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    Pot Lots Part 1: Birth of a Marijuana Market

    enApril 20, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Real Estate Investment and Marijuana Legalization in New YorkPrincipal Asset Management approaches real estate investment with a global perspective and local insights. New York legalizes marijuana, creating a complex market with past social inequities and uncertain regulations. Empathy and awareness are essential in understanding people's struggles, whether in business or outside of it.

      Principal Asset Management brings a comprehensive perspective to real estate investment, combining local insights with global expertise across various sectors. Meanwhile, in the world outside of business, empathy and awareness are crucial in understanding and addressing invisible struggles that people face. Shifting gears, the legalization of marijuana in New York has led to a complex landscape, with tension between the illicit and legal markets. New York is taking steps to address past social inequities by allowing people with previous convictions to enter the industry. However, the exact workings of this new market remain uncertain, with differences compared to more established legal marijuana markets in other states. In Washington Square Park, the contrast between the legal and illicit markets is evident, highlighting the ongoing challenges and opportunities in this evolving industry.

    • New York City's Transitional Marijuana LegalizationSelling marijuana without a license in NYC's transitional legalization phase is risky, but affordability and accessibility make it attractive for some sellers.

      New York City is in a transitional phase regarding marijuana legalization, creating a gray area where selling weed without a license is still illegal but not actively enforced. Charlie, a cannabis seller in Washington Square Park, shared his experience of entering the industry after seeing the demand for marijuana in public spaces. He emphasized the affordability and accessibility of his product, which many people use to calm down. However, the uncertainty surrounding the new market's worth and the legal framework leaves room for ambiguity and potential risks for sellers like Charlie. Despite the excitement and potential financial gains, the industry's future remains uncertain, and the consequences of participating in it illegally can still lead to arrests.

    • Cannabis Legalization in New York: A Complex SituationDespite legalization, lengthy wait times and red tape hinder legal sellers, allowing unlicensed sellers like Charlie to profit. A more efficient and inclusive approach to cannabis legalization and regulation is needed to ensure equitable access and prevent industry monopolization.

      While the legalization of cannabis in New York is a significant step forward, the implementation of the licensing program has been slow, leaving a significant gap in the market that unlicensed sellers like Charlie are quick to fill. This creates a complex situation where individuals like Charlie can make substantial profits by selling cannabis on the streets, while those who follow the legal route face numerous challenges and lengthy wait times. The situation is further complicated by the fact that many municipalities have opted out of allowing dispensaries altogether. While this presents a challenge for those seeking regulated weed, it also highlights the need for a more efficient and inclusive approach to cannabis legalization and regulation. For instance, addressing the red tape and lengthy approval processes could encourage more individuals to pursue legal options, while ensuring equitable access to the industry for communities disproportionately affected by the war on drugs. Ultimately, a more comprehensive and inclusive approach to cannabis legalization and regulation is necessary to ensure that the benefits of legalization are accessible to all, and that the industry is not monopolized by a select few.

    • Differences in economic opportunities in legal cannabis industryIn some states, a few players dominate due to limited licenses, while in others, competition is intense. As the industry matures, expanding across states becomes challenging due to varying regulations, and the existence of a gray market hinders growth.

      The legal cannabis industry presents vastly different economic opportunities depending on the state. For instance, in New York, where only a limited number of licenses are issued, the market is dominated by a few players, creating an oligopoly. In contrast, in states like Oklahoma, it's relatively easier to obtain a license but the challenge lies in competition. As the industry matures, brands and single-state operators face significant hurdles in expanding across states due to varying regulations. Moreover, the existence of a gray market, where unlicensed sales occur, discourages legitimate operators from entering the market. This lack of enforcement on unlicensed sales, as seen in New York and California, can lead to a proliferation of illegal retailers and hinder the growth of the legal industry.

    • Illegal cannabis sales persist despite weak enforcementThe illegal cannabis market is unlikely to disappear due to weak enforcement and strong financial incentives. However, the industry may evolve like alcohol during prohibition, and the illegal market is expected to fade as the regulated industry grows.

      The lack of enforcement against illegal cannabis sales in the current political climate, coupled with the lack of significant consequences for operators, makes it unlikely that the illegal market will disappear anytime soon. The state's efforts to scare people away from operating illegally have been weak, and the financial incentives for doing so are strong. However, the cannabis industry is expected to evolve like alcohol did during prohibition, and the illegal market is expected to fade as the regulated industry grows and becomes more competitive. The state's investment in funding legal stores and the negative impact of untaxed competition on regulated stores may eventually lead to a crackdown on illegal sales. It's a risky move for businesses to enter the non-licensed market now, but those who want to make their money work harder may consider opening a business bank account with QuickBooks Money, which offers a 5% annual percentage yield.

    • New York's Unique Challenges in Legalizing CannabisNew York's cannabis legalization includes social justice, but faces challenges from a gray market and climate conditions, requiring effective solutions to ensure industry success and healing from the war on drugs.

      The legalization of cannabis in New York presents unique challenges compared to the end of prohibition for alcohol. While there are similarities in the sudden legality of a previously illegal substance, New York's legalization includes a social justice component, with priority given to individuals impacted by past cannabis-related offenses or policies. However, the existence of a gray market poses significant challenges for the legal industry, including competition from unregulated sellers with more experience and access to better quality product. Additionally, growing cannabis in New York may be more difficult due to climate conditions, limiting the number of growing cycles. Addressing these challenges and healing from the war on drugs is crucial for the success of the legal cannabis industry in New York.

    • Navigating the Challenges of New York's Emerging Cannabis MarketNew York's cannabis market faces significant challenges including lack of experience, climate issues, competition from illicit market, and lax regulations. Companies must focus on quality, compliance, and infrastructure to establish themselves.

      The cannabis industry in New York is still in its infancy and faces significant challenges compared to more experienced markets like California. It takes years to dial in the quality of cannabis production, and New York's lack of cultivation and manufacturing experience, combined with climate issues and competition from the illicit market, make it a challenging environment. The illicit market thrives on branded products and counterfeit brands, making it difficult for consumers to know the origin and legitimacy of the products they're buying. New York legalized cannabis in 2021 and currently has 10 registered operators, but the infrastructure and competition from established markets make it an uphill battle for these companies. Craig Wiggins, a former cannabis industry analyst, describes the New York market as the Wild West, with lax regulations allowing for significant illegal activity. Despite these challenges, there are opportunities for companies to build infrastructure and establish themselves in the market, but it will require time, resources, and a focus on quality and compliance.

    • New York's uncertain future for adult-use cannabis marketDespite setting up 150 social equity stores and issuing licenses, New York's legal cannabis market faces uncertainty due to the thriving illicit market and challenges for big cannabis companies.

      New York's rollout of its adult-use cannabis market is ongoing, with 150 social equity retail stores set to open, but the future of the market is uncertain due to the thriving illicit market. The state has issued 250 hemp and outdoor licenses, and at the end of this year, adult-use cannabis will enter the processing system. However, the 10 companies allowed to have up to 40 stores each have yet to be determined if they can deliver their products outside their store network or sell through independent third parties. The upcoming episode of Potlots will explore the business of big cannabis, including investors and challenges faced by the industry. The success of the legal mass market in New York is not guaranteed, despite the city's history of high cannabis consumption. For more coverage on the legal marijuana industry, subscribe to Bloomberg's weekly newsletter, Dose.

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