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    Will there be a billion climate refugees?

    enDecember 02, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Finding Hidden Talent on LinkedInLinkedIn is a crucial platform for businesses to discover and hire top talent, including passive candidates, as over 70% of its users don't visit other job sites. Additionally, LinkedIn can help address potential societal challenges related to climate migration by connecting businesses with skilled professionals.

      LinkedIn is a valuable resource for businesses looking to hire professionals, as over 70% of its users don't visit other leading job sites. This means that great candidates like Sandra, who might not be actively looking for a new job but could be open to the perfect role, can be found on LinkedIn. Additionally, during the COP Climate Conference, the number of potential climate refugees being discussed has been a topic of concern. While the term refugees has a specific legal meaning that doesn't currently apply to climate migrants, the claim that there might be a billion climate migrants this century has been widely reported. Former US Vice President Al Gore has warned about the potential societal and governance challenges that could come with such a large number of climate migrants. Meanwhile, LinkedIn can help businesses find professionals they might not find elsewhere, making it an essential tool for hiring.

    • Predictions of Climate Change Induced Population MovementsWhile some studies predict massive population movements due to climate change, scientific consensus questions their accuracy and oversimplification of the issue. The IPCC predicts a maximum sea level rise of up to 1.01 meters by 2100, which is less than assumed in some studies.

      While predictions of massive population movements due to climate change have gained popularity, their accuracy is often questioned. These predictions are typically based on models that assume large numbers of people will have to move due to increased vulnerability to climate shocks. For instance, a prediction from 2017 suggested 1.4 billion people could be displaced by 2060 and 2 billion by the end of the century, based on an extreme sea level rise scenario. However, these numbers are not supported by scientific consensus and are often criticized for oversimplifying the issue. Previous predictions, such as Norman Myers' prediction of 200 million climate migrants by 2050, have also been criticized for assuming all affected people would migrate and that many would move to developed countries. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which writes international reports on climate change, predicts a maximum sea level rise of up to 1.01 meters by the end of the century, which is nowhere near the 10 meters assumed in some studies. Therefore, while it's important to acknowledge the potential for population movements due to climate change, it's equally important to approach predictions with a critical and nuanced perspective.

    • Potential for large-scale climate-induced displacementOver a billion people could be displaced by 2050 due to climate change, but the specifics of where they might go remain uncertain

      The Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) report suggests that over a billion people could be displaced by 2050 due to the impacts of climate change. However, it's important to note that not all of these people will be migrants crossing international borders. Professor Heine de Haas of the University of Amsterdam explains that people will try to stay in their home areas as much as possible when faced with climate-related displacement. The IEP report also mentions that entire countries, such as Pakistan and Iran, could see their populations leave due to extreme vulnerability to climate shocks. Yet, the report does not specify where these displaced people might go. The key takeaway is that the potential for large-scale climate-induced displacement is a significant concern, but the specifics of how and where people will move remain uncertain.

    • Impact of Climate Change on Internal Displacements and MigrationClimate change contributes to internal displacements, but not all are long-term or result in border crossings. Poorest populations may face challenges migrating due to expenses and lost income. Migration influenced by complex factors, and prediction of a billion climate migrants oversimplifies the issue.

      While the number of internal displacements due to natural disasters is significant, with an estimated 32 million displacements in 2022, many of these displacements are short-term and not the result of border crossings. However, climate change is expected to make it more difficult for the poorest populations to migrate due to the expense and potential loss of income from damaged crops. Additionally, it's important to note that migration is influenced by a complex interplay of environmental and non-environmental factors. Lastly, the prediction of a billion climate migrants ignores the capacity for humans to mitigate the effects of climate change through individual and government actions such as building seawalls and flood defenses.

    • Climate change will force many to leave their homes, but the projection of a billion climate refugees is likely an overestimationFocus on ways to adapt to climate change and provide support for those in need, rather than being alarmed by potentially inflated numbers of climate refugees

      While it's true that climate change will force many people to leave their homes due to increased difficulties, the projection of a billion climate refugees crossing borders en masse is likely an overestimation. The current evidence suggests that most displaced people will move within their countries rather than outside of them. Additionally, the biggest humanitarian crisis might be those who can't afford to move at all. It's important to acknowledge that climate change will make many people's lives harder, but the basis of those projections in scientific terms are deeply faulty. Therefore, when you hear large numbers related to climate refugees, take them with a large pinch of salt. Instead, focus on ways to adapt to climate change, such as changing farming methods and building houses in safer places, and providing support for those who need it most.

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      The Health ProtectaGuard plans, underwritten by Golden Rule Insurance Company, serve as a helpful supplement to your primary health insurance. These plans help manage out-of-pocket costs without the usual requirements and restrictions, such as deductibles and enrollment periods. This means you can have peace of mind knowing that unexpected medical bills will be covered to some extent. These plans are not meant to replace your primary insurance, but rather work in conjunction with it. To find the right Health ProtectaGuard plan for you, visit uhone.com.

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