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    Motley Fool Money: 11.02.2012

    enNovember 02, 2012

    Podcast Summary

    • Effective Communication and Stock Market InsightsThe Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast offers insights on communication skills and the stock market, emphasizing the importance of effective communication and a long-term investment approach.

      The Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast, with its focus on communication skills, can be a valuable resource for anyone looking to enhance their business and personal interactions. The podcast, which has received over 43 million downloads and is the number one career podcast in 90 countries, offers insights from experts on various aspects of communication, including managing anxiety, taking risks, and harnessing nervous energy. The importance of strong communication skills in business and life was further emphasized during the Motley Fool Money discussion, where the hosts discussed the impact of Hurricane Sandy on the stock market. While insurance companies were expected to take a hit due to the storm, some speculative movements were also observed in stocks like Home Depot, which saw a temporary increase in price based on potential sales in the affected areas. However, the Motley Fool hosts advised against trying to capitalize on such short-term movements and instead encouraged a long-term investment approach. Overall, the importance of effective communication and the potential impact of natural disasters on the stock market were the key takeaways from the discussion.

    • Investing in strong companies for the long term despite market volatilityDespite economic uncertainty, investing in strong companies and holding them long term remains a sound approach. Market downturns can present opportunities to buy quality stocks at discounted prices.

      Despite market volatility and economic uncertainty, the long-term strategy of investing in strong companies and holding them for the long term remains a sound approach. Disasters and economic downturns can present opportunities for buying quality stocks at discounted prices. The unemployment numbers, while showing an increase in the rate, should be viewed with perspective as more people reentered the workforce. Starbucks reported strong earnings, with record revenue and increased same-store sales, and the company's growth plans, while ambitious, are seen as reasonable given the opportunities in international markets. The stock, while not currently at its 52-week high, is not considered overly expensive based on the latest results. Overall, the message is to stay the course, look for opportunities during market downturns, and maintain a long-term perspective.

    • ExxonMobil and Chevron's Q3 profits lower, but investors unfazedDespite lower profits, investors remain confident in ExxonMobil and Chevron's long-term production focus, but Chevron faces a $19bn Ecuadorian court judgment that could exhaust cash and lead to asset seizures.

      While ExxonMobil and Chevron reported lower third-quarter profits due to lower oil prices and production challenges, investors showed little reaction. The real concern for Chevron is a $19 billion judgment against the company by an Ecuadorian court, which could exhaust their cash and lead to asset seizures. Meanwhile, LinkedIn reported strong third-quarter revenue growth of 81%, beating estimates and raising guidance, making it a favorite among overpriced social companies despite concerns over its valuation and privacy concerns. The stock market's history with Amazon, which was once selling at a seemingly impossible 97 times sales, shows that such high valuations may not always be a red flag. However, the long-term focus for both ExxonMobil and Chevron remains on production, with Chevron trailing the market and facing additional challenges from the Ecuadorian judgment.

    • Apple's Management Shakeups and Signs of TroubleApple faces internal strife with executive departures, while innovation concerns and product delays raise questions about its future. Beam's success from reinvestment and TripAdvisor's growth from network effects offer promising signs, but aggressive pricing and competition remain challenges.

      Apple's recent management shakeups, with the departures of Scott Forstall and John Browett, could be signs of larger issues within the company. Forstall was asked to leave after refusing to apologize for Apple's new mapping service debacle. Browett had only been head of retail for 9 months. While Apple remains a strong company with attractive valuations, there have been signs of trouble, such as missed earnings and sales, weak iPad sales, and product delays. Some argue that Apple's innovation has waned since Steve Jobs' passing, with the iPad mini being a me-too product. Meanwhile, Beam's strong third quarter earnings were attributed to their reinvestment in core brands and cross-selling opportunities. However, their aggressive pricing strategy may push customers towards competitors, especially in the bourbon market where there are cheaper, high-quality alternatives. TripAdvisor's earnings beat expectations, with a 33% increase in website traffic, highlighting the company's network effects and growth potential. Overall, while these companies had notable developments, it's essential to keep a watchful eye on their future performances and potential challenges.

    • Growth in internet travel companies and Disney's Lucasfilm acquisitionInternet travel companies like Priceline see revenue growth through advertising models. Disney's $4B Lucasfilm buy could yield substantial returns from new Star Wars content.

