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    Google's Switch & Buffett's Big Buy

    enAugust 14, 2015

    Podcast Summary

    • Google's new structure: Building a forest instead of one tall treeGoogle restructures into Alphabet to better manage core search and ad business, invest in moonshot projects with less scrutiny.

      Google's new corporate structure, which includes the renaming of the company to Alphabet and the creation of two divisions - one for Google's core businesses and the other for moonshot projects - is a strategic move to better manage and focus on its powerful business in search and online advertising, while also providing more flexibility to invest in and develop its other ventures with less scrutiny from investors. The restructure was described as an opportunity for the company to build a forest instead of one tall tree, and while some concerns exist about the potential for increased spending, many believe it makes sense for Google to separate and prioritize its core business while continuing to explore new opportunities.

    • Alphabet: A Venture Capital Fund with Two Successful InvestmentsAlphabet, as a parent company to Google and YouTube, functions like a large venture capital fund with the hope that its other bets will outperform

      Alphabet, the new parent company of Google, can be seen as a large venture capital fund with two successful investments: Google and YouTube. Everything else under its umbrella are bets that may or may not pay off. The comparison to Berkshire Hathaway is not entirely accurate, as Google's leaders are less likely to give their CEOs the same level of freedom. If Alphabet were to spin off its venture business, it would just be another company in the portfolio. The name Alphabet, meaning "a bet that is supposed to beat some kind of benchmark," reflects the hope that these bets will outperform. Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway recently made a $37 billion cash acquisition of Precision Castparts, the aviation and energy industry parts maker, which Buffett liked as an industrial business well-run by its CEO. Despite having spent a significant amount of cash, Buffett still wants more and will likely make another big acquisition down the line.

    • Smart bets on aerospace and e-commerce industriesBuffett's acquisition of Precision Castparts in aerospace and Wayfair's strong performance in e-commerce show industry growth and potential for long-term success.

      Berkshire Hathaway's acquisition of Precision Castparts is seen as a smart bet on the aerospace and airline industries, given the high demand for aerospace parts from major customers like Airbus, Boeing, and GE. Buffett's belief in the deal's potential success is a testament to the industry's growth and the large orders in place. Additionally, Wayfair's strong performance, despite losing money in Q2, is notable due to its expanding gross margins, growing sales, and increasing repeat customers. The company's logistics and customer service focus sets it apart as a valuable intermediary between suppliers and customers, allowing it to grow its presence across the country and reduce acquisition costs in the long term. Despite earlier speculation of Amazon buying Wayfair, the company's unique business model and strong growth indicate that it may continue to thrive as a standalone entity.

    • Retailers Face Challenges Amidst GrowthAlibaba's revenue grew but faces challenges, Amazon surpasses Alibaba's market cap, Nordstrom reports strong Q2, JCPenney smaller loss, Tesla unexpected stock offering

      While Alibaba's Q2 revenue grew by 28%, the company is currently facing challenges, including macroeconomic concerns and declining growth rates. Alibaba's stock is now trading at a lower market cap than Amazon, and the company is focusing on increasing international transactions, which have not been successful. Nordstrom, on the other hand, had a strong second quarter with higher-than-expected profits and growth in nordstrom.com sales and comp sales. JCPenney also reported a smaller loss, but still needs to start making a profit. Meanwhile, Tesla's unexpected announcement of a $500 million stock offering despite Elon Musk's previous statement that the company had no need for capital highlights the unpredictability of the business world. Overall, while some retailers are thriving, others are facing challenges, and investors need to stay informed about the latest developments in the industry.

    • Tesla's strategic move vs Shake Shack's investor concernsTesla's unexpected secondary stock offering was viewed positively due to upcoming projects and high stock price, while Shake Shack's strong earnings were overshadowed by investor doubts about market opportunity and insider offerings.

      Both Tesla and Shake Shack made significant announcements during their recent earnings reports, but the market reactions were quite different. Tesla's secondary stock offering, although surprising, was seen as a strategic move given the company's upcoming projects and high stock price. On the other hand, Shake Shack's strong Q2 earnings and revenue growth were overshadowed by investor concerns about the market opportunity for a burger chain and the secondary offering for insiders. The initial stock pop after earnings reports has been a common trend this earnings season, only to be followed by reversals after more information is revealed and analyst questions are answered. Additionally, Shake Shack's high per-store valuation and slow growth rate compared to competitors like Chipotle raise questions about its ability to maintain such a high valuation.

    • Insider selling in the food industry can be a concern for retail investorsInsider selling can signal insiders believe decent valuation, leaving retail investors questioning participation. Instead, consider US firms with significant China revenue for potential insulation from Chinese economic instability.

      Insider selling during an IPO or secondary offering can be a red flag for retail investors. This was discussed in relation to the food industry, specifically companies with a large number of company-owned and licensed locations. The speaker noted that insiders selling a significant portion of their shares could indicate they believe the valuation is decent, leaving retail investors wondering why they should participate. The conversation then shifted to China and the recent devaluation of its currency, which was seen as a sign of economic instability. The speaker suggested that US investors considering Chinese markets should instead look to US companies with significant revenue from China, as these businesses may be less directly impacted by Chinese economic fluctuations. However, it's important to note that the situation in China is complex and constantly evolving, and the impact on individual companies can vary widely.

