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    Christian Rudder – The Quantified Self - [Invest Like the Best, EP.05]

    enOctober 11, 2016

    Podcast Summary

    • From Report Engine to OkCupid: Christian Rudder's Diverse Career JourneyChristian Rudder's career showcases the importance of adaptability and embracing new opportunities, leading him from creating a stockbroker software to founding a successful dating site.

      Christian Rudder's career has been a non-linear journey filled with diverse experiences in various industries, including founding a dating site (OkCupid), being the main songwriter in a band (Bishop Allen), contributing to SparkNotes, and even creating a software program for stockbrokers (Report Engine). His story began post-graduation when he and a friend developed Report Engine, which failed to gain traction. Following this, he moved to Austin during the Internet boom and landed a job at SparkNotes, which set the stage for his future endeavors. Throughout his career, Rudder has demonstrated an ability to adapt and thrive in different arenas, showcasing the importance of being open to new opportunities and experiences.

    • Creating Compelling Content and Leveraging Data for User EngagementUsing data to analyze trends and create content that resonates with users is a powerful strategy for building successful online platforms.

      The success of SparkNotes and later OkCupid was rooted in creating engaging, viral content that attracted users. The speaker, who played a key role in both companies, shared how he transitioned from writing content for SparkNotes to OkCupid, using similar strategies to bring people to the platforms. What sets this story apart is the unique access to personal data, which the speaker used to analyze trends and create content that resonated with users. This approach, which is explored in depth in his book, offers a fresh perspective on data analysis and user engagement, making it a must-read for anyone interested in these topics. The speaker's experiences demonstrate the power of creating compelling content and leveraging data to build successful online platforms.

    • Accessible Data Analysis with Simple ToolsAnyone with a strong foundation in math and a willingness to learn can effectively analyze data using simple tools like SQL, Excel, and Python.

      Data analysis is not limited to specific tools or fields. The speaker, a data analyst from OkCupid, shares her experience of working with data from a dating site using simple tools like SQL, Excel, and Python. She emphasizes that even without advanced tools or knowledge, one can still effectively analyze data and draw meaningful insights. The speaker's background as a math major without formal statistics education shows that anyone with a strong foundation in math and a willingness to learn can excel in data analysis. The speaker's charts in her book, which appear informational rather than designed, were all created in Excel. She chose the color red for contrast due to limited options provided. Overall, the speaker's story highlights the accessibility of data analysis and the potential for anyone to delve into this field with determination and a solid foundation in mathematics.

    • Men's age preference for younger women and women's preference for partners around their age in datingMen often prefer younger women, while women typically seek partners close to their age. Unexpected traits and vulnerabilities can increase appeal in dating, known as the pratfall effect.

      Human behavior in the realm of dating can be quite predictable yet frustrating at the same time. Wooderson's Law, named after the character from the movie "Dazed and Confused," highlights the trend that men, regardless of age, tend to prefer younger women. This preference is evident in online dating behavior, with men consistently rating and contacting younger women. Conversely, women tend to prefer partners around their own age. This age preference aligns with what women report they're looking for. The challenge for dating platforms like OkCupid is to ensure that these preferences don't lead to unwanted interactions. Another interesting finding from the book is the role of variance, or unpredictability, in dating success. The pratfall effect refers to the fact that people tend to rate others more favorably when they show signs of vulnerability or imperfection. In the context of dating, this means that individuals who are considered average-looking but display endearing quirks or weaknesses may be more successful than those who are conventionally attractive but come across as overly confident or arrogant. This principle can be applied to various aspects of life, including business, where offering a product or service with some degree of unpredictability can make it more appealing to consumers.

    • The power of being unique and unconventionalBeing unique and unconventional can lead to increased attention and success, as it attracts both positive and negative perceptions, and the 'white knight effect' may play a role.

      Having a high degree of variance in how people perceive your attractiveness or uniqueness can lead to increased attention and success, whether it's in dating or product sales. This effect comes from both the positive side, with many people ranking you highly, and the negative side, with some people strongly disliking you. The reasoning behind this might be due to the "white knight effect," where people are attracted to those who are perceived as unconventional or underrated. However, it's important to note that the boost from negative ratings is lower than the power of having a large number of people really liking you. Ultimately, being unique and standing out from the crowd can lead to greater success.

