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    Ukraine 'advancing on Bakhmut' & Joe Biden visits the UK ahead of NATO summit

    enJuly 10, 2023

    Podcast Summary

    • Convenient and cost-effective solutions in personal life and businessUnitedHealthcare's short-term insurance plans offer flexible, budget-friendly coverage. Stamps.com provides discounts on USPS and UPS shipping for businesses.

      Both in personal life and business operations, there are solutions that offer convenience and cost savings. For instance, UnitedHealthcare's short-term insurance plans cater to individuals in transition periods, providing flexible and budget-friendly coverage with a vast network of healthcare providers. Similarly, Stamps.com is a no-brainer for businesses requiring mailing services, offering significant discounts on USPS and UPS shipping. Meanwhile, in the news, updates from Ukraine include advancements on the front lines, Russian missile defenses, and attacks on civilian areas, emphasizing the need for a robust military strategy to secure a decisive advantage. Russia's top general, Valery Gerasimov, has been confirmed to still be in his position despite the Wagner mutiny.

    • Battle for Sievierodonetsk: Ukrainian forces make gains, Russian morale lowUkrainian forces are making progress in Sievierodonetsk, while Russian forces struggle to hold on due to poor morale and limited resources. The battle for Klishkeva's high ground is crucial for strategic advantage.

      The situation in Sievierodonetsk remains volatile, with Ukrainian forces making gains in the south while Russian forces continue to defend the city. Gerasimov, the Wagner Group's deputy commander, has not been seen or heard from since the mutiny, suggesting he may have been removed from his post. The battle for the high ground at Klishkeva, a village to the southwest of the city, is of particular importance, as controlling it would give Ukraine a strategic advantage. Russian forces are reportedly struggling to hold on to the city due to poor morale, disparate units, and limited ability to find and strike Ukrainian artillery. Ukraine has reverted to relying on long-range precision artillery to target Russian supply lines and headquarters. The lack of superior air power leaves Ukrainian ground forces exposed, making the advance slow.

    • Disagreements among NATO members on Ukraine's potential membership and military supportThe NATO summit in Vilnius faces divisions among allies over Ukraine's membership and military aid, with tensions escalating due to Russia's disapproval and concerns about potential conflict escalation.

      As the NATO summit in Vilnius approaches, there are significant disagreements among alliance members regarding Ukraine's potential NATO membership and the nature of military support for Ukraine in its ongoing conflict with Russia. The US and the UK have taken a more hawkish stance on providing military aid, while Germany and others are hesitant to offer immediate membership due to concerns about potential escalation with Russia. Tensions remain high, with Russia expressing strong disapproval of Turkey's release of former Azov commanders and the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO. The summit is expected to be a contentious one as allies struggle to find a unified approach to addressing the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

    • Biden's EU Choice: Diplomacy or Weakness?Biden's support for Ursula von der Leyen signals openness to EU diplomacy, but critics argue it may appear weak. Ukraine's NATO membership and cluster munition controversy require a nuanced approach, balancing military and diplomatic strategies while prioritizing civilian protection.

      Biden's choice to support Ursula von der Leyen as EU Commission President could be seen as a signal to Putin that the West is open to diplomacy, but critics argue it may appear weak and embolden Russia to continue aggressive actions. Regarding Ukraine and NATO, it's important to remember that had Ukraine been a member, Russia likely wouldn't have invaded, and offering membership now could reinforce the folly of Putin's invasion. The controversy over supplying Ukraine with cluster munitions highlights the complexities of this conflict, with some arguing for military support and others emphasizing humanitarian concerns. The UK, Spain, and Canada have criticized the potential sale, while the US argues it's necessary to support Ukraine's dwindling ammunition stocks. Ultimately, the situation calls for a nuanced approach, balancing military and diplomatic strategies while prioritizing the protection of civilians.

    • Ukraine's Use of Cluster Munitions: A Balance Between Military Necessity and Humanitarian ConcernsUkraine's Defense Minister justifies use of cluster munitions for de-occupation purposes, while critics argue against their use due to potential harm to civilians. The decision to provide these weapons is a balance between military necessity and humanitarian concerns.

