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    Where have Cuba’s people gone?

    enAugust 31, 2024
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    Podcast Summary

    • AI and population data accuracyThe accuracy of population data is crucial for businesses to make informed decisions and stay competitive in the AI-driven landscape, just as the mysterious population decline in Cuba highlights the potential consequences of inaccurate information

      The rapid advancements in Artificial Intelligence (AI) are transforming business operations, and organizations must be prepared for this revolution. On the other hand, an intriguing demographic mystery unfolds in Cuba, where the population has reportedly dropped by over a million people in just two years, which is an unprecedented loss for any country. This figure represents more than 10% of Cuba's population, and a Cuban demographer even estimated it to be as high as 18%. This significant population decline, which is unusual for a country not experiencing civil war or natural disasters, raises questions about the accuracy of the data and the whereabouts of these missing people. While the reasons for this population decline remain unclear, it serves as a reminder of the importance of reliable data and the potential consequences of inaccurate or outdated information. In the business world, similarly, the lack of accurate and up-to-date data can hinder an organization's ability to make informed decisions and stay competitive in the AI-driven landscape.

    • Cuban ImmigrationThe economic crisis in Cuba has led to over 1 million people leaving the country, with the US being the preferred destination due to its preferential treatment for Cuban immigrants

      The population of Cuba has experienced significant shifts in recent years, with over 1 million people estimated to have left the country. The primary reason for this mass migration is the economic crisis and the resulting difficulties in everyday life, including power cuts, transportation issues, fuel shortages, and food scarcity. With the relaxation of exit visa requirements in 2013 and the allure of opportunities in countries like the United States, Cubans have been leaving in large numbers, with popular destinations being Nicaragua and Guyana, but ultimately aiming for America due to its preferential treatment for Cuban immigrants. The data suggests that immigration is the leading cause of this population decline.

    • Cuban population lossThe mass emigration of working-age Cubans, estimated to range from 10.1% to 18%, poses a significant challenge to Cuba's economy due to the loss of skilled workers, scientists, and food producers, making it difficult to determine an accurate population figure and exacerbating capacity and production gaps in sectors like power and food production.

      The mass emigration of working-age people from Cuba is a significant challenge for the country's economy, with estimates of the population drop ranging from 10.1% to 18%. The Cuban government bases its estimate on airport records, while a demographer uses data on immigrants to the US. The difference in methods and time periods makes it difficult to determine an accurate population figure. The loss of skilled workers, scientists, and food producers further complicates Cuba's efforts to recover from its economic crisis. These people represent a large sector of the population, and their departure exacerbates the country's capacity and production gaps. The power sector and food production have been particularly affected by this brain drain. Without a census or official data from other sources, it remains unclear which estimate is closer to the truth. However, it is clear that Cuba is facing a significant demographic shift that could have long-term economic consequences.

    • Cuban emigration demographicsThe new definition of emigration in Cuba could lead to a million more people leaving the country, potentially causing labor shortages, an aging population, and social and economic challenges.

      There has been a significant increase in the number of Cubans emigrating from the country over the past few years. This increase is estimated to be around a million people, according to a new definition of emigration by the Cuban government. However, the exact number is uncertain as the government plans to conduct a new census to confirm the figures. Regardless of the exact number, both estimates indicate a substantial reduction in the Cuban population, which could lead to a demographic crisis or catastrophe. The previous definition of emigration only counted people who had not returned to Cuba for two years, whereas the new definition includes those who have spent less than 180 days in the country in a year. This change could result in a larger estimated number of emigrants. The implications of this demographic shift are significant for Cuba's future, as it could lead to labor shortages, an aging population, and social and economic challenges.

    • Cuban population collapse, AI revolutionThe Cuban population collapse and the advancement of AI technology present unique challenges for businesses, requiring a focus on sustainability, resilience, and implementing change at scale.

      We are witnessing a historic population collapse in Cuba, comparable to a natural disaster. The actual number may vary, but the significance remains the same. This is a significant change that business leaders are grappling with, especially in the context of the rapidly advancing AI revolution. The question on everyone's mind is how to make change happen, and where to start. The urgency for sustainability and resilience in business has never been greater. Meanwhile, the physical climate risks predicted in climate models have arrived. At Resilient Edge, a new business vitality podcast, we aim to help answer these questions and guide listeners through the process of implementing and sustaining change at scale. Stay tuned for more insights and practical advice on this pressing issue.

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