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    stagflation

    Explore " stagflation" with insightful episodes like "Ep15: Going beyond the optics and decoding the past, present and future of economic growth with Arvind Mallik", "Wirtschaft in der Krise – Was muss passieren?", "From Troubled Past to Conservative Voice: The Inspiring Journey of Carl Jackson", "Why migrants are our best chance at skirting a recession" and "Why migrants are our best chance at skirting a recession" from podcasts like ""Beyond the Optics with Tulip Nandu", "Das WDR 5 Tagesgespräch", "Main Street Matters", "The Front" and "The Front"" and more!

    Episodes (68)

    Ep15: Going beyond the optics and decoding the past, present and future of economic growth with Arvind Mallik

    Ep15: Going beyond the optics and decoding the past, present and future of economic growth with Arvind Mallik

    As we wind down this year, let us look back and contemplate the past year in terms of economic growth and discuss what's the outlook for the upcoming year. In September 2023, financial well being sentiment found much needed stability, although the Fed held rates and signaled elevated rates for longer, but there are some who predict the 
    US. economic growth will buckle under mounting headwinds early next year with a shallow recession. That's what Nouriel Roubini and others have predicted. Real GDP will grow at about 2. 2 percent and then fall to about 0. 8%. The consumer spending actually held up despite the elevated inflation and high interest rates in the past , couple of months and the growth that seemed to be weakened in the first quarter also bounced back in Q2.  All those are the numbers, but to package all that I have with me on my pod today, Mr. Arvind Mallik. He's the managing partner of KMF Investments which is a pure pay for performance private investment partnership based out of Denton, Texas. KMF seeks a long term capital appreciation by investing in companies whose intrinsic value is significantly higher than the market price. And since its founding in 2008 KMF has found opportunities in the world dominating franchises, hard assets below replacement cost businesses at large, discounts to liquidation value, and firms with beneficial exposure to rising interest rates.
    The whole concept behind this is retaining value and increasing the value addition as we call it in finance terms. And Mr. Malik has education to back it up with a degree in chemical engineering  and bioengineering from  UC Berkeley, and also has a MS in chemical engineering from MIT.

    From Troubled Past to Conservative Voice: The Inspiring Journey of Carl Jackson

    From Troubled Past to Conservative Voice: The Inspiring Journey of Carl Jackson

    In this episode, Alfredo Ortiz and Elaine Parker interview nationally syndicated radio host and small business owner, Carl Jackson. They discuss the recent economic news, including the Consumer Price Index and core inflation, as well as the impact on grocery prices. They also delve into the jobs report, expressing concern about small business owners putting hiring plans on hold due to economic uncertainty. Alfredo and Elaine critique President Biden's job creation claims and discuss the impact of inflation on small businesses. They also touch on their personal experiences as minorities in the Republican Party and the importance of hard work and entrepreneurship. Main Street Matters is part of the Salem Podcast Network - new episodes debut every Wednesday & Thursday. For more info visit jobcreatorsnetwork.com

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Why migrants are our best chance at skirting a recession

    Why migrants are our best chance at skirting a recession

    Australia could avoid a recession thanks to a mega migration surge. Our experts break down what else to expect from the new financial year.

    Find out more about The Front podcast here and read about this story and more on The Australian's website or search for The Australian in your app store.

    This episode of The Front is presented and produced by Kristen Amiet, and edited by Tiffany Dimmack. Our regular host is Claire Harvey. The multimedia editor is Lia Tsamoglou, and original music composed by Jasper Leak.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Why migrants are our best chance at skirting a recession

    Why migrants are our best chance at skirting a recession

    Australia could avoid a recession thanks to a mega migration surge. Our experts break down what else to expect from the new financial year.

    Find out more about The Front podcast here and read about this story and more on The Australian's website or search for The Australian in your app store.

