damien williams

Anthony Stalter and John Paulsen digest the latest fantasy news--including injury updates for Antonio Gibson, A.J. Brown, Antonio Brown and Jerry Jeudy--before discussing Thursday Night Football and handing out a few Sneaky Starts.

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[Sneaky Starts: Week 7](https://www.4for4.com/2021/w7/sneaky-starts-week-7)

[TMAP Playlist](https://open.spotify.com/playlist/63rkfiAeesYGWJSQVSs5ZH?si=2962e2f682854416)

[TMAP Playlist, Vol. 2](https://open.spotify.com/playlist/2dU4gj1i7ahQLICOf6N2O7?si=6e1166e15cd64fba)

Hosts: [Anthony Stalter](https://twitter.com/AnthonyStalter), [John Paulsen](https://twitter.com/4for4_John)

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The Pittsburgh Steelers are fortunate Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson won’t play due to a finger injury in the Week 6 Sunday Night Football game.

The Steelers are a 5-point favorite.

Pittsburgh must try to establish its running game against a shaky Seahawks defense. On the other side of the ball, the Steelers will have to stop Seahawks receivers DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

“Bleav in Steelers” hosts Ike Taylor and Mark Bergin also discuss Jon Gruden resigning as head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders. They identify candidates who could emerge as the Raiders' next full-time head coach.

The guys also preview several other NFL Week 6 games.

Follow Ike Taylor on social media: Facebook, Twitter, Instagram

Follow Mark Bergin on social media: Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, YouTube

Intro Music: Louie Kaczmarek

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4for4.com’s Sam Hoppen joins the show to dish out weekly superlatives and 10 takes on 10 players. Then, Zach and Cole dissect 5 RB committees and who to start or sit from them. They end with a loaded Fan Q/A, which includes Week 5 sleepers and which stars to trade away/for. Timestamps:

• 3:14 Weekly Superlatives ft. Antonio Gibson
• 16:28 10 Takes on 10 Players ft. Robert Woods
• 40:39 Start/Sit: RB Committees ft. the Falcons
• 51:03 Fan Q/A ft. sleepers!
• 1:09:13 Your Reviews!

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Summary

Dave Kluge joins Jen and Brandon to talk NFC West, break down the Bears' backfield, touch on some Underdog Best Ball strategy, and pound the table for a certain wide receiver. Also, hear which tight end Dave has a ton of exposure on. 

Topics Discussed

Bears RB Situation (5:47)

Seattle Seahawks (9:30)

Los Angeles Rams (27:35)

Arizona Cardinals (43:49)

San Francisco 49ers (51:38)

Links

Dave's article on D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett

Underdog ADP Tool

Underdog Fantasy Promo

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Guests: Dave Kluge

Hosts: Jen Eakins, Brandon Niles

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Mailbag: brandon@4for4.com

After a wave of notable news from NFL training camps, John Daigle, Pat Daugherty, Denny Carter and Matt Stroup react to some recent developments and how they might affect our fantasy rankings. We consider Jets rookies Michael Carter and Elijah Moore, and the ongoing case for optimism in New York, while the Bengals offense on the whole — including Joe Burrow — could be trending downward. Plus, our expectations for Courtland Sutton, Damien Williams, Lamar Jackson and Trey Lance, with some intriguing reports about the rookie QB’s usage coming out of San Francisco.

Former Kansas City Chiefs offensive lineman Joe Valerio and sports writer Jeff Fedotin break down the Chiefs' moves in free agency, including the signing of Joe Thuney.

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Sammy Reid joins Greg for a handful of news items, plus an in-depth preview of the quarterback position for 2020 fantasy football. Most of the buzz coming out of early training camps is related to opt-outs and the COVID-19 reserve list, but your hosts also touch on key injuries to Sony Michel, Jarvis Landry, and T.Y. Hilton. After that, it's all quarterback strategy. Who are this season's most overvalued and undervalued passers? Who are the toughest signal-callers to evaluate for fantasy? When is the right time to start drafting the position in a one-quarterback league? How about a two-quarterback league? Who are the "worst" QBs your hosts would be comfortable starting in those formats? Is stacking quarterbacks with pass-catchers important in seasonal leagues? Which field generals are Sammy and Greg drafting most often? Which ones do they wish they could draft more often? Tune in for answers to all these questions, plus even more quarterback draft strategy for fantasy football.

Links

The Gillcast (on Mondays) with Sammy Reid
Articles by Sammy Reid at Rotogrinders
COVID-19 Reserve and Opt-Out Tracker at 4for4.com
Consensus QB ADP at 4for4.com
Adjusted Fantasy Points Against at 4for4.com
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: Sammy Reid - @SammyReidFI
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Alex Gelhar once again joins Greg to cover recent news and share some level-up realizations about fantasy football that made them better players and analysts. They kick things off discussing Jamal Adams' trade from the Jets to the Seahawks, Raheem Mostert's restructured contract with the 49ers, and the latest on COVID-19's impact on the NFL. After the news, there's a special announcement about the podcast, then your hosts dig into some of their level-up moments from their histories playing fantasy football. What did Alex take away from his time watching film? How valuable is playing in a lot of different league formats? Which "aha!" moments illuminated something important about draft and auction strategy? And how did Greg develop his approach on playing matchups in season? Tune in to find out.

