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    Election Drama and New All-Time Highs

    enNovember 06, 2020

    Podcast Summary

    • Improve communication skills with Think Fast, Talk Smart podcastFocus on buying and holding great companies for long-term investments, despite market fluctuations caused by elections and jobs reports.

      Effective communication skills are essential in business and life, and the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast, with its expert guests and practical tips, can help individuals hone these skills. Meanwhile, in the financial world, the election results and the October jobs report are causing market fluctuations, but investors should focus on buying and holding great companies for the long term, regardless of political changes. The October jobs report showed a decrease in the unemployment rate to 6.9%, and the addition of 638,000 jobs, which is positive economic news despite ongoing uncertainties.

    • Uber and The Trade Desk Excite Investors Amid Market VolatilityUber rallies after Prop 22 approval, The Trade Desk reports impressive Q3 earnings, both companies show resilience and adaptability amid uncertainty

      Despite ongoing market volatility due to election uncertainty, investors are showing excitement for the future of certain companies, like Uber and The Trade Desk. Uber saw a significant relief rally after California voters approved Proposition 22, allowing the company to continue classifying workers as independent contractors. The Trade Desk reported impressive Q3 earnings, surpassing analyst expectations and contributing to the stock's 25% increase. Despite challenges, such as increased losses and decreased ride-share bookings, Uber remains confident in its path to profitability. The Trade Desk's strong performance underscores the growing importance of digital advertising and programmatic buying in today's market. Overall, these earnings reports serve as reminders of the resilience and adaptability of the business world, even in the face of economic and political uncertainties.

    • Strong quarters for The Trade Desk and Upwork, CEO change at CVS HealthThe Trade Desk and Upwork had impressive quarters with sales growth and market share gains, while CVS Health reported decent earnings but faced CEO transition. The Trade Desk's digital ad solution thrives in the disrupted market, Upwork benefits from the gig economy and remote work, and CVS Health navigates healthcare and retail challenges.

      The Trade Desk had a strong quarter with impressive sales growth, market share gains, and continued emphasis on digital advertising, particularly in connected TV and mobile video. Meanwhile, CVS Health reported decent earnings but took a backseat to the news of CEO Larry Merlo's departure and the upcoming arrival of Karen Lynch as his successor. Upwork, on the other hand, saw its stock soar over 50% following a strong Q3 report and lowered investor expectations. The Trade Desk's programmatic ad solution is winning clients in the growing digital advertising market, while CVS Health's revenue growth was driven by healthcare benefits and retail segments. Upwork's earnings report showed robust demand for freelance work and strong financial performance. Overall, these companies represent different sectors and trends, with The Trade Desk benefiting from digital advertising disruption and innovation, CVS Health navigating healthcare and retail challenges, and Upwork capitalizing on the gig economy and remote work.

    • Impressive quarterly performances from Upwork, MercadoLibre, and PaycomUpwork and MercadoLibre exceeded expectations with strong revenue growth, while MercadoLibre's digital payment system, MercadoPago, saw significant growth both on and off the platform. Paycom also reported higher profits and revenue, leading to an all-time high for the stock.

      Both Upwork and MercadoLibre had impressive quarterly performances, surpassing expectations and demonstrating strong growth. Upwork reported revenues of $97 million, up 24%, and gross service volumes up 23%, leading to a net loss of only 0.2-0.3%. MercadoLibre saw nearly 150% year-over-year revenue growth, with gross merchandise volume up 117% currency neutral, and unique active users reaching 76.1 million. MercadoPago, MercadoLibre's digital payment system, saw significant growth both on and off the platform, with off-platform transactions reaching $8.4 billion. Paycom also had a strong quarter, with profits and revenue both coming in higher than expected, leading to an all-time high for the stock. Overall, these companies' growth and success demonstrate the importance of investing in businesses that cater to growing middle classes and provide comprehensive solutions.

    • Impressive quarters for Paycom, Qualcomm, and PelotonPaycom, Qualcomm, and Peloton reported strong financials and growth, with Paycom returning to pre-pandemic levels, Qualcomm's profits boosted by 5G, and Peloton seeing a surge in digital subscribers

      Both Paycom and Qualcomm had impressive quarters with strong financial performance and growth, despite facing challenges in their respective markets. Paycom, a provider of HR and payroll services, saw a return to pre-pandemic revenue levels and continued innovation, while Qualcomm, a wireless tech giant, reported higher-than-expected profits and revenue, with 5G being a significant growth driver. Peloton, a fitness technology company, experienced a significant increase in digital subscribers and revenues, showcasing the growing demand for at-home workouts. These companies' solid financials and future growth prospects make them attractive investments, despite their high valuations.

    • Growth and Challenges for Peloton and PayPalBoth Peloton and PayPal have experienced growth during the pandemic, but face unique challenges. Peloton deals with high demand and growth pains, while PayPal navigates market reactions to eBay separation and tougher comps.

