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    The Most Thorough Case Against Crypto I've Heard

    enApril 05, 2022

    Podcast Summary

    • Understanding the Complexities of Crypto: Technology, Marketing, and Financial AspectsCrypto involves more than just technology; it's also about marketing, investments, currency prices, incentives, and social pressures. Evaluating crypto requires considering the interconnectedness of these aspects as a single system or machine.

      While the crypto community believes they're building a better internet and solving various issues with the current one, there are valid concerns about the potential downsides if their technology fails or is used improperly. Crypto isn't just about the technology; it's also about marketing, investments, currency prices, incentives, and social pressures. Dan Olson, a video essayist, has provided a thorough critique of crypto, pointing out the problems and warning signs that lurk in the culture and financial market aspects of it. It's essential to consider the interconnectedness of the technology, marketing, and financial aspects when evaluating crypto. The potential benefits and risks should be viewed as a single system, or as Olson calls it, a machine. Listening to the Katie Hahn conversation about the potential benefits of crypto, alongside Olson's critique, can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the possibilities and challenges of this emerging technology.

    • Crypto Community's Dual Goals: Ownership and ParticipationThe crypto community aims to create digital ownership and enable participation in the digital world, offering a sense of control and belonging in a system dominated by corporations and governments.

      The crypto community is driven by two main goals: creating ownership of digital goods and enabling participation in the digital world. While the first goal is more tangible and focuses on financial ownership, the second goal is more abstract and revolves around the feeling of being a part of the system. The desire for participation stems from a sense of alienation from corporations and governments that control the Internet. Some in the crypto community envision a future where corporations are defanged, and everyone is a part-owner and stakeholder. However, the concept of granular ownership and fractionalization of digital assets raises concerns and can be seen as horrifying to some. Ultimately, the crypto community's vision is a complex mix of financial and participatory goals, with the latter being a significant part of its allure.

    • Considering the Consequences of Monetizing Digital Content through NFTsWhile NFTs offer a new way to monetize digital content and own unique assets, it's important to consider potential consequences, such as the tension between artistic value and financial compensation, and the potential for increased addiction and exploitation.

      While the idea of monetizing digital content through NFTs and owning unique digital assets is intriguing, it's essential to consider the potential consequences and underlying issues. The speaker, who came from a journalism background, questioned the authentic value of such an approach, as individual contributions to data and content often hold little value in the grand scheme. They also highlighted the tension between the artistic impulse and the need for financial compensation. The speaker expressed concern that introducing power law incentives, such as monetary rewards for popular content, could lead to increased addiction and exploitation, particularly for younger users. Ultimately, it's crucial to weigh the potential benefits against the potential risks and consider alternative solutions to address the underlying issues of content creators not profiting from their work.

    • The Internet's shift from a utopian vision to an incentive cageThe failed implementation of cryptocurrencies led to a focus on changing how social media compensates creators, revealing tech companies as the new controllers of content creation and value distribution.

      The Internet, as a utopian vision of abundance and a world operating on a different logic, is being restructured into an incentive cage, similar to content mills. This shift from seeing tech giants as the enemy to banks and monetary policy authorities is a result of the failed implementation and widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The hype around cryptocurrencies, particularly ICOs, led to the creation of hundreds of new coins, most of which failed. The Bitcoin utopia never materialized due to its lack of appeal to people in stable economic environments and its inability to gain widespread adoption. The failed implementation of these cryptocurrencies revealed them to be largely a sham, leading to a shift in focus to changing how social media compensates creators. This transition from government control of currencies to tech companies controlling content creation is an interesting ideological and conceptual evolution.

    • From Bitcoin hype to internet giants and NFTsThe cryptocurrency market shifted from hype-driven speculation to more compelling stories and business models offered by internet giants and NFTs, allowing influencers of any size to impact prices.

