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    #493 - David McRaney - Where Do Our Beliefs Come From?

    enJune 30, 2022

    Podcast Summary

    • Beliefs are more than just factsBeliefs encompass factual information, emotional certainty, attitudes, and values. Changing them is complex, but unified business systems like NetSuite can reduce costs and enhance efficiency.

      Beliefs are complex constructs that go beyond just factual information. They involve emotions, attitudes, values, and trust. According to David McCraney, a belief is a combination of fact-based information and emotional certainty, along with an expression of one's attitudes and values. When we express a belief, we are not just stating facts, but also conveying how we feel about something and what we consider to be true or false. This complexity makes changing people's beliefs a challenging task. In the realm of business, the same concept applies. Companies aim to reduce costs and improve efficiency by adopting unified systems like NetSuite, which brings all business processes into one platform and eliminates the need for multiple systems. This not only reduces expenses but also enhances efficiency and profitability. Overall, understanding the intricacies of beliefs and their formation can help us navigate various aspects of life, from interpersonal relationships to business strategies.

    • Beyond beliefs: Understanding underlying motivations in debatesWhen engaging in debates, recognize that beliefs are often rooted in deeper attitudes, values, and experiences. Understanding these underlying factors can lead to more effective communication and productive dialogue.

      Changing minds is a complex process that often goes beyond just beliefs and involves underlying attitudes, values, and experiences. The speaker emphasized that when people engage in debates, they may assume they are battling over facts and evidence, but in reality, they might be clashing over justifications for deeply held attitudes or values. He used the example of the ongoing debate about vaccines to illustrate this point. Instead of focusing solely on presenting evidence, it's essential to understand the underlying motivations and psychological processes that shape people's beliefs. By recognizing this, we can approach conversations with a more nuanced understanding and potentially find common ground or facilitate productive dialogue.

    • Seeking justifications for our emotions and beliefsIn the digital age, it's crucial to filter and verify information, rather than letting emotions and group psychology drive our beliefs.

      Our feelings and beliefs can often lead us to seek out justifications rather than the other way around. In today's world of abundant information, it's easier than ever to form groups around shared anxieties and for group psychology to take precedence over the initial reason for joining the group. Misinformation has always been a problem, but in the current digital age, it's more important than ever for both individuals and institutions to learn how to filter and verify information, much like how cities had to address public health issues when they first emerged. When we feel strong negative emotions, we naturally want to justify them, and this can lead to entrenched beliefs and a fragmented information landscape. The challenge is to learn how to separate fact from fiction and approach information with a critical and informed mindset.

    • In a post-trust world, individuals assess credibility and filter information based on trust.In the digital age, trust is a valuable commodity and individuals are quick to assess credibility and filter information based on their level of trust.

      In today's digital age, people are more likely to form communities and trust each other based on shared anxieties and uncertainties, rather than on the absolute truth of a situation. In a post-trust world, individuals are quick to assess the credibility of sources and filter information based on their level of trust. The collapse of traditional information gatekeepers has led to a fragmented information environment, where people are constantly recalibrating their epistemological approach to figure out what's true and what's not. Trust is a valuable commodity in this space, and individuals are quick to label and discard sources that violate that trust. Additionally, people's "grift radars" or "shill alarms" are hyper-attuned, making it difficult for individuals to regain trust once it's been lost. This constant assessment and filtering of information can lead to a heightened sensitivity to perceived deception and a rapid spread of rumors and misinformation.

    • Understanding Facts Depends on More Than Just InformationMotivations, biases, and experiences influence how we interpret and accept facts, making it essential to acknowledge and address these factors for accurate understanding.

      The availability of information alone does not guarantee accurate understanding or agreement on facts. The 19th century rationalists and cyberpunks had a dream of a democratized access to information leading to enlightenment, but human motivation and biases play a significant role in how we interpret and accept facts. A study showing people a video of a protest, for example, can lead to completely different interpretations based on the group's political beliefs. Even the same evidence can be perceived differently by different sets of eyes. Therefore, it's essential to acknowledge and address the motivations, biases, and experiences that shape our perception of facts.