    This episode of The Front is presented and produced by Kristen Amiet, and edited by Tiffany Dimmack. Our regular host is Claire Harvey. The multimedia editor is Lia Tsamoglou, and original music composed by Jasper Leak.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Safeguarding Your Retirement Savings in the face of Potential Stagflation

    Safeguarding Your Retirement Savings in the face of Potential Stagflation

    Join John Blancher, retirement strategist of Matthew James Tax and Wealth Management, as he delves into the possible impact of stagflation on your retirement savings.

    With concerns about stagnant economic growth, high inflation, and high unemployment reminiscent of the 1970s, it's crucial to protect your nest egg. Discover advice on diversification and investment strategies, including real estate, consumer staples, oil and gas, technology, healthcare, and financial services. 

    Explore the benefits of Treasury inflation-protected securities, short-term annuities, and other options to ensure your retirement savings remain secure in uncertain times.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Poverty and the new threat to prosperity — Indermit Gill

    Poverty and the new threat to prosperity — Indermit Gill

    The onset of the pandemic in 2020 marked a turning point in the 30-year pursuit of successful global poverty reduction. According to recent World Bank estimates, the incomes of the poorest 40 percent of the world’s population likely fell by 4 percent in 2020. And as a result, the number of people living in extreme poverty likely increased by 11  percent in 2020—i.e. it increased from 648 million to 719 million. The pandemic also increased global inequality. In terms of lost income, the world’s poor paid the highest price for the pandemic; Indeed, the percentage income losses of the poorest are estimated to have been double those of the richest. The rise in extreme poverty and decline of shared prosperity caused by inflation, currency depreciations, and broader overlapping crises facing development, pose numerous challenges for global development.

    Indermit Gill is Chief Economist of the World Bank Group and Senior Vice President for Development Economics. Before starting this position on September 1, 2022, he served as the World Bank’s Vice President for Equitable Growth, Finance, and Institutions, where he played a key role in shaping the Bank’s response to the extraordinary series of shocks that have hit developing economies since 2020. Between 2016 and 2021, he was a professor of public policy at Duke University and non-resident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution’s Global Economy and Development program. Indermit has published extensively on policy issues facing developing countries, sovereign debt, green growth, labor markets, poverty and inequality, and managing natural resource wealth. His pioneering work includes introducing the concept of the “middle income trap” to describe how developing countries stagnate after reaching a certain level of income. Indermit also spearheaded the influential World Development Report 2009: Reshaping Economic Geography. Twitter: @IndermitGill

    Resources:

    Key highlights:

    • Introduction - 00:52
    • How "development" has changed over the years - 03:22
    • The current status of the World Bank's twin goals - 08:56
    • Growing global poverty and how to best measure poverty - 13:38
    • The "middle income trap" and natural resource curse thesis - 21:00
    • Sustainable development, renewal energy, and climate change- 29:50
    • Addressing the debt crisis - 40:15

     

    Host:

    Professor Dan Banik, University of Oslo, Twitter: @danbanik  @GlobalDevPod

    Apple Google Spotify YouTube

    https://in-pursuit-of-development.simplecast.com/

    Host

    Professor Dan Banik (@danbanik @GlobalDevPod)

    Apple Google Spotify YouTube

    Subscribe: 

    https://globaldevpod.substack.com/

    Saturday Broadcast 37

    Saturday Broadcast 37

    Key topics:

    ✔️ ICYMI news, 2/18 - 2/24.
    ✔️Some of these mansplainers and finance bros who want to convince you that up is down and left is right are gonna get steamrolled by what's coming.
    ✔️You're only just now being told that inflation is far from over. No duh! But you're still expected to believe that the recession is not here yet. 😒
    ✔️Negative equity = when you owe more than something is worth. This is happening in the auto market already. Do you not think it could happen again in the housing market? Wait and see.