      The cryptocurrency market, particularly in its early stages, was heavily driven by the financial incentive of potential explosive growth. People started new currencies with the hope of replicating Bitcoin's success, and the narrative of "what if this is the next Bitcoin?" fueled the Initial Coin Offering (ICO) craze. The price of these new assets was almost entirely dependent on hype, making it possible for those with significant online influence to manipulate the speculative run-up. However, as time went on, it became clear that many of these currencies would not overthrow governments or central banks, leading to a need for new narratives and stories to keep attracting people. This shift led to internet giants becoming more involved in the cryptocurrency space, as they offered more compelling stories and business models. Additionally, the advent of NFTs allowed for a more downwardly scalable format for influencers of any size to participate and move the needle on price. However, as the market evolved, it became clear that not all of these currencies would succeed, leading to a culture of making money by creating or finding a new crypto asset and then convincing others it's cool.

    • Web 3: Profiting from the New Wave or Old Guard?Investors and thought leaders from the Internet 2.0 era see opportunities in Web 3, both as part of the new wave and as investors in centralized tech giants.

      The ongoing debate around Web 3 and its potential to replace centralized tech giants like Facebook, Google, and Twitter, is being driven in large part by the very people who built and profited from the Internet 2.0 era. Investors and thought leaders like Marc Andreessen and Chris Dixon, who sit on the boards of these tech giants, are also heavily investing in decentralized technologies and marketplaces. They see an opportunity to make enormous profits by being part of the new wave rather than the old guard. However, the underlying vision of Web 3 and the financialization of everything through crypto is not as utopian as it may seem. Critics argue that the ultimate goal is not just decentralization, but the financialization of all aspects of life, turning everything into a commodity that can be bought, sold, and traded on the blockchain. This raises questions about the potential consequences for privacy, inequality, and financial stability.

    • Monetizing Intangible Values with NFTs and Financial InstrumentsNFTs and related financial instruments allow for the quantification and monetization of intangible values, creating a mythology around valuable assets for new investment opportunities, but the complexity and potential risks may need reevaluation.

      The concept of quantifying and monetizing intangible values, such as art or social media presence, is being taken to new heights through the use of NFTs and related financial instruments. This process involves creating a mythology around valuable assets, which serve as the foundation for new investment coins. The Beeple sale, where a digital artwork was sold for a record-breaking price, is an example of this phenomenon. The value of the art itself may not be the primary motivation for the investment, but rather its role as collateral for derivative financial products. The complexity and incoherence surrounding these investments can be a selling point, contributing to the allure and ego padding for consumers. However, this dynamic also raises concerns and has turned some individuals against the system. The underlying technology remains interesting, but the culture and methods of monetization may need reevaluation.

    • The crypto community's language and behavior fueled by FOMO and frustration with traditional financeThe crypto community's culture is driven by a fear of missing out and a desire for massive returns, leading to aggressive defensiveness and a focus on 'diamond hands' to never sell or let go of crypto holdings.

      The Larry David Super Bowl ad and the culture surrounding cryptocurrency often revolve around fear of missing out (FOMO) rather than a deep understanding of the technology or its potential benefits. This need for "dumb money" is fueled by a frustration with the current financial system and a desire for massive returns, leading to an internal language and aggressive defensiveness within the crypto community. Those who criticize this culture are met with hostility, as those participating see it as their only chance to change their station in life. The concept of "diamond hands," or never selling or letting go of one's crypto holdings, further emphasizes this mentality. Overall, the crypto community's language and behavior can be seen as a response to feelings of exclusion from traditional financial opportunities and a deep-seated desire for financial success.

    • Diamond Hands: A Cultural Virtue in Crypto and NFTsInvestors in crypto and NFTs embrace 'diamond hands' to demonstrate faith and avoid the label of a quitter, but this mindset also carries risks of ignoring warning signs and holding during market bubbles.

