Logo

    Are women 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters?

    enJuly 27, 2024
    What is the origin of the 14 times statistic?
    Who conducted research on disaster risk and gender?
    How do mortality rates vary in developed vs. developing countries?
    What factors contribute to higher mortality for women in disasters?
    Why is it important to verify disaster statistics?

    Podcast Summary

    • Origins of the 14 times statistic on women's mortality in disastersThe widely cited statistic that women are 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters has unclear origins and context, highlighting the importance of fact-checking and understanding the background of statistics before sharing them.

      The claim that women are 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters is a widely cited statistic, but its origin can be traced back to a 1997 academic article by Dr. Christina Peterson. The figure was discussed at a meeting in the mid-90s regarding the need for gender research and representation in emergency management. At the time, there was limited research on the relationship between gender and mortality in disasters. Since then, this statistic has been referenced in numerous reports, but its accuracy and context have become muddled over time. The 14 times multiplier is not always clear if it applies only to women or to women and children. The BBC's investigation illustrates the importance of verifying statistics and understanding their origins and context to avoid perpetuating potentially misleading information.

    • Gender and Disaster Data CollectionIn the late 20th century, women and children were often overlooked in disaster response efforts due to lack of demographic data, leading to the push for a gender and disaster network to include age and gender statistics in research.

      During disaster response efforts in the late 20th century, the needs of women and children were often overlooked due to a lack of consideration of age, ethnicities, and gender in data collection. This was observed in various parts of the Pacific Rim countries, Africa, and even in the United States, particularly for transgender and LBQJ people. These observations led to a concern about the impact of disasters on these vulnerable populations, but at the time, there was no solid data to support these claims since gender was not taken into account in data sets. This conversation sparked the push for a gender and disaster network to conduct research that would include statistics on demographics, such as age and gender, in disaster-related deaths and separations. Despite the passage of time, the figure of women and children being 14 times more at risk in disasters, which originated from these observations, continues to surface in media. However, it's important to note that this figure was not based on scientific data and should not be taken as fact.

    • Disaster mortality rates and genderThe relationship between disaster mortality, poverty, and gender is complex and varies greatly depending on the specific context of a disaster and the country in question. In developed countries, men are more likely to die due to high-risk professions, while in developing countries, lack of access to information, mobility, and cultural norms can contribute to higher mortality rates for women.

      The statistic of women being 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters is a myth, and the real numbers and underlying causes vary greatly depending on the specific context of a disaster and the country in question. Alvina Erman, an economist for the World Bank, has spent years studying the relationship between disaster risk, poverty, and gender. Her research shows that in developed countries, men are more likely to die in disasters due to their over-representation in high-risk professions. However, in developing countries, factors such as lack of access to information on early warnings, mobility, and cultural norms can contribute to higher mortality rates for women. It's important to be cautious about sensationalized statistics and to recognize the complex and nuanced nature of disaster mortality rates. Instead, we should focus on systematic research and understanding the specific drivers of mortality in different contexts to inform effective prevention, mitigation, and response strategies.

    • Gender disparity in disaster mortalityThe gender disparity in disaster mortality varies widely and is influenced by specific disasters, age groups, and contexts. Women account for around 1.5 to 2 times more deaths than men in recent disasters, but the difference can be much larger in certain cases.

      While there is evidence suggesting women face a higher risk of death in natural disasters compared to men, the scale of this difference is not as large as the commonly cited figure of 14 times. The ratio varies widely depending on the specific disaster, age group, and context. For instance, in Cyclone Gorky in Bangladesh in 1991, the mortality rate for women aged 20 to 44 was almost five times higher than for men. However, more recent data from disasters like the Haiti earthquake and Hurricane Katrina show a smaller difference, with women accounting for around 1.5 to 2 times more deaths than men. It's important to note that even a small difference in mortality rates translates to a significant number of lives lost, and this issue warrants attention. The reasons for the gender disparity in disaster mortality are complex and multifaceted, and require further research to fully understand.

    • Gender and Disaster Risk ResilienceWomen in low and middle-income countries face longer recovery periods after disasters due to their role as homemakers and lack of access to early warning systems, bank accounts, and mobile internet

      Gender plays a significant role in disaster risk resilience. Women in low and middle-income countries are less likely to have access to early warning systems due to lower rates of smartphone and mobile internet usage. After disasters, women face longer recovery periods due to their role as homemakers and the sale of their assets to cope with the shock. Additionally, women are less likely to have bank accounts and hold their assets in tangible forms, making them more vulnerable to asset loss. These gender disparities can widen the gap between men and women in the aftermath of a disaster. For instance, during my visit to Dar es Salaam, I met a woman who shared her experiences of being repeatedly affected by flooding in her neighborhood. This encounter sparked my interest in the issue of gender dynamics of disaster risk resilience.

    • Natural disasters impact on familiesNatural disasters can force families to endure separation and hardships, potentially leading to unintended consequences like new family members, emphasizing the importance of creating resilient communities and providing adequate support networks.

      Natural disasters like heavy rainfall can force a family to endure separation and hardships. Alvina Erman, a woman from the discussion, shared her experience of having to leave her home with her two daughters during the rainy seasons due to flooding. However, since there was no one willing to accommodate the entire family, they were forced to split up. Tragically, during one of these separations, her daughter returned pregnant, resulting in a new grandchild. This situation underscores the devastating impact of natural disasters on families and communities, especially when they lack adequate support networks. It's essential to consider the long-term consequences of such events and work towards creating more resilient communities and providing better resources for those affected.

