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    Fed skips an interest rate increase

    enJune 15, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Fed Pauses Rate Hikes Amid Economic UncertaintyThe Fed paused rate hikes due to economic uncertainty, but officials expect higher inflation, lower unemployment, and higher growth this year.

      The Federal Reserve has paused its interest rate hikes after a series of increases, but Chair Jay Powell indicated there could be more hikes later this year due to ongoing economic strength and rising inflation expectations. The Fed has raised rates significantly since last year, from near zero to above 5%, and officials are unsure how long it will take for these changes to impact the economy. Additionally, there is uncertainty regarding the banking sector's resilience. Meanwhile, Boris Johnson faced multiple contempt charges in the UK Parliament, and Russian companies are recruiting workers with bonuses and holidays to avoid conscripting them for military service in Ukraine. The economic projections released by the Fed show most officials expecting higher core inflation, lower unemployment, and higher growth this year. Overall, the Fed's decision to pause rate hikes reflects the ongoing economic uncertainty and the need for careful monetary policy management.

    • Fed Pauses Interest Rate Hikes Amid Economic UncertaintyThe Fed has paused interest rate hikes due to economic uncertainty caused by lender failures and tightening lending conditions, which could negatively impact growth.

      The Federal Reserve's decision to pause interest rate hikes is due to economic uncertainty caused by several lenders' failures and tightening lending conditions. This situation is expected to negatively impact growth, but the severity is unknown. The Fed has historically not hiked at every gathering during tightening cycles. Elsewhere, a report revealed that former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to be found in contempt of parliament due to his conduct during the party gate scandal. Johnson denies any wrongdoing and has resigned from parliament. Lastly, Gazprom, Russia's energy giant, is recruiting and equipping employees to fight in Ukraine. This information came to light through Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner mercenary group, who mentioned three Gazprom battalions called Torch, Stream, and Flame. The recruitment of these battalions is a concerning development in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

    • Gazprom Encourages Workers to Fight in Ukraine ConflictGazprom offers bonuses and job security to its security guards who join the Ukrainian conflict, allowing them to maintain income while serving in the 'otok' battalions

      Gazprom, a major Russian energy company, has been recruiting its security guards to serve in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, allowing them to maintain their jobs and income while fighting on the front lines. Erast Yakovenko, a Gazprom security guard, was one such individual who was reportedly killed in action while serving in the "otok" or stream battalion near Bakhmut. According to sources, Gazprom initiated this campaign to encourage workers to sign up, offering bonuses and the option to keep their jobs and salaries. The battalions offer soldiers the choice of equipment providers, with Gazprom being an option. The Russian government reportedly instructed big companies to participate in the recruitment efforts, as they aim to avoid another mass conscription drive for the front line.

    • Russian Volunteer Battalions and Inflation in SwedenThe Russian government is forming volunteer battalions to fight in Ukraine, allowing them control and potential future influence, while Sweden experienced temporary inflation from Beyonce's world tour.

      The Russian government is recruiting men for the frontline in Ukraine through various means, including volunteer battalions tied to companies and oligarchs. This strategy allows these groups to demonstrate loyalty to the Kremlin while also controlling the deployment of their employees and potentially securing future influence. Meanwhile, in Sweden, inflation spiked due to Beyonce's world tour, but economists believe the effect will be temporary. In Russia, the Kremlin aims to avoid repeating the destabilizing effects of previous conflicts, such as the one that caused mass migration to Kazakhstan and Georgia. Instead, they are forming volunteer battalions to fight in Ukraine, providing these groups with leverage and potential future influence. Inflation in Sweden surged due to the influx of Beyonce fans, but economists predict the impact will be short-lived.

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