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    Buffett's Latest Buys (and Sells)

    enMay 16, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Learn communication skills from experts on Think Fast, Talk Smart podcastPodcast offers insights on managing anxiety, taking risks, and harnessing nervous energy for effective communication. Home Depot's Q1 results underperformed, but stock held steady due to expected inflationary pressure and consumer spending shift.

      Communication skills are essential in business and life, and the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast can help you hone these skills. The podcast, which has received nearly 43 million downloads and is the number one career podcast in 95 plus countries, offers valuable insights from experts on various communication topics, including managing anxiety, taking risks, and harnessing nervous energy. Meanwhile, in the stock market, Home Depot's Q1 results fell short of expectations, with revenue lower than anticipated and same store sales down 4.5%. Despite this, shares of Home Depot were only down 1%, which some may find confusing. However, Jim Gillies, Motley Fool senior analyst, explained that the disappointing results were largely expected due to inflationary pressure and consumers shifting spending away from home improvement projects after being locked in their homes for nearly two years. Despite the recent miss, Home Depot's stock has been a strong performer since the last significant miss in November 2002.

    • Home Depot's Long-Term Success: 14.5% Annualized Returns and Cash Flow MaximizationHome Depot's long-term focus on maximizing cash flow led to impressive 14.5% annualized returns, with $125 billion in free cash flow over the past 15 years, primarily used for dividends and buybacks

      Home Depot's stock has delivered impressive returns for long-term investors, with annualized dividend-adjusted returns of 14.5% over the past 20 years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 7.7% returns. This success came after a period where the company shifted its focus from growth to maximizing cash flow. Capital expenditures peaked in 2004 but fell below $1 billion during the global financial crisis. Instead of investing in new stores, Home Depot returned cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, reducing the share count by 57%. Over the last 15 years, the company produced $125 billion in free cash flow, with $53 billion going to dividends and $87 billion to buybacks. For traders looking for quick profits, Home Depot might not be the best target due to its long-term focus. Instead, it's an excellent example of a buy-and-hold stock, with its latest significant miss in the past 20 years being a small blip in its overall success.

    • Buffett's $1 billion investment in Capital One doesn't signal renewed interest in bankingBuffett's recent investment in Capital One is a small portion of Berkshire's overall portfolio, and his sale of US Bancorp and Bank of New York Mellon shares indicate a cautious approach towards banking.

      Warren Buffett's recent investment in Capital One for around $1 billion does not necessarily indicate a renewed interest in the banking sector. Instead, it represents a small fraction (0.3%) of Berkshire Hathaway's overall portfolio. Moreover, Buffett sold off his remaining shares in US Bancorp and Bank of New York Mellon, suggesting a continued cautious approach towards the banking industry. The absence of new regional bank investments in the latest 13F filing further supports this notion. Another notable move was the sale of approximately 5% of Berkshire's Chevron stake and the addition of over $5 billion to Occidental Petroleum. These actions may indicate Buffett's continued belief in the oil sector, particularly in Occidental Petroleum.

    • Warren Buffett's Recent Investments in Occidental and AppleBuffett added over $2.2 billion in Occidental shares and $3 billion to Apple, valuing their strong management, margins, and returns on capital, despite market wisdom of high valuations.

      Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway continue to show confidence in Occidental and Apple through their recent investments. Buffett has added over $2.2 billion in Occidental shares this year, despite the company's decision to redeem Berkshire's preferred stock at a premium. Additionally, Buffett has added over $3 billion to Berkshire's largest position, Apple, which he has publicly praised for its strong management, margins, and returns on capital. Despite the market wisdom that Apple is too expensive, Buffett sees value in the company's net cash position, free cash flow, and potential growth. Berkshire also eliminated small positions in Restoration Hardware, a move that was not surprising based on Buffett's comments at the Berkshire Hathaway meeting.

    • Berkshire Hathaway sells off portions of its portfolio due to geopolitical risks and deal uncertaintyBuffett sold off significant portions of Berkshire's holdings in response to China-Taiwan tensions and uncertainty surrounding the Activision Blizzard-Microsoft acquisition deal, while also making a small investment in Vitesse Energy

      Learning from the Berkshire Hathaway 13F filing discussion is that geopolitical risks, specifically the relationship between China, Taiwan, and Taiwan Semiconductor, led to Berkshire selling off a significant portion of its position. Additionally, Buffett's decision to reduce the stake in Activision Blizzard was due to the uncertainty surrounding the Microsoft acquisition deal. Lastly, Berkshire's unexpected investment in Vitesse Energy, worth only roughly $1,000,000, left many wondering about the reasoning behind such a small purchase. Overall, these moves reflect Buffett's approach to managing Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, which involves making strategic decisions based on market conditions and potential risks.