    Recent Episodes from More or Less: Behind the Stats

    Exclusions, black holes and dividing by zero

    Exclusions, black holes and dividing by zero

    Do half of children in Wales have special educational needs? Are permanent exclusions at the highest ever level in England? Labour are talking about a £22bn black hole. Is that a new black hole in the finances? Are there more Ghanaian nurses in the UK than in Ghana? Can you divide one by zero?

    Tim Harford looks at some of the numbers in the news.

    Presenter: Tim Harford Reporters: Kate Lamble and Nathan Gower Producer: Beth Ashmead Latham Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Andy Fell Editor: Richard Vadon

    More or Less: Behind the Stats
    enSeptember 04, 2024

    Where have Cuba’s people gone?

    Where have Cuba’s people gone?

    The Cuban government has announced that their population has fallen by 10% in two years – just days after a demographer on the Caribbean island suggested an even bigger fall.

    But which is the right number, and why are so many people leaving?

    We speak to Dr Emily Morris from University College London and Dr Jorge Duany from the Cuban Research Institute at Florida International University.

    Presenter: Kate Lamble Producer: Beth Ashmead Latham Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Sue Maillot Editor: Richard Vadon

    Do we eat a credit card's worth of microplastic each week?

    Do we eat a credit card's worth of microplastic each week?

    The claim we all swallow 5.5 grams of microplastic each week – the same as the weight of a credit card – has been repeated by charities, newspapers and the World Economic Forum.

    But when you understand how this number was calculated, and the range of possible answers for the amount of plastic you eat, you might not want to repeat it yourself.

    Professor Jamie Woodward from the University of Manchester explains what’s what.

    Presenter: Kate Lamble Producer: Beth Ashmead Latham Researcher: Ajai Singh Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Giles Aspen Editor: Richard Vadon

    Are companies making more money from their customers?

    Are companies making more money from their customers?

    Recent reports claimed the average global mark-up, the difference between the price of production and the price that product is sold for, rose from 7% in 1980 to 59% by 2020.

    So is this true? Are some companies choosing to charge us more than ever for their products?

    We investigate the accuracy of these claims, and which companies are responsible with the help of Jan Eeckhout a Professor of Economics at Pompeu Fabra University in Barcelona

    Presenter: Kate Lamble Producer: Beth Ashmead Latham Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Neil Churchill Editor: Richard Vadon

    Is planet Earth getting greener?

    Is planet Earth getting greener?

    Canadian psychologist and culture war commentator Jordan Peterson says planet Earth has got 20% greener in the last 20 years.

    But satellite data tells a different story.

    We investigate the correct number, with the help of Dr Chi Chen, from Rutgers University in the US.

    Presenter: Kate Lamble Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Giles Aspen Editor: Richard Fenton-Smith

    Does a language die every two weeks?

    Does a language die every two weeks?

    Researchers have catalogued 7,164 languages spoken around the world - some are used daily by billions. Half are spoken by less than 8000 people. The death of a language, when it’s no longer spoken as a first language by anyone living is a deeply significant moment in the cultural life of communities.

    Multiple sources including the UN and National Geographic magazine have claimed this happens every two weeks. But we have reasons to be suspicious about that statistic. Gary Simons, executive editor of the Ethnologue language catalogue, explains where this idea came from.

    Presenter: Kate Lamble Producer: Debbie Richford Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Nigel Appleton Editor: Richard Fenton-Smith

    Are women 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters?

    Are women 14 times more likely to die in natural disasters?

    The idea that women outnumber men by 14 to 1 as casualties of natural disasters has been repeated in newspapers and online for years - the UN have even used this statistic.

    But when you track down the source, the research behind this claim leaves much to be desired.

    Presenter: Kate Lamble Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Nigel Appleton Editor: Richard Fenton-Smith

    Is increasing turbulence making flying more dangerous?

    Is increasing turbulence making flying more dangerous?

    Is climate change making turbulence more dangerous for people taking flights around the world?

    That’s what one listener asked, following a terrifying turbulence incident which left one person dead and more than 20 injured on a flight to Singapore.

    We speak to turbulence expert Paul Williams, Professor of Atmospheric Science at the University of Reading, to understand what is going on.

    Presenter: Kate Lamble Producer: Nathan Gower Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Nigel Appleton Editor: Richard Vadon

    Federer’s 54%: Tennis stats explained

    Federer’s 54%: Tennis stats explained

    How can tennis star Roger Federer have won only 54% of the points he played, but been the best player in the world? Jeff Sackmann, the tennis stats brain behind tennisabstract.com, explains to Tim Harford how probability works in the sport.

    Presenter: Tim Harford Producer: Debbie Richford Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound Mix: Nigel Appleton Editor: Richard Vadon

    The magic of trigonometry

    The magic of trigonometry

    You might have found it boring in school maths classes, but Matt Parker thinks we should all learn to love trigonometry.

    The ‘Love Triangle’ author talks to Tim Harford about the maths used in GPS, architecture and special effects.

    Presenter: Tim Harford Producer: Debbie Richford Series Producer: Tom Colls Production Co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound Mix: Nigel Appleton Editor: Richard Vadon