      Several internet companies, including Priceline, are experiencing significant growth in traffic and revenue, primarily through their advertising models. This trend is likely due to an increase in travel and the companies' ability to monetize their platforms effectively. Disney's recent acquisition of Lucasfilm for $4 billion is another notable event, with potential for substantial returns through new Star Wars movies, TV shows, and cross-promotions. In the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy, the insurance industry is under scrutiny for potential economic losses estimated at around $50 billion, making it the second costliest storm in U.S. history. Bill Mann, portfolio manager at Motley Fool Asset Management, joins the show to discuss the impact of Hurricane Sandy on the insurance industry and investment strategies based on the presidential election. Stay tuned for the full conversation.

    • Impact of Hurricane Sandy on Industries and EconomiesHurricane Sandy caused significant damage, leading to increased spending in housing and automaking, but potential challenges remain for banks' capacity to lend for redevelopment

      The aftermath of natural disasters like Hurricane Sandy can have significant impacts on various industries and economies, particularly in terms of insurance and rebuilding efforts. The insurance industry, with its reinsurance companies, is prepared to handle such events but must manage risks and concentrations. The rebuilding process, such as in the Jersey Shore, can lead to increased spending in industries like housing and automaking. However, the capacity of banks to lend for redevelopment is a potential challenge that remains to be seen. Hurricane Sandy caused massive damage, and its impact on industries and financing is a reminder of the far-reaching consequences of natural disasters.

    • Tax implications for individual investors during year-endIndividual investors need to consider tax-loss selling in Oct & tax-gain selling in Dec, focus on companies with large shareholder CEOs for potential special dividends, and be mindful of potential higher capital gains tax rates due to fiscal cliff.

      Individual investors should be mindful of the potential tax implications when managing their portfolios during the last few months of the year. Unlike mutual funds, taxes are a significant concern for individual investors, and the end of the year can bring volatility due to tax-related transactions. This year, with the potential for higher capital gains tax rates due to the fiscal cliff, there could be increased tax loss selling in October and tax gain selling in December. Additionally, investors might want to focus on companies where the chairman or CEO is a large shareholder as they may declare special dividends to minimize their own tax liabilities. The story of Paul Orfalia, the founder of Kinko's, serves as a reminder that making customers comfortable can lead to long-term success. For more insights, check out Bill Mann's monthly open letter, "Declarations," available for free at foolfunds.com.

    • Costco's business model prioritizing employees and low pricesCostco's long-term success lies in strong relationships with suppliers and prioritizing their profitability

      That Costco's business model, which includes paying employees well and maintaining low prices for customers, has paid off for the company and its shareholders in the long term. This was illustrated by an anecdote shared about a buyer at Costco who negotiated a deal with a supplier, only to have then-CEO Jim Sinegal express concern over the supplier's profitability and offer to pay them more. The supplier's relief and loyalty to Costco as a result demonstrates the value of building strong relationships with suppliers and prioritizing their long-term success. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, the speakers cautioned against basing investment strategies solely on the outcome, as there are many factors at play and the president has limited power to dictate policies unilaterally. Instead, they encouraged looking for opportunities in market volatility. Bill Mann, the portfolio manager at Motley Fool Asset Management, can be reached at declarations@foolfunds.com for more information.

    • Discussing potential investment opportunities in Priceline and Giant InteractivePriceline's impressive earnings and growth make it a worthwhile investment despite a high earnings multiple. Giant Interactive, a Chinese online video game company, offers a high yield and solid financials, making it an intriguing investment opportunity.

      The panel on Motley Fool Money discussed several stocks worth considering, including Priceline and Giant Interactive. Priceline, despite having a high earnings multiple, impressed the panel with its strong results and growth. Giant Interactive, a Chinese online video game company, offers a high yield and solid financials, making it an intriguing investment opportunity. TD Ameritrade, despite facing challenges with low interest rates and declining trading volume, was seen as a strong player in the industry due to its consolidation efforts and commitment to paying dividends. The panelists also shared some light-hearted moments, discussing their preferences for Star Wars characters and Princesses. Overall, the panel provided insights into stocks with potential and highlighted the importance of considering factors beyond just earnings multiples.

    • Warren Buffett's acquisition of Oriental Trading CompanyBuffett sees potential profit in seemingly ordinary businesses, like Oriental Trading Company, which others may view as 'cigar butt' businesses.

      Warren Buffett's acquisition of Oriental Trading Company, based in Omaha like TD Ameritrade, shows his confidence in finding value in seemingly ordinary businesses. Buffett paid $500 million for the catalog company, and while some may view it as a "cigar butt business," he sees potential for profit. Buffett's approach to investing, as well as his acquisition of local print newspapers, demonstrates his belief in the value of businesses that others may overlook. As for the hosts of Motley Fool Money, they discussed their personal mission statements and entertained ideas about Star Wars characters representing the United States in the Olympics. Despite the light-hearted banter, the show provided insights into Buffett's investment strategies and the potential value in overlooked businesses.

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