    • Start with a few shares, add diversified companiesInvesting starts with buying shares, but add diverse companies for a well-rounded portfolio. Focus on a stock's future potential, not just current performance.

      Investing in individual stocks can start with buying a few shares in a few companies, but it's important to add more diversified companies to your portfolio as you get more comfortable. There's no minimum share number to make investments worthwhile, and the quote "the best time to buy a stock is now, and the best time to sell is never" doesn't necessarily mean selling stocks, but rather focusing on a stock's future potential. When deciding on selling underperforming stocks, consider the reason you bought them and whether the future potential has changed. Regarding retirement planning, it's important to account for the likelihood that one spouse may continue to work for several more years. Both spouses' income should be factored in when deciding on retirement timelines.

    • Consulting with a fee-only financial planner for retirementExpert advice from a fee-only financial planner is crucial for securing a solid retirement plan, making informed decisions about retirement income, investments, and healthcare coverage. Find one through networks like Garrett Planning Network, National Association of Personal Financial Advisors, and XY Planning Network.

      As you approach retirement, it's important to consult with a fee-only financial planner to ensure you have a solid retirement plan in place. This expert advice can help you make informed decisions about your retirement income, investments, and healthcare coverage. The cost of hiring a financial planner may seem high, but it's essential for securing your financial future. You can find fee-only financial planners through networks like the Garrett Planning Network, National Association of Personal Financial Advisors, and the XY Planning Network. While these services may not be free, there are also free online retirement planning tools, like CalcXML's comprehensive retirement planning module, that can help you get started. And, if possible, explore phased retirement options with your employer, which can allow you to work part-time and maintain healthcare coverage while transitioning into retirement.

    • Diversifying Investments for Retirement PlanningHistorically, investing a lump sum wins more often, but individual circumstances and taxes matter. Paying off debt before retirement can lower expenses, reduce taxes, and provide peace of mind. Consider adding 401k annuities to a retirement portfolio, but be aware of potential risks.

      Having a well-diversified investment portfolio, including both index funds and individual stocks, can be beneficial for retirement planning. When it comes to investing, putting a lump sum all at once generally wins more often historically, but individual circumstances and tax implications should be considered. Paying off debt, especially before retirement, can lead to lower annual expenses, potentially reducing taxes and Medicare costs, and providing a psychological benefit. Regarding 401k annuities, they can be a good addition to a retirement portfolio, but careful consideration and potential risks should be taken into account.

    • Annuities gaining popularity in 401k plans for retireesAnnuities offer retirees income security, but retirees may need help turning their portfolio into a paycheck. Consider professional designations for valuable knowledge and potential job opportunities.

      Recent laws have made it easier for 401k providers to add annuities to their plans, and this trend is gaining popularity among providers like BlackRock, State Street, and Fidelity. Annuities, which provide a monthly or annual income for the rest of retirees' lives, can mitigate market risk, longevity risk, and the risk of making mistakes later in life. However, the average retiree may not know how to turn their portfolio into a paycheck, and insurance companies have lobbied aggressively for access to 401k funds. For those interested in investing and personal finance, considering professional designations like the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) or Certified Financial Planner (CFP) can provide valuable knowledge and potentially lead to entry-level jobs. It's essential to determine your area of focus and look for internships or join relevant associations to make connections and gain experience.

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    Today we have another financial independence case study to learn how a real-life couple here in Canada were able to reach their financial independence number by the age of 34.

    We talk specifically about the practical tactics, strategies and mindset that you can apply in your own life, to help hit your financial independence number quicker. Or, if you’re already at financial independence, these tactics can further help solidify and enhance your net worth and that extra financial cushion that’s always nice to have, when you’re living off your portfolio. 

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    This interview and presentation that Kyle prepared was actually one of the bonuses that we offered to Canadian Financial Summit attendees who bought the All-Access-Pass so you’ll hear him reference his slides at a few points during this talk, but don’t worry, all the lessons and advice still make total sense without the slides. 

    Enjoy the interview and presentation!

    Resources from the episode:

    The live Retirement Planning Workshop on November 29th at 1pm EST is over at BuildWealthCanada.ca/workshop

    The Canadian Financial Summit mentioned on the episode is over at BuildWealthCanada.ca/summit

    You can see more of Kyle's writing over at milliondollarjourney.com

    Questions from the episode:

    1) Kyle, for those not familiar with you, let’s just start with the usual first question in a job interview - “Tell us a little about yourself”.

    2) You recently reached financial independence - tell us about what that term means to you, and what your plans are in terms of work going forward.

    3) Tell us what you think your keys to financial success were.

    4) How did you and your wife Molly earn money after leaving university?

    5) Let’s peak inside your portfolio, and tell us how you invest.

    6) To wrap up, just to give folks a broad overview on what the financial independence by 34 road map has looked like for you and Molly, can you sum up how you two were able to do it?