    • Online dating data reveals racial and gender disparitiesMen dominate online dating, racial bias against Black people and Asian men persists, and publicizing data and encouraging discussions are suggested solutions

      Online dating data reveals significant disparities between the experiences of different racial and gender groups. Men, particularly straight men, dominate online dating platforms with their activity and preferences. The gap between what people claim they want and what they actually do in online dating is substantial, particularly regarding race. The data shows a pervasive racial bias against Black people and Asian men, with these groups receiving only 75% of the likes, messages, and replies compared to others. Despite this, dating sites cannot force users to change their behavior or challenge their biases. The only solution identified is to publicize this data and encourage open discussions about racism and bias in society.

    • Unique insights into racial biases in datingAsian women receive fewer messages and responses in online dating, revealing disparities in person-to-person racial interactions and challenging the notion of a post-racial America.

      That the book in question provides unique insights into racial biases in dating through its analysis of online interactions, revealing that Asian women face unique disadvantages in the dating market. This data-driven exploration challenges the notion of a post-racial America and sheds light on the lack of research on person-to-person racial interactions. The author found that there is a significant disparity in how different racial groups interact, with Asian women receiving fewer messages and responses compared to other groups. The book, which is highly recommended, offers valuable insights into an under-researched area and provides a unique perspective on race and dating in America. One of the author's personal favorite books is Shelby Foote's three-volume history of the Civil War, which they have read multiple times.

    • Exploring New Books: An Avid Reader's JourneyAn avid reader enjoys nonfiction biographies, historical fiction, and science fiction. He finds new books by browsing in bookstores and randomly grabbing titles that pique his interest, currently reading SPQR about ancient Rome. The interviewee didn't take Math 2555, a challenging math class at Harvard for incoming math majors.

      The interviewee is an avid reader, particularly drawn to nonfiction biographies, historical fiction, and science fiction. He enjoys exploring new books by browsing in bookstores and is open to trying a wide range of topics. Some of his favorite books include Theodore Roosevelt's biography, Winston Churchill's biography, Dune, Lacousee Back's German novel about Hitler, Age of Miracles, Station 11, and h is for Hawk. He's spent significant time delving into topics like the Civil War and Napoleon. He finds new books by randomly browsing and grabbing titles that pique his interest. Currently, he's reading SPQR about ancient Rome. Math 2555 refers to a pair of challenging math classes at Harvard, with math 25 being an elective for incoming math majors. The interviewee didn't take the class, and only about 40-45 students do.

    • Data Collection by Corporations vs. GovernmentCorporations collect data for business purposes, respecting individual privacy. Government agencies collect highly specific data on individuals, raising privacy concerns.

      The world is becoming increasingly quantified, and data collection is a major aspect of this trend. Two distinct areas of data collection are corporate and government. While corporations gather data to sell products or services, they do not typically invade individual privacy by targeting specific individuals. On the other hand, government agencies like the NSA collect highly specific data on individuals, which can be more invasive. The NSA's methods are efficient and focused, but the implications for individual privacy are significant. Furthermore, as technology advances, artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming increasingly capable of making decisions based on data. While AI has the potential to revolutionize industries and improve efficiency, it also raises concerns about privacy and the potential for misuse. It's essential to consider the implications of data collection and use, particularly when it comes to individual privacy, and to distinguish between different use cases and their potential impact.

    • The Development of Superintelligence and its ImplicationsThe creation of a superintelligence could lead to unintended consequences, requiring a coordinated global effort to ensure its altruism and benefit for humanity. The risks of a secretive, fractured approach are significant, and the potential loss of jobs and impact on creativity necessitate consideration of human roles in a superintelligent world.

      As technology advances, the development of general computer intelligence could lead to a superintelligence that surpasses human intelligence, potentially with grave implications for the world. This could be seen as creating a "god" and raises the question of how to ensure this entity remains benevolent and under human control. A coordinated, global effort is suggested, similar to the Manhattan Project, to ensure the superintelligence's altruism and benefit for mankind. The risks of a secretive, fractured approach are highlighted, as cutting corners could lead to unintended consequences. The potential loss of jobs due to automation and the impact on creativity are also discussed, leading to the question of what role humans will have in a world with superintelligence.

    • Technological advancements and their societal impactAs AI advances, it could lead to job displacement, income gap, and social unrest. We need to consider the consequences and possibly implement wealth redistribution or a tax on AI use.

