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    Earnings, Earnings, Earnings!

    enNovember 03, 2018

    Podcast Summary

    • Effective communication skills and expert insights from the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcastPodcast offers practical tips for improving communication skills and features expert guests discussing business trends like job growth, inflation, and Apple's earnings report

      Effective communication skills are essential in business and life, and the Think Fast, Talk Smart podcast, with its expert guests and practical tips, can help listeners hone these skills. The economic news highlights job growth and rising wages, which could lead to increased inflation and interest rates. Apple's latest earnings report showed a 41% profit increase but a 6% stock drop due to flat iPhone sales. Despite the negative reaction, Apple's decision to stop reporting unit sales is a logical step as it moves away from being just a phone company. Overall, the stock market is experiencing earnings season and the potential for rising interest rates, which could impact the market's future direction.

    • Apple's focus on services and emerging markets pressures impact unit sales relevanceApple's business health no longer solely relies on iPhone sales due to services and emerging markets, while GE faces financial challenges with profits, revenue, investigations, and debt.

      Apple's focus on services and other product lines, as well as pricing pressures in emerging markets, have led to less relevance of unit sales data for assessing the health of their business. While there have been some pricing pressures and average selling prices may decrease, Apple continues to sell millions of iPhones and has a loyal customer base. Additionally, Apple's massive cash reserves and upcoming transparency on services revenue and costs provide optimism for investors. On the other hand, General Electric's financial struggles include lower than expected profits and revenue, a dividend cut, investigations, and a large debt burden, making for a challenging road ahead.

    • Potential Berkshire Hathaway acquisition of General Electric and Q3 earnings reportsBerkshire Hathaway may consider acquiring GE, but its struggling stock indicates risks. Starbucks reports 4% US comp growth and 15% rewards member increase. Under Armour surprises with 25% share increase despite US market challenges.

      Berkshire Hathaway, under Warren Buffett's leadership, might consider acquiring General Electric due to the size and potential fit of their businesses. However, the stock's recent performance, including a significant dividend cut and all-time low price, indicate high risks. On a positive note, Starbucks reported a strong quarter with 4% comp growth in the US and a 15% increase in rewards members, which could be a sign of a turnaround for the company. Under Armour also saw a surprising 25% increase in shares after reporting higher-than-expected profits, despite ongoing challenges in the US market. Overall, while some companies are showing signs of improvement, others continue to face significant hurdles.

    • Under Armour, Fitbit, and Mercado Libre's Q3 Successes and ChallengesUnder Armour maintains premium image, Fitbit sees smartwatch growth, Mercado Libre expands into fintech. Branding, innovation, and adaptation key to business success.

      Under Armour and Fitbit had impressive quarters with signs of turnaround, while Mercado Libre continues to expand beyond e-commerce into financial technology. Under Armour is focusing on maintaining its premium performance brand image and keeping its executive team in place. Fitbit saw strong sales growth in smartwatches and health care, but faces stiff competition. Mercado Libre, once known as the "Amazon of Latin America," is now making waves in payments and financial technology, with off-platform transactions surpassing marketplace transactions in September. These companies' successes and challenges highlight the importance of branding, innovation, and adaptation in the business world.

    • Teladoc Health's Growth in Telehealth IndustryTeladoc Health, with a $5B market cap, is expanding through acquisitions like Advance Medical and partnerships, such as CVS, to offer their telehealth services to more customers. Q3 revenue exceeded expectations and losses decreased, indicating a promising future.

      Teladoc Health is making significant strides in the telehealth industry, with a clear path to profitability and a comprehensive solution that tackles the challenge of scaling healthcare. With a market capitalization of $5 billion and few major competitors, the company has been actively expanding through acquisitions, such as Advance Medical, which gave them global exposure. Teladoc's partnership with CVS is also noteworthy, as it allows them to offer their full suite of services to an additional 21 million Medicare Advantage enrollees. The company's Q3 revenue came in higher than expected, and they are losing less money, indicating a promising future. Despite the share price increase, it's worth considering the long-term potential of this company in the growing telehealth market.

    • Impact of shifting consumer trends on food companiesCompanies like Kraft Heinz face challenges due to consumer shift towards fresher, healthier options, while Alibaba and Yum! Brands thrive by adapting to trends and delivering efficient services.