      The use of cluster munitions by Ukraine in response to Russia's invasion and occupation of internationally recognized territories is a complex issue with valid arguments on both sides. Ukraine's Defense Minister, Alexei Reznikov, has stated that they would only use cluster munitions for de-occupation purposes and not in officially recognized Russian territory. He also assured that strict records would be kept and information exchanged with partners. Critics argue that the failure rate of cluster munitions and the potential harm to civilians outweighs their military effectiveness. However, proponents argue that their use is necessary, legal, and morally justified due to Russia's use of these weapons for over a year and the need to restore parity on the battlefield. The RUSI paper "Giving Ukraine Cluster Munitions is Necessary, Legal, and Morally Justified" further supports this argument by highlighting the efficiency of these munitions against entrenched troops and the low probability of killing Russian troops with conventional artillery shells. Ultimately, the decision to provide Ukraine with cluster munitions is a delicate balance between military necessity and humanitarian concerns.

    • Military advantages of DPICMs for UkraineDPICMs offer increased lethality, suppression effects, extended barrel life, and utilization of unused munitions for Ukraine, enhancing military efficiency and sustainability against Russia's prolonged conflict strategy.

      The use of DPICMs (Dual Purpose Improved Conventional Munitions) in warfare, despite moral concerns, can provide significant military advantages for countries like Ukraine. These advantages include increased lethality and suppression effects, extended barrel life for artillery, and the utilization of currently unused munitions from international partners. The strategic importance of these advantages becomes even more significant in the context of Russia's current strategy to prolong the conflict and exhaust Western capacity to supply Ukraine with sufficient munitions and equipment. While the moral arguments against the use of cluster bombs are valid, the necessity and proportionality of their use in self-defense should also be considered. The efficiency and long-term sustainability of Ukraine's military efforts could be significantly improved through the use of DPICMs. The authors, Justin Brock and Jack Watling, provide a more detailed analysis in their paper, which is worth exploring for those interested in the subject. The RUSI team, including David, Frances Durney, and Dom Nicholls, will be visiting the United States in September to engage with experts and stakeholders in the field. If you are engaged in this war in a senior capacity, whether in intelligence, politics, activism, or as an expert commentator on international affairs, and would like to meet with them, please get in touch.

    • NATO Summit in Lithuania: Discussing Ukraine's MembershipNATO leaders discuss Ukraine's potential membership, but uncertainty remains due to the ongoing conflict. Germany supports Ukraine with arms but not membership. Preparatory work is essential for a unified front, with leaders engaging in private discussions and addressing training needs.

      That the upcoming NATO summit in Lithuania is expected to address the issue of Ukraine's potential membership in the alliance. While some reports suggest that the language around Ukraine's rightful place in NATO may be used, it remains uncertain if the war in Ukraine has made accession unrealistic. Germany, for instance, has announced substantial arms support for Ukraine but not an invitation to join NATO. Michael Fallon, a former British defense secretary, noted that such summits provide leaders with an opportunity to meet and find agreement, sending signals of unity and reassurance to countries like Ukraine and Russia. Preparatory work is crucial to ensure NATO presents as a unified front. Behind closed doors, leaders engage in bilateral discussions and side events to address various issues, such as the training needs of the Ukrainian army.

    • NATO's hesitance to send weapons to Ukraine in 2014NATO's reluctance to send weapons to Ukraine during their crisis with Russia in 2014 was a mistake, as it emboldened Putin and led to further aggression. Stronger action was needed to draw a line and prevent further conflict.

      During the NATO summit in Vilnius in 2014, there was a hesitance to send weapons to Ukraine when they were desperately pleading for help against Russia's invasion. The mood in Europe was not good, with half-hearted sanctions and divisions within governments about how far to go in arming the Ukrainians. The decision not to send weapons was a mistake, as Putin saw it as a sign of weakness and went on to invade more of Ukraine in 2014. The argument against sending weapons was that it would provoke the Russians, but they were already in Crimea and in Donbas. The lack of a tougher response from NATO emboldened Putin, and it's clear now that a stronger stance was needed to draw a line and prevent further Russian aggression. The current disagreement within NATO about the next NATO head is also unfortunate and highlights the importance of unity and decisiveness in the face of global challenges.