      As technology advances, particularly in the realm of artificial intelligence, it will bring significant economic and social challenges. Automation, such as self-driving cars, could lead to massive job displacement. This could result in a widening income gap and potential social unrest. To mitigate these issues, there may need to be some form of redistribution of wealth, possibly through a tax on the use of artificial intelligence. It's crucial to consider the potential consequences of these technological advancements and how they could impact society as a whole. Additionally, it's important to be aware of the power dynamics that could arise from the development and control of advanced AI, and how to prevent a small group from having disproportionate power. The potential implications of these issues deserve further exploration and discussion.

    • Understanding human behavior is key to data-driven successTechnical skills + human understanding = data success. Focus on meaningful metrics and apply data wisely to improve human experiences.

      A combination of technical knowledge and a deep understanding of human behavior is valuable in data-centric fields. The speaker emphasizes the importance of real-world experience and a humanistic education in making intelligent decisions based on data analysis. They also mention the importance of choosing the right metric to manage against, as seen in their experience with OkCupid where they found that focusing on conversations rather than page views or clicks led to a more successful platform. While technical skills like math are important, it's the application and interpretation of data that truly adds value. Other recommended resources for understanding the intersection of technology and human behavior include Nick Bostrom's "Superintelligence" and Tim Urban's "Wait But Why" explanation of Bostrom's ideas.

    • Asking the right questions is crucial for successPersistently asking the right questions and staying flexible are essential for success in entrepreneurship and writing, even with an element of luck involved.

      Success in entrepreneurship, writing, or any field, hinges on asking the right questions and being persistent in finding answers. This was a key lesson learned by the founder of OkCupid during their journey to create a successful dating platform. They discovered that raw messages didn't work because people were focusing on a select few attractive individuals, neglecting everyone else. To measure success, they had to identify what people truly wanted from their website. Similarly, authors must ask the right questions to find answers worth sharing with their audience. The entrepreneurial journey involves a significant amount of luck, but being willing to try various approaches, staying flexible, and listening to data are essential for long-term success. OkCupid's growth was not a classic exponential ramp-up but rather slow and steady, with lean years requiring immense persistence. The founder emphasized the importance of not being too committed to a single idea while maintaining commitment to the overall goal.

    • Diverse founding team with distinct roles leads to successA diverse founding team with distinct roles can lead to a successful company, even during uncertain times. Each founder should focus on their unique skill set to avoid arguments and respect each other's domains.

      Having a diverse team with distinct skill sets and minimal overlap in responsibilities can lead to the success of a company, even during uncertain times. This was evident in the founding team of OkCupid, where the co-founders had little to no overlap in their roles. Sam Yagan focused on business and negotiation, Chris Coyne worked on the product and front end, Max Krohn handled the back end development, and Christian Rudder focused on the content and marketing. This division of labor allowed them to avoid arguments and respect each other's domains, ultimately contributing to the company's growth. Additionally, having a creative outlet outside of the company, such as a book, can provide a fulfilling experience for a more traditional CEO role.

    • Entrepreneurship's Unexpected Challenges and DiscoveriesSuccessful entrepreneurs adapt to new roles and learn from unexpected challenges, creating positive outcomes and inspiring new ventures.

      The entrepreneurial journey often involves unexpected challenges and discoveries, even in areas outside of one's expertise. The speaker, a successful entrepreneur, shared his experience of being promoted to a role involving accounting and organizational structure in a small startup, despite having no prior knowledge in these areas. He emphasized the importance of creating positive real-world outcomes, as seen in their successful dating app OkCupid. Now, he's exploring new ideas, including a potential business focused on farm animal welfare, inspired by his personal values and experiences. Another intriguing venture he mentioned is Keybase, founded by two colleagues from his OkCupid team, which aims to make unbreakable cryptography accessible to everyone, ensuring privacy from potential intruders. These stories illustrate the diversity and unpredictability of entrepreneurship, as well as the potential for making a difference in various aspects of life.

    • Innovative companies making a difference in various industriesExplore smaller companies making a difference online, such as those offering online eye tests, and prioritize activities to set a good example for the next generation.

      There are numerous innovative smaller companies making a difference in various industries. One such example is a company working on making online eye tests to eliminate the need for physical visits to the ophthalmologist for eye exams and prescriptions. It's essential to spend less time on the internet and prioritize activities to set a good example for the next generation. The speaker, despite not being deeply involved in the entrepreneur scene, recognizes the potential of these companies and encourages everyone to explore them further. To stay updated on new books and learnings, sign up for the Investor Field Guide book club, and don't forget to leave a review on iTunes to help spread the word about Invest Like the Best.

