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    • Effective Altruism Faces a Crisis Following Sam Bankman-Fried ScandalEffective Altruism is reevaluating its focus and convictions after a major scandal involving a prominent leader, questioning if it should return to its original goals or continue evolving to consider the long-term future of humanity.

      Effective altruism, a social movement focused on using reason and evidence to do the most good for the most people, is facing a major crisis following the scandal involving Sam Bankman-Fried and his crypto exchange, FTX. Holden Karnovsky, a leader in the effective altruism community, shares his perspective on the situation. He was surprised by the scale of the scandal and had a professional relationship with Bankman-Fried. Effective altruism has evolved from focusing on helping people in the here and now to considering the long-term future of humanity. With the recent events, there is a question of whether the movement should return to its original focus or continue its evolution. The future of effective altruism, or EA 3.0, remains uncertain. The community is reevaluating its convictions and asking if the logic of effective altruism itself led to this outcome or if it was just part of the scam. Regardless, it's clear that the movement must adapt and learn from this experience to continue making a positive impact.

    • EA and SBF's InteractionsEffective Altruism encourages individuals to use evidence and reason to help others, but the speaker had mixed feelings about SBF due to concerns from former employees and uneasiness about some crypto promotions, despite their occasional interactions.

      Effective altruism (EA) is an philosophy that encourages individuals to use evidence and reason to help others as much as possible. The speaker, who co-founded GiveWell, a key organization in the EA movement, had some professional interactions with SBF, the founder of FTX and a prominent figure in the crypto world. SBF was also involved in EA causes, but the speaker had mixed feelings about him. They had occasional meetings and conversations, but were not friends. The speaker did hear concerns from former employees of SBF's Alameda Research company and was uneasy about some of FTX's crypto promotions. However, they didn't have a strong read on SBF's character and didn't consider it their job to vet him. The speaker's involvement with EA started after they left finance and wanted to give to charity effectively, leading to the creation of GiveWell in 2007. The speaker's path was different from SBF's, who was convinced by Will MacAskill to make a lot of money and then donate it, rather than pursuing a career in animal welfare.

    • Exploring Effective Altruism: A Movement for Maximum ImpactEffective altruism is a philosophy that encourages individuals to use their resources to do the most good possible, with Open Philanthropy being a large-scale application of this concept through hits-based giving. The effective altruism community is driven by individuals with a shared goal of maximizing positive impact on the world.

      Effective altruism is an philosophy-driven movement focused on doing the most good possible with one's resources, whether it be time or money. Dustin Moskovitz, co-founder of Facebook and Asana, was interested in this concept and sought to apply it on a large scale through Open Philanthropy. He felt that the organization needed a different approach than GiveWell, leading to the development of Open Philanthropy and its hits-based giving philosophy. Effective altruism, as a concept, has attracted various individuals with similar goals, but it's important to note that there isn't a central authority or CEO dictating its direction. Instead, it's a community of individuals who share a common interest in maximizing their positive impact on the world. While some aspects of effective altruism, such as utilitarianism, may be challenging for some to fully grasp, the overall goal remains the same: to help as many people as possible and make a significant difference in the world.

    • Utilitarianism and Effective Altruism: Not the SameUtilitarianism can lead to extreme decisions, but effective altruism is not the same and doesn't endorse 'ends justify the means'.

      Utilitarianism, a theory advocating for the greatest good for the greatest number of beings, can lead to ethically questionable decisions if taken to an extreme. The debate around effective altruism and utilitarianism can get nuanced, with utilitarianism potentially leading to an "ends justify the means" mentality. However, most utilitarians would not endorse the organs example given, as it would create societal harm. Effective altruism, on the other hand, is not the same as utilitarianism or an "ends justify the means" approach. The debate around SBF's alleged fraud and potential motivations, including utilitarianism, is ongoing, with conflicting interpretations of his statements. Regardless, the actual outcomes of his actions do not appear to justify any ethical framework. The question remains whether effective altruism as a whole has leaned too heavily on utilitarianism, and while they are related, they are not the same.

    • Maximizing good intentions in effective altruismEffective altruism requires balancing good intentions with ethical standards, pluralism, and humility to avoid unintended consequences or harmful actions.

      While maximizing good intentions is a key principle in effective altruism, it also comes with risks. The concept of "maximizing the good" is not clearly defined, and there's a danger of unintended consequences or harmful actions if the wrong thing is maximized. The SPF scandal serves as a cautionary tale, highlighting the importance of maintaining ethical standards and considering multiple perspectives in the pursuit of doing good. Effective altruism works best when balanced with moderation and pluralism, recognizing that there are many dimensions to consider and that we may not always have all the answers. It's crucial to approach this philosophy with care and humility, acknowledging the complexities of the world and the potential risks involved.

    • Effective Altruism vs Utilitarianism: Understanding the DifferencesEffective Altruism focuses on taking actions to do the most good, while Utilitarianism is a philosophical theory about ethics. Effective Altruists can prioritize doing good, but also consider other ethical considerations and personal priorities.

