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    Hot Coffee & Cold Wings

    enOctober 30, 2015

    Podcast Summary

    • Communication skills essential in business and lifeLearn communication skills from experts on the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast and adapt to business trends to succeed

      Effective communication skills are essential in business and life, as discussed on the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast. The podcast, which has received nearly 43 million downloads and is the number one career podcast in 95 plus countries, offers valuable tips from experts on various aspects of communication, including managing anxiety, taking risks, and harnessing nervous energy. Meanwhile, in the business world, there are contrasting trends emerging during earnings season. On the one hand, tech, internet, and e-commerce companies are performing well. On the other hand, energy, industrial, transportation, and manufacturing sectors are struggling. For instance, Amazon is expected to be a major winner during the holiday season due to its strong performance. Overall, the importance of communication skills and the current state of the business landscape highlight the need for individuals and companies to adapt and excel in their respective fields.

    • Apple's sales remain strong but growth may slow, Baidu's O2O investments show promiseApple focuses on capital return and maturing business, Baidu's O2O investments yield growth in GMV and members, both companies adapt to changing market conditions

      While Apple's iPhone sales remain strong, investors should keep their growth expectations in check due to the company's focus on capital return and the maturing nature of its business. Meanwhile, Chinese tech giant Baidu's transition into the online-to-offline (O2O) market is showing promising signs, with significant growth in gross merchandise value and the number of members using its mobile pay service. Despite a 27% decrease in Q3 profits, Baidu's investments in O2O seem to be paying off, suggesting a potential shift in the company's fortunes. Apple, on the other hand, remains a reliable performer, but its growth may not be as explosive as it once was. The slowdown in China's economy, as evidenced by Apple's success there, is a complex issue that may not be fully reflected in the stock market performance of individual companies. Overall, the tech sector continues to evolve, with companies like Apple and Baidu adapting to changing market conditions and consumer behavior.

    • Starbucks' Q4 Profits Soar, But Guidance DisappointsStarbucks had strong Q4 earnings with profit growth and sales increase, but investors were disappointed with lower-than-expected guidance for the holiday quarter, causing a stock sell-off. Long-term growth prospects remain strong due to expansion plans, but CEO succession poses a risk.

      Starbucks had a strong Q4 with a 16% increase in profits and an 8% rise in global same-store sales, despite higher expenses for healthcare, hourly pay, and tuition. However, the Street was disappointed with lower-than-expected guidance for the holiday quarter. Starbucks' stock, which has a high PE ratio, saw a sell-off after Buffalo Wild Wings reported lower-than-expected profits and lowered guidance. But Starbucks' long-term growth prospects remain strong, with plans to expand beyond its core business. CEO Howard Schultz's experience and leadership have been key to the company's success, making the potential for a successor a significant risk. Despite these challenges, Starbucks' strong financial performance and growth opportunities make it an attractive investment for long-term investors.

    • LinkedIn and Panera Bread's Business Improvements Lead to Positive ResultsLinkedIn grew membership base in China and integrated Lynda.com successfully, leading to strong earnings and raised guidance. Panera Bread invested in staff, kitchen upgrades, and technology, increasing revenue and expenses, but still faces challenges in executing its Panera 2.0 plan.

      Two companies, LinkedIn and Panera Bread, have made significant strides in improving their businesses, leading to positive financial results. LinkedIn, with its growing membership base in China and the successful integration of Lynda.com, reported strong earnings and raised guidance. Panera Bread, on the other hand, addressed customer complaints about poor dining experiences by investing in staff, kitchen upgrades, and technology, resulting in increased revenue and higher expenses. Both companies affirmed their full-year guidance and made strategic moves, such as LinkedIn's membership access perk for Lynda.com subscribers and Panera Bread's plan to sell off company-owned stores and buy back stock. Despite these improvements, Panera Bread still faces challenges in executing its Panera 2.0 plan across all locations. Overall, these companies' successes demonstrate the importance of addressing customer needs, innovating, and investing in growth.

    • Boston Beer's Challenges and New OfferingsBoston Beer faces intense competition, decreasing depletions, and stock sell-off. They continue to innovate and benefit from subsidiaries and distribution networks, but their position in the market leaves them in a competitive twilight zone. Success depends on navigating challenges and adapting to the industry landscape.

      Boston Beer Company is facing intense competition in the beer industry and experiencing a decrease in depletions, leading to a significant revision in their full fiscal year guidance and a stock sell-off. Despite these challenges, they continue to explore new offerings to attract consumers and are still benefiting from their subsidiaries and distribution networks. However, their position between craft brewers and large beer companies leaves them in a competitive twilight zone. The success of smaller breweries, like Concrete Beach Brewery, which is owned by Boston Beer, highlights the impact Boston Beer has had on the industry but also showcases the current complexities of the market. The company's future success will depend on their ability to navigate these challenges and adapt to the ever-changing beer industry landscape.

    • Boston Beer and SolarCity's Long-Term FocusBoston Beer and SolarCity prioritize long-term growth and innovation over short-term profits, potentially making them better candidates for private ownership.

