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    Record Highs, Coronavirus Concerns, Facebook’s New Hobby

    enFebruary 14, 2020

    Podcast Summary

    • NVIDIA Reports Strong Q4 Profits, Stock SurgesNVIDIA's gaming and data center revenues grew significantly, inventory issues with crypto were resolved, and partnerships and AI investments fueled growth. Effective communication skills are crucial for making a good impression, managing anxiety, and persuasion.

      NVIDIA, a semiconductor company, reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter profits, with gaming revenue up 50% and data center revenue up 43%. Shares of NVIDIA surged more than 15% this week as inventory issues related to crypto have apparently been resolved. The company's collaboration with Tencent to bring PC gaming to the cloud in China and its continued investments in AI are also driving growth. Strong communication skills, as discussed on the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast, are essential in business and life, helping individuals make a good impression, manage anxiety, and be persuasive.

    • Cloud gaming's potential growth with 5G and edge computingNvidia stands to benefit from cloud gaming's rise, Shopify's strong Q4 boosts stock, and Pepsi's earnings report fuels positive sentiment. These developments underscore growth potential in tech, e-commerce, and cloud gaming sectors.

      The shift to cloud gaming, fueled by advancements in 5G and edge computing technology, could significantly benefit companies like Nvidia in the coming years. This technology, which allows users to stream games instead of downloading them, is becoming more viable as latency issues are addressed by faster connections. Meanwhile, Shopify's strong Q4 revenue and guidance have driven its stock price to record highs, making it a highly valued investment with potential for a future pullback. Additionally, Shopify's partnership with Stripe allows investors to indirectly gain exposure to the payments provider. Pepsi's strong 4th quarter earnings report also contributed to positive market sentiment. Overall, these developments highlight the potential growth opportunities in cloud gaming, e-commerce, and technology sectors.

    • Strong industry performance for PepsiCo and RokuPepsiCo saw 4% organic revenue growth and Roku added 4.6 million active accounts, both reporting impressive growth. However, PepsiCo's weak earnings guidance surprised investors while Roku continues to focus on expanding internationally and growing its platform business.

      Both PepsiCo and Roku reported strong performance in their respective industries, with PepsiCo seeing organic revenue growth of 4% driven by volume and price increases, and Roku adding 4.6 million active accounts and seeing impressive growth in platform revenue. However, investors were surprised by PepsiCo's weak earnings growth guidance, while Roku, despite not yet being profitable, continues to focus on expanding into international markets and growing its platform business. Innovation, whether in the form of new beverage offerings or streaming technology, is a key trend driving growth in both companies. PepsiCo's focus on healthier and differently-sized beverages is a response to consumer trends, while Roku's platform growth is transforming the company from a hardware business to a content platform. Despite the different stages of profitability, both companies offer compelling growth opportunities.

    • Disney Plus, Mattel, and Lyft: Positives and ChallengesDisney Plus faces challenges in driving direct sign-ups, Mattel profits from cost cutting but eyes digital growth, Lyft reports strong quarter but concerns about losses persist

      While Disney Plus may be seeing significant subscriptions through partnerships with companies like Verizon and platforms like Roku, the number of people signing up directly for the service might not be as high as expected. Additionally, Mattel's Q4 results showed that the company was able to turn a profit mainly due to cost cutting, but growth opportunities exist in digital offerings and new products like the Baby Yoda toy. Lyft had a strong quarter with higher revenue and more active riders, but concerns about the company's continuing losses kept the stock down. The takeaway here is that while there are positives to be found in each of these stories, there are also challenges that need to be addressed. For Disney Plus, it's the question of how to drive more direct sign-ups. For Mattel, it's the multiyear turnaround strategy. And for Lyft, it's the path to profitability. These are all stories worth keeping an eye on as they unfold.

    • Companies under pressure to increase revenues or decrease costsUber and Lyft face market pressure, Under Armour undergoes restructuring, and Restaurant Brands International sees growth from Popeyes but struggles with Tim Hortons

      The market is currently putting pressure on companies like Uber and Lyft to increase revenues or decrease costs to reach profitability, despite their dominant market position. Meanwhile, Under Armour is facing challenges in multiple areas, including North America and wholesale, leading to another restructuring effort. There's a need for new leadership at Under Armour, as seen with similar situations at companies like Chipotle. On a positive note, Restaurant Brands International saw impressive growth from Popeyes due to their chicken sandwich, but Tim Hortons continues to be a weak point for the company. Overall, companies need to address their challenges and effectively execute changes to turn things around.