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    Dev Ittycheria - The Database Evolution - [Invest Like the Best, EP.373]
    My guest today is Dev Ittycheria. Dev is the CEO of MongoDB, the developer data platform with tens of thousands of customers in 100 different countries. He joined the company as CEO in 2014, taking it public in 2017, and is now approaching a decade of leading MongoDB to become a go-to choice for the most sophisticated organizations around the world. We discuss Dev’s philosophy for constructing an exceptional enterprise sales organization, why he feels a leader must be incredibly judgemental to drive excellence, and how he plans to guide MongoDB through another technological transition. Please enjoy this conversation with Dev Ittycheria. Listen to Founders Podcast For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Tegus, the only investment research platform built for the investor. With traditional research vendors, the diligence process is slow, fragmented, and expensive. That leaves investors competing on how well they can aggregate data — not on their unique ability to analyze insights and make great investment decisions. Tegus offers an end-to-end platform with all the data you need to get up to speed on a company or market: up-to-the-minute financials, customizable models, management and culture checks, and, of course, our vast and growing library of expert call transcripts. Tegus is changing the world of expert research. Learn more and get your free trial at tegus.com/patrick. ----- Invest Like the Best is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Invest Like the Best, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.  Past guests include Tobi Lutke, Kevin Systrom, Mike Krieger, John Collison, Kat Cole, Marc Andreessen, Matthew Ball, Bill Gurley, Anu Hariharan, Ben Thompson, and many more. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @patrick_oshag | @JoinColossus Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best (00:03:39) A CEO's Perspective Of The AI Revolution (00:05:50) The Evolution of Apps From Trivial to Transformative (00:08:12) MongoDB's Journey From Startup to AI Era (00:10:03) Building a Modern Database Company: MongoDB's Story (00:13:19) The Long-Term Vision for MongoDB  (00:15:51) Dev’s Formative Experiences as a Tech CEO (00:19:18) The Art of Enterprise Sales (00:25:28) The Development of Dev as a Leader (00:29:01) Getting the Most Out of Your Talent (00:33:17) Managing a Multi-Product, Multi-Channel Enterprise (00:37:29) Dev’s Recruiting Philosophy (00:43:12) The Role of Leadership and Mentorship in Career Growth (00:46:08) Dev’s Deepest Worry With MongoDB (00:49:35) Personal Investment Philosophy and Identifying Potential (00:53:52) The Art of Leadership: Accountability and Development (00:57:50) Learning from Legends: Andy Grove's Management Insights (01:02:54) The Power in MongoDB’s Business (01:06:13) Up Next for Dev and MongoDB (01:08:34) The Kindest Thing Anyone Has Ever Done For Dev

    Nico Wittenborn - Finding the Adjacent Possible - [Invest Like the Best, EP.372]

    Nico Wittenborn - Finding the Adjacent Possible - [Invest Like the Best, EP.372]
    My guest today is Nico Wittenborn. Nico is the founder of Adjacent, a venture firm that looks for what he describes as the “adjacent possible” for their next investment. Nico has zoned in on the consumer subscription market as his ideal candidate, making early investments in Calm App, Photoroom, and Oura Ring. Nico does virtually all steps of the investing process on his own as he believes this allows him to be as close to finding the truth as possible. We discuss sharpening your intuition, evaluating the subscription business model, and exploring the adjacent possible. Please enjoy this conversation with Nico Wittenborn.  Listen to Founders Podcast For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Tegus, the only investment research platform built for the investor. With traditional research vendors, the diligence process is slow, fragmented, and expensive. That leaves investors competing on how well they can aggregate data — not on their unique ability to analyze insights and make great investment decisions. Tegus offers an end-to-end platform with all the data you need to get up to speed on a company or market: up-to-the-minute financials, customizable models, management and culture checks, and, of course, our vast and growing library of expert call transcripts. Tegus is changing the world of expert research. Learn more and get your free trial at tegus.com/patrick. ----- Invest Like the Best is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Invest Like the Best, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.  Past guests include Tobi Lutke, Kevin Systrom, Mike Krieger, John Collison, Kat Cole, Marc Andreessen, Matthew Ball, Bill Gurley, Anu Hariharan, Ben Thompson, and many more. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @patrick_oshag | @JoinColossus Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best (00:03:30) Intuition in Investment Decisions (00:05:08) The Philosophy of Adjacency in Venture Capital (00:12:51) Exploring Consumer Subscription Models (00:18:16) Common Mistakes In Subscription Pricing (00:22:41) Errors in Product Roll-Out Strategy (00:28:50) The Sucess of BirdBuddy (00:33:45) What It Means To Be a Great Product (00:38:21) Solo Investing vs. Being Part of a Big Firm (00:43:12) Building On Your Own Experience As a Founder (00:44:49) The Rise of Individual Investors and Their Impact (00:50:52) The Strategic Advantage of Staying Small in Venture Capital (00:52:02) Deep Dive into Founder Questions and Consumer Subscription Insights (00:54:09) Leveraging AI and Technological Advances for Growth (00:59:13) Exploring Future Investments and Market Opportunities (01:05:13) Areas to Explore On The Value Curve For Consumer Subscription  (01:12:32) Advice For Those Interest In Nico’s Path  (01:20:10) The Kindest Thing Anyone Has Ever Done for Nico

