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    Motley Fool Money: 05.31.2013

    enMay 31, 2013

    Podcast Summary

    • Economy showing signs of improvement with consumer sentiment at 6-year high and largest gain in home prices in 7 yearsDespite some concerns, the economy is showing signs of improvement with a strong housing market recovery and consumer sentiment at a 6-year high. However, the growth is partly due to low interest rates, which won't last forever, leaving uncertainty about the economy's ability to continue growing on its own.

      The economy is showing signs of improvement, with consumer sentiment at a 6-year high and the largest gain in the Case-Shiller Home Price Index in 7 years. However, it's important to remember that this growth is partly due to low interest rates, which won't last forever. The question is whether the economy can continue to grow on its own once quantitative easing ends. Despite some concerns, many positive reports are coming in, and the housing market, in particular, is showing strong signs of recovery. However, it's important to remember that the housing market index only looks at existing sales of single-family homes in 20 cities, so the overall picture may be more complex. Nonetheless, anecdotal evidence suggests that the real estate market is heating up, with multiple offers, contingencies being removed, and elevation clauses being put back in. Overall, the economy is showing promising signs of growth, but it's important to keep an eye on interest rates and the housing market for future developments.

    • Focus on company fundamentals, not market superstitionsInvestors should base decisions on a company's prospects, not outdated market beliefs, and Berkshire's acquisition of NV Energy is a strategic addition to their portfolio

      Investors should focus on the fundamentals of a company and its prospects, rather than following outdated market superstitions like "selling in May and going away." The market's performance in May, or any particular month, should not be the deciding factor in investment decisions. Additionally, the acquisition of NV Energy by MidAmerican Energy, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, is a strategic move that adds a regulated utility to Berkshire's portfolio, which is only a small percentage of their overall revenue. While it may not be a significant needle mover for Berkshire as a whole, it is a good addition for MidAmerican Energy, which serves customers solely in Nevada, a favorable regulatory environment. The acquisition is also a bet on the continued recovery of Nevada's economy and allows Berkshire to put some of its cash to work in a good regulated business. The deal is a $10 billion investment overall, including the assumption of debt.

    • Apple CEO Tim Cook's comments on new products and Smithfield Foods sale to Chinese companyApple CEO Tim Cook hinted at new products without specifics, while the sale of Smithfield Foods to a Chinese company is a business deal, not a strategic asset or national security issue.

      The purchase of Smithfield Foods by a Chinese company is not a cause for major concern, as it is just a business deal involving the sale of meat, not a strategic asset or a national security issue. Elsewhere, Apple CEO Tim Cook made bold statements about Apple having more game-changing products in store, but without providing specifics. Cook's comments may have raised expectations, but Apple is known for keeping a tight lid on new product launches until they are ready to be unveiled. The timing of Cook's comments, however, may put pressure on Apple to release a new product before the holiday season. Samsung's timing of their big event earlier this year was seen as brilliant, as it appeared Apple would not have a major launch until September at the earliest. Apple's developer conference in two weeks may provide some insight into their future plans.

    • Motley Fool Money reaches over 1000 outlets in 175 countriesCostco's profit grows, but membership fee increase may soon plateau; Dan Loeb proposes Sony spin off music and movie business due to stock decline and cash flow issues

      Motley Fool Money has expanded its reach to the American Forces Radio Network, allowing the show to be heard on over 1000 outlets in 175 countries, including US Navy ships at sea. Costco's third-quarter profit increased by 19% year-over-year, and although there was a slight miss on revenue, shares hit a new all-time high. The membership fee increase continues to positively impact Costco's bottom line, but this growth may soon come to an end. Hedge fund investor Dan Loeb's proposal for Sony to spin off its music and movie business gained traction, with reports that the company has retained Citigroup and Morgan Stanley to consider the proposal. With Sony's stock down 85% from its peak and three consecutive years of cash flow declines, a change may be necessary for the conglomerate, which faces competition from industry giants like Samsung, LG, and Apple.

    • A subtle shift in Dan Loeb's activist investing tacticsDan Loeb adopts a more culturally sensitive and subtle approach to activist investing, while the food industry faces increasing regulatory pressure and the new Canadian $100 bill sparks curiosity

      Dan Loeb's approach to activist investing, which includes delivering letters in person and avoiding public confrontations, is a shift from his usual aggressive tactics. This change could be due to cultural sensitivity or a strategic move to influence change within a company more subtly. Additionally, the food industry is facing increasing pressure from public health concerns, but it remains to be seen how regulations will impact companies like McDonald's in the coming years. Lastly, the new Canadian $100 bill, made of polymer and rumored to have a maple syrup scent, has sparked a wave of curiosity and debate among the public, despite the Bank of Canada's denial.

    • Scented currency and penny stocks discussed on Motley Fool MoneyBe wary of penny stocks as the risks can outweigh potential rewards, despite alluring promises from scammers.