Links

COVID-19 Reserve and Opt-Out Tracker at 4for4.com
The Backyard Banter Podcast, Ep. 21 with Matt Harmon and Alex Gelhar
Understanding WR Value in Fantasy Football Drafts by Alex Gelhar
Fantasy Player Debates at 4for4.com
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: Alex Gelhar - @AlexGelhar
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Pat Fitzmaurice and Alex Gelhar join Greg to break down some news, talk top-tier quarterbacks, and investigate some fantasy X-factors for the 2020 NFL season. The show kicks off using Kelvin Harmon's ACL injury as an excuse to discuss the unnamed Washington franchise's fantasy outlook, then your hosts discuss the rumors of free agent wideouts joining the Seahawks. From there, the conversation turns to the top tiers of quarterbacks (10:52), splitting hairs between the consensus top-six passers before speculating on which lower-ranked signal-callers could crash the top-tier party under the right circumstances. The rest of the episode deals with X-factors for the upcoming season, including COVID-19 and how it should impact league setups and draft strategy (36:13), rookie rushers set to shake up established backfields (46:01), and a few other players from the Broncos, Colts, and Dolphins (1:02:37).

Links

The Fitz on Fantasy Podcast with Pat Fitzmaurice
TheFootballGirl.com
aFPA Strength of Schedule Hot Spots at 4for4.com
99 Stats But a Mitch Ain't One by John Paulsen
Fantasy Player Debates at 4for4.com
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: Pat Fitzmaurice - @Fitz_FF
Guest: Alex Gelhar - @AlexGelhar
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Alex Gelhar joins Greg for a grab bag of fantasy football topics. They kick off the show by catching up on the news of Cam Newton joining the New England Patriots, who seems relatively affordable relative to name value based on evidence from recent Scott Fish Bowl drafts. Your hosts discuss whether or not he's a value if Newton's SFB cost holds, plus the impact he might have on his new arsenal of weapons. And while Cam has already found a new home, Raheem Mostert is seeking one of his own. Alex and Greg reevaluate the 49ers backfield in the wake of Mostert's trade demand, and they also take stock of San Francisco's passing game with Deebo Samuel now dealing with a Lisfranc injury. The show wraps up with a more theoretical dive into the wide receiver position, in search of potentially undervalued assets who could ascend in the right circumstances this season.

Links

Fantasy Player Debates at 4for4.com
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: Alex Gelhar - @AlexGelhar
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Greg digs into how to account for Point Per Reception (PPR) and Point Per First Down (PP1D) scoring settings in fantasy football. The show starts with an overall guide for what to look for when trying to project receptions and first downs. What player attributes and on-field circumstances drive a player to catch more passes or earn more first downs for his team? After answering those general questions, Greg reviews specific players and player archetypes at running back (10:05), wide receiver (27:20), and tight end (40:03) who see their projected rankings change when the scoring settings for PPR and PP1D change.

Links

Rankings and Projections at 4for4.com
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, John Daigle joins Greg to recap the 2020 NFL Draft from a fantasy football perspective. The show begins with bigger-picture takeaways like the proliferation of a "best player available" mentality and the diminishing number of high-volume fantasy options (and not just at running back). From there, your hosts dive into positional breakdowns. Running backs come first (12:06), starting with John and Greg's picks for biggest winners among incumbent ball-carriers. Then the top rookie rushers get evaluated, both on their own and in terms of impacts on their new veteran teammates. Later, after reviewing the most interesting rushers from Day 2 and 3, the conversation turns to wide receivers (37:55). Again, winners and losers among veterans kicks off the positional discussion before your hosts dig into the rookie class. They discuss how much Henry Ruggs might be hurt by the quarterback play of Derek Carr, which other first-round rookies are the best bets to produce in year-one, plus the most intriguing pass-catching prospects from outside the first round. Quarterbacks are next (1:04:22), with takes on multiple winners and one obvious loser among veterans at the position. Your hosts also touch on the outlooks for Jameis Winston and Cam Newton in new homes, then they discuss how to rank the incoming rookies, whether or not fantasy gamers should be worried about Carson Wentz, and the curious case of PJ "Don't Call Me Phillip" Walker playing behind Teddy Bridgewater in Carolina. The episode winds down with a brief section on tight ends (1:20:38), tabbing winners and losers among non-rookies, then highlighting a couple of the position's more intriguing inbound prospects.