    • Understanding the role of human cognition in group reasoningEffective communication and consensus require cognitive empathy and careful consideration of different perspectives, as people's interpretations of facts can vary greatly due to biases and motivations.

      People's interpretations of facts can vary greatly due to their priors, motivations, and biases. Facts don't change people's minds as easily as we might think. Instead, cognitive empathy and careful consideration of different perspectives are crucial for effective communication and reaching consensus. The work of Hugo Mercier and Dan Sperber highlights the importance of human cognition in group-based reasoning, where individuals produce biased and lazy arguments, which are then evaluated carefully within the group. This process is not a sign of irrationality, but rather a rational adaptation that helps us navigate disagreements and come to consensus. Understanding this dynamic can lead to more productive discussions and better decision-making.

    • Effectiveness of group reasoning in identifying flawsGroup reasoning is more accurate in spotting logical fallacies than individual reasoning, but modern discourse platforms prioritize argument production over evaluation, making it hard to foster trusting group dynamics online.

      Group reasoning is more effective than individual reasoning when it comes to identifying flaws and illogical fallacies in arguments. However, many modern discourse platforms incentivize argument production rather than evaluation, leading to a proliferation of biased and lazy arguments. This is due in part to the fact that early psychological studies on reasoning were conducted on individuals in isolation, rather than in groups. When people are part of a group and engage in good faith, trusting rapport, they are more likely to collectively arrive at the correct answer. This dynamic is difficult to replicate in online contexts, where engagement and advertisement sales are prioritized over logical reasoning and evaluation. The current state of social media platforms incentivizes group identification over logical discourse, and there are efforts underway to change this.

    • Engaging with deeply entrenched beliefsEffective communication involves compassion, empathy, and non-judgmental approach to help change perspective of those holding deeply entrenched beliefs.

      Deeply entrenched beliefs, whether they stem from tribal loyalties or extreme groups like the Westborough Baptist Church, are driven by a strong sense of commitment to the group and a desire to display loyalty and threaten enemies. Leaving such groups is often a process of changing one's perspective rather than a sudden change of mind. Compassionate, empathetic, and non-judgmental communication is an effective way to engage with those holding strongly entrenched beliefs, as it can help them reconsider their perspective without feeling attacked or defensive. This approach was successful in the case of Megan Phelps Roper, who left the Westborough Baptist Church after being approached with care and understanding.

    • Pluralistic Ignorance: When Group Members Believe False ConsensusGroups can create an environment of false consensus, leading individuals to feel oppressed or uncomfortable. Discovering inconsistencies or encountering empathetic individuals can serve as a catalyst for change.

      Groups, whether they be religious organizations or social circles, can create an environment of pluralistic ignorance, where individuals believe that most others in the group hold certain beliefs or values, even if they don't. This can lead to individuals feeling oppressed or uncomfortable, but unsure of how to escape. A turning point often comes when individuals discover inconsistencies within the group or encounter empathetic and compassionate individuals who validate their feelings and offer alternative values or paths. This discovery can serve as a strong "off ramp" for individuals to leave the group and find fulfillment outside of it. The concept of pluralistic ignorance is complex and can be challenging to define, but it's a common phenomenon that affects many aspects of life, including politics and social norms. Research shows that it's often the courage of one individual to speak out and challenge the status quo that can catalyze change.

    • The Power of Social Connections and Fear of Social DeathPeople's desire for social connections can override their rational judgment, leading to decisions that put their lives and those of their children at risk. The fear of social death is often greater than the fear of physical death.

      Social connections and the fear of social death can be more powerful motivators than physical safety or survival. The tragic case of the Jim Jones massacre serves as a stark reminder of this phenomenon. Despite the horrific consequences, people's belonging goals often override their rational judgment, leading them to make decisions that put their lives and those of their children at risk. This fear of social death, as social scientist Brooke Harrington explains, is often greater than the fear of physical death. The Jim Jones incident is just one example of how this fear can lead to extreme consequences, but it's a pattern that can be observed in various situations, from everyday debates to global conflicts. The human tendency to prioritize social connections, even in the face of potential harm, is a powerful force that has likely played a significant role in our evolutionary history.