      During a lively discussion on Motley Fool Money, the hosts considered the idea of scented currency as a way to make transactions more enjoyable. While the idea was met with enthusiasm, it was acknowledged that such a concept might not be feasible. Meanwhile, in a separate segment, Brian Richards, the managing editor of fool.com, shared his experiences with the dangerous allure of penny stocks. He warned listeners about the deceptive tactics used by penny stock scammers to lure unsuspecting investors. One example he gave was Goff Corporation, a social recruiting company that suddenly transformed into a Colombian goldminer and saw unprecedented trading volume in just a few months. The moral of the story is to be cautious when investing in penny stocks, as the risks often outweigh the potential rewards.

    • Penny stock companies manipulating stock prices through deceptive practicesPenny stock companies may offer compensation to bloggers for writing positive articles, violating ethical standards and transparency.

      Penny stock companies may engage in deceptive practices to manipulate stock prices. In the case discussed, a company that originally aimed to be a LinkedIn competitor, but failed and pivoted to becoming a gold miner in Medellin, Colombia, contacted bloggers to write positive articles about their stock in exchange for compensation. The company, or a third party acting on their behalf, even went as far as offering to write the articles themselves and have the bloggers put their bylines on them. This is a clear violation of ethical standards and transparency. The prevalence of such practices in the penny stock world may be more extensive than previously known, and blogging platforms, such as The Motley Fool and Seeking Alpha, have had to implement stricter regulations to prevent such activities. This incident serves as a reminder of the importance of transparency and honesty in the financial world.

    • Penny stocks: Speculative gambles, not investmentsAvoid penny stocks due to their volatility, lack of correlation with business fundamentals, and potential scams. Instead, focus on well-established companies with solid financials.

      Penny stocks, despite their allure of potential high returns, are often associated with scams and should be avoided by investors. The Motley Fool, a well-established financial news and advice organization, has long warned against investing in penny stocks due to their volatility and lack of correlation with the underlying business fundamentals. Penny stock scams often use deceptive tactics, such as advertorials disguised as legitimate editorial content, to lure unsuspecting investors into buying stocks with inflated values. These scams prey on investors' emotions of fear and greed, promising quick returns in a market where many feel they have missed out on gains. Additionally, penny stock sites may use fake celebrity endorsements to add credibility to their schemes. Transparency in the public markets has improved over the years, but it's essential for investors to remain vigilant and do their due diligence before making any investment decisions. Penny stocks are not investments; they are speculative gambles, akin to rolling dice at a casino.

    • Increased transparency in financial markets: pros and consThoroughly research companies before investing, focusing on competitive advantages, competent management, and market opportunities. Prioritize big financial decisions and make savings automatic for young adults.

      While increased transparency in financial markets can be beneficial, it also opens up opportunities for scammers. The speaker's article highlighted a gold mining company that went public despite numerous red flags, leading to significant losses for investors. It's crucial to perform thorough due diligence and invest in companies with competitive advantages, competent management, and market opportunities. Another topic touched upon was the struggle of millennials with financial literacy. The speaker was not surprised by this, as there's no golden age of financial education. He suggested two practical steps for young adults: making savings automatic and focusing on the big financial decisions. While small expenses matter, it's essential to prioritize and address significant financial commitments.

    • Focus on major financial decisions for significant impactMaximizing income and minimizing large expenses have a greater impact on long-term financial success than making small cuts.

      Focusing on the bigger financial decisions, such as maximizing income and minimizing large expenses, can have a greater impact on your long-term financial situation than making small cuts here and there. For instance, negotiating a larger salary increase can make a bigger difference than giving up a weekly $3 Starbucks habit. Similarly, paying off high-interest debt should be a priority over saving small amounts on a regular basis. While it's important to be mindful of all expenses, it's crucial to address the larger financial issues first. For example, Nathan's Famous, a small cap restaurant and packaged food company, has seen significant growth this year, but it may still have room to run despite ongoing lawsuits. Similarly, Lazar, an investment bank with a focus on M&A and asset management, could see earnings increase due to compensation cuts, but its performance is dependent on M&A volume. It's essential to consider the bigger financial picture when making financial decisions.

    • Sony's gaming and tech potentialSpeakers are bullish on new PlayStation 4 and Xbox, see potential in Sony's high-quality gaming and tech offerings, but are confused by its retail strategy in smartphones

      Sony, with the upcoming PlayStation 4 release and the influence of an activist investor, presents a potential catalyst for investors in the gaming industry. The console market is seen as a two-horse race between Sony and Microsoft, with Nintendo trailing behind. Sony also has a presence in the smartphone market, although its success in this area is not yet clear. The speakers expressed bullishness on both the new Xbox and PlayStation 4, expecting both to sell well. Sony is a well-regarded company known for its high-quality products, including cameras, and is a preferred pick among the discussed investment options. However, the speakers expressed confusion about Sony's retail strategy and why they don't have a bigger presence in the smartphone market. Overall, the speakers see potential in Sony's gaming and technology offerings.

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