      Effective altruism and utilitarianism are related but distinct concepts. Effective altruism is about taking actions to do the most good in the world, while utilitarianism is a philosophical theory that equates ethics with doing the most good. Effective altruists are not required to be utilitarians, and many effective altruists balance their desire to do good with other ethical considerations and personal priorities. The effective altruism movement emerged from a recognition that charitable giving could be more effective, and some advocates may have overcorrected in their focus on doing the most good. However, effective altruism is not the same as the overcorrection, and it allows for a focus on taking effective actions to help others while still recognizing the importance of other ethical considerations.

    • Embracing Moral Pluralism in Effective AltruismEffective altruism should consider moral pluralism and long-term considerations, not just utilitarianism, to help a large number of people in an ambitious way.

      Effective altruism, as understood by the speaker, is about helping a large number of people in an ambitious way, while maintaining a sense of pluralism and moderation. The speaker believes that effective altruism should not be limited to utilitarianism, but should embrace other moral theories as well. They also suggest encouraging more discussion and intellectual case-building for pluralism and moderation within the effective altruism community. The speaker acknowledges that this is a common attitude among effective altruists and that they share the goal of helping many people and addressing pressing issues, but also prioritize considering moral pluralism and long-term considerations. They believe that effective altruism organizations, like those led by Holden, should consider these issues as well. The speaker values the importance of both helping people in the present and protecting the long-term future of humanity.

    • Balancing present and future concernsFocusing solely on the long-term future could lead to impractical conclusions, a balanced approach addressing both present and future challenges is recommended.

      While prioritizing the long-term future of humanity is important, it should not overshadow addressing current risks and issues, such as climate change, pandemics, and advanced technologies like AI and biotechnology. The speaker emphasizes the significance of future generations, but is skeptical of the idea that their value completely outweighs present concerns. He believes that focusing solely on the long-term future could lead to impractical and ludicrous conclusions. Instead, a balanced approach that addresses both present and future challenges is recommended. The speaker also acknowledges the complexity of long-termism and the potential for it to lead to unrealistic expectations if not grounded in practical solutions.

    • Considering various worldviews for maximizing impactOpen Philanthropy uses worldview diversification to consider multiple perspectives and make informed decisions, acknowledging the complexity of doing the most good with limited resources.

      When it comes to doing the most good with limited resources, the question can get complicated due to various philosophical frameworks, or "worldviews," that lead to different conclusions. At Open Philanthropy, they use a method called worldview diversification to consider a range of perspectives and make informed decisions. For instance, focusing solely on maximizing expected value for future humans might mean neglecting present needs, but considering animal welfare could lead to different priorities. It's crucial to acknowledge the complexity and consider various worldviews to make the most impact.

    • Diversifying Perspectives in Effective AltruismEffective altruism benefits from diverse perspectives to mitigate single-mindedness and potential harm, called worldview diversification.

      Effective altruism, or the practice of using evidence and reason to determine the most impactful ways to do good, can benefit from diversifying resources and perspectives, rather than relying on a single worldview or approach. This idea is likened to having different "Holden's" or parts of oneself, each with distinct viewpoints, arguing for their preferred use of resources. Instead of allowing these differing worldviews to cause division and potential conflict, it's recommended to allocate resources accordingly, ensuring each perspective has the means to make a difference. This approach, called worldview diversification, can help mitigate the risk of becoming overly single-minded or aligned with a potentially harmful goal, such as maximizing paper clips at the expense of all else. Effective altruism, like any human endeavor, carries the potential for unintended consequences, and it's essential to remember that even those striving for the greater good can inadvertently cause harm if they become overly focused on a single objective. By embracing a more diversified approach, effective altruism can hedge its intellectual bets and continue to make a positive impact on the world.

    • Considering the risks of advanced AI from a different perspectiveAdvanced AI could pose risks through the emergence of a second advanced species on Earth with different values, and effective altruism faces critiques on its ethical framework. More work is needed to understand moral uncertainty and inform ethical decision-making.

      The potential risks posed by advanced AI don't require exotic or alien psychologies for us to worry about. Instead, we should consider the possibility of a second advanced species on Earth, with different values and ethical rules, that could make copies of itself and potentially lead to disastrous consequences. Effective Altruism (EA), as a philosophy and social movement, is currently facing critiques and questions about its future. Holden Karnofsky, co-founder of Open Philanthropy Project and GiveWell, has been reflecting on these issues. He suggests that there could be more effort put into making intellectual cases against certain aspects of EA, particularly the idea that anything can be justified as long as it reduces the probability of extreme events. Additionally, he emphasizes the importance of moral pluralism and the need to take different moral theories seriously, as they may capture genuine moral intuitions. However, the philosophy literature on moral uncertainty is relatively small, and more work in this area could help inform a more nuanced approach to ethical decision-making. Overall, it's crucial to consider the potential risks and complexities of advanced AI, as well as the limitations and nuances of ethical frameworks like effective altruism.