    • Europe's frontlines against Russian aggressionEurope needs to reinforce its presence in crucial frontlines like Belarus and Ukraine, support Ukraine's NATO accession, and provide military aid to collective secure against Russian aggression, as seen in the effective collaboration against Daesh.

      Europe's security situation has drastically changed, and countries like Belarus and Ukraine have become crucial frontlines against Russia. The West, particularly NATO, needs to reinforce its presence in these areas to prevent further Russian incursions. Ukraine's accession to NATO is essential, and the alliance must provide clear support and a swift approval process. The US has been a vital player in Ukraine's defense, but European nations must also step up and supply more military aid. Historically, some European powers have hesitated to become strategically independent of the US, but the need for collective security against Russian aggression should outweigh these considerations. The Middle East remains a pivotal region, and the West's approach during the rise of Daesh was more effective when it provided support rather than deploying troops directly. The success in defeating Daesh demonstrates the importance of collaborative efforts in addressing regional threats.

    • Winning the hearts and minds of local forces is crucial for effective counter-terrorism effortsThe Middle East, home to many Western allies and historical ties, is strategically important but the West's focus on other global issues risks neglecting it. China is increasingly involved in the region and the West must engage while protecting vital interests.

      Effective counter-terrorism efforts require local forces to win the hearts and minds of their own people. This was evident during the Iraq operation, where Iraqi troops were instrumental in liberating their country. However, the West's focus on other global issues, such as Ukraine and the Indo Pacific, risks losing sight of the strategic importance of the Middle East. The region, which straddles critical seaways and cable routes, is home to many Western allies and historical ties. The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas in Palestine and the situation in Iraq are major concerns. If the West does not step up to help address these issues, other powers, such as China, will. China, a growing global power, is increasingly involved commercially, politically, diplomatically, and militarily in the Middle East. The West needs to engage with China while protecting its vital interests. History offers valuable lessons, with ancient civilizations like Mesopotamia and the Roman Empire grappling with similar issues of influence and maintenance. The West must learn from these lessons and adapt to the changing geopolitical landscape.

    • Understanding the Historical Significance of Borders and Territorial DisputesHistorical perspective is crucial when making decisions about borders and territorial disputes, as they have been shaped by various factors including religion, rivers, and the need for space. Learning from history can help prevent future conflicts and ensure long-lasting peace.

      The decisions regarding borders and territorial disputes have been shaped by various factors throughout history, including religion, rivers, and the need for space. Historians can provide valuable insights into these issues, but ultimately, the decisions are made by political and economic leaders. Michael Howard emphasized the importance of historical perspective for cabinet ministers and shared his experience of discussing border issues a century after the Sykes-Picot line was determined. The ongoing border disputes in Ukraine serve as a reminder of the enduring significance of these historical issues. The summit between world leaders regarding Ukraine is hoped to provide reassurance and help resolve the ongoing conflict, but it may come with additional costs. It's essential to learn from history and consider historical context when making decisions that can have long-lasting consequences.

    • Digital postage solution platform Stamps.comStamps.com is a software that bridges users with USPS, enabling them to print postage online, saving time and resources, and offering additional features like tracking and shipping labels

      Stamps.com is an e-commerce platform that offers digital postage solutions. It's essentially a software that acts as a bridge between users and the US Postal Service, enabling them to print postage online for their mail and packages. The code program aspect refers to the technology behind the platform that allows for seamless integration with various shipping carriers and simplifies the process of purchasing and printing postage. By using Stamps.com, businesses and individuals can save time and resources, as they don't need to physically visit the post office to buy stamps or mail their packages. The platform also offers additional features such as tracking, address verification, and the ability to generate shipping labels for various carriers. Overall, Stamps.com streamlines the mailing process and provides convenience and efficiency for users.