    Mitch Rales: The Art of Compounding - [Art of Investing, Forever Episode]

    Mitch Rales: The Art of Compounding - [Art of Investing, Forever Episode]
    We are excited to share a great conversation with Mitch Rales, the co-founder of Danaher and one of the living legends in the world of business and investing. Consider that Danaher has annualized at over 21% for four decades, resulting in an 1800-times multiple on invested capital! This is Mitch's first long-form interview of any kind, and he covers his entire history and business philosophy. Interviewing Mitch are Paul Buser and Rick Buhrman, who host the Art of Investing podcast on the Colossus network. Please enjoy this comprehensive discussion with Mitch Rales. Listen to more Art of Investing. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Passthrough. If you've ever filled out a subscription document to invest in a fund or worked with LPs to fill out their docs to invest in your fund, you know what a nightmare this exercise can be. Passthrough finally solves this problem. They configure custom workflows for your electronic subscription agreements and KYC & AML requirements to shrink the time for your investors to complete their sub docs. It's the best way to manage a critical part of your relationship with your LPs and is simply a drastically better experience for both investing firms and LPs alike. To learn more, go to passthrough.com. This episode is brought to you by Tegus, the only investment research platform built for fundamental investors. Whether you’re trying to get up to speed on a new market or keep tabs on a portfolio company, Tegus is the end-to-end investment research platform you need. With Tegus, you can quickly understand a company's business model, drivers, benchmarks, and management quality. To monitor an entire market, download our pre-built financial models — or update your own with the latest data using Tegus’ new Excel Add-In. Tegus gives you all of this and more, all bundled into a single software license. Find out why 95% of the top 20 global private equity firms are Tegus customers. Learn more and get your free trial at tegus.com/patrick. ----- Art of Investing is a property of Pine Grove Studios in collaboration with Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Art of Investing, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.  Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) - Welcome to The Art of Investing (00:05:32) - The Philosophy Behind Glenstone's Creation (00:12:57) - Benchmarking and Continuous Improvement: Lessons from Danaher and Glenstone (00:21:22) - The Influence of Mitch’s Father and Upbringing (00:28:43) - Transforming Danaher During The George Sherman (00:30:39) - Embracing Long-Term Vision and Patience (00:36:47) - The Role of Leadership in Navigating Change (00:42:21) - Danaher's Evolutionary Journey: From 1.0 to 4.0 (00:56:37) - Building a Culture of Internal Growth and External Innovation (00:58:42) - The Art of Successful Acquisitions and Integration Strategies (01:03:03) - Seeking Leadership Qualities and Business Traits for Long-Term Success (01:06:14) - The Journey from Personal Experience to Philanthropy (01:13:10) - Investment Philosophy: Concentration vs. Diversification (01:29:46) - Operational Expertise as a Catalyst for Company Growth (01:34:17) - Identifying and Supporting Talent in Business (01:43:02) - The Impact of Secular Trends on Long-Term Investments (01:49:53) - Revitalizing the Washington Commanders (01:57:36) - Engaging with Fans and Building a Winning Culture (02:05:16) - The Importance of Long-Term Vision

    Marc Lasry - Making Bucks in Credit and Sports - [Invest Like the Best, EP.371]