    • Impact of Coronavirus on Global Economy and BusinessesThe coronavirus outbreak is causing uncertainty in the business world, particularly in industries reliant on China. The severity and duration are uncertain, leading to potential financial guidance revisions and market volatility. Stay informed and adapt strategies accordingly, with a long-term perspective.

      The coronavirus outbreak is causing significant uncertainty in the business world due to its impact on the global supply chain and potential economic consequences. China, being a major part of the global economy, has the potential to cause widespread repercussions, particularly in industries such as semiconductors, technology, and automotive. The severity and duration of the outbreak are still uncertain, making it difficult to predict the extent of the economic impact. While some investors may be panicking and making drastic changes to their portfolios, others are staying calm and carrying on with their usual investing strategies. However, companies may start to issue revised financial guidance as the situation unfolds, potentially leading to further market volatility. It's important to note that the information available is constantly changing, and government officials are urging caution while acknowledging that the situation could worsen rapidly. Ultimately, it's essential for investors to stay informed and adapt their strategies accordingly while keeping a long-term perspective.

    • Uncertainty for businesses with significant operations in China amid coronavirus outbreakBusinesses face uncertainty due to rapidly evolving coronavirus situation in China. WHO visit expected to provide clarity. Some industries adjust full-year guidance. Diversified supply chains may benefit. Higher valuations, lower expectations for China-focused companies. US-focused businesses could become more attractive.

      The coronavirus outbreak in China is causing uncertainty for businesses with significant operations in the country. The situation is evolving rapidly, and the reliability of information can be questionable. However, the World Health Organization's upcoming visit to China is expected to provide clarity and help businesses make informed decisions about potential impacts. Some industries, like the cruise industry, have already adjusted full-year guidance due to the virus. Companies that have diversified their supply chains away from China may benefit. From a stock market perspective, valuations are higher now than during the SARS outbreak, and investors may be looking for reasons to sell. Lower expectations for companies with significant China exposure may be necessary. On the other hand, businesses heavily concentrated in the United States, such as Home Depot and Lowe's, could become more attractive if the outbreak is contained. Ultimately, it's essential to stay informed and adapt to the situation as it unfolds.

    • Companies diversifying supply chains outside of ChinaConsider investing in companies like Home Depot, Lowe's, and Kellogg's that have diversified their supply chains and are well-positioned for market trends

      Companies that have been proactive in diversifying their supply chains outside of China may be worth holding onto despite current market uncertainty. For example, Home Depot and Lowe's have made strides in this area and could be good investments. On the other hand, new apps or products, such as Facebook's Hobby or Samsung's new foldable phone, may not be worth the investment as they face stiff competition and potential consumer skepticism. Additionally, established companies like Kellogg's entering the plant-based protein market could be worth keeping an eye on as consumer preferences continue to shift towards more sustainable food options. Overall, it's important to stay informed about company actions and market trends before making investment decisions.

    • Branding and marketing drive consumer interest and salesNew plant-based products from Kellogg and Yum Brands showcase the power of branding and marketing in attracting consumers. Appian's growth in low-code software development highlights potential opportunities in this market.

      The power of branding and marketing cannot be underestimated in driving consumer interest and sales, as evidenced by the discussion about Kellogg's new plant-based protein line, Incognito, and the collaboration between Yum Brands and Crocs to create KFC-scented Crocs. While some may prefer established brand names like Impossible Foods and Beyond Meat, others find appeal in clever and punny names like Incognito and the KFC Crocs. The success of these products may depend on their execution and target audience, as well as potential concerns around brand extension and collectibility. Another key takeaway is the potential growth and opportunity in the low-code software development market, as highlighted by Appian's strong performance and expanding addressable market. Investors should consider evaluating these companies based on their unique value propositions, growth potential, and market size, while also keeping an eye on potential valuation concerns.

    • Gaming and Data Visualization Industries Seeing Growth Amidst DisruptionThe gaming industry, represented by Tencent, and data visualization, through companies like Salesforce and Tableau, are experiencing growth due to increased demand during times of disruption. These industries offer potential investment opportunities.

      During times of significant change or disruption, such as the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, certain industries and companies may experience increased demand or growth. For instance, the gaming industry, represented by Tencent, has seen a surge in downloads and engagement due to people spending more time at home. Another industry, data visualization through companies like Salesforce and Tableau, is becoming increasingly important as businesses seek to make sense of large amounts of data. Both Tencent and Salesforce offer unique products and services that cater to these trends. While they operate in different markets and industries, they could provide intriguing investment opportunities.

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