Links

Rotoworld.com
2020 NFL Draft Fantasy Recap (Round 1) by John Paulsen
2020 NFL Draft Fantasy Recap (Rounds 2-3) by John Paulsen
2020 NFL Draft Fantasy Recap (Rounds 4-7) by Brandon Niles
Why Jalen Hurts was a Great Pick by Philadelphia by Kevin Cole
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: John Daigle - @notJDaigle
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Anthony Amico joins Greg for another best ball draft strategy bonanza, but the episode begins with a more general news discussion of the recent trade of Brandin Cooks from the Rams to the Texans, plus Kansas City's signing of DeAndre Washington. From there, your hosts dive into best ball, starting with an assessment of the ZeroRB draft strategy. Anthony makes his case for how it can work and details some of the nuances to keep in mind when navigating through a structured drafting approach. Next, the conversation turns to Anthony's machine learning prospect models for running backs and wide receivers, explaining how he uses the models' hit-rate estimates to help find values with rookies in best ball drafts. Around the 25-minute mark, Greg and Anthony dive headfirst into wide receivers, kicking things off with Corey Davis, AJ Brown, and DeVante Parker as examples of some of the different types of wideouts you can target in best ball. Then they go back to the top of wide receiver ADP and work their way down, from potential busts in the top tier down to rookies and other intriguing dart throws in the double-digit rounds. As if that wasn't enough, tight end talk kicks off around the 63-minute mark. Your hosts identify some of the best late-round values at the position, then use that frame of reference to discuss which higher-ranked tight ends are worth their best ball draft costs.

Links

RB Prospect Model by Anthony Amico
WR Prospect Model by Anthony Amico
Best Ball ADP at 4for4.com
FFPC WR Win Rates by Andrew Fleischer
Fanball WR Win Rates by Andrew Fleischer
FFPC TE Win Rates by Jennifer Eakins
Fanball TE Win Rates by Jennifer Eakins
How Draft Dates Impact Best Ball Scoring by Justin Edwards
7 Players to Target in Best Ball before the NFL Draft by 4for4's Staff
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: Anthony Amico - @amicsta
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, John Paulsen joins Greg to identify fantasy football's winners and losers from the NFL's free agency period. The conversation begins at running back, headlined by the trade of David Johnson to Houston.  Quarterbacks are next, as some passers like Tom Brady have new homes, while others have new supporting casts. The discussion then turns to wide receivers and tight ends, where plenty of fantasy fortunes are set to change based on the spinning of the offseason's quarterback carousel.  The show winds down with a quick accounting of the highest profile players who are still available in free agency or by trade.

Links

Fantasy Free Agency Winners & Losers by John Paulsen
2020 Free Agency Tracker by John Paulsen
Never-Too-Early Fantasy Rankings by John Paulsen
2019 Deep Ball Project by John Kinsley
2018 Deep Ball Project by John Kinsley
Quarterback Next Gen Stats at NFL.com
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: John Paulsen - @4for4_John
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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Summary

On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, George Kritikos joins Greg for an updated assessment of the dynasty landscape. They begin with the impacts of free agency, in terms of veterans gaining and losing value, but also in terms of unfilled roles with NFL teams that might be addressed through the draft. The rest of the show is dedicated to the incoming rookie class. George lays out his top-12 rookies overall, noting risers and fallers in the wake of the NFL combine, then your hosts profile a handful of other runnings backs and wide receivers who saw their dynasty stock shift as a result of the underwear olympics. The episode winds down with the same sort of analysis applied to this year's top rookie quarterbacks and tight ends.

Links

Post-Combine Dynasty Top 200 by George Kritikos
NFL Combine Winners & Losers by Nick Whalen
Post-Combine 4-Round Rookie Mock Draft by George Kritikos
Ranking the Top Rookie Receivers by Scott Barrett at PFF (Pre-Combine)
Subscribe to 4for4
TMAP B-Sides Playlist on Spotify
Guest: George Kritikos - @RotoHack
Host: Greg Smith - @gregsauce

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John and Anthony take a look back at the 2019 season, highlighting the top fantasy producers at each position and discussing where they were drafted during the summer. They also look at the so-called "busts" in the first and second rounds, to see if there are any lesson to be learned. The duo also discuss John's Never-Too-Early rankings for 2020, which were just published on the site.

Former Chiefs offensive lineman Joe Valerio and sports writer Jeff Fedotin break down the Chiefs' Super Bowl LIV victory. Jeff describes the scene in Miami, and Joe analyzes the crucial plays and moments that gave Kansas City its first NFL title in 50 years.

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Two-time Super Bowl champion Ike Taylor shares his experiences from Super Bowl LIV in Miami.

Taylor and several Pittsburgh Steelers greats celebrated this weekend's announcement that Troy Polamalu would be inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame along with coach Bill Cowher and safety Donnie Shell.

Taylor and Mark Bergin discuss how the San Francisco 49ers blew Super Bowl LIV more than the Kansas City Chiefs came back to win it.

Follow Mark Bergin on social media: Facebook, Twitter, Instagram

Follow Ike Taylor on social media: Facebook, Twitter, Instagram

Intro Music: Louie Kaczmarek

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Kyle Shanahan it's a sixty minute game and you don't go conservative at the end of the first half.  No more games this year.  This is it.
Props to Andy Reid on finally getting his first SB win and Patrick Mahomes youngest player to win NFL MVP, SB and SB MVP.  24 years old.
Jimmy G wanted to see if he was going to have his Montana moment.  It didn't happen.  But I felt he was held back by the play calling.  

All sports. One podcast. (even hockey)
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