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    Is Putin in danger of winning in Ukraine?

    enDecember 14, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Cracks in Controlled EnvironmentsDespite apparent control, dissent and questioning can still emerge, giving the illusion of openness and democracy.

      Even in seemingly controlled environments, there can be cracks that allow for dissent and questioning of the status quo. This was evident in a recent Russian presidential news conference where, despite the lack of opposition to President Putin, some critical questions managed to slip through. While these questions may not have been answered directly, their presence on the screen gave the impression of a more open and democratic society. Additionally, the podcast discussed the effectiveness of personalized weight loss plans from Noom and the convenience of gift shopping with Celebrations Passport from 1800flowers.com. The BBC also shared a light-hearted moment about their own podcast production.

    • Putin reaffirms commitment to Ukraine goals, denies backing downPutin maintains Ukraine's neutrality, views Western expansion as aggression, and refuses to back down, despite concerns over lack of media coverage on the ongoing conflict

      Russian President Vladimir Putin reaffirmed his commitment to his goals in Ukraine during a recent news conference, emphasizing the importance of Ukraine's neutral status and denying any intention of backing down. Putin views Western expansion, particularly NATO's presence near Russia's borders, as a form of aggression. Meanwhile, some listeners have expressed concern over the lack of coverage of the ongoing war in Ukraine, which they believe has significant implications for Europe. The recent crisis in the Middle East, specifically the war in Gaza, has dominated news headlines, but the war in Ukraine has not been entirely forgotten. The unexpected nature and severity of the conflict in the Middle East have understandably taken up a significant amount of media attention, but coverage of Ukraine has not ceased entirely.

    • BBC's Decreased Coverage of Ukraine War Due to Lack of Recent DevelopmentsBBC continues to prioritize Ukraine news coverage despite fewer recent developments, acknowledging the importance of keeping their audience informed.

      The BBC makes significant financial investments in covering major global conflicts, such as the ongoing war in Ukraine, but the lack of recent significant developments in the conflict has led to a decrease in coverage. The BBC has a large team dedicated to Russia and Ukraine news, and they have not taken their focus away from the situation. However, they acknowledge that they could have provided more updates to their audience about the current state of the war. Despite the war being in an attritional phase, it is still important for the BBC to keep their audience informed, even when there are fewer symbolic events occurring.

    • The Significance of Ongoing Conflicts and the Challenge of Prioritizing CoverageWhile major conflicts like the war in Ukraine demand attention and resources, other crises around the world also require coverage. Journalists prioritize stories through ongoing discussions and debates, ensuring important issues remain a focus.

      While it's important to keep people informed about ongoing conflicts and crises, such as the situation in Ukraine, the finite nature of news bulletins means that not every story can receive the same level of coverage. The war in Ukraine, which has seen an estimated 90% of Russian military personnel sent at the start of the invasion killed or wounded, is a significant story with major geopolitical implications. However, other crises around the world, like the situations in Yemen and Sudan, also demand attention and resources. The BBC, along with only a few other news organizations, has maintained a presence in Ukraine since 1993, providing ongoing coverage and updates. Despite the challenges of limited time and resources, ongoing discussions and debates among journalists ensure that important stories like Ukraine remain a priority.

    • New political phase in Ukraine war with elections and summitsRussia's election, U.S. election, EU summit, Putin's reelection, Ukrainian leadership's approach, war fatigue, and upcoming elections in India, Indonesia, and the U.S. could impact Ukraine war's outcome and consequences.

      The war in Ukraine is entering a new political phase, with Russia's election, the U.S. election, and the EU summit adding to the complexities and potential for waning support. The political context includes Putin's reelection bid, Republican opposition to funding the war, and European leaders debating continued financial support for Ukraine. Additionally, Ukraine itself faces internal divisions, with the armed forces chief gaining popularity and questioning the current leadership's approach. This war fatigue, both domestically and internationally, could have serious consequences if Putin is able to make significant gains without facing substantial consequences. The upcoming elections in various countries, including India, Indonesia, and the U.S., could further impact the situation, with leaders focusing on domestic priorities instead of foreign conflicts.

    • Supporting Ukraine: A Worthwhile InvestmentFormer intelligence leaders argue for continued support of Ukraine to contain Russian military threat, despite significant costs, as the human cost of allowing conflict could be greater.

      The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine comes with significant human and geopolitical costs. Former heads of intelligence agencies argue that supporting Ukraine to contain the Russian military threat is a worthwhile investment, even if it requires tens of billions of dollars. The challenges of the 21st century, including defense spending, are crucial concerns that need to be addressed. Historian Timothy Snyder, an expert on Eastern Europe and Ukraine, emphasizes the importance of continued support for Ukraine in the face of political obstacles. Despite broad consensus on the need for support, the issue has been linked to other contentious topics, making it difficult to secure funding. Ultimately, the human cost of allowing one person to take another country could be much greater than the cost of preventing it.

    • Political tensions in US affecting Ukraine's financial supportSome Republicans are using the southern border issue to block US aid for Ukraine's borders, risking a halt in support during the election year, and potentially prioritizing Russia's interests over Ukraine's.

      The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is facing challenges in securing continued financial support from the United States due to the involvement of the southern border issue in the American political scene. While there is broad consensus among the public, political elites, and Democrats and Republicans to support Ukraine, certain factions within the Republican Party are using this unrelated issue to block financial aid for Ukraine's borders. This tactic is seen as a risk, particularly in the upcoming US presidential election year, where some politicians, like Donald Trump, have expressed desires to improve relations with Russia's President Putin. Trump's past actions and statements suggest that he may prioritize Putin's interests over Ukraine's, which could lead to a halt in American support for Ukraine if he were to win the election. Additionally, there are concerns about the potential splintering of support for Ukrainian President Zelensky, but it is not yet clear if this is a significant issue. Overall, the situation in Ukraine remains complex and uncertain, with various political factors at play.