      In the world of cryptocurrencies and NFTs, the concept of "diamond hands" has emerged as a cultural virtue for holding onto assets despite their volatility and potential financial risk. This mindset is driven by the lack of liquidity in these ecosystems and the vast disparity between theoretical valuations and actual cash availability. By refusing to sell, individuals believe they are demonstrating faith in the future value of their assets and avoiding the label of a "quitter" or "coward." This mentality, while backed up by some success stories from early Bitcoin investors, also carries the risk of leading individuals to ignore warning signs and hold onto assets during market bubbles, potentially resulting in significant financial losses. It's crucial to approach these investments with a clear understanding of the risks involved and the potential for market volatility.

    • Investing in crypto dips: Risks and limitationsWhile crypto dips can offer profitable investment opportunities, they come with significant risks and limitations. Understanding the underlying tech and potential applications is crucial.

      While the idea of buying dips in Bitcoin and Ether as a speculative investment can be profitable, it comes with significant risks. The market can remain irrational longer than one can remain solvent, and it's essential to have a solid understanding of the underlying technology and its potential future applications. The ability to create verifiable digitally scarce goods is a valuable functionality for the Internet, but current implementations lack the necessary throughput, transaction speed, processing capacity, and flexibility to create a meaningful generic ownership object for digital goods. As a result, ownership of digital goods is contextually relevant but not universally verifiable and applicable. It's important to approach crypto with a critical and informed perspective, recognizing both the potential benefits and limitations of the technology.

    • NFTs offer more than just digital ownershipNFTs function as membership cards, granting access to exclusive events, merchandise, discounts, and online communities, but their practical implementation raises questions about digital services fragmentation and corporations' reluctance to build on generic tokens, while privacy concerns challenge the notion of crypto being deeply privacy-enhancing.

      NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens) offer more than just digital ownership; they function as membership cards or tickets, granting access to exclusive events, merchandise, discounts, and online communities. However, the idea of NFTs solving unsolved problems of identity and access on the internet is debatable. While it's an intriguing concept, the practical implementation raises questions about the fragmented nature of digital services and the reluctance of corporations to build on generic tokens. Additionally, privacy concerns surrounding popular crypto chains like Ethereum, which lay bare extensive information about users, challenge the notion that crypto is deeply privacy-enhancing. Instead, it may be more accurate to view NFTs as a new layer of digital identity and access, with potential benefits and challenges.

    • Loss of privacy and potential centralization in a hypothetical crypto economyThe public nature of transactions in a crypto economy could lead to loss of privacy and potential centralization, normalizing money laundering and perverse incentives.

      In a hypothetical crypto economy, the public nature of transactions can lead to a loss of privacy and potential stalking, requiring individuals to fracture their online presence across multiple wallets. This complexity and need for anonymization could lead to the normalization of money laundering, creating perverse incentives and potential centralization of the economy. Bitcoin, for example, is already somewhat centralized due to the high capital requirement for mining. This centralization could lead to cartels and partnerships among large-scale miners, controlling a significant portion of the market.

    • Decentralization comes with risks and complexities leading to potential centralizationDecentralization can lead to monopolization among miners and larger institutions, while user data decentralization shifts technical risk to individuals, requiring high digital literacy. Middlemen can simplify the process but introduce centralization.

      While the decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and NFTs is often touted as a key benefit, it also comes with significant risks and complexities that can lead to centralization. The economic incentives of capitalism can result in monopolization, leading to centralization among miners and larger institutional players. At the same time, the decentralization of user data and management can shift technical risk onto individuals, requiring a high level of digital literacy and management. This complexity can lead to the emergence of middlemen, who simplify the process but also introduce centralization. It's important to recognize these trade-offs and consider the potential consequences of decentralization in different contexts.

    • Squid Game token scam: A reminder of the importance of trust and due diligence in decentralized financeThe Squid Game token scam underscores the need for investors to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before engaging in decentralized finance transactions, emphasizing the importance of trust in the people and systems involved.