    Links:

    https://tinyurl.com/24daevhy

    https://tinyurl.com/296ab43v

    https://tinyurl.com/yj79fdd3

    https://tinyurl.com/bdhc2p7n

    https://tinyurl.com/2p923knr

    https://tinyurl.com/5n6j3f3y

    https://tinyurl.com/4mr3vanw

    https://tinyurl.com/53ykrrk4

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tip-negative-equity-iceberg-record-173000474.html

    https://www.linkedin.com/news/story/quitters-spark-the-great-return-5566316/

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/quiet-quitting-trend-over-140008899.html

    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/24/the-fed-cant-tame-inflation-without-more-hikes-paper-says.html

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackrock-cooperating-sec-probe-investment-234407660.html

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/new-home-buyers-are-backing-out-of-deals-why-185403276.html

    https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/business/story/2022-12-15/california-public-utilities-commission-rooftop-solar

    https://www.linkedin.com/news/story/latest-layoffs-ericsson-ey-more-6157626/

    https://londondailypost.co.uk/stagflation-the-labour-market-and-you/

    Links where I can be found: https://causeyconsultingllc.com/2023/01/30/updates-housekeeping/

    Need more? Email me: https://causeyconsultingllc.com/contact-causey/

    Simblifying Economics with Ashish Kulkarni Part -2

    Simblifying Economics with Ashish Kulkarni Part -2

    The mark of a truly good teacher is when their former students invite them as experts on their podcasts" - Plato [citation needed]

    The Simblified gang (minus Tony) taps into the expertise of Srikeit's former professor, Ashish Kulkarni to 'simblify' the world of economics.
    Ashish, an engineering dropout turned Econ PhD, talks to us about how economics principle  govern every micro aspect of our lives yet the way the subject is taught in India drives people away from it. We also discuss how movies and popular culture subtly point to the prevailing economic conditions of the time and delve into the indicators and implications of a potential upcoming recession.
    So please tune in to this absolute beauty of a double episode.

    You can follow Ashish and his musings on Econforeverybody.com

    We'd love to hear from you and even have you on the podcast! If you'd like to get in touch, say hello on our shiny new email ID, simblified.podcast@gmail.com. We promise to read and reply to every mail, even spam. Especially spam.

    Add one part news, one part bad jokes, one part Wikipedia research, one part cult references from spending too much time on the internet, one part Wodehouse quotes, and one part quality puns, and you get Simblified.
    A weekly podcast to help you appear smarter, to an audience that knows no less! Your four hosts - Chuck, Naren, Srikeit, and Tony attempt to deconstruct topics with humor (conditions apply). Fans of the show have described it as "fun conversations with relatable folks", "irreverent humor", "the funniest thing to come out of Malad West" and "if I give you a good review will you please let me go".
    Started in 2016 as a creative outlet, Simblified now has over 200 episodes, including some live ones, and some with guests who are much smarter than the hosts. Welcome to the world of Simblified!
    You can contact the hosts on:
    Chuck: twitter.com/chuck_gopal / instagram.com/chuckofalltrades
    Naren: twitter.com/shenoyn / instagram.com/shenoynv
    Tony: twitter.com/notytony / instagram.com/notytony
    Srikeit: twitter.com/srikeit

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Asset Class Outlook Roundtable "The future ain't what it used to be!"

    Asset Class Outlook Roundtable "The future ain't what it used to be!"

    A disciplined, scenarios-based approach to determining your views on the outlook for markets is essential to building portfolios capable of achieving client goals when the future ain't what it used to be. In this third step of our hypothetical Investment Committee meeting, a diverse panel of asset class experts debates the implications of the three economic scenarios outlined in the Economic Scenarios Roundtable for the medium-term (three years) for asset class returns. At the end of the panel discussion, the Investment Committee (Strategies Conference 2022 delegates) votes on the likelihood of each of the three scenarios to determine which is most likely, next most likely and least likely. The outcomes are then inputs to the Asset Allocation Roundtable. - Watch Rob Mead, Joseph Lai, Jacob Mitchell and Isaac Poole on Portfolio Construction Forum and earn 0.75 CE/CPD hrs

    Economic Scenarios Roundtable "The future ain't what it used to be!"

    Economic Scenarios Roundtable "The future ain't what it used to be!"