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    ==


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    ==


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    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' Live at the Chalke Valley History Festival:

    Tickets are available for our two talks on Thursday 27th June.

    https://programme.chalkefestival.com/talks-and-addons?date=2024-06-27


    Hear 'Ukraine: The Latest' live from Scarborough

    https://scarboroughfair.uk/performances/ukraine-the-latest-live/



    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.


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    The fight for Ukraine — and democracy

    The fight for Ukraine — and democracy
    Sean Illing talks with historian and author Timothy Snyder about the war in Ukraine, the stakes for Europe and the rest of the world, and the battle between Putin's autocracy and democracy being waged. They also discuss the enduring importance of history — and of ideas — in shaping events in our world. Host: Sean Illing (@seanilling), Interviews Writer, Vox Guest: Timothy Snyder (@TimothyDSnyder), author; Levin professor of history, Yale University References:  "The War in Ukraine Has Unleashed a New Word" by Timothy Snyder (New York Times Magazine; Apr. 22) On Tyranny: Twenty Lessons from the Twentieth Century by Timothy Snyder (Crown; 2017) The Road to Unfreedom: Russia, Europe, America by Timothy Snyder (Tim Duggan; 2018) Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and Stalin by Timothy Snyder (Basic; 2010) "Vladimir Putin's politics of eternity" by Timothy Snyder (The Guardian; Mar. 16, 2018) Black Rights/White Wrongs: The Critique of Racial Liberalism by Charles W. Mills (Oxford; 2017) "Who is Putin really fighting? Maxim Trudolyubov on the Russian president's ruthless war of generations" (Meduza; June 6) Enjoyed this episode? Rate Vox Conversations ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ and leave a review on Apple Podcasts. Subscribe for free. Be the first to hear the next episode of Vox Conversations by subscribing in your favorite podcast app. Support Vox Conversations by making a financial contribution to Vox! bit.ly/givepodcasts This episode was made by:  Producer: Erikk Geannikis Editor: Amy Drozdowska Engineer: Patrick Boyd Deputy Editorial Director, Vox Talk: Amber Hall Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

    7/10/23: Biden Defends Cluster Bombs To Ukraine, Biden Says Ukraine Not Ready For NATO, DeSantis Low Polling, Slowing Growth Jobs Market, Twitter Threatens Lawsuit With Zuckerberg, Colleges Nuke Merit, AOC Endorses Biden, Will Jawando Runs For Senate

    7/10/23: Biden Defends Cluster Bombs To Ukraine, Biden Says Ukraine Not Ready For NATO, DeSantis Low Polling, Slowing Growth Jobs Market, Twitter Threatens Lawsuit With Zuckerberg, Colleges Nuke Merit, AOC Endorses Biden, Will Jawando Runs For Senate

    Krystal and Saagar discuss Biden shipping Cluster Bombs to Ukraine, up to 100 CIA personnel in Ukraine, Biden saying Ukraine isn't ready for NATO, DeSantis pressed on FOX News about declining poll numbers, the words GOP candidates use to stand out, Jobs report shows slowing growth, Elon threatens to sue Zuckerberg in Twitter-Threads fight, Saagar dons Indian Clothes for 1 Million sub Dare, Saagar looks into colleges nuking merit to preserve racial admissions, Krystal looks into AOC bending the knee to Biden by endorsing him early, and Dem candidate for Maryland Senate Will Jawando joins the show to discuss his campaign.


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    Fears for Russia's nuclear submarines after Wagner revolt & Zelensky's hometown attacked with 'kamikaze' drones

    Fears for Russia's nuclear submarines after Wagner revolt & Zelensky's hometown attacked with 'kamikaze' drones

    Day 505.

    Today, bring you latest updates from the warzone, analyse the sacking of Major General Ivan Popov, and discuss morale and casualty rates in Russian forces during the Ukrainian counter-offensive.


    Contributors:

    David Knowles (Host). @djknowles22 on Twitter.

    Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor) @FrancisDearnley on Twitter.

    Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant

    Hamish De Bretton-Gordon (Former Tank Commander & Telegraph columnist).

    The investigation by The Associated Press: https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-prisons-civilians-torture-detainees-88b4abf2efbf383272eed9378be13c72


    Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest

    Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk

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