    Marc Lasry - Making Bucks in Credit and Sports - [Invest Like the Best, EP.371]
    My guest this week is Marc Lasry. Marc is a pioneer of distressed debt investing and the CEO of Avenue Capital Group, which he co-founded with his sister in 1995. Avenue manages $13 billion today. More recently, Marc and Avenue have become active investors in sport. He owned the Milwaukee Bucks when they won the NBA championship in 2021, and has since made investments in sports as diverse as sailing and bull-riding. In our discussion, we talk about his journey building a big investing firm, the evolution of distressed investing, and the opportunities in sport today. Marc shares some great stories throughout about travelling with President Clinton, winning the NBA championship, and raising his first fund. Please enjoy this great conversation with Marc Lasry. Listen to Founders Podcast For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- This episode is brought to you by Tegus, the only investment research platform built for fundamental investors. Whether you’re trying to get up to speed on a new market or keep tabs on a portfolio company, Tegus is the end-to-end investment research platform you need. With Tegus, you can quickly understand a company's business model, drivers, benchmarks, and management quality. To monitor an entire market, download our pre-built financial models — or update your own with the latest data using Tegus’ new Excel Add-In. Tegus gives you all of this and more, all bundled into a single software license. Find out why 95% of the top 20 global private equity firms are Tegus customers. Learn more and get your free trial at tegus.com/patrick. ----- Invest Like the Best is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Invest Like the Best, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.  Past guests include Tobi Lutke, Kevin Systrom, Mike Krieger, John Collison, Kat Cole, Marc Andreessen, Matthew Ball, Bill Gurley, Anu Hariharan, Ben Thompson, and many more. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @patrick_oshag | @JoinColossus Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like The Best (00:03:40) Marc Lasry's Early Confidence and Competence (00:06:03) Distressed Credit Evolution and the Allure of Sports Investing (00:08:15) The Milwaukee Bucks: A Championship and Investment Success Story (00:14:54) Exploring New Frontiers: Bull Riding and Women's NCA (00:18:33) Venturing into Sailing with Larry Ellison's League (00:22:27) The Economics of Sports Team Ownership (00:25:19) The Vast Universe of Sports-Related Investment Opportunities (00:29:36) The Evolution of Distressed Investing (00:34:05 The Common Thread Through Marc’s Business Endeavors (00:40:24) Marc’s Most Memorable Investment (Not Including The Bucks) (00:43:40) The Dynamics of Working with Family in Business (00:45:32) Finding Happiness and Perspective Amid Financial Success (00:51:03) Diving into the World of NBA Owners (00:55:19) Exploring New Ventures: Sports, Real Estate, and Beyond (00:59:03) The Art of Deal-Making and Navigating Risks (01:06:10) The Kindest Thing Anyone Has Ever Done for Marc

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    240. Welcome to the Creative Age

    240. Welcome to the Creative Age

    Each November, writers around the world make a commitment. They commit to writing a novel within a month. It’s called NaNoWriMo – National Novel Writer’s Month.

    Since 2013, software developers have also been making a commitment. They’ve committed to generating a novel within a month. It’s called NaNoGenMo – National Novel Generation Month.

    The novels these programmers create – if you can call them novels – can tell us a lot about the future of work.

    How well can AI write a novel? (Not at all, really.)

    The novels that programmers generate are all over the board. One “novel” was just Moby Dick, written backwards. Another “novel” was called Paradissssse Lossssst. It was a reproduction of John Milton’s epic poem, but with each “s” in the poem replaced with a varying number of other s’s.

    But, some programmers take the task a little more seriously. They train AI models and see what they come up with. One such model is called GPT-2. GPT-2 was once considered too dangerous to release to the public, because you could supposedly generate subversive content en-masse, and do some pretty nefarious things. Kind of like [Russia did with a farm of human-generated content around the 2016 election].

    And what is this advanced AI model able to generate? So far, nothing impressive. Programmer and author of [aiweirdness.com] Janelle Shane tweeted, “Struggling with crafting the first sentence of your novel? Be comforted by the fact that AI is struggling even more.”

    The sentence this AI model generated for Janelle: “I was playing with my dog, Mark the brown Labrador, and I had forgotten that I was also playing with a dead man.” Not exactly Tolstoy.

    The follow up to GPT-2 is now out, so we’ll see this year what kind of novel GPT-3 can generate, but if Janelle Shane’s experiments so far are any indication, humans will still have the edge. She asked GPT-3 how many eyes a horse had. It kept telling her: [four].

    Your edge as a human lies in your creativity

    According to Kai-Fu Lee, author of AI Superpowers, forty- to fifty-percent of jobs will be replaced by AI and automation within the next couple of decades. But humans won’t be replaced across the board. It’s the creativity- and strategy-based jobs that will be the most secure.