    • The outcome of the Ukraine-Russia conflict is uncertain, but historical trends suggest self-defending countries often win.Historical trends suggest self-defending countries often win, but the Ukraine-Russia conflict puts immense strain on both populations and Putin's goal is to leave a lasting legacy through territorial gain and humiliation.

      The outcome of the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia is uncertain, but the historical trend suggests that countries defending themselves or fighting against colonial rule often emerge victorious. The political situation in Ukraine, with President Zelensky's reelection and the upcoming non-free and fair election in Russian-occupied territories, may not significantly impact the war's dynamics. However, it's crucial to remember that the war puts immense strain on both populations and that the ultimate goal for Putin is to leave a lasting legacy by gaining territory and humiliating Europe and the US. It's essential to recognize that denying basic services and forcing people to switch passports under threat is a war crime, and the situation in Ukraine mirrors historical events like the Soviet Union's invasion of Poland in 1939. The pessimistic view that Russia will eventually occupy more Ukrainian territory is not necessarily accurate, and it's crucial to remember the moral and legal implications of Russia's actions.

    • Ending the Russia-Ukraine war depends on Ukrainians pressuring Russia's political systemUkrainians must focus on specific goals to put pressure on Russia's political system and end the war, but it may take longer than expected and Putin is counting on Western weakness.

      The end of the Russia-Ukraine war depends on the Ukrainians' ability to put pressure on Russia's political system, making it unsustainable for Putin to continue. History shows that wars end when one side's political system is under significant pressure and can no longer maintain the conflict. The Ukrainians must focus on achieving specific, concrete goals, such as keeping the Black Sea fleet out of Crimea, maintaining commercial shipping, and improving logistics. Only then will politics in Russia shift, and the war will come to an end. However, it's important to remember that wars often last longer than the attention span of news organizations and electoral cycles, and Putin is counting on this Western weakness. The outcome of the war remains uncertain, as does Putin's gamble on the West's perceived lack of commitment and attention span.

    • Wars don't go as planned and take longer than expectedGreat powers rarely win wars and intentions can be forgotten or unachieved. Focus on medium term to improve and potentially reach Act 3. Conflicting values create challenges, evident in recent conflicts like Afghanistan and Iraq. Putin's claims about Gaza and Ukraine are false, as shown in '20 Days in Mariupol'.

      Learning from the discussion with Professor Timothy Snyder is that wars don't go as planned and they're longer than expected. The historical lesson is that great powers rarely win wars, and their intentions and goals are often forgotten or unachieved. In the context of the 21st century, this means having patience and focusing on the medium term to improve Act 2 and potentially reach Act 3. Another key point is the incompatibility of two value systems: one that values a country's actions and behavior, and another that values winning at all costs. This conflict between values has been evident in recent conflicts, such as Afghanistan and Iraq. Furthermore, Putin's claims about the differences between conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine are false, as demonstrated by the harrowing documentary "20 Days in Mariupol." The film showcases the horrific reality of the situation in Ukraine and challenges the notion that the horror seen in Gaza did not occur there.

    • Ask the 'Today' podcast your questions, subscribe, and share with othersListeners can submit questions for the 'Today' podcast, subscribe, and introduce podcasts to new listeners. The episode promotes 'Legend' podcast and offers a discount for Mother's Day gifts from 1-800-Flowers. Joni Mitchell's influence is acknowledged.

      The BBC's "Today" podcast is encouraging listeners to submit questions for an upcoming Q&A episode, which can be done via email or WhatsApp. The podcast also reminds listeners to subscribe to the show on BBC Sounds and shares some tips, such as how to get podcasts into bluetooth hearing aids. The episode features a promotion for the "Legend" podcast, which explores the lives of musical pioneers, specifically focusing on Joni Mitchell. Additionally, the "Today" podcast encourages listeners to introduce podcasts to those who haven't tried them before. Shopify is mentioned as a platform for selling goods online, and 1-800-Flowers is promoted for Mother's Day gift-giving, offering a discount for a limited time. The episode also acknowledges the importance of Joni Mitchell as a musical influencer.

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    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.



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    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



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    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

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    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


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    Ukraine launches multiple attacks along front line amid claims counter-offensive has begun

    Day 466.

    Today, we examine early reports of military activity across the front lines, analyse recent political developments in Europe, and discuss the differences between reporting on a war from the ground and from a newsroom.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @djknowles22 on Twitter.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on Twitter.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant on Twitter.

    Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor, Defence) @DomNicholls on Twitter.


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.



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    'Putin has become a caricature of himself’: Understanding Russia with Mark Galeotti

    'Putin has become a caricature of himself’: Understanding Russia with Mark Galeotti

    Dr Mark Galeotti is a leading expert on Russian history and security. He runs the influential and fascinating podcast and blog ‘In Moscow’s Shadows and is the Director of the consultancy firm Mayak Intelligence and also an Honorary Professor at UCL School of Slavonic & East European Studies and a Senior Associate Fellow at RUSI.


    We wanted to hear from Galeotti himself about Russian society, politics and statecraft. Without further ado, here’s David Knowles' conversation.


    Listen to Mark Galeotti's podcast "In Moscow's Shadow": https://podfollow.com/1510124746

    Listen to The Telegraph's foreign affair podcast, "Battle Lines": https://podfollow.com/battle-lines-israel-gaza


    Live Event:

    Join us online at the US Embassy in London for a special live recording of Ukraine: The Latest:

    https://extra.telegraph.co.uk/events/ukraine-latest-london-embassy

    The event is on Thursday 15 February and starts at 18:30 GMT (13:30 ET).



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