    A disciplined, scenarios-based approach to determining your views on the outlook for markets is essential to building portfolios capable of achieving client goals when the future ain't what it used to be. In this second stage of our hypothetical Investment Committee meeting, three economists describe and debate three plausible, forward-looking economic and market scenarios that have a reasonable probability of occurring during the next two to three years. These are then inputs to the Asset Class Outlook Roundtable. - Watch Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, Andrew Hunt, John McDermott and Jonathan Ramsay on Portfolio Construction Forum and earn 0.75 CE/CPD hrs

    Macro Markets Roundtable "The future ain't what it used to be!"

    Macro Markets Roundtable "The future ain't what it used to be!"

    With the US Federal Reserve engaged in the most aggressive tightening cycle in 40 years, and many other central banks following suit, the outlook for stocks, bonds and other financial assets is highly uncertain. More than ever, practitioners need to understand the drivers of and the outlook for markets. This session - the first stage of our hypothetical Investment Committee meeting - highlights the key secular and structural forces impacting on markets and the portfolio construction implications. - Watch Jonathan Pain, Marc Seidner, Andrew Clifford and Nikki Thomas on Portfolio Construction Forum and earn 1.00 CE/CPD hrs

    Arturo Porzecanski Explains Inflation - Experts Explain Everything Podcast

    Arturo Porzecanski Explains Inflation - Experts Explain Everything Podcast

    Arturo Porzecanski is an economist and research fellow at American University. He spent three decades on Wall Street and nearly two in academia specializing in international financial issues.


    In this episode of Rolli's Experts Explain Everything Podcast, Arturo explains what causes inflation and stagflation, why experiencing high levels of inflation consistently is better than sudden spikes in inflation, and what happens when inflation reaches extreme levels.


    You can learn more about Arturo by visiting his website arturo.porzecanski.com or by checking out his rolliapp.com/members/aporzeca profile.

    Q&A: US inflation will not fall back to 2% in the future

    Q&A: US inflation will not fall back to 2% in the future

    Inflation will not fall back to the 2% level that the US Federal Reserve wants, and that we had pre-Covid. Two underlying structural changes that have nothing to do with today's shortage-based inflation will keep US inflation at about 4% in the future:
    1. The long-overdue rise in the cost of labour; and,
    2. A permanent doubling of the size of the US fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP.
    But the news is not all bad. The IT-based technology revolution is continuing, and as we have argued for at least 10 years, this revolution has been the most important reason why inflation has been dropping for decades – a story completely ignored by the Fed in the 1980-2020 period. I expect the technology story to continue to be disinflationary. Just consider the disinflationary impact of Zooming. - Watch Dr Woody Brock on Portfolio Construction Forum

    Stagflation risks rise for European emerging markets

    Stagflation risks rise for European emerging markets

    In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Olivier Chemla and Petter Bryman of the Sovereign team join host Ariane Ortiz-Bollin to discuss which Central and Eastern European countries are most at risk of stagflation and how such a scenario would impact sovereign credit profiles.

    Related content on Moodys.com (some content only available to registered users or subscribers): 

    Lobo Tiggre: a global recession is coming, uranium stocks offer best risk vs reward

    Lobo Tiggre: a global recession is coming, uranium stocks offer best risk vs reward

    Lobo Tiggre (Louis James) of Independent Speculator joins Small Caps to share his views on the markets and where he sees investment opportunity.

    Lobo was legendary speculator Doug Casey’s protégé for almost 14 years.

    Topics discussed include: the US dollar, inflation, stagflation, stocks, uranium, gold, silver, copper and platinum.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Lobo Tiggre: a global recession is coming, uranium stocks offer best risk vs reward

    Lobo Tiggre: a global recession is coming, uranium stocks offer best risk vs reward

    Lobo Tiggre (Louis James) of Independent Speculator joins Small Caps to share his views on the markets and where he sees investment opportunity.

    Lobo was legendary speculator Doug Casey’s protégé for almost 14 years.

