issues tied to the different regulations applied to community banks when compared to national banks in the United States. There were investment decisions that were made that I struggle to understand, and the final stroke was a capital raise attempt that had next no chance of succeeding.  You can’t raise capital from investors on the same day that you announce a close to two-billion-dollar hole in your balance sheet and the equity is tanking in value.
Anyhow, let’s go over the issues at Silicon Valley Bank, try and understand how banks work, look at the news from last night, and try to imagine how things might work out going forward.

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Banks don’t fail very often, and bank runs appear to be mostly a thing of the past. The last bank failure in the United States happened in 2020 when a small bank in Kansas failed.  That two-year streak was broken this Wednesday with the failure of the crypto focused bank Silvergate, and on Friday with the failure of Silicon Valley Bank.

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel

Let’s talk about Artificial Intelligence, what it is, how it works and where it might be taking us. We’ll try and see if as an investor you should worry about missing the boat on AI, and as an individual should you worry about losing your job to these new technologies?  

Patrick's Books:
Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0
Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF
Corporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC

Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance

Visit our website: www.onfinance.org
Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle

Patrick Boyle YouTube Channel