    If your job is an “optimization-based” job, you might want to start reinventing yourself. If your primary work is maximizing a tax refund, calculating an insurance premium, or even diagnosing an illness, your job involves so-called “narrow tasks.” These tasks are already being automated, or soon will be automated.

    You could type out 50,000 nonsense words in about a day. A computer can generate 50,000 words faster than you can blink. But, you could write a novel in a month. A computer can’t write a novel at all.

    Which means your edge as a human is not in typing the words faster. Your edge as a human is in thinking the thoughts behind the words.

    This doesn’t just apply to writing novels. If you’re an entrepreneur building a world-changing startup or a social worker helping a family navigate taking care of a sick loved-one, your creativity matters. No AI will be able to do what you do for a very long time – if ever.

    So when a computer can do in the blink of an eye something that would take us all day, and when our creativity is the one thing keeping us relevant, that has powerful implications on how we get things done.

    Time management isn’t built for creative work

    Remember from episode 226 when we learned about [Frederick Taylor]? How he stood next to a worker with a stopwatch and timed every action and broke down all of those actions into a series of steps? He optimized time as a “production unit.”

    But creativity doesn’t work like stacking bricks or moving chunks of iron. Remember there are three big realities about creativity that make it incompatible with the “time management” paradigm:

    1. Great ideas come in an instant
    2. One idea can be infinitely more valuable than another idea
    3. You can’t connect inputs directly to outputs

    In a world where creativity not only matters, it’s arguably the only thing that matters, the ways that time management is incompatible with creativity are big problems.

    They’re especially big problems because the more you’re watching the clock – the more you’re a [“clock-time” person], like we talked about on episode 235, the less creative you’re going to be.

    So the things that used to make us more productive, now make us less productive. We can’t try to do more things in less time. We can’t multitask. We can’t skip out on sleep or otherwise neglect our health.

    If you want to kill creativity: Get five hours of sleep a night, fight traffic for two hours a day, and start each day with a piping hot thermos of a psychoactive drug. This is the unfortunate and inescapable reality of most Americans today.

    Don’t expect technology to be creative for you, use technology for you to be creative

    Will an unassisted AI be winning the Nobel Prize in literature in the next ten years? Some might think so. I’m no AI expert, but I’m skeptical. Remember from Episode 237 that [the birthday problem] shows us how hard it is for us humans to understand how complex some things are.

    GPT-3 is one-hundred times more powerful than GPT-2. But is it one-hundred times better at writing a novel? We’ll see – I doubt it.

    Does that make AI and other technologies useless in creative work? Far from it. We can use technology not only to lift us out of drudgery, but to assist us in being creative.

    Here’s just some of the ways I use technology to be more creative:

    • I live in a cheaper country, where I can have more flexibility to do work with unpredictable success ([Extremistan] like we talked about in the previous episode).
    • When I moved to South America, I mourned the loss of easy access to paper books. But now, five years later, I have many thousands of highlights of the most important ideas I’ve come across in my reading. This is because I’ve been forced to read almost everything on Kindle. I can quickly and easily search through those highlights. This makes writing new books much easier than it would be otherwise.
    • I’m able to live in South America because of cheap air travel, access to massive amounts of knowledge through the internet, and global publishing power, communication, and electronic banking. Not to mention easy Spanish translation in the palm of my hand.
    • Aside from those Kindle highlights, I can store, organize, and quickly retrieve relevant information I’ve previously consumed or taken notes on. I can quickly reference old ideas and connect them to make new ideas.
    • I’m able to test out my ideas and get instant feedback on what’s working or not through Twitter, and email, website, and podcast stats.
    • Amazon’s algorithms help relevant readers find my books, which earns me money so I can write more.

    There are starting to be some glimmers of AI assisting us in creativity in some more direct ways. A new service called [Sudowrite] won’t write a novel for you, but it uses GPT-3 to suggest characters or plot twists for your novel.

    If you combine advances in AI models with the trends there are in studying the structure of stories, it’s not hard to see a future where AI plays a big role in assisting writers in coming up with stories.

    But for now, don’t expect technology to be creative for you. Instead, use technology to help you be more creative.

    New times call for new measures. When we’re trying to define what it means to be more productive, we can’t apply thinking from the industrial age when we’re in the midst of the creative age.

    Image: [Traverse Beams, by Patrick Henry Bruce]

    Mind Management, Not Time Management available for pre-order!

    After nearly a decade of work, Mind Management, Not Time Management debuts October 27th! This book will show you how to manage your mental energy to be productive when creativity matters. Pre-order it today!

