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    Ben Terris: It's Not Going Back to Normal

    en-usJune 27, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Former President Trump's leaked conversation on classified infoThe leaked audio of Trump discussing classified info highlights the bizarre political climate and underscores the importance of transparency and accountability in government.

      The recently released audio tape of former President Donald Trump discussing classified information with an unidentified individual highlights the surreal and chaotic political climate in Washington D.C. Ben Teres, author of "The Big Break," describes this as the "weirdo beat," a term now applicable to the entire Washington press corps due to the bizarre nature of the events unfolding. The tape, which features Trump discussing secret war plans and joking about confidential information, is reminiscent of the Watergate scandal, but its candidness and directness arguably make it more shocking. Historian Kevin Kruse suggests that if Nixon's infamous "smoking gun" tape had contained similar admissions, the implications would have been even more significant. The audio serves as a stark reminder of the unusual political culture in the United States and the importance of transparency and accountability in government.

    • Political Focus vs Legal ImplicationsThe Republican Party may rationalize Trump's actions, but legal implications could have significant consequences. The outcome of the investigation and potential trial could impact the election.

      Despite the tape recording and mounting evidence against Donald Trump, the Republican Party and Trump himself seem to be focusing on the political implications rather than the legal ones. The party appears to have an "infinite capacity to rationalize" Trump's actions and may find ways to come around, even if they don't fully support him as their first pick. From a legal standpoint, Trump is charged with having and disseminating classified information, and the tape recording is just one piece of evidence in a mountain of evidence against him. The real question is whether the government will get a trial before the general election, and if a jury and the electorate will follow the facts and the law. Trump's tactics of discrediting the investigation and playing to the court of public opinion may not win him over fence-sitting voters and could have negative political implications. However, the focus on Trump's base and their opinions should not overshadow the importance of the legal implications and the potential cumulative weight of the evidence against him.

    • From establishment to Trump supporter: The transformation of Matt SchlappEven the most steadfast political figures can be swayed by the political climate, as shown in the transformation of Matt Schlapp from an establishment Republican to a Trump supporter, with his former right-hand man Ian Walters adding a personal perspective.

      Normalcy in politics, especially in Washington, is a thing of the past. The presidency of Donald Trump was a disruptor, and even with his departure, things remain far from normal. Author of "The Big Break," Jon Ward, explores this idea through the lens of the people behind the scenes, using Matt Schlapp and Ian Walters as prime examples. Matt Schlapp, a former political director under George W. Bush and longtime head of the American Conservative Union and CPAC, underwent a transformation from establishment Republican to one of Trump's most ardent supporters. Ian Walters, Matt's former right-hand man, adds an interesting dynamic to the story, as they were once so close that Ian wanted Matt to be the godfather to his child. This transformation and their close relationship provide insight into how even the most seemingly steady political figures can be swayed by the political climate.

    • The personal dimension of politicsPolitics is not just about ideologies or principles, personal experiences and grudges can significantly impact political allegiances and behavior.

      Politics is deeply personal and can lead to significant shifts in beliefs and allegiances, often in unexpected ways. The relationship between two Republican operatives, Matt and Ian, serves as an example of this. Their friendship was once inseparable, but during the Trump years, it was completely ruined. The reasons for this went beyond ideological differences or principles; instead, it was rooted in personal pettiness, drama, and grudges. This dynamic is not unique to these two individuals; many political operatives are motivated by a complex mix of personal gain and beliefs, and their actions can be influenced by personal experiences and perceived attacks. Understanding this personal dimension of politics can help us make sense of the seemingly irrational behavior and shifts we observe in the political arena.

    • The fallacy of insider knowledge in politicsPolitics is unpredictable and those in power don't always have a clear plan, even those closest to the action have been caught off guard.

      The belief that politicians and insiders in Washington have a secret plan or understanding of politics that the average person does not, has been consistently disproven. As discussed in the podcast and in the book, even those closest to the action have been caught off guard by unexpected election outcomes and political developments. One intriguing character who embodied this idea was Sean McElwee, a Democratic pollster and operative who was profiled in the book. McElwee, who had shifted from being a hardcore lefty to a pragmatist in the Biden era, was known for his gambling habit, which extended to making bets on elections. This gamification of politics, even in the context of his own work, illustrates the unpredictable nature of politics and the fallacy of assuming that those in power have a clear and consistent plan.

    • The Rise and Fall of Influential Political FiguresInfluential political figures can rise quickly and fall dramatically, often due to their own actions or revelations. McElwee's story serves as a reminder of the power and volatility in politics.

      The political landscape is evolving, and new hybrid creatures in politics are emerging. Sean McElwee, a 28-year-old former aide, reporter, and pollster, exemplifies this trend. He ran an organization called Data for Progress, which conducted fast, accurate polls and used them to push narratives. McElwee was known for injecting things into the mainstream and had a significant influence on the political scene. However, his downfall came when it was revealed that he was betting against the Democrats, including his own client, John Fetterman. This led to his resignation and a revolt against him. Despite his dramatic downfall, McElwee's story highlights the power and volatility of influential political figures. The question remains whether there is always a place for someone like him in politics.