    Topics discussed include: the US dollar, inflation, stagflation, stocks, uranium, gold, silver, copper and platinum.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Lobo Tiggre: a global recession is coming, uranium stocks offer best risk vs reward

    Lobo Tiggre: a global recession is coming, uranium stocks offer best risk vs reward

    Lobo Tiggre (Louis James) of Independent Speculator joins Small Caps to share his views on the markets and where he sees investment opportunity.

    Lobo was legendary speculator Doug Casey’s protégé for almost 14 years.

    Topics discussed include: the US dollar, inflation, stagflation, stocks, uranium, gold, silver, copper and platinum.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    A Conversation with Economist Steve Hanke | Is America Headed for a Whopping Recession in 2023? | Russia: Reviewing the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Moscow — Are Sanctions Really Hurting the Russian Economy?

    A Conversation with Economist Steve Hanke | Is America Headed for a Whopping Recession in 2023? | Russia: Reviewing the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Moscow — Are Sanctions Really Hurting the Russian Economy?
    Join America's Roundtable Radio co-hosts Natasha Srdoc and Joel Anand Samy in a recent conversation with Steve H. Hanke, a professor of applied economics and founder and co-director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise at the Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. Steve Hanke is a leading world expert on currency boards, measuring and stopping hyperinflation, privatization, currency and commodity trading, water resource economics, and other topics. The conversation with Professor Hanke will provide listeners with an update on the U.S. economy and the impact of inflation and how government policies affect families and the private sector, specifically small and medium size businesses. Will the Fed's interest rate hikes lead to a soft-landing or a major recession in 2023? On America's Roundtable Radio, Professor Hanke will highlight his economic predictions for 2023. His predictions for 2022 on the inflation rate was right on target, a warning he and his colleague John Greenwood relayed through a commentary in The Wall Street Journal a year ago titled "Too Much Money Portends High Inflation — The Fed should pay attention to Milton Friedman’s wisdom. (https://www.wsj.com/articles/money-supply-inflation-friedman-biden-federal-reserve-11626816746)" How Effective are Sanctions on Russia? The discussion will also examine U.S. and European Union sanctions imposed on Russia. This past week we found out that with energy prices up, Moscow is reaping significant financial gains through the sale of oil and gas. A recent Wall Street Journal report stated that through July 2022, Moscow has totaled $97 billion from oil and gas sales, earning $5.4 billion more per month than last year's monthly average. Russia is actually pumping almost as much oil into the global market as it did before prior to the conflict with Ukraine. US Assistance to Ukraine Rises to $60 Billion — While the European Union's Contribution Amounts to $10 Billion Only The Biden Administration along with Democrat and Republican members of Congress have authorized over $60 billion in US taxpayer funds to support Ukraine's military and provide assistance to Europe's NATO members. However, the EU comprised of 27 member states in Europe has only provided 10 billion euros (USD$10 billion) since the beginning of the war. As a leading world expert on currency boards, measuring and stopping hyperinflation, currency and commodity trading, Dr. Hanke will relay his thoughts on the US and Euro currencies and the currency board that he developed for a number of countries around the world. His recent commentary in The Wall Street Journal titled "Floating Exchange Rates Add to Economic Uncertainty (https://www.wsj.com/articles/exchange-rates-float-beyond-parity-dollar-euro-monetary-system-bretton-woods-agreement-inflation-currencies-11659991140)” raised important points. The discussion with Professor Hanke on Saturday morning will focus on the perils of instability which brings problems for the U.S. and Europe—and serious crises to developing nations. Importantly, the conversation will highlight the significance of advancing principled pro-growth policies for America. Recent statements by Professor Steve Hanke: (https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/30/steve-hanke-were-going-to-have-one-whopper-of-a-recession-in-2023.html) “We will have a recession because we’ve had five months of zero M2 growth, money supply growth, and the Fed isn’t even looking at it." "The bottom line is we’re going to have stagflation — we’re going to have the inflation