    • Ancient behaviors in modern times lead to unexpected outcomesOur evolutionary past has shaped our traits and behaviors, some of which may not be advantageous in modern times, and technology can amplify these behaviors, leading to novel but potentially harmful outcomes.

      Our evolutionary history has shaped the traits and behaviors that have helped us survive and reproduce, and while some traits may seem advantageous in modern times, they may not have been adaptive in the past. The Jim Jones massacre serves as an example of how ancient behaviors, when placed in unfamiliar contexts, can lead to unexpected outcomes. Technology, such as social media, lowers the cost to exhibit behaviors that were already there, leading to novel outcomes but with ancient behaviors at their core. Our reluctance to change our minds is an adaptive trait from our evolutionary past, as updating too frequently could lead to being wrong or putting ourselves in harm's way. Ultimately, our current beliefs and behaviors, no matter how they may seem, have brought us to where we are today. As one speaker noted, there are many ways to change the world, but few will make it better and many will make it worse.

    • Resisting Change: Assimilation, Accommodation, and the Effective Tipping PointOur minds naturally resist changing beliefs due to psychological processes, but new information can eventually compel us to update them, though social costs, motivations, and tribal biases can raise the threshold for change

      Our minds naturally resist changing our beliefs or ways of thinking when what we currently do has been effective. This is due to the psychological processes of assimilation and accommodation, as described by Piaget. Assimilation is when we make new experiences fit into our existing mental models, while accommodation involves expanding our understanding and creating new categories. While assimilation is less risky and easier, there is a point called the effective tipping point where new information becomes so overwhelming that we are compelled to update our beliefs. However, this threshold can be raised significantly when considering social costs, motivations, and tribal biases, making it increasingly difficult for people to change their minds despite compelling evidence.

    • Factors influencing our acceptance of new informationOur acceptance of new information depends on the source, impact, and context. Deeply held beliefs have a higher threshold. Effective communication requires empathy, compassion, transparency, and understanding.

      Our threshold for accepting new information into our beliefs or reality is influenced by various factors, including the source of the information, its potential impact on our identity, and the context in which it is presented. This threshold is higher for deeply held beliefs or identities. Arguing, a fundamental aspect of human progress, can be frustrating when we fail to connect with the other person. This frustration arises when we approach arguments with a mindset of being right and the other person being wrong. Instead, effective communication requires empathy, compassion, transparency, and a willingness to understand the other person's perspective. Engaging with those who are unwilling or unable to change their minds may not always be productive, and it's essential to recognize the limitations of the medium and adjust our approach accordingly.

    • Exploring reasoning in a safe environmentTechniques like motivational interviewing, deep canvassing, street epistemology, cognitive behavioral therapy, and smart politics can help change minds by establishing rapport, asking for specific claims and reasons, and letting conversations spool out naturally, but creating such environments online is a challenge.

      Effective communication and changing others' minds often require a good faith environment where people feel safe to explore their reasoning without fear of judgment or an audience. Motivational interviewing, deep canvassing, street epistemology, cognitive behavioral therapy, and smart politics all use similar techniques, such as establishing rapport, asking for specific claims and reasons, and letting the conversation spool out naturally. These methods can help people see things from a new perspective and change their minds. However, creating such environments online is a challenge, and engaging in potentially contentious conversations in public forums may not be productive. For more information and insights on this topic, check out David McRaney's book "How Minds Change: The Surprising Science of Belief, Opinion, and Persuasion," available at davidmcgraney.com or through his podcast "You Are Not So Smart."

    • The Power of a Changed MindBeing open-minded and willing to learn can lead to personal growth, stronger relationships, and a positive impact on the world.

      The importance of being open-minded and willing to learn, as discussed in David McRaney's upcoming book "How Minds Change." McRaney encourages readers to preorder the book for exclusive bonuses, but the key message can be found anywhere. The book delves into the science behind how our minds change and why it's essential to be receptive to new ideas. By being open-minded, we can improve ourselves and our relationships, as well as make a positive impact on the world. So, whether you preorder or find it at your local bookstore, make sure to read "How Minds Change" to expand your understanding of the power of a changed mind.

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