      The consumer landscape is shifting towards fresher, healthier, and more natural food options, which is negatively impacting companies like Kraft Heinz that rely heavily on established brand names. This trend, along with increased costs, led to lower-than-expected earnings and revenue for Kraft Heinz in the third quarter, causing their stock to hit a new 52-week low. On the other hand, companies like Alibaba and Yum! Brands are thriving by focusing on the latest consumer trends and delivering efficient services. Alibaba reported a 54% increase in revenue and a 90% increase in cloud services in the second quarter, despite headline risks from the trade war and tariffs. Yum! Brands also saw higher-than-expected profits and revenue, with KFC and Taco Bell driving growth. These companies' ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and trends is paying off, while Kraft Heinz continues to struggle.

    • Taco Bell and KFC Drive Yum! Brands' ProfitsTaco Bell and KFC, contributing to 60% of Yum!'s operating profit, experienced sales growth, while Pizza Hut faces challenges. Yum! also invested in Grubhub to boost sales for KFC and Taco Bell.

      Despite Pizza Hut's struggles, Yum! Brands, specifically Taco Bell and KFC, continue to perform well. Taco Bell accounts for around 30% of Yum!'s total operating profit, with system sales growing 8%. KFC, which makes up almost half of the company's operating profit, also saw same store sales growth of 3%. The company also invested $200 million in Grubhub to boost sales for both KFC and Taco Bell. While Pizza Hut has some work to do in improving its product and taking advantage of competitors' weaknesses, such as Papa John's, it has recently taken over as the NFL's main sponsor, which could help turn things around. Meanwhile, Shake Shack's weak Q3 report, with negative comps and a decrease in guest traffic, has raised concerns for investors despite the company's plans to open new stores and raise full-year revenue outlook. However, Shake Shack's lack of promotional strategies may make it difficult to achieve these goals. Taco Bell's successful promotional tactics, such as the nacho fries promotion and partnerships with sports teams, have been key drivers of sales.

    • Impact of Institutional Investors on Stock MarketInstitutional investors, including hedge funds, investment banks, pension funds, and large money managers, can influence stock prices with their vast resources and trading strategies. Their ownership in a company can provide informational advantages for individual investors.

      Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, investment banks, pension funds, and large money managers, can significantly impact the stock market due to their vast resources. Institutional investors, particularly those focused on quant or algorithmic investing, can cause large swings in stock prices with just a single check mark or computer command. Their ownership in a company can also indicate that the stock may be under the radar for individual investors, providing an informational advantage. Additionally, institutional investors often receive guidance from sell-side analysts, which can cause significant stock price movements. During Ron's hedge fund days, he had to work with traders to buy shares piecemeal, whereas individual investors can buy stocks in one fell swoop. Institutional investors' exit strategies, such as those of venture capitalists, can also impact the short-term price of a stock.

    • Spotify's Profit from Tencent Investment, Carter's Potential Investment OpportunitySpotify's core business hasn't turned a profit yet despite a large user base, while Carter's, a children's apparel retailer, is a potential investment due to reasonable valuation, growing dividend, and steady sales

      While Spotify reported a profit in Q3 due to an investment in Tencent Music Entertainment Group, the company has yet to turn a profit based on its core business. The music streaming service has struggled to monetize its user base of nearly 200 million monthly active users due to a compelling free offering. The economics of the music business are poor, and even with a large user base, it may not translate into an attractive investment. Meanwhile, Carter's, a dominant children's apparel retailer in the US, is a potential investment opportunity despite recent weakness due to the bankruptcies of Toys R Us and Bon Ton and unfavorable weather. The stock is trading at a reasonable valuation with a steadily growing dividend and a current yield of 1.8 percent. However, retailers like Carter's must balance the importance of sales, especially during promotions, with the impact on margins. It's crucial to sell as much full-priced merchandise as possible while also clearing out inventory when necessary.

    • Discussing Investment Interests in Zoetis and iQIYILeading companies in veterinary and streaming industries with strong growth potential and resilience despite market uncertainties

      The speakers, Chris, Jason, Ron, and Matt, discussed their personal investment interests in Zoetis (ZTS) and iQIYI (IQ), highlighting their growth potential and resilience despite current market uncertainties. Zoetis, a leading veterinary vaccines and medicines company, boasts a loyal customer base, significant market opportunity, and substantial investment in research and development. The company reported a strong quarter, making it an attractive investment for Chris, who plans to add to his position. iQIYI, the leading streaming company in China, reported impressive growth in membership and membership revenue, outpacing content costs. Despite headline risks related to the US-China trade war, the company's domestic focus makes it less directly impacted, making it an appealing investment opportunity for Jason. Both stocks show promise for long-term growth and profitability, making them worth considering for investors.

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