      Both Peloton and PayPal have experienced significant growth during the pandemic, but have faced challenges as a result. Peloton, despite seeing high demand for its products and services, has faced long wait times and underperformance, leading to growth pains. PayPal, on the other hand, has seen tremendous success with a run rate of $1 trillion in total payment volume and the addition of 361 million active accounts. However, the market may be reacting negatively to the fact that PayPal is weaning itself off of eBay and that tougher comps may present challenges in 2021. Despite these challenges, both companies are well-positioned for long-term growth, with Peloton continuing to meet demand for at-home fitness solutions and PayPal solidifying its status as a major financial platform. Additionally, Venmo, PayPal's peer-to-peer payment service, is forecasted to contribute positively to transaction margin dollars in 2021.

    • Roku and Square's impressive growth in commerce and finance sectorsRoku and Square reported strong Q3 results, with revenue growth and increasing importance of advertising and digital transactions, despite heavy investments and lack of significant profitability.

      Technology companies in the commerce and finance sectors, such as Roku and Square, are experiencing significant growth due to the shift towards streaming and digital transactions. Roku reported impressive Q3 results, with total revenue up 70.3%, platform revenue increasing 78%, and advertising becoming the fastest growing part of the business. Square also had a strong quarter, with net revenue surpassing $3 billion and gross payment volumes up $31 billion. Square's Cash App, which allows users to buy stocks and trade on the platform, has seen significant growth with over 2.5 million customers using it to buy stocks and $1 billion in trades. However, both companies are still investing heavily in their businesses and have not yet reached significant profitability. These companies' strong growth highlights the ongoing transformation of commerce and finance through technology.

    • Square's Expansion and Clorox's Impressive EarningsSquare, led by Jack Dorsey, expands financially, offering opportunities but risks. Clorox reports strong earnings, driven by hygiene demand, with impressive revenue growth and widened gross margins.

      Square, led by Jack Dorsey, is expanding its financial offerings beyond its core business, presenting potential opportunities for investors. At the same time, the company's diversification comes with risks, as Dorsey juggles two CEO roles and maintains a hands-off leadership style. Meanwhile, Clorox reported impressive first-quarter earnings with revenue growth driven by demand for hygiene and disinfectant products across various categories. The company's strong brand image, which is difficult to quantify but evident in its partnerships with other businesses, adds value to its stock. Clorox's impressive financial performance, including widened gross margins and increased revenue in multiple segments, has warranted its high stock price. However, it's essential to remember that such strong numbers may not continue indefinitely.

    • Strong brands and human connection drive business success during a pandemicCompanies owning a market and catering to specific segments saw impressive financial results despite the pandemic

      The power of a strong brand and the human desire for connection, even during a pandemic, can lead to impressive business results. Match Group, the parent company of various dating apps, saw all-time high shares this week due to better-than-expected subscriber growth and operating income, despite a high valuation. Similarly, Wayfair reported a profitable quarter with significant revenue and customer growth, reflecting the success of the online home furnishings business model. These companies demonstrate the importance of owning a market and catering to specific segments, leading to impressive financial results.

    • Wayfair's Growth and Opportunities, Panera's New Offerings, and Alarm.com's PotentialWayfair's repeat customers and mobile orders are driving growth, with potential for expansion in Europe and North America. Panera Bread tests alcohol sales to attract customers later in the day. Alarm.com, a 5G and IoT play, has a $3B market cap and room to grow with a diversified revenue stream and strong inside ownership.

      Wayfair's business is showing strong signs of growth, with repeat customers accounting for a larger percentage of orders and a significant increase in mobile orders. The company sees a massive market opportunity in North America and Europe, where it is currently operating at a $1 billion run rate in Europe. Wayfair's gross margin also expanded significantly, coming in at 30%, reflecting strong shipping and fulfillment cost handling. The company expects a slight decrease in gross margin in Q4 due to shrinking volumes but does not anticipate any supply-related issues for the holiday season. Another company making headlines is Panera Bread, which is testing sales of beer, wine, and hard seltzer at several locations in Kansas City to attract customers later in the day. Jason Moser is bullish on Alarm.com (ALRM), a play on 5G and the Internet of Things, which is responsible for devices and software that connect to its cloud for security and other functions. With a market cap of $3 billion, Alarm.com still has room to grow and benefits from tailwinds in 5G and the Internet of Things, as well as a diversified revenue stream and strong inside ownership.

    • Alarm.com's cloud platform connects devices through their own 5G network, while Scotts Miracle-Gro reports strong sales growthAlarm.com focuses on connectivity and efficiency through their cloud platform, while Scotts Miracle-Gro succeeds in lawn care with diverse product offerings. Both are worth considering for watch lists, with further analysis on their long-term growth potential.

      Alarm.com's products are connected through their own 5G network, but users still pay for the service provided by Alarm.com, which manages and connects all devices through their cloud platform. This allows for efficient communication and operation among devices. Another intriguing company mentioned was Scotts Miracle-Gro, which reported strong sales growth and a profitable Q4 for the first time since 2000. Despite its impressive performance, the company is trading at a relatively high P/E ratio, and further research is needed to determine if the growth will continue over the next few years. Despite their differences, both companies showcase interesting business models. Alarm.com's focus on connectivity and efficiency through their cloud platform, while Scotts Miracle-Gro's success in the lawn care industry with their diverse product offerings. For those looking to add companies to their watch list, Alarm.com and Scotts Miracle-Gro could be worth considering, with further analysis to determine their long-term growth potential.

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