    My Weekly Newsletter: Love Mondays

    Start off each week with a dose of inspiration to help you make it as a creative. Sign up at: kadavy.net/mondays

    About Your Host, David Kadavy

    David Kadavy is author of Mind Management, Not Time Management, The Heart to Start and Design for Hackers. Through the Love Your Work podcast, his Love Mondays newsletter, and self-publishing coaching David helps you make it as a creative.

    Follow David on:

    Subscribe to Love Your Work

    Support the show on Patreon

    Put your money where your mind is. Patreon lets you support independent creators like me. Support now on Patreon »

     

     

    Show notes: http://kadavy.net/blog/posts/the-creative-age/

    EP282: Nurture on Autopilot with Tim Mai

    EP282: Nurture on Autopilot with Tim Mai

    Get access to more sources of capital by tuning into this episode, where we tackle automation when nurturing your leads and making follow-ups with your investors with Tim Mai. Discover the AI tools that will help automate your processes to produce results faster and make capital raising life easier!

     

     

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    • The 1-2 combo for automating your lead nurturing process
    • Another powerful way to utilize AI technology

     

     

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    Tim Mai is a real estate investor, fund manager, mentor, and founder of HERO Mastermind for REI coaches. He has helped many real estate investors and coaches become millionaires. Tim continues to help busy professionals earn income and build wealth through passive investing. He is also a creative marketer and promoter with incredible knowledge and experience, which he freely shares. 

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    Sign up to get our Free Apartment Due Diligence Checklist Template and Multifamily Calculator by visiting https://javierhinojo.com/free-tools/.

    To join Javier’s Mastermind, go to https://javierhinojo.com/mastermind/ and to apply to his BDB Mastermind, see https://javierhinojo.com/mastermind/#apply_form and answer the form.

     

     

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    323. Interview with Jon Ricketts, Co-Founder and CEO of Writerly.ai: Beyond Silicon Valley: The Writerly.ai Journey

    323. Interview with Jon Ricketts, Co-Founder and CEO of Writerly.ai: Beyond Silicon Valley: The Writerly.ai Journey

    In this riveting episode of “Raw and Real Entrepreneurship”, we dive deep with Jon Ricketts, the mastermind behind the groundbreaking platform, Writerly.ai. Venture beyond the Silicon Valley bubble and discover the unique challenges and triumphs of building a tech powerhouse in uncharted territories. From assembling a remote team to navigating different entrepreneurial ecosystems, Jon shares candid insights into his relentless drive and audacious appetite for risk. Whether you’re an aspiring entrepreneur or a tech enthusiast, this episode is a masterclass in determination, innovation, and the spirit of breaking boundaries.

    Join us for an unfiltered conversation on reshaping the tech landscape and the relentless passion of entrepreneurship. Don’t miss out!

     

    About Jon Ricketts:

    Jon Ricketts is a highly accomplished co-founder and CEO, renowned for his exceptional leadership in the technology industry. With a career spanning over 12 years in the SaaS sector, Jon has established himself in the field of artificial intelligence and business innovation. He currently holds the position of co-founder and CEO at Writerly, a generative artificial intelligence SaaS platform catering to businesses and enterprises. 

     

    A native of Tennessee, Jon’s journey as an entrepreneur began as an early employee at Transcard, a pioneering fintech company specializing in payments processing. During his tenure, he spearheaded partnerships and business development, demonstrating his acumen for forging strategic alliances and driving growth.

     

    Connect With Jon:

    Website https://writerly.ai/

    Facebook @writerlyai

    Instagram @writerly.ai

    X @writerlyai

    LinkedIn @writerlyai

     

    About Susan Sly:

    Susan Sly is a Tech Co-founder and Co-CEO, a tech investor, best-selling author, keynote speaker, entrepreneur, and host of the highly acclaimed podcast – Raw and Real Entrepreneurship. Susan has appeared on CNN, CNBC, Fox, Lifetime Television, The CBN, The Morning Show in Australia and been quoted in MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, Forbes, and more. She holds Certificates in Management and Leadership, Technology and Operations, and Strategy and Innovation from MIT. Susan is the author of 7 books. Her book project with NY Times Best Selling Author, Jack Canfield, made six Amazon Best Selling lists.

     

    Connect With Susan:

    Twitter @Susanslylive

    Twitter @rawandrealentr1

    LinkedIn @susansly

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    Website https://susansly.com/

    Join Susan's Insider’s List   https://susansly.com/insider/