      While the concept of trustless contracts and decentralized finance offers the potential for seamless transactions without intermediaries, the Squid Game token scam serves as a reminder of the importance of understanding the underlying mechanics and trusting the people involved. The scam, which involved creating a meme coin based on the popular Netflix show Squid Game, lured investors with the promise of gamification and scarcity, but in reality, the tokens were untradeable due to the lack of accompanying "Marble" tokens. The creators of the scam made off with the initial investment in Ether or BNB, leaving investors with worthless tokens. This incident highlights the need for due diligence and trust in the people and systems involved in financial transactions, even in the context of decentralized finance and trustless contracts. The complexity of these systems necessitates a level of trust that goes beyond the technology itself.

    • The Importance of Trust in the Crypto WorldAs crypto technology grows more complex, trusted experts and communities are vital for filtering out scams and ensuring positive goals.

      As our society becomes increasingly complex, we need trusted experts to help us navigate new technologies and filter out potential scams. The discussion around crypto highlights the importance of this trust relationship, as the technology is dense and difficult to comprehend for many people. However, there are also arguments that the culture and community surrounding crypto may be its most valuable aspect, providing a sense of connection and authentic human interaction. Yet, it's crucial to consider the values and priorities of these communities and ensure they are aligned with positive goals. Ultimately, the future of crypto and its impact on society will depend on how these trust relationships and communities evolve.

    • The human element in NFT communitiesThe survival of NFT communities depends on more than just the technology. Human motivation and community dynamics play a crucial role in their success or failure.

      The survival of NFT communities depends on more than just the technology. While the technology may be able to endure market crashes, it's the human element that is uncertain. Some communities may be able to weather the storm due to their mercenary nature, while others may disperse and fail. The speaker raises questions about the motivation of people in these communities, suggesting that they may be drawn to the excitement of rising markets, much like volunteers in political campaigns. However, if the markets crash and people feel burned, these communities may not survive. It's a complex issue with real human lives at stake, and the future is uncertain. As for book recommendations, the speaker suggests "The Power Broker" by Robert Caro for a deep dive into the intersection of power, politics, and infrastructure. For a fiction recommendation, they suggest "The Tombs of Atuan" by Ursula K. Le Guin, a heartbreaking story about self-discovery. Lastly, they recommend "Persuasive Games" by Ian Bogost for insights on rhetoric and interactive media.

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    ‘Artificial Intelligence?’ No, Collective Intelligence.

    ‘Artificial Intelligence?’ No, Collective Intelligence.

    A.I.-generated art has flooded the internet, and a lot of it is derivative, even boring or offensive. But what could it look like for artists to collaborate with A.I. systems in making art that is actually generative, challenging, transcendent?

    Holly Herndon offered one answer with her 2019 album “PROTO.” Along with Mathew Dryhurst and the programmer Jules LaPlace, she built an A.I. called “Spawn” trained on human voices that adds an uncanny yet oddly personal layer to the music. Beyond her music and visual art, Herndon is trying to solve a problem that many creative people are encountering as A.I. becomes more prominent: How do you encourage experimentation without stealing others’ work to train A.I. models? Along with Dryhurst, Jordan Meyer and Patrick Hoepner, she co-founded Spawning, a company figuring out how to allow artists — and all of us creating content on the internet — to “consent” to our work being used as training data.

    In this conversation, we discuss how Herndon collaborated with a human chorus and her “A.I. baby,” Spawn, on “PROTO”; how A.I. voice imitators grew out of electronic music and other musical genres; why Herndon prefers the term “collective intelligence” to “artificial intelligence”; why an “opt-in” model could help us retain more control of our work as A.I. trawls the internet for data; and much more.

    Mentioned:

    Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt” by Holly Herndon

    xhairymutantx” by Holly Herndon and Mat Dryhurst, for the Whitney Museum of Art

    Fade” by Holly Herndon

    Swim” by Holly Herndon

    Jolene” by Holly Herndon and Holly+

    Movement” by Holly Herndon

    Chorus” by Holly Herndon

    Godmother” by Holly Herndon

    The Precision of Infinity” by Jlin and Philip Glass

    Holly+

    Book Recommendations:

    Intelligence and Spirit by Reza Negarestani

    Children of Time by Adrian Tchaikovsky

    Plurality by E. Glen Weyl, Audrey Tang and ⿻ Community

    Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.