    • Chinese market instability impacts even large, stable companiesDespite appearances, even the most stable investments can be affected by broader economic conditions, as seen in the recent Chinese market volatility.

      The rapid growth of markets, like the one in China, can hide underlying issues and instability. The Chinese market, which has nearly doubled in value in the past year, is now experiencing significant volatility and panic selling. People are even selling their prized possessions to raise money. The volatility is not just limited to smaller, "garbage" companies, but also extends to large, stable ones like PetroChina. In the US, Berkshire Hathaway's acquisition of Precision Castparts is a good deal, but some fans of Warren Buffett are instantly labeling it brilliant, demonstrating an unquestioning trust in the investing legend. The Chinese market's instability serves as a reminder that even the most stable-seeming investments can be impacted by broader economic conditions.

    • Understanding Chile's Market DiversityWhen investing internationally, it's crucial to look beyond commodities and consider multiple indices for a comprehensive market view.

      When investing internationally, it's important to be aware that different sources may provide varying data for the same market. This was discussed in relation to Chile, where the speaker noted that the country's market is dominated by natural resources, particularly copper, leading to uncertainty about investing due to falling commodity prices. However, the speaker emphasized that there are great companies in Chile outside of the natural resources sector, such as Vina Conciatoro, the world's largest winemaker. To navigate this issue, the speaker suggested looking at multiple indices available for each country on financial platforms like Bloomberg, which can help provide a more comprehensive view of the market. Overall, the discussion underscores the importance of being informed and diligent when investing internationally, and not making assumptions based on commodity prices alone.

    • Considering Corporate Governance when Investing in US StocksInvestors need to assess management alignment with shareholders and regulatory oversight when investing in US stocks, as disparities in CEO pay and growth potential exist.

      International investors should carefully consider corporate governance issues when investing in the US stock market, as the regulatory oversight is strong but management alignment with shareholders may vary greatly. Additionally, the US market offers a diverse range of companies and industries, making it a safe investment option despite potential disparities in CEO salaries versus average workers. A recent earnings miss and weak same store sales growth from El Pollo Loco highlights the importance of evaluating individual companies' growth potential and market opportunities, as well as their management teams' alignment with shareholders.

    • Discussing Attractive Stocks: American Express, Walt Disney, and Graham CorporationThe panelists highlighted American Express' low valuation and strong brand, Walt Disney's opportunity to expand ESPN through mobile and global sports, and Graham Corporation's deep value status, strong balance sheet, and low valuation.

      The panelists on Motley Fool Money discussed several stocks they find attractive, each for different reasons. Matt Argessing expressed his interest in American Express (AXP), despite the loss of exclusivity with Costco, due to its low valuation and strong brand. Steve, a current shareholder, had concerns about canceling his AmEx card due to the Costco deal and the rise of Amazon. Despite this, Matt believed the price was right for American Express. Chase Moser focused on Walt Disney (DIS), which had seen a significant drop in share price due to concerns over subscriber headwinds with ESPN. He saw this as an opportunity for Disney to expand ESPN's reach through mobile devices and the proliferation of sports around the world. Ron Gross introduced Graham Corporation (GHM), a deep value stock with a market cap of $180 million, making vacuum and heat transfer equipment for energy, defense, and chemical industries. The stock had weakened due to the energy sector's struggles but boasted a strong balance sheet and low valuation. Overall, the panelists emphasized the importance of strong brands, competitive advantages, and attractive valuations when considering potential investments.

    • Learning from Tess Biglin: Personal Finance and Economic InsightsJoin us next week for an insightful and engaging conversation with Tess Biglin, former host of Marketplace Money, as she shares her expertise and insights on personal finance and economic trends. Stay informed and make the most of your money!

      That we're looking forward to an exciting upcoming episode with our guest Tess Biglin, the former host of Marketplace Money. Tess brings a wealth of knowledge and experience in personal finance and economics, and we're eager to hear her insights and perspectives. Stay tuned for our conversation with Tess next week! During her tenure as the host of Marketplace Money, Tess provided valuable information and guidance to listeners looking to make informed decisions about their money. She covered a range of topics, from budgeting and saving to investing and retirement planning. Tess's approachable and engaging style made complex financial concepts accessible to a wide audience. As we prepare for our interview with Tess, we're reminded of the importance of staying informed about personal finance and economic trends. Whether you're just starting out on your financial journey or you're a seasoned investor, there's always something new to learn. Tess's expertise and insights will provide valuable perspectives and actionable advice for listeners looking to improve their financial literacy and make the most of their money. So, whether you're looking to save for a rainy day, invest in your future, or simply stay informed about the latest economic trends, be sure to join us next week for an insightful and engaging conversation with Tess Biglin. We promise you won't want to miss it!

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