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    How incentives work (and why most backfire)

    enNovember 06, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Incentives have unintended consequencesIncentives can motivate us to act, but unintended consequences may result, so it's crucial to design them carefully to align with intended goals.

      Incentives, while seemingly simple, can have unintended consequences. The story of the 19th century fossil recovery in China serves as a reminder that incentives do not always lead people to take the intended actions. Instead, they may encourage individuals to take actions that increase their rewards, even if it decreases the overall value or effectiveness of the incentive. Uri Ganese, a global expert on incentives, explains that incentives are something that motivate us to do something we wouldn't do otherwise. However, the actions we take after receiving the incentive may not always align with the intended goal. It's crucial to design incentives carefully to avoid unintended consequences and ensure they drive the desired behavior. Incentives can take various forms, from monetary rewards to social status or promotions, and understanding their potential impact is essential for individuals and organizations alike.

    • Tax policies have influenced city design throughout historyHistorical tax policies led to unique city designs, such as blocked windows in wealthy European homes and raised houses on stilts in Hanoi, illustrating their lasting impact

      The design and layout of cities have been significantly influenced by historical tax policies. For instance, the window tax in 17th century Europe led to the blocking up of windows in wealthy homes as a way to evade higher taxes. Today, large windows continue to signify wealth. In Amsterdam, narrow houses resulted from tax incentives that made wider houses more expensive, while in Hanoi, the introduction of sewage systems and subsequent rat infestations led to the construction of raised houses on stilts to avoid the sewage. These examples illustrate how tax incentives have shaped urban architecture throughout history.

    • Incentives can have unintended consequencesTest incentives carefully to ensure desired behaviors without unintended consequences. Examples from Vietnam and the Soviet Union illustrate the importance of observing people's responses to incentives.

      Incentives, whether designed by governments or businesses, can have unintended consequences. As Uri's examples from Vietnam and the Soviet Union illustrate, incentives that seem logical on the surface can lead to creative workarounds or even counterproductive results. In Vietnam, offering rewards for rat tails led to the proliferation of rat farms and tail-less rats. In the Soviet Union, switching from paying based on weight to paying based on size resulted in thin, easily shattered glass. To avoid such outcomes, it's crucial to test incentives carefully and observe how people respond. AB testing, whether online or in real life, can help identify effective incentives that encourage desired behaviors without unintended consequences. The examples Uri shares demonstrate that even seemingly intelligent governments can get incentives wrong, and the same is likely true for private businesses. Therefore, it's essential to approach incentive design with caution and rigorously evaluate the potential outcomes.

    • Understanding the impact of incentive design on behaviorsEffective incentives align the decision-maker's interests with the incentive, but companies must consider who pays and benefits to ensure economic efficiency.

      The design of incentives can significantly impact behaviors and outcomes, often in unexpected ways. For instance, hourly paid drivers prioritized safety over efficiency, leading to slower service, while drivers paid per passenger aimed for more passengers, resulting in faster service but increased accidents. AB tests are crucial for understanding the consequences of incentives. A good incentive example is airline miles, where the person making the flight choice reaps the benefits, even if someone else pays for the ticket. This incentive design rule, as Urie calls it, is effective because it aligns the interests of the person making the decision with the incentive. However, it may not be economically efficient. Companies must understand who pays for the product and who enjoys the incentives, as they can be different. Another example is incentivizing children with free Disney movies in soft play areas, which may seem smart but could lead to parents staying longer and spending more on other offerings.

    • Impact of incentives on motivation and consumer behaviorEffective incentives can significantly impact motivation and consumer behavior. Companies should stay connected with customers, provide personalized service, and continually adapt to changing times to avoid becoming complacent and losing market share.

      Effective incentives can significantly impact motivation and consumer behavior. This was evident in the case of Blockbuster, which failed in part due to bad incentives, specifically the reliance on late fees which annoyed customers. The importance of staying connected with customers and providing personalized service was also emphasized. HubSpot's new service hub offers a solution with its AI-powered help desk, chatbot, and customer success workspace. Companies, especially those doing well, should not become complacent and should continually question their business models to adapt to changing times. Blockbuster's failure to do so resulted in the rise of Netflix and its DVD-by-mail service. In essence, understanding and addressing customer needs and preferences is crucial for business success.

    • The power of incentives vs penaltiesBusinesses should prioritize incentives over penalties to enhance customer experience, build loyalty, and achieve better outcomes for all parties.

      Successful businesses should focus on providing good incentives for customers and employees, rather than relying on penalties or late fees. The story of Blockbuster and Netflix serves as a cautionary tale. Blockbuster's reliance on late fees, which brought in $800,000,000 annually, ultimately led to their downfall when customers found an alternative with no late fees. Uber and Lyft offer an example of effective incentives, as they pay drivers per passenger and allow customers to rate them, creating a positive feedback loop. By focusing on good incentives, businesses can improve the customer experience and build loyalty. Additionally, this strategy can lead to more efficient operations and better outcomes for all parties involved.

    • The Power of IncentivesIncentives, no matter how small, can change behavior by clarifying the cost and shifting perception. Clear communication and information are essential in influencing behavior.

      Incentives, even those that seem insignificant, can significantly impact behavior. The story of a small Israeli day care center and its experiment with late fees serves as a powerful reminder of this concept. Before the introduction of a $3 fine for parents who arrived late, there was ambiguity around the consequences of tardiness. Once the fine was implemented, however, it clarified the cost and shifted the behavior of parents. The study found that the fine didn't deter parents from being late, but rather, it changed their perception of the situation. The fine was seen as a price for the inconvenience, and if it was low enough, parents were willing to accept that cost. This research demonstrates the importance of considering the potential impact of incentives, and how even small changes can lead to significant shifts in behavior. It also highlights the value of clear communication and information in influencing behavior.

    • The unintended consequences of incentivesFines or rewards can change relationships and may not be effective or perceived positively. Consider the impact on behavior and relationships before implementing incentives.

      Incentives, whether in the form of fines or rewards, can have unintended consequences. The study conducted by Aldo Roshchini and Uri Gneezy on late parent pickups at daycare centers showed that introducing a small fine actually led to an increase in late pickups. This counterintuitive result can be explained by the fact that the fine signaled a shift from a communal relationship between parents and daycare providers to a more transactional one. Similarly, offering a small reward may not be enough to motivate people, and could even be perceived as insulting. Therefore, it's important to consider the potential impact of incentives on relationships and behavior, and to ensure that they are large enough to be effective. Incentives should be designed carefully to encourage the desired behavior without unintended consequences. If the goal is to reduce late pickups, for example, it may be more effective to eliminate incentives altogether or introduce significant fines instead. Overall, the study highlights the importance of understanding the psychological and social dynamics of incentives and their impact on behavior.

    • Understanding the complexities of incentivesProperly test and design incentives to avoid unintended consequences, as human psychology plays a significant role in their effectiveness.

      The effectiveness of incentives is not solely determined by the amount of money involved, but also by understanding the complexities of human psychology. Yuri's insights reveal that incentives can backfire if not properly tested and designed, and that ignoring this complexity can lead to unintended consequences. Therefore, it's crucial to conduct controlled experiments, such as AB tests, before implementing incentives in a larger scale. Yuri's book, "Mixed Signals," is an excellent resource for learning more about incentives and their intricacies. Remember, incentives are not guaranteed to work and can even lead to negative outcomes if not approached thoughtfully. So, tread carefully and consider the potential implications before implementing incentives in your personal or professional life.

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