      Boston Beer Company may continue to grow its Alchemy and Science subsidiary to incubate smaller craft breweries and make acquisitions, rather than competing with industry giants or being acquired itself. SolarCity had a tough quarter with a significant drop in shares due to focusing on cash flow and profits instead of residential growth, which may be unpopular with the market in the short term but could lead to long-term success. Both companies face challenges due to their long-term focus and require significant investment, leading some to question if they would be better off as privately held entities.

    • Retail Industry's Holiday Season Outlook: Uncertainty PersistsConsumers plan to spend more on gifts, but retail sales predictions are uncertain due to shifting consumer habits, demographic shifts, and earnings data still coming in

      The retail industry's holiday season outlook is uncertain, with both optimistic and pessimistic predictions. Consumers are expected to spend more on average on gifts compared to previous years, according to a Gallup survey. However, retail CEOs have expressed mixed views on demand trends, and earnings data from retailers is still coming in. The seasonal hiring numbers from major retailers like Walmart, Target, and Amazon are slightly up from last year, but this does not necessarily indicate better sales. Factors such as shifting consumer habits, demographic shifts, and preferences are also impacting sales. Retailers are trying to navigate these trends just as much as investors, and the coming weeks will provide more clarity with the expected influx of retail earnings data.

    • Retailers face challenges during the holiday seasonRetailers face inventory issues and competition from online retailers like Amazon, leading to increased sales and deals for consumers. Unique, high-end products and competitive pricing are key for success.

      The retail industry may face some challenges during the holiday season due to a lack of must-have, high-ticket gadgets and increased competition from online retailers like Amazon. This could lead to more sales and deals for consumers. However, retailers are facing elevated inventory levels, which could result in increased discounts. The winners in retail will likely be those with unique, high-end products or the ability to offer competitive pricing. Amazon is becoming a bigger threat to traditional shippers like FedEx and UPS, but they still benefit from the overall increase in e-commerce sales. Retailers may struggle with managing spikes in demand during the holiday season. Overall, consumers are becoming more interested in a wider range of products and less reliant on a single must-have item to drive their holiday shopping.

    • Holiday shopping surge poses long-term challenge for retailers and delivery servicesThe unexpected surge in online shopping demand during the holiday season poses a long-term challenge for retailers and delivery services due to the secular shift to e-commerce and the growing power of the Amazon ecosystem.

      This holiday season, companies like UPS and FedEx are facing a planning challenge due to the unexpected surge in online shopping demand. However, this is a longer-term concern rather than an immediate threat to their stocks. The continued shift to e-commerce and the growing power of the Amazon ecosystem are significant long-term trends that could impact these companies. Meanwhile, retailers like REI are experimenting with closing their stores on Black Friday and encouraging customers to get outside, but it remains to be seen if this will have a significant impact on their sales. Ultimately, the secular shift to e-commerce and the increasing importance of cyber sales are major trends that are benefiting all players in the retail sector.

    • REI's Black Friday alternative: Cyber Monday salesNiche retailers may follow REI's lead and opt for Cyber Monday sales over Black Friday, as their customers are willing to pay a premium for specialized products.

      REI's decision to close on Black Friday and offer Cyber Monday sales instead is a trend that is likely here to stay for niche retailers. These retailers, who offer specialized and differentiated products, may have the ability to follow suit due to their customer base's willingness to pay a premium. The holiday season, particularly Black Friday, is an important time for sales and brand building, making it a significant decision for retailers. Overall Halloween spending is estimated to be around $6 billion, with a large portion going towards costumes and decorations.

    • Discussing potential investments in Johnson Outdoors, Ellie Mae, and CumminsSolid profitability, growth potential, and strong management are key factors in potential investments. However, external factors like family control and economic conditions can impact value unlocking.

      Steve Broido discussed potential investments in Johnson Outdoors and Ellie Mae, highlighting their solid profitability and growth potential. However, the control of Johnson Outdoors by the Johnson family makes it difficult to unlock value due to thin trading. Ellie Mae, on the other hand, continues to perform well, integrating with major players in the mortgage industry, but faces potential challenges from rising interest rates and decreasing refinancing volume. Cummins, an old industrial company facing challenges in China and Brazil, was also mentioned as a potential investment due to its strong management team and history of coming out stronger after economic downturns. Overall, the discussion emphasized the importance of solid profitability, growth potential, and management strength in potential investments. However, external factors such as family control and economic conditions can impact the ability to unlock value.

    • Cummins: From Small Engines to Massive MachinesCummins, a dividend-yielding engine manufacturer, produces small Hedgehog engines for mining machines and ships, showcasing its engineering versatility.

      Cummins, a company discussed on this week's Motley Fool Money, is known for producing a diverse range of engines, from small ones to massive ones used in mining machines and ships. Investors can earn a 3.5% dividend yield from this engine manufacturing giant. The smallest engine Cummins produces is called the Hedgehog, which is surprisingly compact given its intended use. Despite its size, the Hedgehog engine powers massive mining machines and ships. This demonstrates Cummins' engineering capabilities and its ability to cater to various industries. If you're an investor looking for dividend income and a company with a strong engineering background, Cummins could be an intriguing option.

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