    You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.

    This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Annie Galvin. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota. Our senior editor is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Rollin Hu, Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Isaac Jones. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. And special thanks to Sonia Herrero and Jack Hamilton.

    The Ezra Klein Show
    enMay 24, 2024

    A Conservative Futurist and a Supply-Side Liberal Walk Into a Podcast …

    A Conservative Futurist and a Supply-Side Liberal Walk Into a Podcast …

    “The Jetsons” premiered in 1962. And based on the internal math of the show, George Jetson, the dad, was born in 2022. He’d be a toddler right now. And we are so far away from the world that show imagined. There were a lot of future-trippers in the 1960s, and most of them would be pretty disappointed by how that future turned out.

    So what happened? Why didn’t we build that future?

    The answer, I think, lies in the 1970s. I’ve been spending a lot of time studying that decade in my work, trying to understand why America is so bad at building today. And James Pethokoukis has also spent a lot of time looking at the 1970s, in his work trying to understand why America is less innovative today than it was in the postwar decades. So Pethokoukis and I are asking similar questions, and circling the same time period, but from very different ideological vantages.

    Pethokoukis is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and author of the book “The Conservative Futurist: How to Create the Sci-Fi World We Were Promised.” He also writes a newsletter called Faster, Please! “The two screamingly obvious things that we stopped doing is we stopped spending on science, research and development the way we did in the 1960s,” he tells me, “and we began to regulate our economy as if regulation would have no impact on innovation.”

    In this conversation, we debate why the ’70s were such an inflection point; whether this slowdown phenomenon is just something that happens as countries get wealthier; and what the government’s role should be in supporting and regulating emerging technologies like A.I.

    Mentioned:

    U.S. Infrastructure: 1929-2017” by Ray C. Fair

    Book Recommendations

    Why Information Grows by Cesar Hidalgo

    The Expanse series by James S.A. Corey

    The American Dream Is Not Dead by Michael R. Strain

    Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.

    You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.

    This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, with Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota. Our senior editor is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Annie Galvin, Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Isaac Jones. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. And special thanks to Sonia Herrero.

    The Ezra Klein Show
    enMay 21, 2024

    The Disastrous Relationship Between Israel, Palestinians and the U.N.

    The Disastrous Relationship Between Israel, Palestinians and the U.N.

    The international legal system was created to prevent the atrocities of World War II from happening again. The United Nations partitioned historic Palestine to create the states of Israel and Palestine, but also left Palestinians with decades of false promises. The war in Gaza — and countless other conflicts, including those in Syria, Yemen and Ethiopia — shows how little power the U.N. and international law have to protect civilians in wartime. So what is international law actually for?

    Aslı Ü. Bâli is a professor at Yale Law School who specializes in international and comparative law. “The fact that people break the law and sometimes get away with it doesn’t mean the law doesn’t exist and doesn’t have force,” she argues.

    In this conversation, Bâli traces the gap between how international law is written on paper and the realpolitik of how countries decide to follow it, the U.N.’s unique role in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict from its very beginning, how the laws of war have failed Gazans but may be starting to change the conflict’s course, and more.

    Mentioned:

    With Schools in Ruins, Education in Gaza Will Be Hobbled for Years” by Liam Stack and Bilal Shbair

    Book Recommendations:

    Imperialism, Sovereignty and the Making of International Law by Antony Anghie

    Justice for Some by Noura Erakat

    Worldmaking After Empire by Adom Getachew

    The Constitutional Bind by Aziz Rana

    The United Nations and the Question of Palestine by Ardi Imseis

    Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.

    You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.

    This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Annie Galvin. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota and Isaac Jones. Our senior editor is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Rollin Hu, Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Isaac Jones. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Special thanks to Carole Sabouraud.

    The Ezra Klein Show
    enMay 17, 2024

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