hybridwarfare

First they were known as the “little green men”, an anonymous private Russian force appearing first in Crimea, then Syria, then in central Africa. Now, they are on the frontline of Putin’s war in Ukraine. Just how powerful is the Wagner Group and their increasingly vocal founder, Yevgeny Prigozhin?

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This episode was recorded on February 27, 2022.

Dr. Frederick W. Kagan is a former professor of history with a Ph.D. in Russian and Soviet military history from Yale. He is also a celebrated author and the director of the American Enterprise Institute's Critical Threats Project. 

In this episode, I discuss the nature of the conflict that has taken the world by storm over the last 5 days—Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine and the ongoing resistance of its citizens. Dr. Kagan is a wealth of information on military history, geopolitics, Putin's relationship with the USSR (which his father helped defend) and Ukrainian sovereignty, and other aspects of what’s most certainly a moment in human history that won’t be forgotten soon.

Find more Dr. Frederick Kagan: https://understandingwar.org and https://criticalthreats.org

For regular updates on the situation in Ukraine: https://understandingwar.org or https://criticalthreats.org/analysis/ukraine-conflict-updates

Ways to help: https://linkedin.com/posts/nataliya-bugayova-97469a1a_wwwstopputinnet-activity-6903830899821985793-Z_qb

An excellent discussion of the evolution of Putin’s attitudes toward the West: https://understandingwar.org/report/how-we-got-here-russia-kremlins-worldview

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Chapters

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[0:00] Intro

[2:32] Current Situation

[4:55] Motivations for Expansion

[6:25] Russia & the West: A Brief History 

[10:47] Russian Ideology 

[18:09] The Bolshevik Revolution Today

[21:59] History of Putin, Russia, & NATO

[31:33] Putin in Power

[01:00:25] Why Now? 

[01:04:30] Putin Subverts Expectations

[01:07:30] Biden, Hybrid Warfare, & Propaganda

[01:10:17] Putin’s Invasion: a Tactical Perspective

[01:15:30] Ukranian Response

[01:16:40] International Response & Russian Allies

[01:19:00] SWIFT Ban

[01:24:30] Protests

[01:27:50] A Way Forward?

[01:31:00] UnderstandingWar.org

[01:31:50] WWIII

[01:35:39] Repercussions of a Russian attack on NATO

[01:38:58] Defense Budgets

[01:39:10] Outro

#Ukraine #Russia #Putin #VolodymyrZelenskyy #JordanPeterson