    • Washington D.C.: A City of Second ChancesDespite past mistakes or failures, those with connections and past accomplishments in Washington D.C. can find a way back into politics. However, treating politics like a game can lead to rationalizations and justifications, potentially causing harm in the long run.

      Washington D.C. is a city of second chances, where even those who have made significant mistakes or faced failure can find a way back into the game due to their past accomplishments and connections. This was highlighted in the discussion about Sean Spicer, who despite his controversial tenure as White House Press Secretary, could potentially find a way back into politics due to his past contributions and the short memories of those in power. However, the culture of Washington as a game can lead to rationalizations and justifications for questionable actions, potentially causing more harm than good in the long run. The example of Donald Trump's presidency, where he won in part by criticizing the political establishment, illustrates this point. Ultimately, the goal in Washington is to win elections and pass legislation, but treating everything like a game can ultimately lead to losing. The speaker also noted that they were the only reporter from The Washington Post present when Donald Trump announced his presidential campaign in 2015, emphasizing the importance of being persistent and determined in journalism.

    • Trump's 2015 Rally: A Turning Point in American PoliticsThe 2015 Trump Tower rally marked Trump's emergence as a serious presidential contender, revealing deep voter discontent and frustration, and signaling a shift in American politics with a focus on personality, media attention, and ideological flexibility.

      The 2015 Trump Tower rally was a turning point in American politics, where a seemingly outlandish and wealthy businessman, who many dismissed as a sideshow character, unexpectedly emerged as a serious presidential contender. At the time, Trump's announcement was seen as an amusing spectacle, but it exposed deeper issues within the Republican Party and American politics as a whole. Trump's flamboyant persona and unapologetic rhetoric resonated with a significant portion of the electorate, revealing the growing discontent and frustration among voters. While some argue that Trump broke the mold of traditional Washington politics, others claim he merely exposed its underbelly, highlighting its obsession with personal branding, media attention, and ideological malleability. Regardless, Trump's rise to power demonstrated that the political landscape had shifted, and the rules of the game had changed.

    • The Trump Era's Lasting Impact on Washington's Political LandscapeBillionaire heiress Leah Hunt Hendricks uses her resources to support causes, but her attempts to distance herself from oil money and present herself as a voice for the working class raise questions about authenticity.

      The Trump era has left an indelible mark on Washington, with many of its influential figures continuing to shape the political landscape long after his presidency. Leah Hunt Hendricks, a billionaire heiress and progressive activist, is an intriguing example of this phenomenon. Despite her wealth and privileged background, she uses her resources to support causes she believes in, such as abolishing the fossil fuel industry. However, her efforts to distance herself from her oil money and present herself as a voice for the working class raise questions about the limits of self-awareness and authenticity in politics. The larger point is that the complex interplay of wealth, power, and ideology in Washington continues to evolve, shaped by both historical legacies and contemporary realities.

    • The Role of Billionaires in the Democratic PartyDespite differences, billionaires influence both major parties, with the Democratic Party grappling with old vs new money and defining its direction post-Trump, while ethical dilemmas arise over genuine belief vs transactional games.

      The Democratic Party, like the Republican Party, is influenced by billionaires and the role they play is similar, despite some differences. The book "The Hillbilly Elegy of the Left" explores this dynamic through the story of a Democratic fundraiser who rose to power during the Trump presidency but faced challenges when it came to defining the party's direction post-Trump. The tension between old and new money, and the debate over how far left to move in the Biden era, played out in the background. Meanwhile, figures like Sam Bankman Fried and Elise Stefanik illustrate the complexities of power and influence in Washington, with some appearing to genuinely believe in their causes and others seemingly playing a transactional game. The question of whether these players are truly convinced of their beliefs or simply playing the game raises interesting ethical dilemmas.

    • People's beliefs and actions shaped by experiences and threatsExperiences and threats can lead to extreme beliefs and allegiances, shaping political dynamics and culture wars

      People's beliefs and actions can be shaped significantly by their experiences, particularly when they feel attacked or under threat. In the context of politics, this can lead to a "bunker mentality" where individuals dig in and become more extreme in their beliefs, forming strong allegiances with those who share their perspective and hating those who oppose them. This dynamic can make even seemingly mundane issues become heated culture wars. The speaker's personal experience in Wisconsin and the current political climate in Washington are examples of this phenomenon. It's important to remember that people are not always rational actors, but rather emotional beings who react to personal attacks and feel the need to defend themselves and their allies. The book "The Big Break" by Ben Terrace explores this concept further.

    • Staying informed and engaged in current eventsExpand knowledge, gain new perspectives, and stay updated on important issues by tuning into The Bulwark Podcast daily

      Learning from today's Bulwark podcast is the importance of staying informed and engaged in current events. The podcast, hosted by Charlie Sykes, featured insightful discussions on various topics with expert guests. The Bulwark team works hard to produce this content daily, with Katie Cooper overseeing production and Jason Brown handling engineering and editing. By tuning in, listeners can expand their knowledge, gain new perspectives, and stay up-to-date on the issues that matter most. Remember, knowledge is power, and staying informed is essential in today's complex world. So, join us tomorrow for another enlightening episode of The Bulwark Podcast.

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