because of this excess that’s now coming into the system.” “The problem we have is that the [Fed Chair Jerome Powell] does not understand, even at this point, what the causes of inflation are and were. He’s still going on about supply-side glitches. He has failed to tell us that inflation is always caused by excess growth in the money supply, turning the printing presses on.” Bio | Steve H. Hanke (https://engineering.jhu.edu/faculty/steven-hanke/) Steve Hanke is a leading world expert on currency boards, measuring and stopping hyperinflation, privatization, currency and commodity trading, water resource economics, and other topics. A professor of environmental health and engineering, Hanke is co-founder and co-director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise (https://sites.krieger.jhu.edu/iae), an interdivisional Institute between the Krieger School of Arts and Sciences and the Whiting School of Engineering. The institute’s extensive research and publishing focus on applied economics and finance, business history, and public health. Recognized globally for his expertise, Hanke advises a number of public and private institutions. He is a senior advisor at the Renmin University of China’s International Monetary Research Institute in Beijing and special counselor to the Center for Financial Stability in New York. A member of the Charter Council of the Society of Economic Measurement and of Euromoney Country Risk’s Experts Panel, he also served on the Governor’s Council of Economic Advisers in Maryland in 1976-77 and as a Senior Advisor to the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress in 1984-88. As a senior economist on President Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisers, he led a team of economists in re-writing the federal government’s Principles and Guidelines for Water and Land Related Resources Implementation Studies. In addition, he was responsible for designing Reagan’s major privatization initiatives. A faculty member of the JHU Global Water Institute (https://publichealth.jhu.edu/departments/environmental-health-and-engineering/research-and-practice/research-areas/water-sanitation-hygiene-and-health/johns-hopkins-university-water-center), Hanke remains a sought-after expert on municipal water system privatization. His international appointments also include state counselor to both the Republic of Lithuania in 1994-96 and the Republic of Montenegro in 1999-2003. He advised the presidents of Bulgaria (1997-2002), Venezuela (1995-96), and Indonesia (1998). He played an important role in establishing new currency regimes in Argentina, Estonia, Bulgaria, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Ecuador, Lithuania, and Montenegro. Hanke has also held senior appointments in the governments of many other countries, including Albania, Kazakhstan, the United Arab Emirates, and Yugoslavia. A well-known currency and commodity trader, Hanke is chairman of the Supervisory Board of Advanced Metallurgical Group N.V. in Amsterdam and chairman emeritus of the Friedberg Mercantile Group, Inc. in Toronto. During the 1990s, he served as president of Toronto Trust Argentina in Buenos Aires, the world’s best-performing emerging market mutual fund in 1995. Hanke serves as a contributing editor at Central Banking, The International Economy, and The Independent Review. Hanke also serves on the editorial boards of numerous scholarly journals. https://ileaderssummit.org/services/americas-roundtable-radio/ https://ileaderssummit.org/ | https://jerusalemleaderssummit.com/ America's Roundtable on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/americas-roundtable/id1518878472 Twitter: @steve_hanke @supertalk @ileaderssummit @NatashaSrdoc @JoelAnandUSA America's Roundtable is co-hosted by Natasha Srdoc and Joel Anand Samy, co-founders of International Leaders Summit and the Jerusalem Leaders Summit. America’s Roundtable radio program - a strategic initiative of International Leaders Summit, focuses on America’s economy, healthcare reform, rule of law, security and trade, and its strategic partnership with rule of law nations around the world. The radio program features high-ranking US administration officials, cabinet members, members of Congress, state government officials, distinguished diplomats, business and media leaders and influential thinkers from around the world. America’s Roundtable is aired by Lanser Broadcasting Corporation on 96.5 FM and 98.9 FM, covering Michigan’s major market, SuperTalk Mississippi Media’s 12 radio stations and 50 affiliates reaching every county in Mississippi and also heard in parts of the neighboring states, including Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana and Tennessee, and through podcast on Apple Podcasts and other key online platforms.