    • Maximizing one thing exclusively in ethics can be riskyInstead of relying on tidy rules or clear-cut solutions, ethical progress can be made through living with the tensions and making decisions that satisfy the various voices within us

      Ethical theories, including utilitarianism, which encourage maximizing one thing exclusively, can be risky and have a poor track record. Instead, developing "future proof ethics" that can withstand the test of time requires a clear moral framework but may not offer a tidy rule or clear-cut solution. The speaker acknowledges the appeal of utilitarianism and its scientific, systematic approach, but also recognizes the importance of balancing that with moderation and living with the inherent tensions and contradictions of moral decision-making. The speaker does not subscribe to moral realism and instead advocates for a vision of moral progress that does not rely on objective moral truths. Ultimately, the speaker suggests that ethical progress can be made through living with the tensions and making decisions that satisfy the various voices within us, much like a family or team.

    • Exploring the future of ethical decision-makingThe EA movement should embrace critical work, decentralize funding, and promote intellectual diversity to create a more equitable and effective approach to ethical decision-making, while remaining adaptable to new knowledge and challenges.

      The future of ethical decision-making involves acknowledging the historically and culturally contingent nature of morality while also striving for progress. The effective altruism (EA) movement, which focuses on using evidence and reason to do the most good, should welcome and fund critical work, but also work towards more decentralized funding and greater intellectual diversity to reduce power dynamics and increase representation. The ultimate goal is to continue the conversation and work towards a more equitable and effective approach to ethical decision-making. The importance of future-proof ethics lies in its ability to adapt to new knowledge and challenges, while remaining grounded in historical and cultural contexts. The EA movement, with its emphasis on evidence-based decision-making and a commitment to continuous improvement, is well-positioned to lead this conversation, but it must also address issues of power and representation to truly thrive and make a meaningful impact.

    • Effective Altruism: Balancing Philosophy and Real-World ImplicationsEffective Altruism encourages doing good while maintaining a balanced life, not sacrificing everything for the cause.

      Effective altruism (EA), while rooted in philosophical principles, is also a complex social movement with real-world implications. The decision-making process of where EA funds are allocated can be a challenging issue, and while democratic approaches like citizens' assemblies could be explored, it's essential to consider the power dynamics involved. Additionally, building an identity solely around EA may not be beneficial and could lead to negative consequences. Instead, focusing on doing good while maintaining a balanced life is encouraged. EA is not about sacrificing everything else for the cause but about being an effective, contributing member of society who makes a difference in the world.

    • Balancing the desire to do the most good with moderationEffective altruism is about finding the best way to do a lot of good with your resources, not just doing the most good possible.

      While striving to do the most good possible is a valuable mindset, it's essential to practice it in moderation. Effective altruism, at its core, is about doing a lot of good in the world. However, it's not just about doing the most good possible, but rather finding the way to do the most good with the resources you have. This approach brings significant value compared to simply trying to do some good. However, pushing it to the max might not always be the most effective or healthy way to approach doing good. It's crucial to remember that doing good in moderation can get you most of the gains and might ultimately be the way to do the most good in the end. It's essential to strike a balance and remember that there's value in caring about other things while doing good.

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    References:

    Driver, J. (2009). The History of Utilitarianism. [online] Stanford.edu. Available at: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/utilitarianism-history/.

    Hurka, T. (2015). Moore’s Moral Philosophy (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy). [online] Stanford.edu. Available at: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/moore-moral/ [Accessed 5 Dec. 2019].

    McIntyre, A. (2018). Doctrine of Double Effect (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy). [online] Stanford.edu. Available at: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/double-effect/.

    Mill, J.S. (2015). On Liberty and Other Essays. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.

    Nozick, R. (2017). Anarchy, State, and Utopia. Oxford: Basil Blackwell.

    Schumacher, Benjamin, The Great Courses, The Science of Information: From Language to Black Holes, Narrated by Benjamin Schumacher, The Great Courses, 2018, Audiobook.

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    Time Stamps


    [00:01:40] How the Effective Altruism movement works

    [00:02:55] The role of emotions in Effective Altruism

    [00:04:03] How Spencer applies Effective Altruism in his work and companies

    [00:06:27] How cultivating automatic if-then rules can improve your life

    [00:10:42] How to handle depression using behavioral activation

    [00:12:05] Introversion and the hierarchical nature of personality

    [00:14:58] Personality traits that are not captured by the Big Five model

    [00:18:04] How it is easier to present a scientific finding compared to explaining that finding

    [00:20:20] The “psychological immune system” and the five categories of behaviors for dealing with difficult situations

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    [00:22:10] Action-based strategies for dealing with difficulty

    [00:23:27] Refocusing techniques for dealing with difficulty

    [00:23:42] Reframing and finding the silver lining

    [00:29:47] Whether or not the Big Five personality traits are inherently valenced (i.e. positive or negative)

    [00:31:03] Personality as a distribution of traits

    [00:33:22] Finding optimal levels of different personality traits

    [00:33:59] Tips for forming new habits

    [00:38:22] How to determine why behavioral change is not happening

    [00:42:07] Tips and heuristics for sparking structured and unstructured creativity


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