economic forecasts

 Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking for you in the coming week including a preview of the upcoming CPI data, the battle to become speaker of the House, Ireland's newest budget proposal and the impact of China's Golden Week holiday.  

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This week, we bring you a lightly edited version of Merryn's panel at the Fringe Festival in Edinburgh called "The Butcher, the Brewer, the Baker and Merryn Somerset Webb." It was held at Panmure House--Adam Smith's residence between 1778 and 1790. We taped this panel on August 26, 2023. Guests include: Russell Napier, Anna MacDonald and James Anderson.

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Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes.

On today's podcast:
(1) UK GDP predicted to stay below pre-pandemic levels until 2024.

(2) Britain's electoral register hit by a cyber-attack, but no one noticed for 15 months.

(3) The Italian government scrambles to clarify the limits for its new bank windfall tax.

(4) Analysis suggests M&A bonus payouts could drop by 25%. 

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Last week was a big one. On Tuesday, we got a CPI report that came in substantially cooler than expected. Then on Wednesday, the Fed hiked 50 basis points, which was a step down from the series of 75 basis point hikes that we had been getting at recent meetings. So where do things stand now? When will we get a proper pivot? When will the Fed feel confident that inflation has been defeated. We spoke with two macro guests: Jon Turek, founder of JST Advisors and author of the Cheap Convexity Blog, as well as Tim Duy, Chief US Economist at SGH Macro as well as a Professor of Practice in economics at the University or Oregon. They gave as their readings on inflation, the Fed, and what to watch at the start of 2023. 

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We’re back again for another episode of The Property Podcast and this week it’s one of our favourites - Rob & Robs buy-to-let property investment predictions for 2020.

A couple of weeks ago they reviewed their predictions for 2019 and they didn’t do too badly. But can they make it a clean sweep this year? 

The Robs are making some bold statements for 2020, some of which Rob D isn’t convinced they’ll get right. So what are they making predictions on? 

• The top five cities to invest in property this year
• What’s happening to the UK as a whole 
• London - should it be back on our radar?
• The base rate
• Big announcements in the budget 

And just for fun, they’re making predictions on the stock market, the US election and who will win the Premier League - although we all know who Rob B is backing before we’ve even listened. 

So tune in to find out whether The Robs property predictions for 2020 are positive, negative or just a bit too hard to call. 

It’s not just Rob & Rob who are dishing out their predictions, they’re looking at other property experts too. In the BBC there’s a summary of what property experts are predicting for 2020. Everyone seems to be expecting around a 2% increase in house prices, however there’s one person who has predicted a 2% fall! So should you be worried?

And this week for Hub Extra, we’re giving you an inspirational quote to get you kick started and motivated for the rest of 2020:

‘Failure is the opportunity to begin again more intelligently` - Henry Ford

As this time of year is usually a time for self reflection, you can look back on the past year, or even the past decade, and see where you’ve been successful and where you’ve failed. But at the end of the day, don’t beat yourself up about it, learn from your mistakes and try again with a new perspective. 

We’d love to hear what you think of this week’s Property Podcast over on Facebook, Twitter or Instagram. You might even have a topic you’d like us to cover in the future - if so, pop us a message on social and we’ll see what we can do.

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If that wasn’t enough, you can also join our friendly property community on the Property Hub forum.

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